Difference between revisions of "New York's 1st Congressional District elections, 2012"

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The [[1st congressional district of New York]] will hold an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
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{{nydis1congtoc}}{{tnr}}The [[New York's 1st Congressional District|1st Congressional District of New York]] held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
[[File:NY1.jpg|thumb|300px|This is the 1st congressional district prior to the [[Redistricting in New York|2011 redistricting]].]]
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[[Tim Bishop]] was re-elected on November 6, 2012.<ref>[http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/Elections/New York ''ABC News'', "2012 General Election Results," November 6, 2012]</ref>
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{{Congintro2012
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|Filing deadline=April 16, 2012
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|Primary date=June 26, 2012
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|Primary=New York had a [[Closed primary|closed primary]] system, meaning only registered members of a particular party could vote in that party's primary.
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|Voter registration=Voters had to register to [[Voting in the 2012 primary elections|vote in the primary]] by June 1, 2012. For the [[Voting in the 2012 general elections|general election]], the voter registration deadline was October 12, 2012, or October 26, 2012 in person.<ref>[http://www.elections.ny.gov/VotingDeadlines.html ''New York State Board of Elections'' "Voting Deadline Page," Accessed June 30, 2012]</ref>
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|State=New York
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|Incumbent=Heading into the election the incumbent was [[Tim Bishop]] (D), who was first elected to the House in 2002. }}
  
Candidates wishing to run must file by the [[Signature_requirements_and_deadlines_for_2012_U.S._Congress_elections|signature filing deadline]] June 12, 2012. The primary elections will be held on September 11, 2012.
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This was the first election using [[Congressional redistricting maps implemented after the 2010 Census|new district maps based on 2010 Census data]]. [[New York's 1st Congressional District]] was located in the eastern portion of the [[New York|state]] and included Suffolk county.<ref>[http://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php/File:New_York_Congress_Map_2012.jpg ''New York Redistricting Map'' "Map" Accessed August 31, 2012]</ref>
  
Heading into the election the incumbent is [[Tim Bishop]] (D), who was first elected to the House in 2002.
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==Fusion voting==
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{{Fusionvoting}}
  
 
==Candidates==
 
==Candidates==
{{bluedot}} <u>'''Democratic Primary'''</u>
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{{Candidate list noteB|Date=October 15, 2012}}
:* [[Tim Bishop]]: ''Incumbent''<ref>[http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/house-races/154595-ny-rep-bishop-asks-for-100-to-attend-campaign-kickoff ''The Hill'' "NY Rep. Bishop asks for $100 to attend campaign kickoff," Accessed December 22, 2011]</ref>
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{{reddot}} <u>'''Republican Primary'''</u>
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{{nycong1cand12}}
:* [[Randy Altschuler]]: Businessman, previous candidate<ref name="ra"/>
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:* [[George Demos]]: Attorney<ref name="ra">[http://www.northshoreoflongisland.com/Articles-i-2011-05-26-88401.112114-sub18235.112114-Randy-Altschuler-George-Demos-to-run-for-Congress.html ''Times Beacon Record'' "Randy Altschuler, George Demos to run for Congress," Accessed December 22, 2011]</ref>
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==Election results==
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===General Election===
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{{Template:Nydis1genelecbox12}}
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 +
==Race background==
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New York's 1st was considered to be a Tossup according to the ''New York Times'' race ratings.  This race was a rematch of one of the hottest 2010 races, with Democratic incumbent [[Tim Bishop]] squaring off against [[Randy Altschuler]] (R).  Bishop may have had an advantage due to an expected higher Democratic turnout thanks to the presidential election.  However, Altschuler had recently been endorsed by the Independence Party.<ref>[http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/ratings/house ''New York Times'' "House Race Ratings," Accessed August 10, 2012]</ref>
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 +
New York's 1st District had been included in the [[Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee#Red to Blue|Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee]]'s "Red to Blue List," which identified districts that the organization specifically targeted to flip from Republican to Democratic control.<ref>[http://www.dccc.org/pages/redtoblue ''DCCC,'' "Red to Blue 2012"]</ref>
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 +
Republican challenger [[Randy Altschuler]] had been included in the [[National Republican Congressional Committee#Young Guns|National Republican Congressional Committee]]'s Young Guns program.  The program highlighted challengers who represented the GOP's best chances to pick up congressional seats in the general election.<ref>[http://gopyoungguns.com/candidates/ ''NRCC'' "Young Guns 2012"]</ref>
  
