Massachusetts, New Hampshire and Texas are holding elections next week. Find out what's on your ballot in our latest report.

Difference between revisions of "New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District elections, 2014"

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search
Line 2: Line 2:
 
[[File:BattlegroundRace.jpg|left|200px|link=U.S. House battleground districts, 2014]]
 
[[File:BattlegroundRace.jpg|left|200px|link=U.S. House battleground districts, 2014]]
  
[[New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District]] is a battleground district in 2014. Although both ''The Cook Political Report'' and ''FairVote'' rate the district as closely matched between Democratic and Republican voters, Cook's Partisan Voter Index (PVI) rates the district as R+1, or barely Republican, whereas ''FairVote'' rates the district as a toss up.<ref>[http://cookpolitical.com/file/2013-04-47.pdf ''The Cook Political Report'', "Partisan Voting Index, Districts of the 113th Congress," accessed May 28, 2014]</ref><ref>[http://www.fairvote.org/assets/NewHampshire2014.pdf ''FairVote'', "2014 Elections in New Hampshire," accessed May 28, 2014]</ref> Democratic incumbent [[Carol Shea-Porter]] was first elected in 2006, but lost to [[Frank Guinta]] in 2010 and regained her seat again in the 2012 election, where she defeated Guinta by a 3.8 percent margin of victory. The 1st District also voted Democratic in the 2012 presidential elections, but President [[Barack Obama]] won by only 1.6 percent.  
+
[[New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District]] is a battleground district in 2014. Both ''The Cook Political Report'' and ''FairVote'' rate the district as closely matched between Democratic and Republican voters. Cook's Partisan Voter Index (PVI) rates the district as R+1, or barely Republican, and ''FairVote'' rates the district as a toss up.<ref>[http://cookpolitical.com/file/2013-04-47.pdf ''The Cook Political Report'', "Partisan Voting Index, Districts of the 113th Congress," accessed May 28, 2014]</ref><ref>[http://www.fairvote.org/assets/NewHampshire2014.pdf ''FairVote'', "2014 Elections in New Hampshire," accessed May 28, 2014]</ref> Democratic incumbent [[Carol Shea-Porter]] was first elected in 2006, but lost to [[Frank Guinta]] in 2010 and regained her seat again in the 2012 election, where she defeated Guinta by a 3.8 percent margin of victory. The 1st District also voted Democratic in the 2012 presidential elections, but President [[Barack Obama]] won by only 1.6 percent.  
  
 
As of two weeks prior to the candidate filing deadline, Guinta had an advantage over Republican primary challenger [[Dan Innis]] in [[New_Hampshire%27s_1st_Congressional_District_elections,_2014#Polls|polls]] and [[New_Hampshire%27s_1st_Congressional_District_elections,_2014#Campaign_contributions|fundraising]]. Guinta also has great name recognition, as he was the district's representative from 2011 to 2013. Nonetheless, Innis may yet close the gap. He has earned a high-profile endorsement from the [[Gay & Lesbian Victory Fund]] and is gaining media attention for being one of three openly gay Republicans running for Congress in 2014.<ref>[http://www.newsmax.com/Politics/GOP-gay-2014-House/2014/05/19/id/572053/ ''Newsmax'', "Gay Republicans Competing in Three Congressional Races," accessed May 28, 2-14]</ref>
 
As of two weeks prior to the candidate filing deadline, Guinta had an advantage over Republican primary challenger [[Dan Innis]] in [[New_Hampshire%27s_1st_Congressional_District_elections,_2014#Polls|polls]] and [[New_Hampshire%27s_1st_Congressional_District_elections,_2014#Campaign_contributions|fundraising]]. Guinta also has great name recognition, as he was the district's representative from 2011 to 2013. Nonetheless, Innis may yet close the gap. He has earned a high-profile endorsement from the [[Gay & Lesbian Victory Fund]] and is gaining media attention for being one of three openly gay Republicans running for Congress in 2014.<ref>[http://www.newsmax.com/Politics/GOP-gay-2014-House/2014/05/19/id/572053/ ''Newsmax'', "Gay Republicans Competing in Three Congressional Races," accessed May 28, 2-14]</ref>

