Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District elections, 2012

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Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
September 6, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Stephen Lynch Democratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Michael Capuano Democratic Party
(Elected to District 7)
Michael Capuano.jpg

Massachusetts U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9

2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Massachusetts.png
The 8th Congressional District of Massachusetts held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.

Stephen Lynch won re-election to the U.S. House of Representatives, representing Massachusetts' 8th, on November 6th, 2012.[1] He had previously served as the representative for the 9th District.

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
June 5, 2012
September 6, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Massachusetts has a most closed primary system, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members. In Massachusetts, however, independent voters may select which party's primary to vote in.

Voter registration: Voters were required to register to vote in the primary by August 17, 2012. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 17, 2012.[2]

See also: Massachusetts elections, 2012

Incumbent: Because Massachusetts lost a seat after the 2010 Census, the state's congressional districts went through significant changes. Prior to the election, the 8th Congressional District was represented by Michael Capuano (D). However, Capuano was drawn into the 7th Congressional district. 9th Congressional district incumbent Stephen Lynch ran in the 8th District. 10th Congressional district incumbent William Keating (D) was also drawn into the 8th District, but he opted to move his residence into the 9th Congressional district, where no other incumbent resided.[3]

This was the first election using new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District was located in the eastern portion of the state and included Norfolk and Plymouth counties.[4]

The 8th Congressional District of Massachusetts, prior to the 2010-2011 redistricting process.

Candidates

Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals will be added when official election results are certified. For more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan, click here. If you find any errors in this list, please email: Geoff Pallay.

General election candidates

Democratic Party Stephen LynchGreen check mark transparent.png
Republican Party Joe Selvaggi

Democratic Party September 6 Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary


Election results

General Election

U.S. House, Massachusetts District 8 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngStephen Lynch Incumbent 71% 263,999
     Republican Joe Selvaggi 22.1% 82,242
     N/A All Others 0.2% 570
     N/A Blank Votes 6.7% 24,883
Total Votes 371,694
Source: Massachusetts Secretary of State "Return of Votes"

Republican Primary

The primary took place on the September 6, 2012.[8]

Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District Republican Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngJoe Selvaggi 59.4% 5,956
Matias Temperley 40.6% 4,074
Total Votes 10,030

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Massachusetts

The redistricting plan approved by the state legislature significantly altered the shape and composition of the 8th District.

According to the Daily Kos, "A combination of the current 9th and 10th Districts, this district includes predominantly white parts of Boston (North End, Downtown, South Boston, portions of Back Bay, portions of the South End, portions of Dorchester, West Roxbury, Roslindale, portions of Jamaica Plain) and many of its southern suburbs, including the upper half of the South Shore region and stretching south to Brockton and beyond.

It only comes out as a projected D+9 seat, but I think that underestimates Democratic strength in this district a little. There’s not much history, recent or otherwise, of Republican voting in most of this territory. Scott Brown narrowly beat his statewide average here, but none of the other GOP hopefuls got much help from the people of this proposed district. They were famously cool to Barack Obama, this being one of those districts where he failed to match John Kerry’s showing, but there’s not much evidence from state elections or at lower levels for any sort of redshifting in this area. (The baseline here is listed as R+1, which just illustrates how tough it is to be a Republican in the Bay State most of the time; a Republican running statewide generally has to carry this district to win the state, something they usually can’t do. )" [9]

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Massachusetts' 8th District became less Democratic because of redistricting.[10]

  • 2012: 55D / 45R
  • 2010: 57D / 43R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measured each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District had a PVI of D+9, which was the 113th most Democratic district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by Barack Obama (D), 59-41 percent over John McCain (R). In 2004, John Kerry (D) won the district 61-39 percent over George W. Bush (R).[11]

District history

2010

On November 2, 2010, Michael Capuano won re-election to the United States House of Representatives. He ran unopposed in the general election.[12]

U.S. House of Representatives, Massachusetts Congressional District 8 Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMichael Capuano Incumbent 98% 134,974
     None Other 2% 2,686
Total Votes 137,660

Campaign donors

Joe Selvaggi

Joe Selvaggi (2012) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[13]March 31, 2012$0.00$14,047.73$(6,728.31)$7,769.42
July Quarterly[14]June 30, 2012$7,769.42$7,147.00$(8,577.65)$6,338.77
Running totals
$21,194.73$(15,305.96)

Stephen Lynch

Stephen Lynch (2012) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[15]March 31, 2012$674,239.69$92,871.54$(89,643.79)$677,467.44
July Quarterly[16]June 30, 2012$677,467.44$106,465.52$(91,943.31)$691,989.65
Running totals
$199,337.06$(181,587.1)

External links

See also

References