Difference between revisions of "Maine's 2nd Congressional District elections, 2014"

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Revision as of 12:42, 10 June 2014

2012

CongressLogo.png

Maine's 2nd Congressional District

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
June 10, 2014

November 4 Election Winner:
Bruce Poliquin Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Mike Michaud Democratic Party
Michael Michaud.jpg

Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Lean D[1]

Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely D[2]

Fairvote's Monopoly Politics: Likely D[3]

Maine U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2

2014 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Maine.png
The 2nd Congressional District of Maine will hold an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014.

Heading into the election the incumbent is Mike Michaud (D), who was first elected in 2002. In June 2013, Michaud announced that he would run for Governor of Maine instead of seeking re-election to the 2nd District seat.[4]

On the Democratic ticket, state Senators Emily Cain and Troy Jackson are both vying for the nomination. On the Republican side, former state treasurer Bruce Poliquin will take on former state Senator Kevin Raye.

Independent candidate Blaine Richardson is the first non-major party nominee to be on the Maine general election ballot for U.S. House since 2006.[5]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
March 17, 2014
June 10, 2014
November 4, 2014

Primary: Maine is one of 12 states to use a strictly closed primary process, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.[6][7][8]

Voter registration: Voters needed register to vote in the primary by either May 20, 2014 (by mail or through voter registration drive) or on election day (in person). For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 14, 2014. However, there was no cut-off date for registering in person at the town office or city hall.[9]

See also: Maine elections, 2014

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent is Mike Michaud (D), who was first elected in 2002. In June 2013, Michaud announced that he would run for Governor of Maine instead of seeking re-election to the 2nd District seat.

Maine's 2nd Congressional District encompasses the entire northern portion of the state north of the Portland and Augusta.[10]

Candidates

General election candidates


June 10, 2014, primary results

Republican Party Republican Primary

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Independent Third Party Candidates

Declined to run

Withdrew prior to the primary

Primary results

U.S. House, Maine District 2 Democratic Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngEmily Cain 71% 19,906
Troy Jackson 29% 8,116
Total Votes 28,022
Source: Maine.gov


U.S. House, Maine District 2 Republican Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngBruce Poliquin 56.8% 19,736
Kevin Raye 43.2% 14,987
Total Votes 34,723
Source: Maine.gov

Race background

In June 2013, Mike Michaud announced the launch of his exploratory committee in advance of his run for governor. Michaud announced his run for governor on June 13, 2014. On June 14, 2013, Emily Cain, a member of the Maine State Senate announced that she would be running in the 2014 Democratic primary.[30]

Issues

LCV targets Jackson

  • On May 12, 2014, The League of Conservation Voters (LCV) announced that they added Troy Jackson to their Dirty Dozen program and kicked off a major mail campaign that highlighted his anti-environmental voting record in the state House and state Senate.[31] The $150,000 mail program included five pieces of mail to over 28,500 voters in the Bangor and Portland area.[31][32]
    • “Troy Jackson failed to protect Maine's public health, sided with polluters, and refused to take on big challenges like climate change. His election would put Maine on the wrong path,” said Dan Amory, Board President of Maine Conservation Voters.[31]
    • “Too often, Troy Jackson put the interests of polluting special interests and their allies ahead of doing what’s right to protect our environment and public health. Maine needs an environment champion in Congress, not an ally of corporate polluters,” said Gene Karpinski, President of the League of Conservation Voters.[31]

Key votes

Below are important votes the current incumbent cast during the 113th Congress.

Government shutdown

See also: United States budget debate, 2013

Voted "No" On September 30, 2013, the House passed a final stopgap spending bill before the shutdown went into effect. The bill included a one-year delay of the Affordable Care Act's individual mandate and would have also stripped the bill of federal subsidies for congressional members and staff. It passed through the House with a vote of 228-201.[33] At 1 a.m. on October 1, 2013, one hour after the shutdown officially began, the House voted to move forward with going to a conference. In short order, Sen. Harry Reid rejected the call to conference.[34] Michaud voted against the stopgap spending bill that would have delayed the individual mandate.[35]

