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Massachusetts Gubernatorial and Lieutenant Gubernatorial election, 2014

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Massachusetts Gubernatorial Election

Primary Date:
September 9, 2014

General Election Date:
November 4, 2014

Race rating: Lean Democrat

November 4 Election Winners:
Charles D. Baker Republican Party
Karyn Polito Republican Party
Incumbents prior to election:
Deval Patrick Democratic Party
Lieutenant governor's office is vacant
Devalpatrick.jpg

Massachusetts State Executive Elections
Top Ballot
Governor Lieutenant Governor
Secretary of StateAttorney General
Down Ballot
Treasurer, Auditor

Lost trifecta for Democrats
WhoRunsTheStates Badge.jpg
State executive offices in Massachusetts
Flag of Massachusetts.png
The Massachusetts gubernatorial election will take place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Deval Patrick (D) is eligible for re-election, as Massachusetts has no gubernatorial term limits. The winner of the election will serve a 4-year term in office.

Massachusetts is one of 21 states with a mixed primary system. Unaffiliated voters are allowed to vote in the primary election. They may choose which party ballot they wish to vote on and still remain unaffiliated.[1]

Candidates

Note: The following list of candidates is not official and will continue to be updated until the 2014 candidate filing deadline. Candidates will be added as we come across them prior to the deadline. If you see a name of a candidate who is missing, please email us and we will add that name. As the election draws closer, more information will be added to this page.

General election

Democratic Party Martha Coakley/Steve Kerrigan[2]
Republican Party Charles D. Baker/Karyn PolitoGreen check mark transparent.png[3][4]
Independent Evan Falchuk/Angus Jennings[5][6]
Independent Jeffrey McCormick/Tracy Post[7][8]
Independent Scott Lively/Shelly Saunders[9]

Lost in primary

Gubernatorial

Democratic Party Donald Berwick - Pediatrician, former Obama administration health care official[6]
Democratic Party Steven Grossman - Massachusetts Treasurer[10][11]
Republican Party Mark Fisher - Business owner[12]

Lieutenant gubernatorial

Democratic Party Leland Cheung
Democratic Party Michael Edward Lake

Did not make general ballot

Democratic Party Juliette Kayyem - Former columnist for the Boston Globe, former Department of Homeland Security’s assistant secretary for intergovernmental affairs[13]
Democratic Party Joe Avellone - Health care executive, former Wellesley selectman[14]

Withdrew or declined

Democratic Party Daniel Wolf - State Sen., Cape and Islands District[15][16]
Democratic Party Michael Capuano - U.S. House Rep, 7th District[17][18]
Democratic Party Joe Curtatone - Mayor of Somerville[19][20]


Race background

Current incumbent Deval Patrick, a Democrat first elected in 2006, was eligible to run for re-election in 2014. However, after winning re-election in 2010, Patrick stated that he would not seek a third term as governor in the 2014 election.[21][22]

Democratic nomination

The field of Democrats competing for their party's nomination in the primary, which took place on September 9, 2014, attracted several current officeholders. Treasurer Steven Grossman won the state Democratic convention on June 14, 2014, while Attorney General Martha Coakley came in second. Physician Donald Berwick also secured a place on the primary ballot. Candidates Joe Avellone and Juliette Kayyem failed to achieve 15 percent of the convention backing to reach the primary ballot.[23][24] Coakley was the leading candidate in all polls against Grossman, but did not win over the party itself prior to the primary. Analysts posited that Coakley defeated Grossman based on higher name recognition. Party leaders were concerned she will not be able to win the general election. Grossman was the former chairman of the state and national Democratic parties.[25] Coakley defeated Grossman and Berwick in the September primary to reach the general election ballot.