 
==Impact of redistricting==
 
==Impact of redistricting==
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[[File:New York's 1st Congressional District Before and After the 2010 Census Redistricting.jpg|link=http://nycd2011.ballotpedia.censusviewer.com/client|thumb|450px|[http://nycd2011.ballotpedia.censusviewer.com/client Map of the 1st Congressional District of New York] before and after the [[Redistricting in New York|2010 redistricting]]. Click on the link for an interactive map of the congressional districts in New York. For an interactive map of the districts prior to the 2010 Census, click [http://nycd2001.ballotpedia.censusviewer.com/client here].]]
 
::''See also: [[Redistricting in New York]]''
 
::''See also: [[Redistricting in New York]]''
Following the results of the 2010 Census, New York lost two congressional seats, bringing its total number of representatives down from 29 to 27. A new map has yet to be finalized. According to a report in the Washington Post political blog "The Fix," New York is one of the top 10 redistricting battles in the nation.<ref>[http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/post/redistricting-battles-hit-a-fever-pitch/2011/06/03/AGN7h7HH_blog.html ''Washington Post, "The Fix,"'' "Redistricting battles hit a fever pitch," June 3, 2011]</ref>
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Following the results of the 2010 Census, New York lost two congressional seats, bringing its total number of representatives down from 29 to 27. According to a report in the ''Washington Post'' political blog "The Fix," New York was one of the top 10 redistricting battles in the nation.<ref>[http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/post/redistricting-battles-hit-a-fever-pitch/2011/06/03/AGN7h7HH_blog.html ''Washington Post, "The Fix,"'' "Redistricting battles hit a fever pitch," June 3, 2011]</ref>
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The [[New York's 1st Congressional District|1st District]] was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district was composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.<ref>[http://www.censusviewer.com/district-maps/2012/08/new-york-congressional-districts-comparison-2001-2011/ ''Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer'' "New York's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"]</ref><ref>[http://www.votermapping.com ''Labels & Lists'' "VoterMapping software voter counts"]</ref>
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*97 percent from the [[New York's 1st Congressional District|1st Congressional District]]
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*3 percent from the [[New York's 2nd Congressional District|2nd Congressional District]]
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===Registration statistics===
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As of October 29, 2012, District 1 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the New York State Board of Elections:
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{| border="1" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="0" style="margin: 1em 1em 1em 0; background: #f9f9f9; border: 1px #a3bfb1 solid;" width=70%;
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|- style="background-color:#9400d3; color: white;"
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! colspan="8" | New York Congressional District 1<ref>[http://www.elections.ny.gov/NYSBOE/enrollment/congress/congress_apr12.pdf ''New York State Board of Elections,'' "District Active Enrollment 2012," April, 2012]</ref>
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|-bgcolor="#cef2e0 align="center"
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!Congressional District
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!District Total
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!Democrats
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!Republicans
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!Other & Unaffiliated
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!Advantage
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!Party Advantage
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!Change in Advantage from 2010
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|-
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|District 1
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|438,771
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|130,411
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|155,713
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|152,647
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|style="background-color:red; color: white;"|Republican
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|19.40%
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|2.93%
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|-
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| colspan="8" align="center" |<small>"Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only.</small>
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|}
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===District partisanship===
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====FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study====
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:''See also: [[FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012]]''
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In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps.  New York's 1st District became more balanced due to redistricting.<ref>[http://www.fairvote.org/assets/2012-Redistricting/NYRedistrictingAnalysis.pdf,'' "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in New York," September 2012]</ref>
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*'''2012''': 48D / 52R
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*'''2010''': 48D / 52R
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 +
====Cook Political Report's PVI====
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:''See also: [[Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index]]''
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In 2012, ''Cook Political Report'' released its updated figures on the [[Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index|Partisan Voter Index]], which measured each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. [[New York's 1st Congressional District]] had a PVI of Even, which was the 232nd most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by [[Barack Obama]] (D), 58-42 percent over [[John McCain]] (R). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 50-50 percent over [[John Kerry]] (D).<ref>[http://cookpolitical.com/application/writable/uploads/2012_PVI_by_District.pdf ''Cook Political Report'' "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" Accessed October 2012]</ref>
  