Voted "Yes" The shutdown finally ended on October 16, 2013, when the House took a vote on HR 2775 after it was approved by the Senate. The bill to reopen the government lifted the $16.7 trillion debt limit and funded the government through January 15, 2014. Federal employees also received retroactive pay for the shutdown period. The only concession made by Senate Democrats was to require income verification for Obamacare subsidies.[36] The House passed the legislation shortly after the Senate, by a vote of 285-144, with all 144 votes against the legislation coming from Republican members. Michaud voted for HR 2775.[37]

Endorsements

Republican candidates

Kevin Raye

  • The National Republican Congressional Committee added Kevin Raye (R) to their "On the Radar" list in November 2013. According to the NRCC, candidates that make this list receive "...the tools they need to run successful, winning campaigns against their Democratic opponents."[39][40]

Bruce Poliquin

  • The National Republican Congressional Committee added Bruce Poliquin (R) to their "On the Radar" list in November 2013. According to the NRCC, candidates that make this list receive "...the tools they need to run successful, winning campaigns against their Democratic opponents."[41][42]
  • At the end of September 2013, FreedomWorks announced its endorsement for Bruce Poliquin.[43][44]
    • Matt Kibbe, President of FreedomWorks, stated in the endorsement, “Bruce Poliquin, a successful businessman and proven conservative leader, is just the kind of man we need in Congress. With an education in economics and more than 30 years in the financial industry, his insights into how to fix a failing economy will be an asset from day one. Poliquin has a track record of putting his common sense fiscal principles to work. As State Treasurer for Maine, he took on the debt-ridden pension system that wasting money and hurting its pensioners and turned it around. He saved the state 1.7 billion dollars and put the system on solid footing. Results matter and Bruce Poliquin is a leader that can deliver, and has delivered. The voters have an easy choice. Bruce Poliquin is the only candidate in this race who will lead the charge and help fix our fiscal house in Washington, D.C.”[44]

Democratic candidates

Troy Jackson

Jackson received endorsements from a number of unions, including:[45]

  • International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers
  • Ironworkers Union
  • International Brotherhood of Teamsters

Labor groups donated $30,000, or approximately a tenth of the total raised, to his campaign prior to the primary.[45]

Emily Cain

  • On October 9, 2013, EMILY'S List announced its support for state Senator Emily Cain.[48]
    • “Emily has defended women’s access to healthcare, fought to increase opportunities in education, and spearheaded ethics reforms in Augusta, and the EMILY’s List community — now more than two million members strong — is thrilled to help her become the first Democratic woman elected to Maine’s 2nd Congressional District,” EMILY’s List President Stephanie Schriock said in a news release.[48]

Polls

Republican primary

Republican primary
Poll Kevin Raye Bruce PoliquinRichard RosenBlaine RichardsonMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Opinion Strategies
November 4-5, 2013
42%18%5%3%+/-5.57310
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Democratic primary
Poll Emily Cain Troy JacksonUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Polling
June 2-3, 2014
60%25%15%+/-3.4800
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


General election

Potential general election match-up
Poll Kevin Raye Emily CainMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Opinion Strategies
November 4-5, 2013
45%31%+/-4.9400
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Potential general election match-up
Poll Kevin Raye Troy JacksonMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Opinion Strategies
November 4-5, 2013
45%30%+/-4.9400
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Potential general election match-up
Poll Bruce Poliquin Troy JacksonMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Opinion Strategies
November 4-5, 2013
33%38%+/-4.9400
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.



Potential general election match-up
Poll Bruce Poliquin Emily CainMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Opinion Strategies
November 4-5, 2013
34%37%+/-4.9400
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Campaign contributions

Five Maine congressional candidates raised more than $400,000 combined from July 2013 through September 2013.[49]

In quarterly finance reports filed with the Federal Election Commission in October 2013, Democratic state Sen. Emily Cain reported raising more than $75,000 for the quarter, while fellow Democratic state Sen. Troy Jackson raised nearly $72,000. Alden Smith had not filed by October 22, 2013.[49] On January 22, 2014, Cain's campaign released that she had nearly $300,000 in her campaign war chest.[50]