Republican nomination

Daniel Wolf, a Republican state senator who announced his intentions to run early on, dropped out of the race after his campaign was suspended "indefinitely" since his Aug 2, 2013 disqualification by the Massachusetts Ethics Commission for being a stakeholder in an airline he previously founded, CapeAir. Since CapeAir is now a quasi-public agency whose board is controlled by the governor, the commission ruled Wolf's ties to be a violation of state conflict of interest prohibitions.[26][27] On September 19, the commission granted Wolf a second extension to his compliance deadline, beyond which he would be forced to resign his state senate seat and officially withdraw from the gubernatorial race.[28][29][30] The uncertainty about if and when he could resume campaigning resulted in Wolf's decision to officially withdraw from the race on October 21, 2013. [31][32][33][28]

Charlie Baker, a venture capitalist who was the Republican nominee for governor in 2010, again won his party's nomination at the convention on March 22, 2014. The other Republican challenger, Mark Fisher, originally appeared to have narrowly missed an appearance on the primary ballot after failing to achieve 15 percent of the vote with just 14.765 percent, but after challenging the results in court the judge ruled that Fisher should be allowed to appear with Baker on the primary ballot.[34][12] The blank ballots that were cast at the convention were counted in the total, reducing the percentage that Fisher received just enough to push him off the ballot. Kirsten Hughes, the Massachusetts Republican party chairwoman, told the media after the convention that blanks should not count towards the total. She retracted that statement days later saying she misspoke.[35][36][37] Baker defeated Fisher in the Republican primary on September 9, 2014.

Baker had to defend his more moderate views as a Republican in order to distance himself from Coakley. Baker supports both abortion rights and gay marriage, a contrast to many views of his conservative Republican supporters.[38]


Key dates

Deadline Event
May 6, 2014 Signature filing deadline for party candidates seeking federal or statewide office to file with Registrar of Voters
June 3, 2014 Deadline for political party candidates seeking federal or statewide office to file with Secretary of Commonwealth
July 29, 2014 Deadline for nonpartisan candidates seeking federal or statewide office to file with Registrar of Voters
August 26, 2014 Deadline for nonpartisan candidates seeking federal or statewide office to file with Secretary of Commonwealth
September 9, 2014 Primary election
November 4, 2014 General election
January 8, 2015 Inauguration day for governor and lieutenant governor
January 21, 2015 Inauguration day for other state executive officers

Polls

General election
All candidates: October 2014

Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Five-way race: October 2014
Poll Martha Coakley Charlie BakerEvan FalchukJeff McCormickScott LivelyDon't know/ RefusedMargin of ErrorSample Size
UMass Amherst/WBZ
September 26-October 2, 2014
48%44%2%2%2%2%+/-5.5414
WBUR
October 1-4, 2014
41%39%2%2%1%15%+/-4.4504
The Boston Globe
October 5-7, 2014
39%34%3%2%2%20%+/-4.9400
WBUR
October 8-11, 2014
42%39%2%2%1%14%+/-4.4500
The Boston Globe
October 12-14, 2014
37%39%3%2%2%17%+/-4.9400
WBUR
October 15-18, 2014
42%43%1%2%1%10%+/-4.4501
The Boston Globe
October 19-21, 2014
37%46%3%2%2%8%+/-4.9400
UMass Lowell
October 21-25, 2014
41%45%3%2%1%8%+/-3.6601
WBUR
October 22-25, 2014
40%41%4%1%2%12%+/-4.4494
AVERAGES 40.78% 41.11% 2.56% 1.89% 1.56% 11.78% +/-4.6 468.22
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

All candidates through September 2014

Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Five-way race: Through September 2014
Poll Martha Coakley Charlie BakerEvan FalchukJeff McCormickScott LivelyDon't know/ RefusedMargin of ErrorSample Size
WBUR
September 16-21, 2014
43%34%2%1%1%19%+/-4.4502
UMass Amherst/WBZ
September 19-23, 2014
46%45%2%2%2%3%+/-4.4600
Western New England University Polling Institute
September 20-28, 2014
43%44%2%2%1%8%+/-4598
The Boston Globe
September 21-23, 2014
38%40%2%2%1%18%+/-4.9400
WBUR
September 24-27, 2014
41%38%1%2%1%17%+/-4.4503
The Boston Globe
September 25-28, 2014
43.8%43.2%2%1.6%0.4%9%+/-4500
SocialSphere
September 28-30, 2014
36%39%2%1%1%21%+/-4.89401
AVERAGES 41.54% 40.46% 1.86% 1.66% 1.06% 13.57% +/-4.43 500.57
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Four-way race
Poll Martha Coakley Charlie BakerEvan FalchukJeff McCormickDon't know/ RefusedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Western New England University Polling Institute
March 31-April 7, 2014
54%25%3%3%15%+/-5424
The Boston Globe
July 13-15, 2014
38%33%1%8%19%+/-5625
AVERAGES 46% 29% 2% 5.5% 17% +/-5 524.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Major-party candidates

