Maine Gubernatorial election, 2014

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Maine Gubernatorial Election

Primary Date
June 10, 2014

General Election Date:
November 4, 2014

Incumbent prior to election:
Paul LePage Republican Party
PaulLePage.jpg

Maine State Executive Elections
Governor

Battleground Races
Maine State Senate

Flag of Maine.png
The Maine gubernatorial election will take place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Paul LePage (R) is eligible for re-election. The winner of the election will serve a 4-year term in office.

LePage had said that would likely seek a second term as governor.[1] However in June 2013, LePage surprised even his own political adviser when he announced that he might forgo a 2014 re-election bid in order to run for Rep. Mike Michaud's seat in the U.S. House, which will be opened in 2014 assuming Michaud follows through on his anticipated gubernatorial campaign. LePage said he was exploring the congressional race, "because it can't be any worse in Washington than it is here...Everything's on the table. Retirement, Social Security, running for Congress, maybe going back to Marden's to stock shelves. Who knows? I don't take myself as seriously as all you do."[2]

A report released by Governing in December 2012 named him as one of five governors vulnerable to losing re-election in 2013-2014.[3]

Maine is one of 12 states to use a strictly closed primary process, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.[4][5][6]

Office Incumbent Assumed Office Incumbent running?
Governor Paul LePage
PaulLePage.jpg
2011 Yes[7]

Candidates

Note: The following list of candidates is not official and will continue to be updated until the 2014 candidate filing deadline. Candidates will be added as we come across them prior to the deadline. If you see a name of a candidate who is missing, please email us and we will add that name. As the election draws closer, more information will be added to this page.

General election

Republican Party Paul LePage - Incumbent[8][9]
Democratic Party Mike Michaud - U.S. House Rep.[1][10]
Independent Eliot Cutler - Former congressional aide and 2010 Independent candidate for governor[9][11][12]
Independent Lee Schultheis - Retired finance executive[13]

Failed to qualify

Independent Adam Eldridge - Project Engineer[14]
Independent David Slagger, Maine Green Independent Party - Ex-Maliseet Tribal Rep. to the state legislature and 2012 state house candidate[15]

Polls

Hypothetical match-up polls

2014 Maine gubernatorial election - Three-way race
Poll Mike Michaud (D) Paul LePage* (R)Eliot Cutler (I)Undecided or refusedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research/National Education Association
(July 11-16, 2013)
40%31%26%3%+/-4.9400
Public Policy Polling
(August 23-25, 2013)
39%35%18%8%+/-3.2953
Maine People's Resource Center
(September 8-10, 2013)
40%34%16.8%9.1%+/-3.84652
Public Policy Poll
(November 8-11, 2013)
38%36%15%10%+/-3.2964
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research
(January 13-23, 2014)
45%32%18%5%+/--400
Public Policy Polling
(April 1-2, 2014)
44%37%14%5%+/--583
The Pan Atlantic SMS Group
(March 31- April 5, 2014)
37.3%38.6%20.3%3.7%+/-4.9400
Rasmussen Reports
(April 23-25, 2014)
40%40%14%6%+/-3.0830
Public Policy Polling
(May 5-6, 2014)
43%39%15%3%+/--754
Maine People's Resource Center
(July 26-28, 2014)
42.6%41.4%12.6%3.4%+/-3.47796
AVERAGES 40.89% 36.4% 16.97% 5.62% +/-1.96 673.2
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Note: An asterisk (*) is used to denote incumbent status

2014 Maine gubernatorial election - Two-way race
Poll Mike Michaud (D) Paul LePage* (R)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research/National Education Association
(July 11-16, 2013)
61%34%5%+/-4.9400
Public Policy Polling
(August 23-25, 2013)
54%39%7%+/-3.2953
Maine People's Resource Center
(September 8-10, 2013)
55.9%36.1%7.9%+/-3.84652
Public Policy Poll
(November 8-11, 2013)
53%39%8%+/-3.2964
Press Herald
(June 12-18, 2014)
51%44%4%+/-3.9625
AVERAGES 54.98% 38.42% 6.38% +/-3.81 718.8
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Note: An asterisk (*) is used to denote incumbent status

Hypothetical Match-up Poll
Poll Mike Michaud (D) Paul LePage* (R)Eliot Cutler (I)Margin of ErrorSample Size
Press Herald
(June 12-18, 2014)
40%36%15%+/-3.9625
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Note: An asterisk (*) is used to denote incumbent status

Hypothetical Match-up Poll
Poll Eliot Cutler (I) Paul LePage* (R)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Press Herald
(June 12-18, 2014)
50%38%9%+/-3.9625
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Note: An asterisk (*) is used to denote incumbent status

See also

External links

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Suggest a link

Campaign websites

References

  1. 1.0 1.1 The Washington Post blogs, "Rep. Mike Michaud steps into Maine governors race," June 13, 2013
  2. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named congbid14
  3. Governing Politics, "2013-2014 Governor's Races: Who's Vulnerable?," December 11, 2012
  4. National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
  5. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  6. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013 through January 3, 2014 researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  7. Paul LePage for Governor 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed October 3, 2013
  8. LePage for Governor 2014 Official Campaign Website, "Homepage," accessed September 9, 2013
  9. 9.0 9.1 Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2013-2014 Gubernatorial Races," March 4, 2013
  10. Michaud 2014 For Governor Official Campaign Website, "Homepage," accessed June 26, 2013
  11. Eliot Cutler for Maine 2014 Official Campaign Website, "Homepage," accessed September 9, 2013
  12. Bangor Daily News, "Independent Eliot Cutler announces run for governor in Bangor," September 24, 2013
  13. GBNR 2014 Official Campaign Website of Lee Schulteis, "Homepage," accessed September 9, 2013
  14. Kennebec Journal, "Michaud to formalize gubernatorial bid Thursday in Lewiston," August 14, 2013
  15. David Slagger for Governor 2014 Official Campaign Website, "Homepage," accessed September 9, 2013