Iowa gubernatorial election, 2010
|State executive officials|
- 1 Race ratings
- 2 Candidates
- 3 June 8, 2010 primary
- 4 Polling
- 5 Endorsements
- 6 Gubernatorial electoral history
- 7 Presidential electoral history
- 8 See also
- 9 External links
- 10 References
The deadline for submission of nominating signatures to qualify for the primary ballot was March 19, 2010.
Iowa law requires a 35% plurality in the primaries for a candidate to win the nomination via balloting. If a party primary gives no candidate plurality, the respective party's nominating convention will choose a candidate to advance to the general election.
The Congressional Quarterly Gubernatorial Race Tracker for 2010 ranks the race as "Toss up" as of June 2010.
One indication of the competitiveness of this year's gubernatorial election is the surge in GOP voter registration. Iowa had been shifting to a blue state prior to the primaries. During the 2008 cycle, Democrats enjoyed a six figure lead in registered voters; that fall, Barack Obama carried the state by ten points. However, on July 6, 2010, Secretary of State Mike Mauro (D) announced that June saw Republicans gain 37,000 registered voters while the Democrats lost 10,000 - effectively halving the latter's voter lead going into the general elections. Unaffiliated voters fell by approximately 23,000 while the total change in all registered voters inched up slightly, hovering just below 4,000. This would seem to indicate a shift in the partisan sympathies of Hawkeye voters.
|The November Ballot – Who's Made It? Iowa Governor|
|Chet Culver, with Patty Judge||Democrat|
|Terry E. Branstad, with Kim Reynolds||Republican|
|Jonathan Narcisse, with Richard Marlar||Iowa Party|
|Eric Cooper, with Nick Weltha||Libertarian|
|Dave Rosenfeld, with Helen Meyers||Socialist Workers Party|
|Gregory James Hughes, with Robin Prior-Calef||(nominated by petition)|
|This lists candidates who won their state's primary or convention, or who were unopposed, and who have since been officially certified for the November ballot by their state's election authority.|
|2010 Race Rankings Iowa|
|Race Tracker||Race Rating|
|The Cook Political Report||Likely Republican|
|Congressional Quarterly Politics||Toss-up|
|Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball||Likely Republican|
|Rasmussen Reports Gubernatorial Scorecard||Solid GOP|
|The Rothenberg Political Report||Republican Favored|
3. Cook moves race from "Safe Republican" to "Likely Republican" on October 29th.
2. Cook moves race from "Likely Republican" to "Safe Republican" as of October 24th.
1. Cook Political Report changes race from "Toss-up" to "Likely Republican" in September 30th ratings.
- Rick Phillips, who is running a campaign focused on socially conservative values, is also gathering signatures to petition on to the ballot.
- Chester John 'Chet' Culver, the incumbent, was unopposed in the primary season. He served as the Secretary of State before winning election to the governorship in 2006.
- Jonathan Narcissee, a Democrat, announced he would run as an Independent on March 18, 2010, citing voter desire to see a non-partisan candidate. He is opting to petition on to the November ballot.
- Eric Cooper, who has previously run for the Iowa legislature, is a cognitive psychologist specializing in visual perception.
- Former governor Terry E. Branstad holds Iowa's record for the longest serving governor. Before assuming office, he was Lt. Gov. and served three term on the State House. He assumed the Presidency of Des Moines University after leaving the governor's office.
- Bob Vander Plaats, an unsuccessful 2002 candidate for governor, is managing partner of a leadership development firm and COO of a foundation dedicated to working with sufferers of spinal cord injuries.
