Montana gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2012

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The Montana gubernatorial election is scheduled for November 6, 2012, following a primary on June 5, 2012.

Montana's current governor, Brian Schweitzer, is prevented by term limits from seeking another term in office. Schweitzer's lieutenant governor, John Bohlinger, has announced he will retire at the end of his current term, leaving both seats open.

In Montana, the governor and lieutenant governor are elected on a single ticket. This year, 11 sets of candidates have entered the race: two Democrats, seven Republicans, one Libertarian and one set of independent candidates. The field will be whittled down to four after the two major parties select their candidates in the June 5th primary.

Despite early speculation, there were a few surprises when the dust had settled after the candidate filing period came to an end on March 12, 2012.

  • The Democratic field was initially expected to be a three-person showdown, but state Senator Larry Jent dropped out of the race on March 8, 2012 saying he hadn't raised enough money to compete with Bullock, [1] who, according to early polling, was a heavy favorite with 70% of the primary vote to Jent's 6% (24% of voters were undecided).[2]
  • On the Republican side, gubernatorial hopeful Bob Fanning announced in early January his running mate would be Chuck Baldwin.[3] But Baldwin left the campaign in mid-February due to a lack of both money and a "quality organization"[4] and Fanning picked up a new running mate, former state Rep. Joel Boniek.

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NewsCalendar

Key dates

  • Administrative deadlines are at close of business (5:00) unless otherwise noted.
Deadline Event
Jan. 12 - Mar. 12 Candidate filing period
May 7 Voter registration for primary election
June 4, Noon Requests received for absentee ballot for primary election
June 5 Primary election
Aug. 13 Deadline for candidates to withdrawal general election candidacy
Aug. 23 Secretary of State certifies candidates on ballot
Nov. 5 Requests received for absentee ballot for general election
Nov. 6 General election
Dec. 3 Official results certified

Race tracking

See also: Ballotpedia Election Racetracking
2011 Race Rankings - Montana Governor
Race Tracker Race Rating
The Cook Political Report[5] Toss-up
Governing Politics[6] Lean Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Leans Republican
Rasmussen Reports Gubernatorial Scorecard[8] No prediction yet
The Rothenberg Political Report[9] Pure Toss-up
Overall Call

Donkey symbol.png Democratic primary candidates

Gop logo2.jpg Republican primary candidates

Libertarian candidates

Independent candidates

Former candidates

Steve Bullock as Democratic candidate

Steve Bullock vs. Jeff Essmann
Poll Steve Bullock Jeff EssmannUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Polling (November 28-30, 2011)
42%30%28%+/-2.41,625
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Steve Bullock vs. Rick Hill
Poll Steve Bullock Rick HillUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Polling (November 28-30, 2011)
38%39%23%+/-2.41,625
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Steve Bullock vs. Neil Livingstone
Poll Steve Bullock Neil LivingstoneUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Polling (November 28-30, 2011)
41%29%30%+/-2.41,625
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Steve Bullock vs. Ken Miller
Poll Steve Bullock Ken MillerUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Polling (November 28-30, 2011)
40%31%29%+/-2.41,625
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Larry Jent as Democratic candidate

Larry Jent vs. Jeff Essmann
Poll Larry Jent Jeff EssmannUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Polling (November 28-30, 2011)
26%30%44%+/-2.41,625
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Larry Jent vs. Rick Hill
Poll Larry Jent Rick HillUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Polling (November 28-30, 2011)
26%39%35%+/-2.41,625
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Larry Jent vs. Neil Livingstone
Poll Larry Jent Neil LivingstoneUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Polling (November 28-30, 2011)
26%30%44%+/-2.41,625
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Larry Jent vs. Ken Miller
Poll Larry Jent Ken MillerUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Polling (November 28-30, 2011)
25%33%42%+/-2.41,625
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

The candidates for governor have met several times, though not always as a full field.

9 candidates; both parties

On February 27, the Cascade County Farm Bureau sponsored a forum for 8 Republicans and 1 Democrats, Larry Jent. The candidates addressed a range of issues, including the threat of brucellosis to the state's cattle population, combination schools in rural communities, and the Keystone XL pipeline. Each candidate was also given the opportunity to make their case to the voters.[12]

See also

Articles

External links

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Campaign sites

Democrats:

Republicans:

Libertarian:


Independent:

References