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Revision as of 10:34, 19 September 2013


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New JerseyVirginiaWisconsin
CandidatesNewsCalendar

The New Jersey gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2013. A statewide primary took place on June 4, 2013. On election day, polls are open 6:00 am until 8:00 pm EST.

Incumbent Governor Chris Christie (R) is running for a second term. Incumbent Lt. Governor Kim Guadagno is also running for re-election. The 2013 election will mark the second lieutenant gubernatorial election in New Jersey history and the second time Christie and Guadagno will share the Republican ticket.

The position of lieutenant governor is relatively new in New Jersey - the current officeholder, Kim Guadagno (R), is the Garden State's first. The position was created as the result of a constitutional amendment passed by New Jersey voters on November 8, 2005. In New Jersey, the governor and lieutenant governor are elected on a single ticket in the general election. Following the primary elections, gubernatorial candidates have 30 days to select a running mate.

Christie and Democrat Barbara Buono easily won their respective party's primary on June 4, 2013. Christie had already decided on running with Guadagno prior to the primary, but Buono waited until July 29, 2013 to formally announce her choice of union leader Milly Silva as her lieutenant gubernatorial running mate. [1] The two-woman ticket will face incumbent Republican governor/lt. governor pair Christie and Guadagno in addition to a number of third party opponents in the general election contest taking place November 5, 2013.[2]

Deadline Event
April 1 Last day to file candidacy
May 14 Voter registration for primary election
June 4 Primary election
June 10 Last day for independent candidates to file for general election
Nov. 5 General election

Results

Primary election

  • Democratic Primary
Governor of New Jersey Democratic Primary Election, 2013
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngBarbara Buono 88.1% 173,714
Troy Webster 11.9% 23,457
Total Votes 197,171
Election Results Via:New Jersey Department of State.


  • Republican Primary
Governor of New Jersey Republican Primary Election, 2013
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngChris Christie Incumbent 91.9% 205,666
Seth Grossman 8.1% 18,095
Total Votes 223,761
Election Results Via:New Jersey Department of State.


General election

Coming November 5

Candidates

General election

(Governor & Lieutenant Governor running-mate listed together)

[3]



Race background

Race background

Incumbent Republican Gov. Chris Christie and Democratic state Sen. Barbara Buono each faced a single challenger in the primary election on June 4, although neither presented a substantial challenge at the polls: Christie and Buono won their respective party nominations with roughly 90% of the vote.[17][18]

Former Atlantic City Councilman Seth Grossman was the sole Republican to brave a run against the popular first term governor, whose star had long been on the rise before going meteoric in the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy. Grossman's campaign criticized Christie for being overly moderate, while Buono's opponent Troy Webster, advisor to the mayor of East Orange, believed he was uniquely suited to making New Jersey friendlier to "the working poor and middle class families who have been literally 'thrown under the bus.'"[19] Grossman and Webster were endorsed by the weekly publication NJ Today.[20]

In New Jersey, gubernatorial candidates have 30 days to select a lieutenant gubernatorial running mate with whom to share their ticket in the general election. Immediately after launching his re-election campaign, Christie secured his running mate, 2009 successful teammate and current Lt. Gov. Kim Guadagno. Buono, meanwhile, waited until July 29 to formally announce her choice of union leader Milly Silva, the executive vice president of 1199 SEIU United Healthcare Workers East, as her running mate.[21][22] The two-woman ticket went up against incumbent pairing Chris Christie and Kim Guadagno in addition to a number of third party opponents in the general election contest that took place November 5, 2013.