- Former State Representative Rob A. Roberts
Socialist Worker's Party
- David Rosenfeld
June 8, 2010 primary
Iowa's Secretary of State certified results and released the official vote counts on July 1, 2010.
|2010 Race for Governor - Democrat Primary |
|Chet Culver (D)||100.00%|
|2010 Race for Governor - Republican Primary |
|Terry E. Branstad (R)||50.33%|
|Bob Vander Plaats (R)||40.92%|
General election polling
|2010 Race for Iowa Governor - Rasmussen Reports|
|Date Reported||Branstad (R)||Culver (D)||Other||Don't Know|
|September 23, 2010||55%||37%||4%||4%|
|August 4, 2010||52%||36%||8%||4%|
|June 14, 2010||57%||31%||6%||6%|
Iowa is among the few state where the National Rile Association has made a gubernatorial endorsement in favor of the Democrat, officially backing Chet Culver.
Gubernatorial electoral history
|1998 Gubernatorial Results|
|2002 Gubernatorial Results|
|Tom Vilsack (D)||52.69%|
|Doug Gross (R)||44.53%|
|Jay Robinson (G)||1.43%|
|Clyde Cleveland (L)||1.28%|
|2006 Gubernatorial Results|
|Chet Culver (D)||53.75%|
Presidential electoral history
|2000 Presidential Results|
|George W. Bush (R)||48.2%|
|Al Gore (D)||48.5%|
|2004 Presidential Results|
|George W. Bush (R)||49.9%|
|John Kerry (D)||49.2%|
|2008 Presidential Results|
|John McCain (R)||4%4.4|
|Barack Obama (D)||53.9%|
|1992 Presidential Results|
|George H.W. Bush (R)||37.3%|
|Bill Clinton (D)||43.3%|
|1996 Presidential Results|
|Bob Dole (R)||39.9%|
|Bill Clinton (D)||50.3%|
- Governor Branstad 2010
- Cooper for Iowa Governor
- Chet Culver for Governor
- Narcisse for Iowa
- Rick Phillips for Governor
- Bob Vander Plaats Iowa Governor 2010
- The Green Papers, "2010 Gubernatorial Primaries at a Glance"
- CQ Politics, "Race Ratings Chart 2010: Governor"
- Cook Political Report, "Gubernatorial races 2010
- Iowa Secretary of State, "Primary Election Impacts Voter Registration Landscape", July 6, 2010
- Iowa Secretary of State, “Candidate Listing by Office, November 2, 2010 General Election”, certifed August 13, 2010
- The Cook Political, “Governors: Race Ratings”
- CQ Politics, “2010 Race Ratings: Governors”
- Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball', “2010 Governor Ratings”
- Rasmussen Reports', “Election 2010: Scorecard Ratings”
- Rothenberg Political Report, “Governor Ratings”
- Iowa General Assembly
- Iowa Secretary of State Official Canvas by County, July 1, 2010
- Iowa Secretary of State Primary Election Results, accessed July 20 2010
- Iowa Secretary of State Primary Election Results, accessed July 20 2010
- Rasmussen Reports, “Election 2010: Iowa Governor: Branstad (R) Remains Well Ahead of Culver (D)”, September 27, 2010
- Rasmussen Reports, “Election 2010: Iowa Governor: Branstad (R) 52%, Culver (D) 36%”, August 9, 2010
- Rasmussen Reports, “Election 2010: Iowa Governor: Branstad (R) 57%, Culver (D) 31%”, June 16, 2010
- [More complete methodology and sampling tabs are available at www.RasmussenReports.com]
- Washington Post, "NRA backs Democrats in key races, frustrating GOP", October 6, 2010
- Iowa Secretary of State, “IOWA GENERAL ELECTION - NOVEMBER 3, 1998”, certified November 20, 1998
- 'Iowa Secretary of State, “2002 General Election (11/5/2002) FINAL”, certified January 13,2003
- 'Iowa Secretary of State, “2006 General Election (11/7/2006) FINAL”, certified April 16, 2008
- Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections', accessed July 28, 2010
State of Iowa
Des Moines (capital)
|State executive officers||
Governor | Lieutenant Governor | Attorney General | Secretary of State | Treasurer | Auditor of State | Director of Education | Commissioner of Insurance | Secretary of Agriculture | Director of Natural Resources | Commissioner of Labor | Chair of Utilities |