 
==District history==
 
==District history==
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{{ballot access short}}
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[[File:NY1.jpg|thumb|300px|This was the 1st Congressional District prior to the [[Redistricting in New York|2011 redistricting]].]]
 
===2010===
 
===2010===
 
On November 2, 2010, [[Tim Bishop]] was re-elected to the [[United States House]] for a fifth term. He defeated Randy Altschuler ([[Republican]] who also ran on the [[Conservative Party]] ticket).<ref>[http://clerk.house.gov/member_info/electionInfo/2010election.pdf ''U.S. Congress House Clerk'' "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010"]</ref>  
 
On November 2, 2010, [[Tim Bishop]] was re-elected to the [[United States House]] for a fifth term. He defeated Randy Altschuler ([[Republican]] who also ran on the [[Conservative Party]] ticket).<ref>[http://clerk.house.gov/member_info/electionInfo/2010election.pdf ''U.S. Congress House Clerk'' "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010"]</ref>  
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{{2012 congress election}}
 
{{2012 congress election}}
 
{{New York congress}}
 
{{New York congress}}
__NOTOC__
 
 
[[Category:U.S. House elections, New York, 2012]]
 
[[Category:U.S. House elections, New York, 2012]]

Revision as of 14:04, 20 March 2014

2014



CongressLogo.png

New York's 1st Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
June 26, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Tim Bishop Democratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Tim Bishop Democratic Party
Tim Bishop.jpg

New York U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9District 10District 11District 12District 13District 14District 15District 16District 17District 18District 19District 20District 21District 22District 23District 24District 25District 26District 27

2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of New York.png
The 1st Congressional District of New York held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.

Tim Bishop was re-elected on November 6, 2012.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
April 16, 2012
June 26, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: New York had a closed primary system, meaning only registered members of a particular party could vote in that party's primary.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by June 1, 2012. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 12, 2012, or October 26, 2012 in person.[2]

See also: New York elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Tim Bishop (D), who was first elected to the House in 2002.

This was the first election using new district maps based on 2010 Census data. New York's 1st Congressional District was located in the eastern portion of the state and included Suffolk county.[3]

Fusion voting

New York is one of eight states that have "electoral fusion" -- which allows more than one political party to support a common candidate. This creates a situation where one candidate will appear multiple times on the same ballot, for the same position. Electoral fusion was once widespread across the United States, but is now commonly practiced only in New York.

Opponents of fusion voting argue that the process results in dealmarking to ensure that patronage is rampant.[4] Proponents maintain that fusion voting allows for minor parties to actually make a difference during the election, allowing voters the opportunity to vote for a minority party platform but still affect the general election result.[5]

Candidates appearing in the general election will be listed below with colored dots corresponding to any party they will represent on the ballot.


Candidates

Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals were added after official election results had been certified. For more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan, click here. If you find any errors in this list, please email: Geoff Pallay.

General election candidates

Democratic Party Working Families Party Tim Bishop Green check mark transparent.png
Republican Party Conservative Party Independence Party of America Randy Altschuler



June 26, 2012 primary results

Democratic Party Democratic primary

Republican Party Republican primary

Note: Jason Sterling[8] and George Demos[9] withdrew before the primary.

