North Carolina's 13th Congressional District elections, 2012

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North Carolina's 13th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
May 8, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
George E.B. Holding Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Brad Miller Democratic Party
Brad Miller.jpg

North Carolina U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9District 10District 11District 12District 13

2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of North Carolina.png
The 13th congressional district of North Carolina held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
This is the 13th congressional district prior to the 2011 redistricting.

George E.B. Holding (R) won election to the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6th, 2012.[1] This switched partisan control of the district.

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
February 29, 2012
May 8, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: North Carolina has a closed primary system, meaning only registered members of a particular party may vote in that party's primary.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by April 13. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 12.[2]

See also: North Carolina elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Brad Miller (D), who was first elected to the House in 2002. Following the 2011 redistricting, he chose to retire rather than face fellow Democratic incumbent David Price, whose territory overlapped Miller's in the newly redrawn 4th district.[3]

This was the first election using new district maps based on 2010 Census data. North Carolina's 13th congressional district was located in the northern portion of the state and included Reckingham, Caswell, Person, Granville, and Wake counties.[4]

Candidates

Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals were added after official election results had been certified. For more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan, click here. If you find any errors in this list, please email: Geoff Pallay.

General election candidates

Democratic Party Charles Malone
Republican Party George E.B. HoldingGreen check mark transparent.png


May 8, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary


Election Results

General Election

U.S. House, North Carolina District 13 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Charles Malone 43.2% 160,115
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngGeorge E.B. Holding 56.8% 210,495
Total Votes 370,610
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Democratic Primary

U.S. House of Representatives-North Carolina, District 13 Democratic Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngCharles Malone 66.9% 45,865
Bernard A. Holliday 33.1% 22,703
Total Votes 68,568

Republican Primary

U.S. House of Representatives-North Carolina, District 13 Republican Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngGeorge Holding 43.5% 37,341
Paul Y. Coble 34.2% 29,354
Bill Randall 22.3% 19,119
Total Votes 85,814

Race background

North Carolina's 13th was considered to be Leaning Republican according to the New York Times race ratings. Democratic incumbent Brad Miller was retiring after his district became more conservative, giving Republican George E.B. Holding an opening to take the seat. Democratic candidate Charles Malone faced an uphill battle after re-entering the race after he dropped out due to health concerns.[8]

The Washington Post listed the House of Representatives elections in North Carolina in 2012 as one of the states that could have determined whether Democrats retook the House or Republicans held their majority in 2013.[9] North Carolina was rated 8th on the list.[9]

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in North Carolina

Following the 2010 Census results, North Carolina did not gain or lose any congressional seats, maintaining its 13 representatives. Under the new map, the 13th District would likely be won by a Republican.[6]

Following the 2011 redistricting, 13th district incumbent Brad Miller chose to retire rather than face fellow Democratic incumbent David Price, whose territory overlapped Miller's in the newly redrawn 4th district.[10].[6]

Registration statistics

As of May 11, 2012, District 13 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the North Carolina Board of Elections:

North Carolina Congressional District 13[11]
Congressional District District Total Democrats Republicans Other & Unaffiliated Advantage Party Advantage Change in Advantage from 2010
District 13 500,534 194,165 178,571 127,798 Democratic 8.73% -91.23%
"Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only.

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. North Carolina's 13th District became more Republican because of redistricting.[12]

  • 2012: 42D / 58R
  • 2010: 56D / 44R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. North Carolina's 13th congressional district has a PVI of R+9, which is the 116th most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 55-45 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 62-38 percent over John Kerry (D).[13]

Campaign donors

Charles Malone

Charles Malone Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
July Quarterly[14]July 15$0.00$5,530.00$(3,198.99)$2,331.01
Running totals
$5,530$(3,198.99)

George Holding

George Holding Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[15]April 15$103,030.88$253,604.53$(285,590.39)$71,045.02
Pre-primary[16]April 26$71,045.02$98,065.00$(153,268.59)$15,841.43
July Quarterly[17]July 15$15,841.43$226,354.79$(225,469.85)$16,726.37
Running totals
$578,024.32$(664,328.83)

District history

2010

See also

References

  1. Politico "2012 Election Map, North Carolina"
  2. North Carolina State Board of Elections "Registering to Vote in North Carolina," Accessed July 26, 2012
  3. Huffington Post "Brad Miller, North Carolina Congressman, Will Not Seek Re-Election," January 26, 2012
  4. North Carolina Redistricting Map "Map" Accessed August 24, 2012
  5. Rocky Mount Telegram "Three Republicans file to challenge Ellmers in May primary" accessed February 26, 2012
  6. 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.3 Roll Call "Race Ratings: GOP looks for major gains in North Carolina," Accessed December 26, 2011
  7. News & Observer "Holding to run for Miller's seat," accessed December 26, 2011
  8. New York Times "House Race Ratings," Accessed August 10, 2012
  9. 9.0 9.1 Washington Post "The 10 states that will determine control of the House in 2012" Accessed April 25, 2012
  10. Huffington Post "Brad Miller, North Carolina Congressman, Will Not Seek Re-Election," January 26, 2012
  11. North Carolina State Board of Elections, "US Congressional Districts by County and Precinct," May 11, 2012
  12. "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in North Carolina," September 2012
  13. Cook Political Report "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" Accessed October 2012
  14. Federal Election Commission "Charles Malone July Quarterly" Accessed October 10, 2012
  15. Federal Election Commission "George Holding April Quarterly" accessed October 10, 2012
  16. Federal Election Commission "George Holding Pre-primary" accessed October 10, 2012
  17. Federal Election Commission "George Holding July Quarterly" accessed October 10, 2012