Maryland's 6th Congressional District elections, 2012

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Maryland's 6th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
April 3, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
John Delaney Democratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Roscoe Bartlett Republican Party
Roscoe Bartlett.jpg

Maryland U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8

2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Maryland.png
The 6th congressional district of Maryland held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.

Democratic candidate John Delaney won election on November 6, 2012, upsetting Republican incumbent Roscoe Bartlett with 59% of the vote. This switched partisan control of the district.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
January 11, 2012
April 3, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Maryland has a closed primary system, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by March 13. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 16.[2]

See also: Maryland elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Roscoe Bartlett (R), who was first elected in 1992. He was unseated by Democratic challenger, John Delaney on November 6, 2012.

This was the first election using new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Maryland's 6th congressional district encompassed Allegany, Garrett, and Washington counties, as well as parts of Frederick and Montgomery counties.[3]

Candidates

Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals were added after official election results had been certified. For more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan, click here. If you find any errors in this list, please email: Geoff Pallay.

General election candidates

Democratic Party John DelaneyGreen check mark transparent.png
Republican Party Roscoe Bartlett
Libertarian Party Nickolaus Mueller


April 3, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic

Republican Party Republican

Independent Independent candidate

Note: Alexander Mooney[12], Christopher Shank[13], and Bud Otis[14] had indicated they would run, but eventually withdrew. Mark Shriver indicated interest in running, but never officially filed.

Election Results

General Election

U.S. House, Maryland District 6 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Delaney 58.8% 181,921
     Republican Roscoe Bartlett Incumbent 37.9% 117,313
     Libertarian Nickolaus Mueller 3.2% 9,916
     N/A Other Write-ins 0.1% 399
Total Votes 309,549
Source: Maryland State Board of Elections "Representative in Congress"

Democratic Primary

U.S. House of Representatives-Maryland District 6 Democratic Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Delaney 54.2% 20,414
Charles Bailey 4.2% 1,572
Rob Garagiola 29.1% 10,981
Ron Little 3% 1,131
Milad Pooran 9.5% 3,590
Total Votes 37,688

Republican Primary

U.S. House of Representatives-Maryland District 6 Republican Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngRoscoe G. Bartlett Incumbent 43.6% 17,600
Kathy Afzali 10.2% 4,115
David R. Brinkley 19.8% 7,987
Robert Coblentz 2.4% 970
Robin Ficker 7.1% 2,854
Peter James 2.3% 933
Joseph T. Krysztoforski 7.6% 3,073
Brandon Orman Rippeon 7% 2,843
Total Votes 40,375

Race background

Maryland's 6th was considered to be Leaning Democratic according to the New York Times race ratings and Likely Democratic according to the Cook Political Report race ratings. Republican incumbent Roscoe Bartlett was challenged by John Delaney, in a district that has been redrawn to be far more Democratic. Delaney proved himself to be an able fundraiser as well.[15][16]

On the Democratic ticket, Milad Pooran was endorsed by former Vermont Governor Howard Dean.[17] John Delaney received endorsements from former President Bill Clinton, The Washington Post, former Montgomery County executive Douglas Duncan, and representative from the 4th district Donna Edwards.[17][9]

Robert Garagiola was endorsed by the SEIU on December 21, 2011.[18] The organizations Greater Greater Washington[19] The League of Conservation Voters, the Sierra Club, MoveOn.org, and numerous labor unions also endorsed Garagiola.[20] Maryland Lieutenant Governor Anthony Brown[21] and Senate President Thomas Mike Miller, Jr.[9] have also endorsed Garagiola for the 6th district seat.

On the Republican ticket, David Brinkley was endorsed by state Senator Chris Shank and Frederick City Mayor Randy McClement.[22]

Maryland's 6th District was included in the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's "Red to Blue List," which identifies districts that the organization has specifically targeted to flip from Republican to Democratic control.[23]

Incumbent Roscoe Bartlett was a part of the National Republican Congressional Committee's Patriot Program, a program to help House Republicans stay on offense and increase their majority in 2012.[24]

Campaign Financing

2012

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2012 elections season. Below are Delaney's reports.

John Delaney (2012)[25] Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[26]March 31, 2012$410,997.78$443,838.38$(538,285.54)$316,550.62
July Quarterly[27]June 30, 2012$316,550.62$452,278.45$(541,010.72)$227,818.35
October Quarterly[28]October 15, 2012$227,818.35$518,699.59$(497,142.82)$249,375.11
Pre-General[29]October 25, 2012$249,375.11$251,241.22$(328,029.93)$172,586.40
Running totals
$1,666,057.64$(1,904,469.01)

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2012 elections season. Below are Bartlett's reports.

Roscoe Bartlett (2012)[30] Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[31]April 13, 2012$317,221.81$47,532.00$(98,064.21)$266,689.60
July Quarterly[32]July 13, 2012$282,584.01$376,714.54$(111,389.25)$547,909.30
October Quarterly[33]October 15, 2012$547,909.30$219,345.66$(546,489.86)$220,765.10
Pre-General[34]October 25, 2012$220,765.10$39,801.75$(150,462.53)$110,104.32
Running totals
$683,393.95$(906,405.85)

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Maryland

The new maps after the 2011 redistricting were expected to keep congressional Democrats safe in six of the state’s eight districts and give the party its best chance in two decades to unseat Republican Roscoe Bartlett in the 6th district.[35]

The redrawn 6th district included Allegany, Garrett, and Washington counties, as well as parts of Frederick and Montgomery counties.[36][37]

Maryland Republican Chairman Alexander Mooney said that the proposed new district would go from safe Republican to Democratic-leaning.[38] Mooney also stated, "Roscoe's district has the biggest swing from Republican to Democrat in the gerrymandering process in the entire country."[38]

The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[39][40]

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Maryland's 6th District became more Democratic because of redistricting.[41]

  • 2012: 54D / 46R
  • 2010: 37D / 63R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Maryland's 6th congressional district has a PVI of D+2, which is the 175th most Democratic district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by Barack Obama (D), 57-43 percent over John McCain (R). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 50-50 (rounded the totals were even but Bush garnered more votes) percent over John Kerry (D).[42]

Registration statistics

As of October 24, 2012, District 6 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the Maryland State Board of Elections:

Maryland Congressional District 6[43]
Congressional District District Total Democrats Republicans Other & Unaffiliated Advantage Party Advantage Change in Advantage from 2010
District 6 394,040 183,847 142,029 68,164 Democratic 29.44% 59.69%
"Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only.