Conservative Party Conservative candidate

Working Families Party Working Families candidate

Independence Party of America Independence candidate

Libertarian Party Libertarian candidate

Note:Witt does not appear on the general ballot.[10]


Election results

General Election

U.S. House, New York District 1 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngTim Bishop Incumbent 49.3% 145,198
     Republican Randy Altschuler 44.7% 131,650
     N/A Blank/Void/Scattering 6% 17,730
Total Votes 294,578
Source: New York State Board of Elections "U.S. House of Representatives Results"

Race background

New York's 1st was considered to be a Tossup according to the New York Times race ratings. This race was a rematch of one of the hottest 2010 races, with Democratic incumbent Tim Bishop squaring off against Randy Altschuler (R). Bishop may have had an advantage due to an expected higher Democratic turnout thanks to the presidential election. However, Altschuler had recently been endorsed by the Independence Party.[11]

New York's 1st District had been included in the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's "Red to Blue List," which identified districts that the organization specifically targeted to flip from Republican to Democratic control.[12]

Republican challenger Randy Altschuler had been included in the National Republican Congressional Committee's Young Guns program. The program highlighted challengers who represented the GOP's best chances to pick up congressional seats in the general election.[13]

Impact of redistricting

Map of the 1st Congressional District of New York before and after the 2010 redistricting. Click on the link for an interactive map of the congressional districts in New York. For an interactive map of the districts prior to the 2010 Census, click here.
See also: Redistricting in New York

Following the results of the 2010 Census, New York lost two congressional seats, bringing its total number of representatives down from 29 to 27. According to a report in the Washington Post political blog "The Fix," New York was one of the top 10 redistricting battles in the nation.[14]

The 1st District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district was composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[15][16]

Registration statistics

As of October 29, 2012, District 1 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the New York State Board of Elections:

New York Congressional District 1[17]
Congressional District District Total Democrats Republicans Other & Unaffiliated Advantage Party Advantage Change in Advantage from 2010
District 1 438,771 130,411 155,713 152,647 Republican 19.40% 2.93%
"Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only.

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. New York's 1st District became more balanced due to redistricting.[18]

  • 2012: 48D / 52R
  • 2010: 48D / 52R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measured each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. New York's 1st Congressional District had a PVI of Even, which was the 232nd most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by Barack Obama (D), 58-42 percent over John McCain (R). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 50-50 percent over John Kerry (D).[19]

District history

Candidate Ballot Access
Ballot Access Requirements Final.jpg

Find detailed information on ballot access requirements in all 50 states and Washington D.C.
This was the 1st Congressional District prior to the 2011 redistricting.

2010

On November 2, 2010, Tim Bishop was re-elected to the United States House for a fifth term. He defeated Randy Altschuler (Republican who also ran on the Conservative Party ticket).[20]

U.S. House, New York Congressional District 1 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngTim Bishop Incumbent 48.7% 98,316
     Republican Randy Altschuler 48.4% 97,723
     Blank/Scattering 3% 5,968
Total Votes 202,007

See also

References

  1. York ABC News, "2012 General Election Results," November 6, 2012
  2. New York State Board of Elections "Voting Deadline Page," Accessed June 30, 2012
  3. New York Redistricting Map "Map" Accessed August 31, 2012
  4. Clarence Bee, "State Senate candidate calls for an end to fusion voting", accessed September 19, 2013
  5. Oregon Working Family Party, "What is Fusion Voting?", accessed September 19, 2013
  6. The Hill "NY Rep. Bishop asks for $100 to attend campaign kickoff," accessed December 22, 2011
  7. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named ra
  8. 8.0 8.1 8.2 8.3 New York Board of Elections "List of Filings for June 26, 2012 Federal Primary," accessed May 30, 2012
  9. Wall Street Journal "Demos quits GOP primary for congressional seat," May 25, 2012
  10. New York Elections "2012 Candidate List"
  11. New York Times "House Race Ratings," Accessed August 10, 2012
  12. DCCC, "Red to Blue 2012"
  13. NRCC "Young Guns 2012"
  14. Washington Post, "The Fix," "Redistricting battles hit a fever pitch," June 3, 2011
  15. Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer "New York's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"
  16. Labels & Lists "VoterMapping software voter counts"
  17. New York State Board of Elections, "District Active Enrollment 2012," April, 2012
  18. "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in New York," September 2012
  19. Cook Political Report "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" Accessed October 2012
  20. U.S. Congress House Clerk "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010"