Difference between revisions of "New York's 15th Congressional District elections, 2012"

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{{nydis15congtoc}}The [[New York's 15th congressional district|15th congressional district of New York]] will hold an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
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{{nydis15congtoc}}{{tnr}}The '''[[New York's 15th congressional district|15th congressional district of New York]]''' held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
[[File:NY15.jpg|thumb|300px|This is the 15th congressional district prior to the [[Redistricting in New York|2011 redistricting]].]]
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[[Jose E. Serrano]] was re-elected on November 6, 2012.<ref>[http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/Elections/New York ''ABC News'' "2012 General Election Results"]</ref>
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{{Congintro2012
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|Filing deadline=April 16, 2012
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|Primary date=June 26, 2012
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|Primary=New York has a [[Closed primary|closed primary]] system, meaning only registered members of a particular party may vote in that party's primary.
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|Voter registration=Voters had to register to [[Voting in the 2012 primary elections|vote in the primary]] by June 1. For the [[Voting in the 2012 general elections|general election]], the voter registration deadline was October 12, or October 26 in person.<ref>[http://www.elections.ny.gov/VotingDeadlines.html ''New York State Board of Elections'' "Voting Deadline Page," Accessed June 30, 2012]</ref>
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|State=New York
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|Incumbent=Heading into the election the incumbent is [[Charles B. Rangel|Charlie Rangel]] (D), who was first elected to the House in 1970. Due to [[Redistricting in New York|redistricting]], Rangel is running in the redrawn [[New York's 13th congressional district elections, 2012|13th district]], and [[New York's 16th congressional district elections, 2012|16th district]] incumbent [[Jose Serrano]] is running in the new 15th. }}
  
Candidates wishing to run were required to file by the [[Signature_requirements_and_deadlines_for_2012_U.S._Congress_elections|signature filing deadline]] April 16, 2012. On January 27, 2012, [[judgepedia:Gary Sharpe|Judge Gary Sharpe]] moved the primary date from September 11, 2012 to '''June 26, 2012''' in order to allow for sufficient time to send absentee ballots to military voters.<ref>[http://cityroom.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/01/27/judge-moves-congressional-primary-date-to-june/ ''New York Times'' "Judge Moves Congressional Primary Date to June," January 27, 2012]</ref>
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This will be the first election using [[Congressional redistricting maps implemented after the 2010 Census|new district maps based on 2010 Census data]]. [[New York's 15th congressional district]] is located in the southeastern portion of the [[New York|state]] and includes parts of New York City.<ref>[http://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php/File:New_York_Congress_Map_2012.jpg ''New York Redistricting Map'' "Map" Accessed September 25, 2012]</ref>
 
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Heading into the election the incumbent is [[Charles B. Rangel|Charlie Rangel]] (D), who was first elected to the House in 1970. Due to [[Redistricting in New York|redistricting]], Rangel is running in the redrawn [[New York's 13th congressional district elections, 2012|13th district]], and [[New York's 16th congressional district elections, 2012|16th district]] incumbent [[Jose Serrano]] is running in the new 15th.
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==Fusion voting==
 
==Fusion voting==
New York is one of eight states that have "electoral fusion" -- which allows more than one political party to support a common candidate. This creates a situation where one candidate will appear multiple times on the same ballot, for the same position. Electoral fusion was once widespread across the United States, but is now commonly practiced only in New York.
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{{Fusionvoting}}
 
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Opponents of fusion voting argue that the process results in dealmarking to ensure that patronage is rampant.<ref>[http://wnymedia.net/wnymedia/buffalopundit/2010/05/electoral-fusion-ruins-new-york-some-more/ Electoral fusion ruins elections]</ref> Proponents maintain that fusion voting allows for minor parties to actually make a difference during the election, allowing voters the opportunity to vote for a minority party platform but still affect the general election result.<ref>[http://www.workingfamiliesparty.org/elections/fusion-the-secret-weapon/ Working Family Party: Fusion voting]</ref>
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Candidates appearing in the general election will be listed below with colored dots corresponding to any party they will represent on the ballot.
+
  
 
==Candidates==
 
==Candidates==
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{{Candidate list noteB|Date=October 15, 2012}}
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{{nycong15cand12}}
 
{{nycong15cand12}}
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[[File:New York's 15th Congressional District Before and After the 2010 Census Redistricting.jpg|link=http://nycd2011.ballotpedia.censusviewer.com/client|thumb|450px|[http://nycd2011.ballotpedia.censusviewer.com/client Map of the 15th congressional district of New York] before and after the [[Redistricting in New York|2010 redistricting]]. Click on the link for an interactive map of the congressional districts in New York. For an interactive map of the districts prior to the 2010 Census, click [http://nycd2001.ballotpedia.censusviewer.com/client here].]]
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==Election Results==
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===General Election===
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{{Template:Nydis15genelecbox12}}
  
