Maryland Gubernatorial and Lieutenant Gubernatorial election, 2014

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Maryland Gubernatorial and Lieutenant Gubernatorial Election

Primary Date:
June 24, 2014

General Election Date:
November 4, 2014

November 4 Election Winners:
Larry Hogan Republican Party
Boyd Rutherford Republican Party
Incumbents prior to election:
Gov. Martin O'Malley Democratic Party
Lt. Gov. Anthony G. Brown Democratic Party
Gov. Martin O'Malley
Lt. Gov. Anthony G. Brown
Maryland State Executive Elections
Top Ballot
Governor Lieutenant Governor
Attorney General
Down Ballot
Controller

Lost trifecta for Democrats
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State executive offices in Maryland
Flag of Maryland.png
The Maryland gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election will be held on November 4, 2014 following a primary on June 24, 2014.

Race background

Democratic nomination

Incumbent Martin O'Malley (D) was prevented by term limits from seeking a third consecutive term in office.

Lieutenant Governor Anthony Brown officially launched his 2014 gubernatorial campaign on May 10, 2013. If he would have won, Brown would have been the first lieutenant governor (since the lieutenant governor's office was created in 1970) and first black candidate to be elected governor of Maryland.[1][2] O'Malley, with whom Brown shared winning tickets in both the 2006 and 2010 elections, supported Brown as his successor.[3] Brown's lieutenant gubernatorial running-mate is Howard County Executive Ken Ulman.[4] Immediately after formalizing their partnership for the 2014 campaign, the Brown-Ulman ticket received the endorsement of U.S. Rep. Elijah Cummings (D-MD). A number of Cumming's congressional colleagues announced their support soon thereafter, as well as influential branches of SEIU, a major labor union.[5][6][7]

On July 17, 2013, another potentially history-making candidate entered the Democratic primary field to give Brown some competition: Maryland House Delegate Heather Mizeur.[8] Mizeur would have been the first female Governor of Maryland, as well as the country's first openly gay governor, if she had won the general election.[9] Current state attorney general Doug Gansler also sought the Democratic nomination for governor in 2014. On Oct. 14, 2013, Gansler selected Prince George County Delegate Jolene Ivey as his lieutenant gubernatorial running-mate. Keeping with the trailblazer theme established earlier by Brown and Mizeur to entice more progressive-leaning voters, the Gansler-Ivey ticket also carried the promise of setting an historical record, statewide and national. After joining Gansler's campaign, Ivey stated, "I am proud to be the first African-American woman to run for lieutenant governor, and when we win, to be the first Democratic African-American woman to be lieutenant governor in our nation's history."[10] Both Gansler and Mizeur lost in the Democratic primary on June 24, 2014.

Republican nomination

The Republican ticket of Larry Hogan and Boyd Rutherford emerged from a field of four potential tickets after the June 24 primary. The winning ticket managed a 14-percent margin of victory over Harford County Executive David Craig and state Delegate Jeannie Haddaway-Riccio. Hogan and Rutherford were both former appointees of former Gov. Robert Ehrlich (R).[11]

Campaign issues

Change Maryland inquiry

Republican candidate Larry Hogan was the subject of a complaint to the Maryland State Board of Elections, related to potential assistance of the candidate by Change Maryland. The political communications group, which was created by Hogan in 2011, had been accused of conducting polls and providing resources during Hogan's exploration of a gubernatorial bid. The complaint was filed by David Craig and Ron George, who were defeated by Hogan in the Republican primary on June 24, 2014. The state board dismissed the complaint in July, determining that Hogan likely received assistance from Change Maryland but the board lacked oversight over candidates prior to official filings.[12]

The Maryland Democratic Party filed a new claim regarding Hogan's relationship with Change Maryland on July 24. This complaint alleged that the poll referenced in the earlier complaint cost $10,000, which represented an illegal in-kind contribution to Hogan. Hogan's campaign spokesman, Adam Dubitsky, countered that the Democratic complaint was an effort to distract from changing political fortunes for the party's candidate, Lt. Governor Anthony Brown.[13]

Super PAC accusations

The Maryland State Board of Elections received a complaint from Hogan on September 4, alleging coordination between Brown's campaign and a political action committee (PAC) called "One State, One Future." Hogan's filing cited a conflict of interest for Brown consultant Colleen Martin-Lauer, who also consulted with the union-funded PAC. The complaint also pointed to Susan Smith-Bauk, a consultant to lieutenant gubernatorial candidate Ken Ulman who also worked with "One State, One Future." Hogan's campaign manager, Steve Crim, argued at the time of filing that both consultants could not avoid coordination between their different employers based on the nature of their work.[14]

The state board issued guidelines in January 2014 that prohibited communication between super PACs, which could collect unlimited funds for the purpose of advocating a political position or candidates, and political campaigns. These guidelines prevent coordination over "advertising, messaging, strategy, polling, research, or allocation of resources." Hogan's complaint claimed that the Martin-Lauer example was a "blatant example of illegal coordination" because of overlapping interests in fundraising for the campaign and the super PAC. State election officials were investigating the complaint as of September 10, 2014.[14]