Christie was heavily favored to win re-election, with his campaign raising nearly double that of Buono's in the primary and maintaining a decisive double-digit advantage in the polls throughout the election season.[23][24] In the final week before the general election, Christie boasted a staggering 24.3-point average polling lead.[25] He also had bipartisan support, which was crucial in a state where Democrats outnumber Republicans by over 700,000, according to party registration statistics provided by the New Jersey Department of State.[26]

Since 1977, New Jersey gubernatorial primary and general election candidates can qualify for a public funding program whereby candidates who raise a minimum amount of money are dispensed tax-generated funds, controlled by the state election law enforcement commission, in direct proportion to campaign donations given from the public. In 2013, the qualifying sum for primary gubernatorial candidates was $380,000.[27] The purpose of the program is to lessen the influence of corporate contributions in elections. On February 2, 2013, then-presumptive Democratic nominee Barbara Buono's campaign reported that it had surpassed the $380,000 mark.[28] By that time, Christie's campaign had already raised $2 million. Unlike in 2009, Christie declined to use matching funds in the 2013 primary, but he decided in August to opt into the program for the general election phase. Under the program, Christie became eligible for an additional $8 million, approximately. The terms also required him to participate in two debates with Buono before the general election.[28][29]

In November 2012, the New Jersey gubernatorial election was rated by the Washington Post as one of the top five races to watch in 2013.[30] Christie's high-wattage presence notwithstanding, the contest never rose to the level of excitement originally anticipated. This was due in part to the decision of former Newark Mayor Cory Booker to run for U.S. Senate rather than attempt to oust Christie in 2013. Booker had long been considered the Democratic front-runner and best hope to take on the juggernaut incumbent, until announcing his - ultimately winning - Senate bid, and leaving comparatively unknown Democrats on their own to be steamrolled by Christie, whose upward career trajectory and bipartisan appeal were taken virtually for granted on the eve of his second term re-election. To this extent, it is not easy to revisit early reports predicting Christie would be vulnerable to losing his seat in 2013 without feeling incredulous.[31]


Polls

April 2013-present

September 26-October 28

New Jersey Governor's Race 2013
Poll Barbara Buono (D) Chris Christie* (R)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Monmouth University Poll
(September 26-29, 2013)
37%56%4.0%+/-4.0615
Fairleigh Dickenson Poll
(September 30, 2013-October 5, 2013)
25%58%15%+/-3.7702
Rasmussen Reports
(October 7, 2013)
34%55%7%+/-3.01,000
Quinnipiac University Poll
(October 5-7, 2013)
33%62%4%+/-2.91,144
Stockton Institute Poll
(October 3-8, 2013)
28%61%11%+/-3.5800
Monmouth University Poll
(October 10-12, 2013)
38%59%3%+/-2.51,606
Quinnipiac University Poll
(October 10-14, 2013)
33%62%5%+/-2.21,938
Rutgers Eagleton Poll (Likely Voters)
(October 7-13, 2013)
33%59%6%+/-4.1562
Quinnipiac University Poll
(October 21-27, 2013)
31%64%5%+/-2.81,203
Stockton College Poll
(October 23-28, 2013)
32%56%8%+/-3.5804
AVERAGES 32.4% 59.2% 6.8% +/-3.22 1,037.4
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

April 19-September 22

New Jersey Governor's Race 2013
Poll Barbara Buono (D) Chris Christie* (R)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll
April 19-22, 2013
26%58%13%+/-2.91,112
NBC News/Marist Poll
April 28-May 2, 2013
28%60%10%+/-3.01,080
Quinnipiac University Poll
July 2-7, 2013
29%61%7%+/-3.01,068
Quinnipiac University Poll
August 1-5, 2013
30%58%8%+/-2.22,042
Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press Poll
August 15-18, 2013
36%56%6%+/-3.5777
Farleigh Dickinson University PublicMind Poll
August 21-27, 2013
26%50%24%+/-3.7700
Rasmussen Reports Poll
September 10-11, 2013
32%58%8%+/-3.0999
Rutgers-Eagleton Poll
September 3-9, 2013
35%55%8%+/-4.1568
Stockton Poll
September 15-21, 2013
30%58%9%+/-3.4812
Quinnipiac University Poll
September 19-22, 2013
30%64%6%+/-2.81,249
AVERAGES 30.2% 57.8% 9.9% +/-3.16 1,040.7
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org