Governor of Massachusetts 2014 - Coakley v. Baker
Poll Martha Coakley Charlie BakerIndependent/otherDon't know/RefusedMargin of ErrorSample Size
WBUR
September 11-14, 2014
44%35%15%6%+/-4.4504
The Boston Globe
September 14-16, 2014
39%36%6%19%+/-4.9407
Rasmussen Reports
September 16-17, 2014
42%42%5%10%+/-4750
New York Times/CBS News/YouGov
September 20-October 1, 2014
47%41%1%11%+/-22,389
Rasmussen Reports
October 13-14, 2014
46%48%2%5%+/-3980
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner
October 20-22, 2014
45%44%5%5%+/-4611
New York Times/CBS News/YouGov
October 16-23, 2014
45%41%1%13%+/-32,218
Emerson College Polling Society
October 26-29, 2014
42%48%4%6%+/-3.85627
AVERAGES 43.75% 41.88% 4.88% 9.38% +/-3.64 1,060.75
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Primary and hypothetical polls

Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Four-way race with Grossman
Poll Steve Grossman Charlie BakerEvan FalchukJeff McCormickDon't knowRefusedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Western New England University Polling Institute
March 31-April 7, 2014
38%29%4%9%19%1%+/-5424
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Democratic Primary
Poll Martha Coakley Steve GrossmanDon BerwickJoe AvelloneDan WolfJuliette KayyemUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Polling
(September 20-23, 2013)
57%10%6%4%3%2%17%+/-5.4324
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Democratic Primary
Poll Martha Coakley Steve GrossmanDon BerwickDon't knowMargin of ErrorSample Size
The Boston Globe
(July 13-15, 2014)
46%18%5%30%+/-5347
Suffolk University/Boston Herald
(August 2014)
42.3%30%15.7%12%+/-0400
University of Massachusetts-Lowell
(August 25-31, 2014)
52%20%9%19%+/-4.55685
AVERAGES 46.77% 22.67% 9.9% 20.33% +/-3.18 477.33
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Hypothetical Match-up: Charlie Baker vs. Democratic Candidates
Poll Charlie Baker Martha CoakleySteve GrossmanDonald BerwickJuliette KayyemNot sureMargin of ErrorSample Size
UMass-­Amherst Internet Poll of Massachusetts
March 31-April 6, 2014
34%45%0%0%0%21%+/-5.9500
UMass-­Amherst Internet Poll of Massachusetts
March 31-April 6, 2014
29%0%35%0%0%36%+/-5.9500
UMass-­Amherst Internet Poll of Massachusetts
March 31-April 6, 2014
32%0%0%29%0%37%+/-5.9500
UMass-­Amherst Internet Poll of Massachusetts
March 31-April 6, 2014
32%0%0%0%32%36%+/-5.9500
AVERAGES 31.75% 11.25% 8.75% 7.25% 8% 32.5% +/-5.9 500
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

**Due to the nature of the comparison, a placeholder figure of 0% is assigned to candidates not included in any given match-up round

Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Hypothetical Match-ups - Republican Charlie Baker vs. Democratic candidates
Poll Charlie Baker Martha CoakleySteve GrossmanNot sureMargin of ErrorSample Size
January 2014 Special Edition Purple Poll Massachusetts Statewide
January 21-23, 2014
36%46%0%18%+/-4.4500
January 2014 Special Edition Purple Poll Massachusetts Statewide
January 21-23, 2014
35%0%34%31%+/-4.4500
AVERAGES 35.5% 23% 17% 24.5% +/-4.4 500
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

**Due to the nature of the comparison, a placeholder figure of 0% is assigned to candidates not included in any given match-up round

Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Hypothetical Match-ups - Republican Mark Fisher vs. Democratic candidates
Poll Mark Fisher Martha CoakleySteve GrossmanNot sureMargin of ErrorSample Size
January 2014 Special Edition Purple Poll Massachusetts Statewide
January 21-23, 2014
30%50%0%20%+/-4.4500
January 2014 Special Edition Purple Poll Massachusetts Statewide
January 21-23, 2014
26%0%35%38%+/-4.4500
AVERAGES 28% 25% 17.5% 29% +/-4.4 500
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

**Due to the nature of the comparison, a placeholder figure of 0% is assigned to candidates not included in any given match-up round

Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Hypothetical Match-ups - Republican Charlie Baker and Independents vs. Democratic candidates
Poll Charlie Baker Jeff McCormickEvan FalchukMartha CoakleySteve GrossmanDon BerwickJuliette KayyemJoe AvelloneAnother candidateUndecided/Refused/Won't voteMargin of ErrorSample Size
WBUR Poll: Governor's Race
January 16-19, 2014
29%3%1%39%0%0%0%0%2%26%+/-4.4504
WBUR Poll: Governor's Race
January 16-19, 2014
33%5%1%0%23%0%0%0%2%36%+/-4.4504
WBUR Poll: Governor's Race
January 16-19, 2014
36%8%2%0%0%13%0%0%2%40%+/-4.4504
WBUR Poll: Governor's Race
January 16-19, 2014
37%7%2%0%0%0%15%0%1%38%+/-4.4504
WBUR Poll: Governor's Race
January 16-19, 2014
36%8%2%0%0%0%0%13%2%39%+/-4.4504
AVERAGES 34.2% 6.2% 1.6% 7.8% 4.6% 2.6% 3% 2.6% 1.8% 35.8% +/-4.4 504
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

**Due to the nature of the comparison, a placeholder figure of 0% is assigned to candidates not included in any given match-up round

Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Hypothetical Match-ups - Republican Charlie Baker vs. Democratic candidates
Poll Charlie Baker (R)* Martha CoakleyMike CapuanoDon BerwickSteve GrossmanJoe AvelloneNot sureMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Poll
(September 20-23, 2013)
38%51%0%0%0%0%11%+/-4.0616
Public Policy Poll
(September 20-23, 2013)
37%0%0%42%0%0%21%+/-4.0616
Public Policy Poll
(September 20-23, 2013)
38%0%0%31%0%0%31%+/-4.0616
Public Policy Poll
(September 20-23, 2013)
37%0%0%0%38%0%25%+/-4.0616
Public Policy Poll
(September 20-23, 2013)
40%0%0%0%0%30%30%+/-4.0616
Western New England University
(October 1-7, 2013)
34%54%0%0%0%0%10%+/-5.0431
Western New England University
(October 1-7, 2013)
30%0%0%0%43%0%25%+/-5.0431
AVERAGES 36.29% 15% 0% 10.43% 11.57% 4.29% 21.86% +/-4.29 563.14
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

**Due to the nature of the comparison, a placeholder figure of 0% is assigned to candidates not included in any given match-up round

Governor of Massachusetts 2014 Hypothetical Match-ups with Various Republican Candidates
Poll Charlie Baker Evan FalchukJeff McCormickMartha CoakleySteve GrossmanJuliette KayyemDon BerwickJoe AvelloneUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
The Boston Globe
(May 29 - June 3, 2014)
32%2%7%37%0%0%0%0%22%+/-4.0602
The Boston Globe
(May 29 - June 3, 2014)
32%2%8%0%26%0%0%0%31%+/-4.0602
The Boston Globe
(May 29 - June 3, 2014)
36%2%7%0%0%20%0%0%36%+/-4.0602
The Boston Globe
(May 29 - June 3, 2014)
37%2%9%0%0%0%18%0%35%+/-4.0602
The Boston Globe
(May 29 - June 3, 2014)
36%2%9%0%0%0%0%17%36%+/-4.0602
AVERAGES 34.6% 2% 8% 7.4% 5.2% 4% 3.6% 3.4% 32% +/-4 602
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

**Due to the nature of the comparison, a placeholder figure of 0% is assigned to candidates not included in any given match-up round

