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Montana gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2012

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The Montana gubernatorial election is scheduled for November 6, 2012, following a primary on June 5, 2012.

Montana's current governor, Brian Schweitzer, is prevented by term limits from seeking another term in office. Schweitzer's lieutenant governor, John Bohlinger, has announced he will retire at the end of his current term, leaving both seats open.

In Montana, the governor and lieutenant governor are elected on a single ticket. This year, 11 sets of candidates have entered the race: two Democrats, seven Republicans, one Libertarian and one set of independent candidates. The field will be whittled down to four after the two major parties select their candidates in the June 5th primary.

Despite early speculation, there were a few surprises when the dust had settled after the candidate filing period came to an end on March 12, 2012.

  • The Democratic field was initially expected to be a three-person showdown, but state Senator Larry Jent dropped out of the race on March 8, 2012 saying he hadn't raised enough money to compete with Bullock, [1] who, according to early polling, was a heavy favorite with 70% of the primary vote to Jent's 6% (24% of voters were undecided).[2]
  • On the Republican side, gubernatorial hopeful Bob Fanning announced in early January his running mate would be Chuck Baldwin.[3] But Baldwin left the campaign in mid-February due to a lack of both money and a "quality organization"[4] and Fanning picked up a new running mate, former state Rep. Joel Boniek.

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Key dates

  • Administrative deadlines are at close of business (5:00) unless otherwise noted.
Deadline Event
Jan. 12 - Mar. 12 Candidate filing period
May 7 Voter registration for primary election
June 4, Noon Requests received for absentee ballot for primary election
June 5 Primary election
Aug. 13 Deadline for candidates to withdrawal general election candidacy
Aug. 23 Secretary of State certifies candidates on ballot
Nov. 5 Requests received for absentee ballot for general election
Nov. 6 General election
Dec. 3 Official results certified

Race tracking

See also: Ballotpedia Election Racetracking
2011 Race Rankings - Montana Governor
Race Tracker Race Rating
The Cook Political Report[5] Toss-up
Governing Politics[6] Lean Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Leans Republican
Rasmussen Reports Gubernatorial Scorecard[8] No prediction yet
The Rothenberg Political Report[9] Pure Toss-up
Overall Call

Donkey symbol.png Democratic primary candidates

Gop logo2.jpg Republican primary candidates

Libertarian candidates

Independent candidates

Former candidates

Steve Bullock as Democratic candidate

Steve Bullock vs. Jeff Essmann
Response Public Policy Polling (November 28-30, 2011)Average
Steve Bullock 42% 42%
Jeff Essmann 30% 30%
Undecided 28% 28%
Number polled 1,625 1,625
Margin of error +/-2.4 2.4%
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Steve Bullock vs. Rick Hill
Response Public Policy Polling (November 28-30, 2011)Average
Steve Bullock 38% 38%
Rick Hill 39% 39%
Undecided 23% 23%
Number polled 1,625 1,625
Margin of error +/-2.4 2.4%
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Steve Bullock vs. Neil Livingstone
Response Public Policy Polling (November 28-30, 2011)Average
Steve Bullock 41% 41%
Neil Livingstone 29% 29%
Undecided 30% 30%
Number polled 1,625 1,625
Margin of error +/-2.4 2.4%
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Steve Bullock vs. Ken Miller
Response Public Policy Polling (November 28-30, 2011)Average
Steve Bullock 40% 40%
Ken Miller 31% 31%
Undecided 29% 29%
Number polled 1,625 1,625
Margin of error +/-2.4 2.4%
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Larry Jent as Democratic candidate

Larry Jent vs. Jeff Essmann
Response Public Policy Polling (November 28-30, 2011)Average
Larry Jent 26% 26%
Jeff Essmann 30% 30%
Undecided 44% 44%
Number polled 1,625 1,625
Margin of error +/-2.4 2.4%
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Larry Jent vs. Rick Hill
Response Public Policy Polling (November 28-30, 2011)Average
Larry Jent 26% 26%
Rick Hill 39% 39%
Undecided 35% 35%
Number polled 1,625 1,625
Margin of error +/-2.4 2.4%
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Larry Jent vs. Neil Livingstone
Response Public Policy Polling (November 28-30, 2011)Average
Larry Jent 26% 26%
Neil Livingstone 30% 30%
Undecided 44% 44%
Number polled 1,625 1,625
Margin of error +/-2.4 2.4%
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Larry Jent vs. Ken Miller
Response Public Policy Polling (November 28-30, 2011)Average
Larry Jent 25% 25%
Ken Miller 33% 33%
Undecided 42% 42%
Number polled 1,625 1,625
Margin of error +/-2.4 2.4%
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

The candidates for governor have met several times, though not always as a full field.

9 candidates; both parties

On February 27, the Cascade County Farm Bureau sponsored a forum for 8 Republicans and 1 Democrats, Larry Jent. The candidates addressed a range of issues, including the threat of brucellosis to the state's cattle population, combination schools in rural communities, and the Keystone XL pipeline. Each candidate was also given the opportunity to make their case to the voters.[12]


GOP candidates

Five of the seven GOP gubernatorial candidates met in Whitefish on May 2. Key issues in the debate included lowering property taxes, utilizing more of the state's natural resources, making the state's legal and regulatory climate less adversarial and finding new funding sources for public education.[13][14]

At the beginning of the debate the candidates were asked, in turn, to highlight the strengths of their campaign and refute issues that have been brought to light throughout the campaign.

  • Jim Lynch touted his record of saving the state $9.7 million, as Director of the Montana Department of Transportation, by reducing the number of employees and overtime hours.[13] He argued it is attitude - not taxes and regulations - that is impeding growth, and explained he would jump start the state's economy by using similar existing savings in state government.[14]
  • Neil Livingstone, who has been accused of being more federally-focused, translated his management of "nine-figure companies around the world" into experience, objectivity and vision for Montana.[13] He encouraged drilling, mining and logging as solutions to "turn Montana's economy around," and vowed to create a "legal and regulatory environment that allows Montana to prosper again."[14]
  • Ken Miller pledged to end both the business employment tax and corporate income tax.[13] He proposed a "loser-pay" law intended to limit the number of lawsuits brought in the state and expedite the issuance of environmental permits and said he would "push for an amendment to the portion of Montana's constitution that states everyone is entitled to a clean and healthy environment, because it invites broad judicial interpretation."[14]
  • Corey Stapleton suggested the problem of delayed development of Montana's oil and coal production is rooted in the gubernatorial appointments made to board and commissions charged with oversight.[14] He suggested Montana should look to revenue from natural resource development to create $220 million of permanent property tax relief and fund public education.[13]
  • Like Stapleton, Rick Hill advocated for a reduction in local property taxes, pointing to Wyoming's success in funding public education with coal tax revenues.[13] He also criticized "trial lawyers and environmentalists" who he feels are behind a statewide regulatory structure that is stymieing Montana's economic growth.[14]

See also

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External links

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