February 2013

A Quinnipiac University Poll released February 20, 2013 reaffirmed incumbent Chris Christie's popularity with New Jersey voters post-Hurricane Sandy. At 74% job approval - "the highest of any New Jersey governor in 17 years of Quinnipiac University surveys" - and 71-23% believing that Christie deserves to win re-election in 2013, the governor is the clear favorite for the 2013 gubernatorial race.[32] According to the poll, Christie's strength is just one of likely Democratic challenger Barbara Buono's weaknesses heading into the primary election season. In a head-to-head match-up respondents preferred Christie to Buono 62-25, a wide margin that can be partially attributed to her anonymity: 83% of respondents said they did not know enough to form an opinion about Buono. Somewhat ominously for the Buono campaign, this figure indicates that her name recognition diminisheded slightly since voters were last asked to give their opinion of her back in Jan. 2013.

New Jersey Governor's Race 2013
Poll Chris Christie Barbara BuonoUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll
(Feb. 13-17, 2013)
62%25%12%+/-2.91,149
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

November 2012 (Post-Sandy)

Between November 14-17 2012, Rutgers and the Eagleton Institute of Politics surveyed 1,228 registered New Jersey voters through live telephone interviews. The respondents were given a series of hypothetical match-ups between incumbent Chris Christie and five potential Democratic candidates, and asked which of the two candidates they would vote for in the 2013 election. The margin of error is +/- 2.9%. [33]

Hypothetical match-ups for Governor of New jersey
Cory BookerRichard CodeyBarbara BuonoLou GreenwaldTom Byrne
Percent of the vote34%31%22%21%22%
Chris Christie's percent of the vote53%56%60%60%58%
Undecided9%10%10%15%16%

October 2012

Between October 10-14 2012, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,405 registered New Jersey voters through live telephone interviews. The respondents were given a series of hypothetical match-ups between incumbent Chris Christie and four potential Democratic candidates, and asked which of the two candidates they would vote for in the 2013 election. The margin of error is +/- 2.6%. Leading the pack of likely challengers is Mayor of Newark Cory Booker, who trails Christie 46-42. A similar survey conducted in early September had Booker behind seven percentage points. [34][35]

Hypothetical match-ups for Governor of New jersey
Cory BookerRichard CodeyBarbara BuonoLou Greenwald
Percent of the vote42%41%33%31%
Chris Christie's percent of the vote46%47%49%50%
Undecided11%11%17%17%

July 2011

Between July 15-18, 2011, Public Policy Polling surveyed 480 New Jersey voters. The respondents were given a series of hypothetical match-ups between incumbent Chris Christie and four potential Democratic candidates, and asked which of the two candidates they would vote for.[36]

Hypothetical match-ups for Governor of New jersey
Cory BookerFrank PalloneBruce SpringsteenSteve Sweeney
Percent of the vote47%43%42%40%
Chris Christie's percent of the vote43%43%42%42%
Undecided10%14%15%18%

Campaign finance

The New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission administers campaign finance law and maintains all records online.

For the primary election:

  • First report -- due by May 13, 2013
  • 11-Day Pre-Primary report -- due by May 31, 2013
  • 20-Day Post-Primary report -- due by July 2, 2013

For the general election:

  • First report -- due by October 7, 2013
  • Pre-general report -- due by October 25, 2013
  • Post-general report -- due by November 25, 2013

Barbara Buono

Barbara Buono[37] Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
Post-Primary ReportJune 27, 2013$87,127.60$631,687.49$(651,893.65)$66,421.44
Running totals
$631,687.49$(651,893.65)

Chris Christie

Chris Christie[38] Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
Post-Primary ReportJune 24, 2013$1,795,586.23$374,512.68$(2,016,343.59)$151,590.32
Running totals
$374,512.68$(2,016,343.59)


Seth Grossman

Seth Grossman[39] Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
Post-Primary ReportJune 21, 2013$656$1,535$(1,143)$1,048
Running totals
$1,535$(1,143)