On the Republican side, former state Sen. Kevin Raye raised $90,000, and former Navy officer Blaine Richardson raised a little over $1,000. Former state treasurer Bruce Poliquin said he would file a report on October 22, 2013, showing he raised $221,000.[49]

Kevin Raye

Kevin Raye (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[51]April 15, 20123$0.00$0.00$(0.00)$0.00
July Quarterly[52]July 15, 2013$0.00$0.00$(0.00)$0.00
October Quarterly[53]October 15, 2013$0.00$90,025.00$(4,675.39)$85,349.61
Year End[54]January 31, 2014$86,139$102,604$(33,618)$155,124
April Quarterly[55]April 15, 2014$155,124$82,184$(35,002)$202,306
Running totals
$274,813$(73,295.39)

Raye reported on January 31, 2014, that he raised $100,000 from October through December 2013.[56]

Bruce Poliquin

Bruce Poliquin (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[57]April 15, 2013$1,378.23$0.00$(196.97)$1,181.26
July Quarterly[58]July 15, 2013$1,181.26$0.00$(0.00)$1,181.26
October Quarterly[59]October 15, 2013$0.00$223,123.12$(1,806.86)$221,316.26
Year End[60]January 31, 2014$221,316$147,806$(69,006)$300,116
April Quarterly[61]April 15, 2014$300,116$121,780$(80,996)$340,900
Running totals
$492,709.12$(152,005.83)

As of January 2013, Poliquin raised $370,000 and had $300,000 on hand, with $100,000 of that from Poliquin's personal money.[56]

Blaine Richardson

Blaine Richardson (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[62]April 15, 2013$0.00$1,150.00$(1,150.00)$0.00
July Quarterly[63]July 15, 2013$0.00$0.00$(0.00)$0.00
October Quarterly[64]October 18, 2013$0.00$1,962.48$(1,206.70)$755.78
Year End[65]January 31, 2014$755$1,101$(1,397)$459
Running totals
$4,213.48$(3,753.7)

Troy Jackson

Troy Jackson (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
October Quarterly[66]October 15, 2013$0.00$71,558.00$(26,135.85)$45,422.15
Year-End[67]January 31, 2014$45,422$66,399$(62,112)$49,708
April Quarterly[68]April 15, 2014$49,708$103,084$(81,893)$70,899
Running totals
$241,041$(170,140.85)

Alden Smith

Alden Smith (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
July Quarterly[69]July 15, 2013$0.00$10,120.00$(7,739.13)$2,380.87
October Quarterly[70]October 15, 2013$8,321.00$8,054.53$(8,054.87)$8,320.66
Year-End[71]January 31, 2014$8,320$63,518$(12,811)$50,727
Running totals
$81,692.53$(28,605)

Emily Cain

Emily Cain (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
July Quarterly[72]July 15, 2013$0.00$67,650.00$(3,275.00)$64,375.00
October Quarterly[73]October 15, 2013$64,375.00$75,561.18$(42,928.02)$97,008.16
Year-End[74]January 31, 2014$97,008$157,971$(85,729)$169,249
April Quarterly[75]April 15, 2014$169,249$191,219$(142,397)$218,071
July Quarterly[76]July 15, 2014$144,823$265,239$(166,854)$243,211
Running totals
$757,640.18$(441,183.02)

District history

Candidate ballot accecss
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Find detailed information on ballot access requirements in all 50 states and Washington D.C.

2012

On November 6, 2012, Mike Michaud (R) won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Kevin Raye in the general election.

U.S. House, Maine District 2 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMike Michaud Incumbent 55.7% 191,456
     Republican Kevin Raye 40% 137,542
     N/A Blank Votes 4.3% 14,910
Total Votes 343,908
Source: Maine Secretary of State "Tabulations for Elections held in 2012"

2010

On November 2, 2010, Mike Michaud won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Jason Levesque (R) in the general election.[77]

U.S. House, Maine District 2 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMike Michaud incumbent 55.1% 147,042
     Republican Jason J. Levesque 44.9% 119,669
Total Votes 266,711