Revision as of 14:52, 21 August 2014

2016
2012

CongressLogo.png

New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
September 9, 2014

November 4 Election Winner:
Frank Guinta Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Carol Shea-Porter Democratic Party
Carol Shea Porter.jpg

Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Toss Up[1]

FairVote's Monopoly Politics: Toss Up[2]
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss Up[3]


New Hampshire U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2

2014 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of New Hampshire.png
The 1st Congressional District of New Hampshire will hold an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014.
BattlegroundRace.jpg

New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District is a battleground district in 2014. Both The Cook Political Report and FairVote rate the district as closely matched between Democratic and Republican voters. Cook's Partisan Voter Index (PVI) rates the district as R+1, or barely Republican, and FairVote rates the district as a toss up.[4][5] Democratic incumbent Carol Shea-Porter was first elected in 2006, but lost to Frank Guinta in 2010 and regained her seat again in the 2012 election, where she defeated Guinta by a 3.8 percent margin of victory. The 1st District also voted Democratic in the 2012 presidential elections, but President Barack Obama won by only 1.6 percent.

As of two weeks prior to the candidate filing deadline, Guinta had an advantage over Republican primary challenger Dan Innis in polls and fundraising. Guinta also has great name recognition, as he was the district's representative from 2011 to 2013. Nonetheless, Innis may yet close the gap. He has earned a high-profile endorsement from the Gay & Lesbian Victory Fund and is gaining media attention for being one of three openly gay Republicans running for Congress in 2014.[6]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
June 13, 2014
September 9, 2014
November 4, 2014

Primary: New Hampshire is one of 21 states with a mixed primary system. Unaffiliated voters may vote in the primary, but in order to do so, they have to choose a party before voting. This changes their status from unaffiliated to affiliated with that party, unless they fill out a card to return to undeclared status.[7]

Voter registration: To vote in the primary, voters could register by either August 30, 2014, if registering with a town clerk, or on election day. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 25, 2014 (10 days before election).[8]

See also: New Hampshire elections, 2014

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent is Carol Shea-Porter (D), who was first elected in 2012.

New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District is located in the eastern portion of the state.[9]

Candidates

General election candidates


September 9, 2014, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

Failed to file


Race background

Incumbent Carol Shea-Porter (D) is a member of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's Frontline Program. The program is designed to help protect vulnerable Democratic incumbents heading into the 2014 election.[14]

Endorsements

Carol Shea-Porter

Carol Shea-Porter has received the following endorsements:

Dan Innis

Dan Innis has received the following endorsements:

Frank Guinta

Frank Guinta has received the following endorsements:

  • New Hampshire Union Leader for Congress in New Hampshire's 1st District[24]
  • The Eagle Tribune[25]
  • Rep. Paul Ryan[26]
  • Sen. Kelly Ayotte[26]
  • Former Sen. Scott Brown[27]
  • Over 300 activists, elected officials, party chairs, town and community officials, listed in the following press releases:

Polls

General election polls

Frank Guinta vs. Carol Shea-Porter
Poll Frank Guinta Carol Shea-PorterOtherDon’t know/undecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
University of New Hampshire Survey Center (June 19-July 1, 2014)
46%43%2%10%+/-6.0263
University of New Hampshire Survey Center (April 1-9, 2014)
35%44%0%21%+/-6.1199
AVERAGES 40.5% 43.5% 1% 15.5% +/-6.05 231
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org


Dan Innis vs. Carol Shea-Porter
Poll Dan Innis Carol Shea-PorterOtherDon’t know/undecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
University of New Hampshire Survey Center (June 19-July 1, 2014)
38%45%1%16%+/-6.0263
University of New Hampshire Survey Center (April 1-9, 2014)
29%45%0%25%+/-6.1199
AVERAGES 33.5% 45% 0.5% 20.5% +/-6.05 231
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Campaign contributions

Carol Shea-Porter

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Shea-Porter's reports.[40]

Dan Innis

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Innis' reports.[50]

Dan Innis (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
Year-End[51]January 31, 2014$0.00$106,394.93$(75,353.39)$31,041.54
April Quarterly[52]April 15, 2014$31,041.54$61,442.00$(35,813.73)$56,669.81
Running totals
$167,836.93$(111,167.12)

Frank Guinta

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Guinta's reports.[53]