Campaign finance

Hogan reported three times more cash on hand than Brown in the campaign finance reporting period ending on August 19, 2014. Hogan had $2.4 million in cash on hand, compared to $760,000 for the Brown campaign. The disparity was due to Hogan's commitment to a publicly financed campaign, which meant a single payment of $2.6 million from the state's dedicated campaign finance fund. Hogan could not raise additional money in the campaign, while Brown was capable of raising additional funds by not committing to public financing. Brown reported $1.5 million in contributions from June 9 through August 19.[15]

National figures in the race

As poll results between Brown and Hogan narrowed in October, national political figures toured the state to influence the outcome of the gubernatorial race. President Barack Obama, former President Bill Clinton and former Sen. Hillary Clinton made appearances supporting Brown's campaign. New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie appeared at three campaign events for Hogan through late October.[16]

Outside groups also spent lavishly on ads during the general election campaign. The Democratic Governors Association and the Republican Governors Association invested $1.5 million on TV ads through late October. Michael Bloomberg's Independence USA PAC committed $500,000 to criticize Hogan's endorsement by the National Rifle Association (NRA). [16]


Key dates

Deadline Event
February 25, 2014 Last day to file candidacy for primary election
June 24, 2014 Primary election
November 4, 2014 General election
December 9, 2014 Certification of results[17]
January 5, 2015 Inauguration day for attorney general
January 21, 2015 Inauguration day for other state executive officials

Candidates

General election

Democratic Party Anthony Brown/Ken Ulman[18][4]
Republican Party Larry Hogan/Boyd Rutherford[19] Green check mark transparent.png
Libertarian Party Shawn Quinn/Lorenzo Gaztanaga[20]

Lost in primary

Democratic Party Doug Gansler/Jolene Ivey[21][22]
Democratic Party Ralph Jaffe/Freda Jaffe[19][23]
Democratic Party Heather Mizeur/Delman Coates[24][25][26]
Democratic Party Charles Smith/Clarence Tucker[19]
Democratic Party Cindy Walsh/Mary Elizabeth Wingate-Pennacchia[19]
Republican Party David Craig/Jeannie Haddaway-Riccio[27][28][29]
Republican Party Ron George/Shelley Aloi[30][31][32]
Republican Party Charles Lollar/Ken Timmerman[33]

Disqualified

  • Republican Party Brian Vaeth - Perry Hill former firefighter, solar energy company owner[1]
Republican Party Duane "Shorty" Davis (Lt. Gov)- Vaeth's running mate[34]

Declined

Polls

Potential Democratic primary match-ups

General election
All candidates

General election match-ups
Poll Anthony Brown (D) Larry Hogan (R)Shawn Quinn (L)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
OnMessage Inc.
(August 18-19, 2014)
45%42%4%9%+/-4.38500
Gonzales Research and Associates
(September 16-23, 2014)
47%43%1%9%+/-3.5805
Washington Post/University of Maryland
(October 2-5, 2014)
47%38%4%11%+/-51,005
Gonzales Research & Marketing
(October 20-24, 2014)
46%44%2%8%+/-3.5822
AVERAGES 46.25% 41.75% 2.75% 9.25% +/-4.1 783
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Major-party candidates

General election: Brown v. Hogan
Poll Anthony Brown Larry HoganUndecided/OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
WPA Research
(October 19-20, 2014)
42%41%15%+/-4.4500
New York Times/CBS News/YouGov
(October 16-23, 2014)
51%38%11%+/-51,086
WPA Research
(October 26-27, 2014)
39%44%14%+/-4.4504
AVERAGES 44% 41% 13.33% +/-4.6 696.67
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Primary and hypothetical match-ups

Primary trial heats for 2014 gubernatorial race
Poll Anthony Brown Doug GanslerHeather MizeurUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Brown-Ulman Internal Poll conducted by Garin-Hart-Yang
(September 11-15, 2013)
43%21%5%31%+/-4.0608
Gonzales Research/Marketing Strategies Poll
(October 1-14, 2013)
41%21%5%33%+/--403
Baltimore Sun Poll
(February 8-12, 2014)
35%14%10%40%+/-4.4500
Washington Post Poll
(February 13-16, 2014)
32%15%9%39%+/-3.51,002
The Maryland Poll
(April 10-13, 2014)
27%11%8%54%+/-3.17954
WPA Opinion Research
(May 6-7,2014)
34%20%7%40%+/-4.9400
AVERAGES 35.33% 17% 7.33% 39.5% +/-1.86 644.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
Primary trial heats for 2014 gubernatorial race
Poll Anthony Brown Doug GanslerPeter FranchotKen UlmanNot sureMargin of ErrorSample Size
Garin-Heart-Young Poll
(September 13-14, 2012)
31%18%14%4%33%+/-4.4504
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
Primary trial heats for 2014 gubernatorial race
Poll Anthony Brown Doug GanslerKen UlmanNot sureMargin of ErrorSample Size
Garin-Heart-Young Poll
(September 13-14, 2012)
37%23%5%33%+/-4.4504
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Primary trial heats for 2014 gubernatorial race
Poll Anthony Brown Doug GanslerNot sureMargin of ErrorSample Size
Garin-Heart-Young Poll
(September 13-14, 2012)
41%25%34%+/-4.4504
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Hypothetical Match-up Brown vs. Hogan
Poll Anthony Brown Larry HoganNot sureMargin of ErrorSample Size
WPA Opinion Research
(May 6-7,2014)
42%35%23%+/-4.9400
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Campaign sites & media