 
==Impact of redistricting==
 
==Impact of redistricting==
 
::''See also: [[Redistricting in New York]]''
 
::''See also: [[Redistricting in New York]]''
 
Following the results of the 2010 Census, New York lost two congressional seats, bringing its total number of representatives down from 29 to 27. According to a report in the ''Washington Post'' political blog "The Fix," New York was one of the top 10 redistricting battles in the nation.<ref>[http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/post/redistricting-battles-hit-a-fever-pitch/2011/06/03/AGN7h7HH_blog.html ''Washington Post, "The Fix,"'' "Redistricting battles hit a fever pitch," June 3, 2011]</ref>
 
Following the results of the 2010 Census, New York lost two congressional seats, bringing its total number of representatives down from 29 to 27. According to a report in the ''Washington Post'' political blog "The Fix," New York was one of the top 10 redistricting battles in the nation.<ref>[http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/post/redistricting-battles-hit-a-fever-pitch/2011/06/03/AGN7h7HH_blog.html ''Washington Post, "The Fix,"'' "Redistricting battles hit a fever pitch," June 3, 2011]</ref>
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The [[New York's 15th congressional district|15th district]] was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.<ref>[http://www.censusviewer.com/district-maps/2012/08/new-york-congressional-districts-comparison-2001-2011/ ''Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer'' "New York's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"]</ref><ref>[http://www.votermapping.com ''Labels & Lists'' "VoterMapping software voter counts"]</ref>
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*19 percent from the [[New York's 7th congressional district|7th congressional district]]
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*81 percent from the [[New York's 16th congressional district|16th congressional district]]
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===Registration statistics===
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As of October 29, 2012, District 15 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the New York State Board of Elections:
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{| border="1" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="0" style="margin: 1em 1em 1em 0; background: #f9f9f9; border: 1px #a3bfb1 solid;" width=70%;
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|- style="background-color:#9400d3; color: white;"
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! colspan="8" | New York Congressional District 15<ref>[http://www.elections.ny.gov/NYSBOE/enrollment/congress/congress_apr12.pdf ''New York State Board of Elections,'' "District Active Enrollment 2012," April, 2012]</ref>
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|-bgcolor="#cef2e0 align="center"
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!Congressional District
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!District Total
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!Democrats
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!Republicans
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!Other & Unaffiliated
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!Advantage
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!Party Advantage
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!Change in Advantage from 2010
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|-
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|District 15
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|296,205
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|236,833
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|13,758
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|45,614
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|style="background-color:blue; color: white;"|Democratic
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|1621.42%
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|243.58%
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|-
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| colspan="8" align="center" |<small>"Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only.</small>
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|}
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===District partisanship===
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====FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study====
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:''See also: [[FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012]]''
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In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps.  New York's 15th District remained Democratic after redistricting.<ref>[http://www.fairvote.org/assets/2012-Redistricting/NYRedistrictingAnalysis.pdf,'' "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in New York," September 2012]</ref>
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*'''2012''': 91D / 9R
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*'''2010''': 91D / 9R
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====Cook Political Report's PVI====
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:''See also: [[Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index]]''
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In 2012, ''Cook Political Report'' released its updated figures on the [[Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index|Partisan Voter Index]], which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. [[New York's 15th congressional district]] has a PVI of D+41, which is the  most Democratic district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by [[Barack Obama]] (D), 95-5 percent over [[John McCain]] (R). In 2004, [[John Kerry]] (D) won the district 89-11 percent over George W. Bush (R).<ref>[http://cookpolitical.com/application/writable/uploads/2012_PVI_by_District.pdf ''Cook Political Report'' "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" Accessed October 2012]</ref>
  
 
==District history==
 
==District history==
 
===2010===
 
===2010===
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[[File:NY15.jpg|thumb|300px|This is the 15th congressional district prior to the [[Redistricting in New York|2011 redistricting]].]]
 
