Difference between revisions of "Maine Gubernatorial election, 2014"

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{{megovtoc14}}{{tnr}}The '''Maine gubernatorial election''' will take place on [[State executive official elections, 2014|November 4, 2014]]. Incumbent [[Paul LePage]] (R) is running for re-election. The winner of the election will serve a 4-year term in office.
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{{Meelecbanner14}} {{megovtoc14}}{{tnr}}The '''Maine gubernatorial election''' {{2014willtake}} place on [[State executive official elections, 2014|November 4, 2014]]. Incumbent [[Paul LePage]] (R) {{2014is}} running for re-election. The winner of the election will serve a four-year term in office.
  
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The gubernatorial race {{2014is}} not the only race on the November ballot that could shift the balance of power in Maine. The [[Maine State Senate elections, 2014|Maine State Senate]] has been identified by Ballotpedia as one of the top 20 legislative chambers to watch in 2014. Learn more about the chamber's most competitive races on the [[State legislative battleground chambers, 2014#Maine|battleground chambers page]].
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==Polls==
 
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==Campaign media==
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===Eliot Cutler===
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{{youtube|title=NHDXr_k0Gis|size=300|caption=Eliot Cutler ad: Jobs & the Economy}}
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{{youtube|title=SE5Hznn9AFw|size=300|caption=Eliot Cutler ad: Wait for Debates}}
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===Mike Michaud===
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{{youtube|title=8zTeQ28Yi7g|size=300|caption=Mike Michaud ad: Millworker}}
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==Key deadlines==
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{{MEKeyDates2014SEO}}
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==Ballotpedia reports==
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To learn more about developments in this race, check out the following news articles from Ballotpedia:
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==Recent news==
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This section displays the most recent stories in a Google news search for the term "'''Maine + governor + elections'''"
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:''All stories may not be relevant to this page due to the nature of the search engine.''
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{{RSS|feed=http://news.google.com/news?hl=en&gl=us&q=Maine+governor+elections&um=1&ie=UTF-8&output=rss|template=slpfeed|max=10|title=Maine Gubernatorial Elections News Feed}}
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* [[Governor of Maine]]
 
* [[Governor of Maine]]
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Latest revision as of 13:45, 27 August 2014



StateExecLogo.png

Maine Gubernatorial Election

Primary Date
June 10, 2014

General Election Date:
November 4, 2014

Incumbent prior to election:
Paul LePage Republican Party
PaulLePage.jpg

Maine State Executive Elections
Governor

Battleground Races
Maine State Senate

Flag of Maine.png
The Maine gubernatorial election will take place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Paul LePage (R) is running for re-election. The winner of the election will serve a four-year term in office.

Maine is one of 12 states to use a strictly closed primary process, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.[1][2][3]

The gubernatorial race is not the only race on the November ballot that could shift the balance of power in Maine. The Maine State Senate has been identified by Ballotpedia as one of the top 20 legislative chambers to watch in 2014. Learn more about the chamber's most competitive races on the battleground chambers page.

Candidates

General election

Republican Party Paul LePage - Incumbent[4][5]
Democratic Party Mike Michaud - U.S. House Rep.[6][7]
Independent Eliot Cutler - Former congressional aide and 2010 Independent candidate for governor[5][8][9]
Independent Lee Schultheis - Retired finance executive[10]

Failed to qualify

Independent Adam Eldridge - Project Engineer[11]
Independent David Slagger, Maine Green Independent Party - Ex-Maliseet Tribal Rep. to the state legislature and 2012 state house candidate[12]


Race background

Paul LePage is running for a second term as governor in 2014.[13][6] The often divisive Republican is widely considered one of the most vulnerable gubernatorial incumbents facing re-election this year. Sources ranging from Governing, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball, The Washington Post and Daily Kos have rated the 2014 Maine governor's race as a tossup.[14][15][16][17] In June 2013, after Democratic U.S. Rep. Mike Michaud launched his bid for the office, LePage briefly indicated interest in running for Michaud's seat in the U.S. House in 2014 as a way to avoid the risk of such a formidable challenge.[18][6] Though his threat of a congressional run amounted to nothing, LePage proved he is not impervious to the pessimism surrounding his re-election campaign.

On November 4, 2013, after establishing himself as the race's front-runner, Michaud disclosed in an op-ed column submitted to three of the state’s major news outlets that he is gay.[19] Michaud emphasized that his sexuality is irrelevant to his ability to perform as governor, if elected. He said he came out in response to "whisper campaigns" instigated by opponents in order to cast suspicion about his personal life.[20] The revelation puts Michaud in the running to become the first openly gay man or woman to be elected governor in the nation's history.

Campaign finance decision in district court

An August 22 decision by U.S. District Court judge D. Brock Hornby regarding campaign finance limits in Maine could lead to more money in the gubernatorial race. Hornby ruled that a group of four donors to the campaign of independent candidate Eliot Cutler could go beyond a $1,500 per person limit on general election contributions for unaffiliated candidates. Democratic and Republican candidates in Maine enjoy a higher contribution limit because they can max out the individual donation limit in the primary and general election reporting periods. Both major-party candidates did not face primary challenges this year, though the individual limit reset after the statewide primary on June 10.[21]