Campaign finance

Since 1977, New Jersey gubernatorial primary and general election candidates can qualify for a public funding program whereby candidates who raise a minimum amount of money are dispensed tax-generated funds, controlled by the state election law enforcement commission, in direct proportion to campaign donations given from the public. In 2013, the qualifying sum for primary gubernatorial candidates is $380,000.[40] The purpose of the program is to lessen the influence of corporate contributions in elections. On February 2, 2013, presumptive Democratic nominee Barbara Buono's campaign reported that it had surpassed the $380,000 mark.[28] By that time, Christie's campaign had already raised $2 million. Unlike in 2009, Christie declined to use matching funds in the 2013 primary, but he decided in August to opt into the program for the general election phase. Under the program, Christie is eligible for an additional $8 million, approximately. The terms also state that he must participate in two debates with Buono before Nov. 5.[28][41]

In New Jersey, qualified candidates who choose to accept public funds may not spend more than $12.2 million on their gubernatorial campaigns. The maximum amount of public funds that any candidate may receive is $8.2 million.[42] New Jersey employs a two-to-one matching program for qualified contributions. It is detailed in Title 19 Chapter 25 Sub Chapter 15 of the New Jersey State Statutes.

Endorsements

Endorsements

Democratic PartyBarbara Buono

Buono's campaign for governor has been endorsed by:

Democratic PartyTroy Webster

  • Weekly newspaper NJ Today[47]

Republican PartyChris Christie

  • National Pipefitters Union[43]
  • Democratic Mayor of Harrison Raymond McDonough[46]
  • Harrison Town Council[46]
  • Port Authority Police Benevolent Association[48]
  • Latino Leadership Alliance PAC[49]
  • State Sen. and Union City mayor Brian Stack (D)
  • Paterson City Council President Anthony Davis (D)[50]

Republican PartySeth Grossman

  • Weekly newspaper NJ Today[47]

Campaign sites & media

Barbara Buono


Buono's first TV spot of the campaign, released May 22, 2013

Chris Christie


"Timeline" - released May 22, 2013

"MEET Barbara Buono" - released May 17, 2013

"Barbara Buono Refuses To Rule Out Raising Taxes As Governor" released May 16, 2013

"They Said" - released September 12, 2013

"Who?" - released September 16, 2013

Seth Grossman


Grossman for NJ Governor - April 7, 2013

"The Solution is Still the Same for NJ's Debt" - April 12, 2013

Grossman on recent NJ gun legislation - May 5, 2013

Troy Webster

News

Recent news

This section displays the most recent stories in a google news search for the term New + Jersey + Governor + Election

All stories may not be relevant to this page due to the nature of the search engine.