Frank Guinta (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[54]April 15, 2013$34,444.63$460.25$(34,757.27)$147.61
July Quarterly[55]July 15, 2013$147.61$2,442.57$(2,177.57)$412.61
October Quarterly[56]October 15, 2013$412.61$1,655.00$(1,301.16)$766.45
Year-End[57]January 31, 2014$766.45$166,945.00$(39,568.04)$128,143.41
April Quarterly[58]April 15, 2014$128,143.41$154,506.11$(62,741.85)$219,907.67
July Quarterly[59]July 15, 2014$219,907$131,987$(99,771)$252,123
Pre-Primary[60]October 28, 2014$252,123.67$34,279.00$(98,601.84)$187,800.83
October Quarterly[61]October 15, 2014$187,800.83$351,491.21$(165,849.84)$373,442.20
Pre-General[62]October 23, 2014$373,442.20$163,984.77$(155,891.62)$381,535.35
Running totals
$1,007,750.91$(660,660.19)

**As of the 2013 Year-End Report, Guinta's committee owed $289,575.00 in outstanding loans to Frank Guinta.


Media

Dan Innis


Innis announces his candidacy.[63]

Frank Guinta


Frank Guinta campaign ad

District history

Candidate ballot access
Ballot Access Requirements Final.jpg

Find detailed information on ballot access requirements in all 50 states and Washington D.C.

2012

On November 6, 2012, Carol Shea-Porter (D) won election to the United States House. She defeated Frank Guinta (R) and Brendan Kelly (L) in the general election.

U.S. House, New Hampshire District 1 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Frank Guinta Incumbent 46% 158,659
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngCarol Shea-Porter 49.8% 171,650
     Libertarian Brandan Kelly 4.2% 14,521
Total Votes 344,830
Source: New Hampshire Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

2010

On November 2, 2010, Frank Guinta won election to the United States House. He defeated Carol Shea-Porter (D) and Philip Hodson (L) in the general election.[64]

U.S. House, New Hampshire District 1 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngFrank C. Guinta 54% 121,655
     Democratic Carol Shea-Porter incumbent 42.4% 95,503
     Libertarian Philip Hodson 3.5% 7,966
Total Votes 225,124