See also

External links

BP-Initials-UPDATED.png
Suggest a link

References

  1. Secretary of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts Website, "Massachusetts Directory of Political Parties and Designations," accessed January 3, 2014
  2. The Boston Globe, Political Intelligence, "Martha Coakley launches bid for governor with handshakes and a video," September 16, 2013
  3. The Washington Post, "Republican Charlie Baker announces run for governor," September 4, 2013
  4. Boston.com, "Republican Charles Baker to announce Mass. gubernatorial bid Wednesday," accessed September 3, 2013
  5. Wicked Local, Newton resident Evan Falchuk announces 2014 gubernatorial run as United Independent candidate, February 25, 2013
  6. 6.0 6.1 Wicked Local, "Newton's Don Berwick announces run for governor," June 17, 2013
  7. The Republic/MassLive.com, "Jeffrey McCormick of Boston jumps into Massachusetts governors race as independent candidate," October 21, 2013
  8. Jeff McCormick for Governor 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed December 31, 2013
  9. Massachusetts Live, Anti-gay minister Scott Lively, of Springfield, running for governor, December 16, 2014
  10. WCVB.com, "Steve Grossman officially announces run for gov. at Mass. Dem. convention," July 13, 2013
  11. The Walpole Times, "Murray: Grossman's plans won't affect my decision on running for gub," January 7, 2013
  12. 12.0 12.1 Boston Globe, Baker holds off rival in GOP race for governor, March 22, 2014
  13. Boston Globe, Juliette Kayyem announces run for Mass. governor, August 21, 2013 (dead link)
  14. Joe Avellone for Governor, "Home," accessed April 14, 2013
  15. The Boston Herald, "Wolf, citing unresolved ethics complaint, exits gov’s race," October 22, 2013
  16. Cape Cod Times, "Wolf bows out of governor's race," October 21, 2013
  17. The Boston Globe, "US Rep. Capuano to run for re-election, not governor," September 26, 2013
  18. The Phoenix, "The Gathering Storm," November 7, 2012
  19. The Boston Globe, "Somerville Mayor Curtatone will not run for governor," October 17, 2013
  20. The Boston Herald, "Curtatone: Decision on gubernatorial race 'days away,'" September 27, 2013
  21. Boston Globe, "Patrick says he will serve out full term," January 4, 2011
  22. Boston Globe, "Grossman considering gun for governor in 2014," October 31, 2012
  23. Boston Globe, "Steve Grossman gets Democrats’ nod at convention," June 15, 2014
  24. The Boston Globe, Political Intelligence, "Martha Coakley launches bid for governor with handshakes and a video," September 16, 2013
  25. New York Times, "Massachusetts Democrat Wins Over Voters; Her Party Is a Different Story," June 13, 2014
  26. Boston.com, "Wolf vows to continue campaign despite ethics ruling on his ownership of Cape Air," accessed August 8, 2013
  27. CommonWealth Magazine, "Massachusetts Ethics Commission Ruling," accessed August 8, 2013
  28. 28.0 28.1 Cape Cod Times, "Ethics Commission considering exemption for Wolf," September 19, 2013. Retrieved September 19, 2013.
  29. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named wolfsays
  30. Dan Wolf for Governor 2014, "Press release: Resigning and Suspending Campaign Unless Ethics Commission Reconsiders," accessed August 23, 2013
  31. The Boston Herald, "Wolf, citing unresolved ethics complaint, exits gov’s race - See more at: http://bostonherald.com/news_opinion/local_politics/2013/10/wolf_citing_unresolved_ethics_complaint_exits_gov_s_race#sthash.Wyc0wMfq.dpuf," October 22, 2013
  32. Cape Cod Times, "Wolf bows out of governor's race," October 21, 2013
  33. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named bg
  34. The Washington Post, "Republican Charlie Baker announces run for governor," September 4, 2013
  35. Telegram, "Mass. GOP, Fisher spar in court over ballot access," April 11, 2014
  36. The Boston Globe, "Mark Fisher bullish on making GOP gubernatorial ballot," April 28, 2014
  37. Massachusetts Live, "Gubernatorial candidate Mark Fisher may sue Mass. Republican Party for ballot access," March 25, 2014
  38. Boston.com, "Campaign for Republican gubernatorial candidate threatens to sue state GOP," March 23, 2014