Attorneys representing the Maine Commission on Governmental Ethics and Election Practices defended the contribution limits, citing their ability to reduce corrupt practices. The state's attorneys also argued that supporters can use PACs to support their preferred candidates. Hornby dismissed these arguments, noting that the current limitation treats contributors differently based on their political leanings. The decision left open the question of whether all donors to Cutler could contribute $3,000 ahead of the general election, or if the ruling focused on the four plaintiffs. The donors who brought the original lawsuit will also pursue further action to enshrine Hornby's decision into state law.[21]


Polls

2014 Maine gubernatorial election - Three-way race
Poll Mike Michaud (D) Paul LePage* (R)Eliot Cutler (I)Undecided or refusedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research/National Education Association
(July 11-16, 2013)
40%31%26%3%+/-4.9400
Public Policy Polling
(August 23-25, 2013)
39%35%18%8%+/-3.2953
Maine People's Resource Center
(September 8-10, 2013)
40%34%16.8%9.1%+/-3.84652
Public Policy Poll
(November 8-11, 2013)
38%36%15%10%+/-3.2964
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research
(January 13-23, 2014)
45%32%18%5%+/--400
Public Policy Polling
(April 1-2, 2014)
44%37%14%5%+/--583
The Pan Atlantic SMS Group
(March 31- April 5, 2014)
37.3%38.6%20.3%3.7%+/-4.9400
Rasmussen Reports
(April 23-25, 2014)
40%40%14%6%+/-3.0830
Public Policy Polling
(May 5-6, 2014)
43%39%15%3%+/--754
Maine People's Resource Center
(July 26-28, 2014)
42.6%41.4%12.6%3.4%+/-3.47796
AVERAGES 40.89% 36.4% 16.97% 5.62% +/-1.96 673.2
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Note: An asterisk (*) is used to denote incumbent status

2014 Maine gubernatorial election - Two-way race
Poll Mike Michaud (D) Paul LePage* (R)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research/National Education Association
(July 11-16, 2013)
61%34%5%+/-4.9400
Public Policy Polling
(August 23-25, 2013)
54%39%7%+/-3.2953
Maine People's Resource Center
(September 8-10, 2013)
55.9%36.1%7.9%+/-3.84652
Public Policy Poll
(November 8-11, 2013)
53%39%8%+/-3.2964
Press Herald
(June 12-18, 2014)
51%44%4%+/-3.9625
AVERAGES 54.98% 38.42% 6.38% +/-3.81 718.8
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Note: An asterisk (*) is used to denote incumbent status

Hypothetical Match-up Poll
Poll Mike Michaud (D) Paul LePage* (R)Eliot Cutler (I)Margin of ErrorSample Size
Press Herald
(June 12-18, 2014)
40%36%15%+/-3.9625
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Note: An asterisk (*) is used to denote incumbent status

Hypothetical Match-up Poll
Poll Eliot Cutler (I) Paul LePage* (R)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Press Herald
(June 12-18, 2014)
50%38%9%+/-3.9625
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Note: An asterisk (*) is used to denote incumbent status


Campaign media

Eliot Cutler


Eliot Cutler ad: Jobs & the Economy

Eliot Cutler ad: Wait for Debates

Mike Michaud


Mike Michaud ad: Millworker

Key deadlines

Deadline Event
June 10, 2014 Primary election
November 4, 2014 General election

Ballotpedia reports

To learn more about developments in this race, check out the following news articles from Ballotpedia:


Recent news

This section displays the most recent stories in a Google news search for the term "Maine + governor + elections"

All stories may not be relevant to this page due to the nature of the search engine.

Maine Gubernatorial Elections News Feed

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See also

External links

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Suggest a link

Campaign websites

References

  1. National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
  2. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  3. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013 through January 3, 2014 researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  4. LePage for Governor 2014 Official Campaign Website, "Homepage," accessed September 9, 2013
  5. 5.0 5.1 Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2013-2014 Gubernatorial Races," March 4, 2013
  6. 6.0 6.1 6.2 The Washington Post blogs, "Rep. Mike Michaud steps into Maine governors race," June 13, 2013
  7. Michaud 2014 For Governor Official Campaign Website, "Homepage," accessed June 26, 2013
  8. Eliot Cutler for Maine 2014 Official Campaign Website, "Homepage," accessed September 9, 2013
  9. Bangor Daily News, "Independent Eliot Cutler announces run for governor in Bangor," September 24, 2013
  10. GBNR 2014 Official Campaign Website of Lee Schulteis, "Homepage," accessed September 9, 2013
  11. Kennebec Journal, "Michaud to formalize gubernatorial bid Thursday in Lewiston," August 14, 2013
  12. David Slagger for Governor 2014 Official Campaign Website, "Homepage," accessed September 9, 2013
  13. Maine Biz, "LePage eyes long-term goals, says 2014 run likely," May 8, 2013
  14. University of Virginia Center for Politics: Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2013-2014 Gubernatorial Races," April 29, 2013
  15. The Washington Post, "The Fix's top gubernatorial races," September 27, 2013
  16. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections gubernatorial race ratings: Initial ratings for 2013-14," October 6, 2013
  17. Governing Politics, "2013-2014 Governor's Races: Who's Vulnerable?," December 12, 2012
  18. The Morning Sentinel, "LePage: Sorry if you were offended," June 24, 2013
  19. Portland Press Herald, "Rep. Michaud’s op-ed column: Yes, I’m gay. Now let’s get our state back on track," November 4, 2013
  20. Portland Press Herald, "Maine governor candidate Mike Michaud: I’m gay ," accessed November 4, 2013
  21. 21.0 21.1 The Bellingham Herald, "Judge: Cutler donors can increase contributions," August 22, 2014