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Additional reading

See also

External links

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References

  1. Barbara Buono and Milly Silva 2013 Official Campaign website, "Press Releases: Buono Names Milly Silva Candidate for Lieutenant Governor," July 29, 2013
  2. NJToday, "NJ Decides 2013 Primary Election Results," accessed June 5, 2013
  3. New Jersey Division of Elections, "Candidates for Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Official List," August 8, 2013
  4. 4.0 4.1 Quinnipiac University, "Booker Is Strongest Dem To Face Christie, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Say Show Me The Money Before Tax Cut Vote," October 17, 2012
  5. NorthJersey.com, "Democrat Barbara Buono running for governor in NJ," December 11, 2012
  6. 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 New Jersey State Board of Elections, "Primary candidate list for 2013 Governor," accessed April 4, 2013
  7. The Associated Press "Governor Christie Announces Re-Election Bid," November 26, 2012
  8. Politico, "Report: Cory Booker may take on Chris Christie," August 24, 2012
  9. The New York Times, "http://www.nytimes.com/2012/12/21/nyregion/booker-wont-run-for-governor-eyes-senate-bid.html?hp&_r=1&," December 20, 2012
  10. The Star-Leger, "Sen. Richard Codey says he won't run for governor after weighing a campaign," January 25, 2013
  11. West Deptford Patch, "Steve Sweeney Won’t Run for Governor in ’13," January 28, 2013
  12. The Star-Ledger, "Sen. Sweeney to run for governor if Cory Booker declines, sources say," November 28, 2012
  13. The Huffington Post, "Steve Sweeney Considering Race For Governor Of New Jersey Against Chris Christie," December 6, 2012
  14. NJ.com, "Sen. Buono raises almost $250K in first month of campaigning," January 2, 2013
  15. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named quinpolll
  16. Rutgers-Eagleton Poll, November 27, 2012
  17. NJToday "Primary election results," accessed June 5, 2013
  18. Politickernj.com, "Christie and Buono wrap yawner primary season," June 4, 2013
  19. Elect Troy Webster Official Campaign Website, "Biography," accessed June 4, 2013
  20. NJ Today, "EDITORIAL: Troy Webster For Governor," April 14, 2013
  21. NorthJersey.com, "Barbara Buono picks union leader Milly Silva as running mate," July 25, 2013
  22. Barbara Buono and Milly Silva 2013 Official Campaign website, "Press Releases: Buono Names Milly Silva Candidate for Lieutenant Governor," July 29, 2013
  23. PolitickerNJ, "Christie and Buono wrap yawner primary season," June 4, 2013
  24. ‘’NJ News 12 “Poll: Christie remains popular in NJ” accessed April 15, 2013
  25. RealClearPolitics, "New Jersey Governor - Christie vs. Buono," accessed November 3, 2013
  26. New Jersey Department of State Elections Division, "Statewide Voter Registration Summary," May 7, 2013
  27. NJ.com, "Sen. Buono raises almost $250K in first month of campaigning," January 2, 2013
  28. 28.0 28.1 28.2 28.3 The Star-Ledger, "Buono qualifies for public matching funds in N.J. governor's race," February 4, 2013
  29. NorthJersey.com, "Christie campaign participating in public financing program," August 20, 2013
  30. Washington Post, "The 5 best races of 2013," November 30, 2012
  31. Public Policy Polling, "Christie in trouble for re-election," July 20, 2011
  32. Quinnipiac University Poll, "NEW JERSEY GOV FLIES HIGH, BURIES UNKNOWN DEM, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS;CHRISTIE CLOSE TO CLINTON, LEADS CUOMO IN ’16 PRES RACE," released February 20, 2013
  33. Rutgers Eagleton Center for Public Polling, "Christie Ratings and Re-elect 2012 Poll," November 26, 2012
  34. Quinnipiac University, "October 17, 2012 - Booker Is Strongest Dem To Face Christie, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Say Show Me The Money Before Tax Cut Vote," October 17, 2012
  35. Quinnipiac University, "New Jersey Gov. Christie Gets No GOP Convention Bounce, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Most Biased Against Atheists, Muslims," September 5, 2012
  36. Public Policy Polling, "Christie in trouble for re-election," July 20, 2011
  37. New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission, "Campaign Finance Report Summary: Barbara Buono," June 27, 2013
  38. New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission, "Campaign Finance Report Summary: Chris Christie," June 24, 2013
  39. New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission, "Campaign Finance Report Summary: Seth Grossman," June 24, 2013
  40. NJ.com, "Sen. Buono raises almost $250K in first month of campaigning," January 2, 2013
  41. NorthJersey.com, "Christie campaign participating in public financing program," August 20, 2013
  42. New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission, "Press Release," June 19, 2012
  43. 43.0 43.1 PolititickerNJ.com, "National pipefitters wade into gov. race, endorse Christie," March 26, 2013
  44. 44.0 44.1 44.2 44.3 Arizonacentral.com, "Dems agree on candidate to challenge NJ’s Christie," January 30, 2013
  45. 45.0 45.1 The Associated Press, "Buono picks up key backing in NJ gov's race," January 28, 2013
  46. 46.0 46.1 46.2 46.3 46.4 NJ.com, "Harrison's Democratic leaders endorse Christie without tipping county Dem Party officials," February 1, 2013
  47. 47.0 47.1 NJ Today, "EDITORIAL: Troy Webster For Governor," April 14, 2013
  48. NJ.com, "Christie endorsed by Port Authority police union," January 22, 2013
  49. Fox News Latino, "Chris Christie Nabs Endorsement of New Jersey Latino Group," February 28, 2013
  50. The Huffington Post, "Chris Christie Reelection Backed Increasingly By Democrats," May 23, 2013