Difference between revisions of "Michigan Gubernatorial election, 2014"

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==Race background==
 
==Race background==
First term [[Republican]] [[Governor of Michigan|Gov.]] [[Rick Snyder]] {{2014isrunning}}for re-election in 2014.<ref>[http://www.governing.com/news/headlines/michigan-governor-announces-reelection.html ''Governing,'' Michigan Governor Announces Re-election Bid, Despite Controversies, February 4, 2014]</ref>
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First term [[Republican]] [[Governor of Michigan|Gov.]] [[Rick Snyder]] {{2014isrunning}} for re-election in 2014.<ref>[http://www.governing.com/news/headlines/michigan-governor-announces-reelection.html ''Governing,'' Michigan Governor Announces Re-election Bid, Despite Controversies, February 4, 2014]</ref>
  
 
In December 2012, in the wake of his passage of a "right-to-work" law that provoked heavy rioting, particularly from unions, a Public Policy Poll showed the governor's chances of winning another term having severely diminished compared to a similar poll released the previous month. His net approval tumbled a net -28 points, with respondents preferring each of the poll's four hypothetical Democratic challengers over Snyder for 2014.<ref>[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/12/snyders-popularity-plummets.html ''Public Policy Polling,'' "Snyder's popularity plummets," December 18, 2012]</ref><ref>[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/11/an-early-look-at-the-2014-governor-landscape.html ''Public Policy Polling,'' "An early look at the 2014 governor landscape," November 12, 2012]</ref>  
 
In December 2012, in the wake of his passage of a "right-to-work" law that provoked heavy rioting, particularly from unions, a Public Policy Poll showed the governor's chances of winning another term having severely diminished compared to a similar poll released the previous month. His net approval tumbled a net -28 points, with respondents preferring each of the poll's four hypothetical Democratic challengers over Snyder for 2014.<ref>[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/12/snyders-popularity-plummets.html ''Public Policy Polling,'' "Snyder's popularity plummets," December 18, 2012]</ref><ref>[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/11/an-early-look-at-the-2014-governor-landscape.html ''Public Policy Polling,'' "An early look at the 2014 governor landscape," November 12, 2012]</ref>  
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===Polls===
 
===Polls===
 
{{Migovpolls14}}
 
{{Migovpolls14}}
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==See also==
 
==See also==
 
* [[Governor of Michigan]]
 
* [[Governor of Michigan]]

Revision as of 09:52, 16 April 2014



StateExecLogo.png

Michigan Gubernatorial Election

Primary Date:
August 5, 2014

General Election Date:
November 4, 2014

November 4 Election Winners:
Rick Snyder Republican Party
Brian Calley Republican Party
Incumbents prior to election:
Rick Snyder Republican Party
Brian Calley Republican Party
Rick Snyder
Brian Calley
Michigan State Executive Elections
Top Ballot
Governor Lieutenant Governor
Secretary of StateAttorney General

Battleground Races
Michigan House of Representatives

Current trifecta for Republicans
WhoRunsTheStates Badge.jpg
State executive offices in Michigan
Flag of Michigan.png
The Michigan gubernatorial election will take place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Rick Snyder (R) ran for re-election. The winner of the election will serve a 4-year term in office.

Michigan is one of 14 states that uses an open primary system, in which registered voters do not have to be members of a party to vote in that party's primary.[1][2][3]

Candidates

Note: The following list of candidates is not official and will continue to be updated until the 2014 candidate filing deadline. Candidates will be added as we come across them prior to the deadline. If you see a name of a candidate who is missing, please email us and we will add that name. As the election draws closer, more information will be added to this page.

General election

Republican Party Rick Snyder/Brian Calley - IncumbentsGreen check mark transparent.png
Democratic Party Mark Schauer/Lisa Brown[4][5]
Libertarian Party Mary Buzuma/Scott Boman
Independent U.S. Taxpayers Party candidates Mark McFarlin/Richard Mendoza
Green Party Paul Homeniuk/Candace R. Caveny

Did not qualify

Independent Robin Sanders[6]

Declined potentials

Democratic Party Virg Bernero - 2010 Democratic nominee for Governor of Michigan[5][7]
Democratic Party Gary Peters - U.S. Representative, Michigan, District 14[5]