See also

External links

References

  1. Cook Political Report, "2014 House Race Ratings for August 8, 2014," accessed August 25, 2014
  2. FairVote's Monopoly Politics, "2014 House Projections," accessed August 25, 2014
  3. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 House Races," accessed August 25, 2014
  4. The Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index, Districts of the 113th Congress," accessed May 28, 2014
  5. FairVote, "2014 Elections in New Hampshire," accessed May 28, 2014
  6. Newsmax, "Gay Republicans Competing in Three Congressional Races," accessed May 28, 2-14
  7. New Hampshire Secretary of State Website, "How to Register to Vote in New Hampshire," accessed January 3, 2014
  8. New Hampshire Secretary of State Website, "How to Register to Vote in New Hampshire," accessed January 3, 2014
  9. New Hampshire Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed September 25, 2012
  10. 10.0 10.1 10.2 New Hampshire Secretary of State, "2014 Filing Period," accessed June 23, 2014
  11. Portsmouth Patch, "Frank Guinta Announces Congressional Run on YouTube," accessed March 20, 2014
  12. Seacoast Online, "UNH dean may make bid for Congress," accessed July 25, 2013
  13. WMUR.com, "State Rep. Pam Tucker is considering a run for Congress against Shea-Porter," accessed September 6, 2013
  14. Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, "DCCC Chairman Steve Israel Announces 2013-2014 Frontline Members," accessed March 5, 2013
  15. SNAP PAC, "SNAP PAC Endorses Representative Carol Shea-Porter and Lee Rogers," accessed May 27, 2014
  16. EMILY's List, "Carol Shea-Porter," accessed May 27, 2014
  17. 17.0 17.1 Portsmouth Patch, "Doug and Stella Scamman Endorse Dan Innis," accessed May 27, 2014
  18. The Gay & Lesbian Victory Fund, "Dan Innis," accessed May 27, 2014
  19. The Washington Post, "LGBT group to back two gay Republicans for Congress," accessed May 27, 2014
  20. Portsmouth Patch, "Jim Waddell Endorses Dan Innis," accessed May 27, 2014
  21. Portsmouth Patch, "Senator John Reagan Endorses Dan Innis," accessed May 27, 2014
  22. Portsmouth Patch, "Ruth Griffin Endorses Dan Innis," accessed May 27, 2014
  23. Portsmouth Patch, "Dan Innis Releases List of 21 Endorsements," accessed May 27, 2014
  24. Frank Guinta for Congress, "New Hampshire Union Leader Endorses Frank Guinta for Congress," accessed May 27, 2014
  25. Frank Guinta for Congress, "Eagle Tribune endorses Guinta for Congress in NH-01," accessed May 27, 2014
  26. 26.0 26.1 WMUR, "Paul Ryan to visit N.H. for Guinta," accessed May 27, 2014
  27. The Hill, "Scott Brown headlining fundraiser for Guinta in New Hampshire," accessed May 27, 2014
  28. Frank Guinta for Congress, "Guinta Begins March of Endorsements," accessed May 27, 2014
  29. Frank Guinta for Congress, "Guinta Continues March of Endorsements," accessed May 27, 2014
  30. Frank Guinta for Congress, "Granite Staters Flocking to Guinta's Candidacy," accessed May 27, 2014
  31. Frank Guinta for Congress, "Granite Staters Continue to Coalesce Around Team Guinta," accessed May 27, 2014
  32. Frank Guinta for Congress, "Grassroot Support Continues to Grow for Team Guinta," accessed May 27, 2014
  33. Frank Guinta for Congress, "Team Guinta Marches into April," accessed May 27, 2014
  34. Frank Guinta for Congress, "Team Guinta Locks Down More Grassroots Support," accessed May 27, 2014
  35. Frank Guinta for Congress, "Granite Staters Continue to Unite Behind Team Guinta!," accessed May 27, 2014
  36. Frank Guinta for Congress, "April Ends Where March Began," accessed May 27, 2014
  37. Frank Guinta for Congress, "10 Straight Weeks and Counting!," accessed May 27, 2014
  38. Frank Guinta for Congress, "11th Straight Week of Endorsements for Team Guinta!," accessed May 27, 2014
  39. Frank Guinta for Congress, "Milestone Reached for Team Guinta," accessed May 27, 2014
  40. Federal Election Commission, "Shea-Porter 2014 Summary reports," accessed July 22, 2013
  41. FEC, "April Quarterly," accessed July 22, 2013
  42. FEC, "July Quarterly," accessed July 22, 2013
  43. FEC, "October Quarterly," accessed October 25, 2013
  44. FEC, "Year-End Quarterly," accessed November 25, 2014
  45. FEC, "April Quarterly," accessed May 16, 2014
  46. FEC, "July Quarterly," accessed October 23, 2014
  47. FEC, "Pre-Primary," accessed October 23, 2014
  48. FEC, "October Quarterly," accessed October 23, 2014
  49. FEC, "Pre-General," accessed November 25, 2014
  50. Federal Election Commission, "Dan Innis Summary Report," accessed April 30, 2014
  51. Federal Election Commission, "Dan Innis Year-End," accessed March 20, 2014
  52. Federal Election Commission, "Dan Innis April Quarterly," accessed April 30, 2014
  53. Federal Election Commission, "Frank Guinta Summary Report," accessed April 30, 2014
  54. Federal Election Commission, "Frank Guinta April Quarterly," accessed March 20, 2014
  55. Federal Election Commission, "Frank Guinta July Quarterly," accessed March 20, 2014
  56. Federal Election Commission, "Frank Guinta October Quarterly," accessed March 20, 2014
  57. Federal Election Commission, "Frank Guinta Year-End," accessed March 20, 2014
  58. Federal Election Commission, "Frank Guinta April Quarterly," accessed April 30, 2014
  59. Federal Election Commission, "Frank Guinta July Quarterly," accessed November 4, 2014
  60. Federal Election Commission, "Frank Guinta Pre-Primary," accessed November 4, 2014
  61. Federal Election Commission, "Frank Guinta October Quarterly," accessed November 4, 2014
  62. Federal Election Commission, "Frank Guinta Pre-General," accessed November 4, 2014
  63. YouTube, "Dan Innis Announcement," accessed May 28, 2014
  64. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013