District history

2010

On November 2, 2010, Bartlett won election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Andrew Duck (D), Dan Massey (L), and Michael Reed (C) in the general election.[44]

U.S. House of Representatives, Maryland's 6th Congressional District, General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRoscoe Bartlett Incumbent 61.4% 148,820
     Democratic Andrew Duck 33.2% 80,455
     Libertarian Dan Massey 2.8% 6,816
     Independent Michael Reed 2.4% 5,907
     Independent Write-In 0.1% 191
     Independent 0% 0
Total Votes 242,189

See also

External links

References

  1. Politico "2012 Election Map, Maryland"
  2. Maryland State Board of Elections " 2012 Presidential Election Calendar," Accessed July 25, 2012
  3. Maryland Redistricting Map "Map" Accessed September 25, 2012
  4. 4.0 4.1 The Baltimore Sun "6th District candidates spar over jobs" accessed January 6, 2012
  5. Gazette.net "Some Democrats concerned that congressional pick is a done deal" accessed January 6, 2012
  6. The Washington Post "John Delaney, David Brinkley join field gunning for Bartlett’s congressional seat" accessed January 6, 2012
  7. 7.0 7.1 Maryland State Board of Elections "Primary Election Results 2012" accessed April 3, 2012
  8. 8.0 8.1 8.2 8.3 Maryland State Board of Elections "Candidates" accessed January 6, 2012
  9. 9.0 9.1 9.2 Roll Call "Duncan, Shriver Among Names Floated in Maryland" accessed January 6, 2012
  10. Roll Call "Roscoe Bartlett’s Chief of Staff Resigns After Reports of Run" accessed January 6, 2012
  11. 11.0 11.1 11.2 Herald Mail "Vice president of Republican Club enters 6th Congressional District race" accessed January 6, 2012
  12. Roll Call "Alex Mooney Skips Maryland Race, Signals Roscoe Bartlett Definitely Running" accessed February 16, 2012
  13. Brinkley for Congress "David Brinkley Announces Candidacy for the 6th Congressional District Press Release" accessed February 15, 2012
  14. The Washington Post "On Md. ballot, Bartlett faces tough race, Edwards escapes challenge from Ivey" accessed February 16, 2012
  15. New York Times "House Race Ratings," Accessed October 25, 2012
  16. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS FOR OCTOBER 11, 2012," Accessed October 25, 2012
  17. 17.0 17.1 Baltimore Sun "6th congressional district election guide 2012" Accessed March 25, 2012
  18. Maryland Juice "PHOTO: SEIU Endorses State Senator Rob Garagiola in MD 6th Congressional District" Accessed March 12, 2012
  19. Greater Greater Washington "For Maryland 6th Congressional district: Rob Garagiola" Accessed March 23, 2012
  20. Rob Garagiola for Congress "Endorsements" Accessed March 23, 2012
  21. Washington Post "Lt. Gov. Brown endorses Garagiola in 6th District" Accessed March 25, 2012
  22. Washington Post "John Delaney, David Brinkley join field gunning for Bartlett’s congressional seat" Accessed March 25, 2012
  23. DCCC, "Red to Blue 2012"
  24. NRCC "Patriot Program 2012"
  25. Federal Election Commission "John Delaney Summary Report," Accessed September 28, 2012
  26. http://images.nictusa.com/pdf/748/12970951748/12970951748.pdf#navpanes=0 Federal Election Commission "April Quarterly," Accessed September 28, 2012]
  27. Federal Election Commission "July Quarterly," Accessed September 28, 2012
  28. Federal Election Commission "October Quarterly," Accessed November 2, 2012
  29. Federal Election Commission "Pre-General," Accessed November 2, 2012
  30. Federal Election Commission "Roscoe Bartlett Summary Report," Accessed September 28, 2012
  31. http://images.nictusa.com/pdf/730/12952267730/12952267730.pdf#navpanes=0 Federal Election Commission "April Quarterly" Accessed September 28, 2012]
  32. Federal Election Commission "July Quarterly" Accessed September 28, 2012
  33. Federal Election Commission "October Quarterly," Accessed November 2, 2012
  34. Federal Election Commission "Pre-General," Accessed November 2, 2012
  35. The Washington Times "Redistricting leaves Harris sitting atop GOP stronghold" Accessed February 16, 2012
  36. Maryland Department of Planning "Maryland 2011 Congressional Districts" Accessed February 29, 2012
  37. Baltimore Sun "Outsider Bartlett faces political challenge of career" Accessed March 12, 2012
  38. 38.0 38.1 Frederick News Post "Bartlett prepares to defend his seat" Accessed March 12, 2012
  39. Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer "Maryland's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"
  40. Labels & Lists "VoterMapping software voter counts"
  41. "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in Maryland," September 2012
  42. Cook Political Report "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" Accessed October 2012
  43. Maryland State Board of Elections, "Congressional Voter Registration Statistics," May 18, 2012
  44. U.S. Congress House Clerk "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010" Accessed November 29, 2011