Race background

First term Republican Gov. Rick Snyder ran for re-election in 2014.[8]

In December 2012, in the wake of his passage of a "right-to-work" law that provoked heavy rioting, particularly from unions, a Public Policy Poll showed the governor's chances of winning another term having severely diminished compared to a similar poll released the previous month. His net approval tumbled a net -28 points, with respondents preferring each of the poll's four hypothetical Democratic challengers over Snyder for 2014.[9][10]

At a Republican leadership conference back in September 2011, Snyder told an interviewer that if he felt satisfied with the legacy he established during his first term, he would be inclined to pass the torch to "better, smarter people." He went on to say he's "happy to go fishing, go teach or do something else," indicating that a bid for different office was not on the 2014 agenda had he declined to run for re-election as governor.[11]

Polls

All candidates

Governor of Michigan - All candidates
Poll Rick Snyder* (R) Mark Schauer (D)Mary Buzuma (L)Mark McFarlin (UST)Paul Homeniuk (G)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Polling
(September 4-7, 2014)
43%42%3%2%1%9%+/-3.7687
Mitchell Research
(September 14, 2014)
46%41%4%2%1%6%+/-3.4829
We Ask America
(September 18-19, 2014)
43%43%2%1%1%10%+/-31,182
Mitchell Research
(September 29, 2014)
46%42%2%1%1%8%+/-2.861,178
The Detroit News/WDIV
(October 2-4, 2014)
44.9%37.1%1.7%0.5%1.2%14.7%+/-4600
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research
(October 9, 2014)
47%46%1%1%2%3%+/-2.711,306
Mitchell Research
(October 19, 2014)
48%45.7%1%1.4%1%2.9%+/-3.23919
Mitchell Research
(October 27, 2014)
48%43%2%1%0.4%5%+/-2.881,159
Public Policy Polling
(November 1-2, 2014)
46%45%3%0%1%5%+/--914
AVERAGES 45.77% 42.76% 2.19% 1.1% 1.07% 7.07% +/-2.86 974.89
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Major party candidates

Governor of Michigan - Major party candidates- October 2014
Poll Rick Snyder* (R) Mark Schauer (D)Third Party/UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
MRG Poll
(September 30-October 1, 2014)
45.7%40.5%13.9%+/-4600
Public Policy Polling
(October 2-3, 2014)
47%46%7%+/-3654
EPIC-MRA
(October 17-19, 2014)
47%39%14%+/-4600
Public Policy Polling
(October 20-21, 2014)
48%48%4%+/-3.6723
New York Times/CBS News/YouGov
(October 16-23, 2014)
44%45%12%+/-32,394
EPIC-MRA
(October 26-28, 2014)
45%43%12%+/-4600
AVERAGES 46.12% 43.58% 10.48% +/-3.6 928.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
Governor of Michigan - Major party candidates through September 2014
Poll Rick Snyder* (R) Mark Schauer (D)Third Party/UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
EPIC-MRA
(May 2013)
38%39%23%+/-4600
EPIC-MRA
(September 2013)
44%36%20%+/-4600
Public Policy Poll
(December 5-8, 2013)
44%40%16%+/-3.01,034
Conservative Intel Poll
(January 7-8, 2014)
47%35%18%+/-3.831,004
EPIC-MRA
(February 5-11, 2014)
47%39%14%+/-4.0600
Lambert, Edwards & Associates (dead link)
(March 14, 2014)
42%39%19%+/-4.0600
Mitchell Research & Communications
(April 9, 2014)
49%37%15%+/-2.561,460
Mitchell Research and Communications
(June 6, 2014)
46%41%13%+/-3.16961
EPIC-MRA
(August 22-25, 2014)
43%45%12%+/-4600
Detroit News-WDIV
(September 3-5, 2014)
43.6%41.8%14.5%+/-4600
Rasmussen Reports
(September 17-18, 2014)
47%41%12%+/-4750
Target Insyght
(September 22-24, 2014)
41%40%19%+/-4600
EPIC-MRA
(September 25-29, 2014)
45%39%16%+/-4600
Lake Research Partners
(September 26-30, 2014)
44%43%12%+/-4600
AVERAGES 44.33% 39.7% 15.96% +/-3.75 757.79
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
  • An asterisk denotes incumbent status.

See also

External links

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References