On November 2, 2010, [[Charlie Rangel]] was re-elected to the [[United States House]] for a twenty first term. He defeated Michel J. Faulkner ([[Republican|R]] who also ran on the [[Conservative Party]] ticket), [[Craig Schley]] (Independence, Vote People Change), and Roger Calero (Socialist Worker).<ref>[http://clerk.house.gov/member_info/electionInfo/2010election.pdf ''U.S. Congress House Clerk'' "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010"]</ref>  
 
On November 2, 2010, [[Charlie Rangel]] was re-elected to the [[United States House]] for a twenty first term. He defeated Michel J. Faulkner ([[Republican|R]] who also ran on the [[Conservative Party]] ticket), [[Craig Schley]] (Independence, Vote People Change), and Roger Calero (Socialist Worker).<ref>[http://clerk.house.gov/member_info/electionInfo/2010election.pdf ''U.S. Congress House Clerk'' "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010"]</ref>  
  
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{{2012 congress election}}
 
{{2012 congress election}}
 
{{New York congress}}
 
{{New York congress}}
__NOTOC__
 
 
[[Category:U.S. House elections, New York, 2012]]
 
[[Category:U.S. House elections, New York, 2012]]

Revision as of 14:08, 19 September 2013

2014



CongressLogo.png

New York's 15th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
June 26, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Jose E. Serrano Democratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Charles B. Rangel Democratic Party
Charles B. Rangel.jpg

New York U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9District 10District 11District 12District 13District 14District 15District 16District 17District 18District 19District 20District 21District 22District 23District 24District 25District 26District 27

2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of New York.png
The 15th congressional district of New York held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.

Jose E. Serrano was re-elected on November 6, 2012.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
April 16, 2012
June 26, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: New York has a closed primary system, meaning only registered members of a particular party may vote in that party's primary.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by June 1. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 12, or October 26 in person.[2]

See also: New York elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent is Charlie Rangel (D), who was first elected to the House in 1970. Due to redistricting, Rangel is running in the redrawn 13th district, and 16th district incumbent Jose Serrano is running in the new 15th.

This will be the first election using new district maps based on 2010 Census data. New York's 15th congressional district is located in the southeastern portion of the state and includes parts of New York City.[3]

Fusion voting

New York is one of eight states that have "electoral fusion" -- which allows more than one political party to support a common candidate. This creates a situation where one candidate will appear multiple times on the same ballot, for the same position. Electoral fusion was once widespread across the United States, but is now commonly practiced only in New York.

Opponents of fusion voting argue that the process results in dealmarking to ensure that patronage is rampant.[4] Proponents maintain that fusion voting allows for minor parties to actually make a difference during the election, allowing voters the opportunity to vote for a minority party platform but still affect the general election result.[5]

Candidates appearing in the general election will be listed below with colored dots corresponding to any party they will represent on the ballot.


Candidates

Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals were added after official election results had been certified. For more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan, click here. If you find any errors in this list, please email: Geoff Pallay.

General election candidates

Democratic Party Working Families Party Jose E. Serrano Green check mark transparent.png
Republican Party Conservative Party Frank Della Valle


June 26, 2012 primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

Conservative Party Conservative Primary

Working Families Party Working Families Primary

Map of the 15th congressional district of New York before and after the 2010 redistricting. Click on the link for an interactive map of the congressional districts in New York. For an interactive map of the districts prior to the 2010 Census, click here.

Election Results

General Election

U.S. House, New York District 15 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJose E. Serrano Incumbent 85.5% 152,661
     Republican Frank Della Valle 2.5% 4,427
     N/A Blank/Void/Scattering 12.1% 21,557
Total Votes 178,645
Source: New York State Board of Elections "U.S. House of Representatives Results"

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in New York

Following the results of the 2010 Census, New York lost two congressional seats, bringing its total number of representatives down from 29 to 27. According to a report in the Washington Post political blog "The Fix," New York was one of the top 10 redistricting battles in the nation.[7]

The 15th district was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[8][9]

Registration statistics

As of October 29, 2012, District 15 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the New York State Board of Elections:

New York Congressional District 15[10]
Congressional District District Total Democrats Republicans Other & Unaffiliated Advantage Party Advantage Change in Advantage from 2010
District 15 296,205 236,833 13,758 45,614 Democratic 1621.42% 243.58%
"Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only.

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. New York's 15th District remained Democratic after redistricting.[11]

  • 2012: 91D / 9R
  • 2010: 91D / 9R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. New York's 15th congressional district has a PVI of D+41, which is the most Democratic district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by Barack Obama (D), 95-5 percent over John McCain (R). In 2004, John Kerry (D) won the district 89-11 percent over George W. Bush (R).[12]

District history

2010

This is the 15th congressional district prior to the 2011 redistricting.

On November 2, 2010, Charlie Rangel was re-elected to the United States House for a twenty first term. He defeated Michel J. Faulkner (R who also ran on the Conservative Party ticket), Craig Schley (Independence, Vote People Change), and Roger Calero (Socialist Worker).[13]

U.S. House, New York Congressional District 15 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngCharles B. Rangel Incumbent 72.4% 91,225
     Blank/Scattering 10.8% 13,617
     Republican Michel J. Faulkner 9.3% 11,754
     Independence, Vote People Change Craig Schley 6.2% 7,803
     Socialist Worker Roger Calero 1.3% 1,647
Total Votes 126,046

See also

References