Republican PartyRon George

Republican PartyDavid Craig/Jeannie Haddaway-Riccio


Democratic PartyAnthony G. Brown/Ken Ulman

See also

External links

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Suggest a link

References

  1. 1.0 1.1 WBAL Radio, "Brown Kicks Off Bid for Governor Today," May 10, 2013
  2. The Washington Post, "Steele Running Against History," August 7, 2005
  3. Washington Blade, "Exclusive: Mizeur eyeing run for Maryland governor," November 14, 2012
  4. 4.0 4.1 The Washington Post, "New candidates to step forward Monday in Maryland’s race for governor," June 2, 2013
  5. Brown-Ulman 2014 Official campaign website, "News: 'SEIU Maryland-DC State Council Endorses Anthony Brown and Ken Ulman,'" September 30, 2013
  6. The Washington Post, "Mikulski says she's 'ready to get into it' to help elect Anthony Brown as governor," September 22, 2013
  7. The Washington Post, Hoyer to announce support of Brown in Maryland 2014 race for governor, July 17, 2013
  8. The Huffington Post, Heather Mizeur Running For Governor Of Maryland , July 17, 2013
  9. SoMdNews, "Mizeur makes gubernatorial bid official," July 17, 2013
  10. Wbal.com, "Gansler announces runningmate," October 14, 2013
  11. Hogan for Governor, "Meet Boyd," accessed September 8, 2014
  12. The Washington Post, "Md. elections board says group benefited GOP’s Hogan but tosses rivals’ complaint," July 10, 2014
  13. The Washington Post, "Md. Democratic Party files complaint targeting GOP candidate Larry Hogan," July 24, 2014
  14. 14.0 14.1 The Washington Post, "Larry Hogan accuses Brown’s campaign of illegally coordinating with a Super PAC," September 8, 2014
  15. Herald-Mail Media, " Public funding gives Hogan lead in campaign money," August 27, 2014
  16. 16.0 16.1 The Baltimore Sun, "Maryland's governor race sparks national interest," October 27, 2014
  17. Maryland State Board of Elections, "2014 Election Calendar," May 13, 2014
  18. Examiner.com, "Filed for 2014 Maryland governor expands," May 28, 2012
  19. 19.0 19.1 19.2 19.3 Maryland State Board of Elections, 2014 Gubernatorial Primary Election State Candidates List, February 26, 2014
  20. Libertarian Party of Maryland, "2014 Candidates," accessed December 16, 2013
  21. WBAL.com, "Gansler announces runningmate," October 14, 2013
  22. Baltimore News Journal, "Attorney General Doug Gansler kicks off bid for governor," September 23, 2013
  23. Vote for Ralph Jaffe, Home, accessed December 23, 2013
  24. Washington Post, "Del. Heather Mizeur selects the Rev. Delman Coates as running-mate," November 13, 2013
  25. Baltimore Sun, "Mizeur makes smart moves as candidate for governor," November 14, 2013
  26. The Huffington Post, "Heather Mizeur Running For Governor Of Maryland," July 17, 2013
  27. The Washington Post, "Craig touts experience, takes aim at taxes in advance of run for Md. governor," May 31, 2013
  28. David Craig.com, "Main page," accessed May 30, 2012
  29. Southern Maryland Newspapers Online, Craig announces gubernatorial running mate, July 17, 2013
  30. The Capital Gazette, "Maryland GOP Del. Ron George to run for governor," April 30, 2013
  31. Maryland Reporter, "Ron George runs for governor," June 5, 2013
  32. WBAL.com, "Delegate To Run For Governor," June 1, 2013
  33. '"Charles Lollar for Governor 2014 Official Campaign Website, "Homepage," accessed September 9, 2013
  34. WBAL Radio, "Ex-Firefighter & Activist Form First GOP Ticket For Governor," May 7, 2013
  35. Frederick News Post, "Young announces bid or governor," May 27, 2012
  36. Meyer Marks for Maryland Official 2014 Campaign website, "Homepage," accessed July 18, 2013