See also

External links

References

  1. Cook Political Report, "2014 HOUSE RACE RATINGS FOR June 26, 2014," accessed August 7, 2014
  2. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 House Races," accessed August 7, 2014
  3. Fairvote, "FairVote Releases Projections for the 2014 Congressional Elections," accessed August 7, 2014
  4. The Washington Post blogs, "Rep. Mike Michaud steps into Maine governors race," accessed June 13, 2013
  5. Ballot Access, "Independent for U.S. House Qualifies in Maine, for First Time Since 2006," accessed June 3, 2014
  6. National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
  7. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  8. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013, through January 3, 2014, researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  9. Maine Secretary of State Website, "State of Maine Voter Guide," accessed January 3, 2014
  10. Maine Redistricting Map "Map" accessed July 24, 2012
  11. Bangor Daily News, "Sangerville veteran files paperwork to run for Congress as Democrat in Maine’s 2nd District," accessed August 19, 2013
  12. Online Sentinel, "Poliquin will seek to follow Michaud," accessed August 27, 2013
  13. Bangor Daily News, "With Michaud out of running, Raye announces possible bid for Congress," accessed August 19, 2013
  14. KJ Online, "Raye joining Republican fray for Michaud's seat," accessed September 2, 2013
  15. Morning Sentinel, "Raye joining Republican fray for Michaud's seat, His legislative experience and fundraising ability make him a top contender, despite two prior losses in that district," accessed September 2, 2013
  16. Bangor Daily News, "Cain’s in, Fredette’s out of 2014 2nd District congressional race," accessed June 24, 2013
  17. Bangor Daily News, "Aroostook County’s Sen. Troy Jackson announces run for congressional seat," accessed August 19, 2013
  18. Press Herald, "Blaine Richardson to run in Maine's 2nd District as independent," accessed January 21, 2014
  19. Bangor Daily News, "Republican Blaine Richardson makes second run for Congress official; raised no money in most recent reporting period," accessed August 19, 2013
  20. WABI, "Independent Candidate On 2nd District Ballot," accessed June 3, 2014
  21. Press Herald, "Joseph Baldacci says he won’t run for Congress," accessed January 2, 2013
  22. Kennebec Journal, "Election 2014: 2nd District campaign takes shape," accessed December 2, 2013
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  32. League of Conservation Voters, "Mailer," accessed May 13, 2014
  33. Clerk of the U.S. House, "Final vote results for Roll Call 504," accessed October 31, 2013
  34. Buzzfeed, "Government Shutdown: How We Got Here," accessed October 1, 2013
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  36. The Washington Post, "Reid, McConnell propose bipartisan Senate bill to end shutdown, extend borrowing," accessed October 16, 2013
  37. U.S. House, "Final vote results for Roll Call 550," accessed October 31, 2013
  38. Maine Public Broadcasting Network, "Kevin Raye Earns NRA Endorsement," accessed June 2, 2014
  39. Roll Call, "House Republicans Put 36 Recruits ‘On the Radar’" accessed November 21, 2013
  40. NRCC Young Guns, "List," accessed March 20, 2014
  41. Roll Call, "House Republicans Put 36 Recruits ‘On the Radar’" accessed November 21, 2013
  42. NRCC Young Guns, "List," accessed March 20, 2014
  43. Bruce Poloquin for Congress Facebook Page, "Photos," accessed October 1, 2013
  44. 44.0 44.1 As Maine Goes, "FreedomWorks Endorses Poliquin," accessed October 1, 2013
  45. 45.0 45.1 45.2 45.3 Open Secrets, "In Maine Race, A Tale of Two Democratic Parties," accessed June 10, 2014
  46. LCV.org, "LCV Action Fund Endorses Emily Cain," accessed March 19, 2014
  47. Roll Call, "League of Conservation Voters Endorses in Maine Primary," accessed March 19, 2014
  48. 48.0 48.1 Roll Call, "EMILY’s List Backs Two More House Candidates," accessed October 10, 2013
  49. 49.0 49.1 49.2 WCSH News 6, "Five candidates in Maine's 2nd CD raise $400,000+," accessed October 28, 2013
  50. KJ Online, "Emily Cain touts $300K in Democratic bid for Congress," accessed January 24, 2014
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  56. 56.0 56.1 KJ Online, "Raye reports nearly $200K in 2nd District Republican race," accessed January 31, 2014
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  77. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013