Difference between revisions of "Open seats in the 2010 state legislative elections"

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{{CA201toc}}'''By Geoff Pallay and Leslie Graves'''
 
{{CA201toc}}'''By Geoff Pallay and Leslie Graves'''
  
There are [[state legislative elections, 2010|6,215 state legislative districts with a seat up for election]] on November 2, 2010, in 46 states.  In 1,140 of those districts, or 18.3% of them, the incumbent is not running for re-election.
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There are [[state legislative elections, 2010|6,215 state legislative districts with a seat up for election]] on November 2, 2010, in 46 states.   
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In 5,075 (82.9%) of the 6,125 seats up for election on November 2, the incumbent is running for re-election.
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In 1,140 (18.3%) of the 6,125 seats up for election on November 2, the incumbent is not running for re-election.
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* 375 incumbents, in 14 states, are not running because they are not allowed to, due to [[State legislatures with term limits|state legislative term limits in their state]]. 
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* Alternatively, of the 6,125 legislative seats up for election in 2010, 5,750 incumbents could, legally, have run again in 2010. 
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* Of those 5,750 seats, 770 incumbents, or 13.4%, who could have run again in 2010 chose not to.
  
 
==States compared by open seats==
 
==States compared by open seats==

Revision as of 17:19, 26 September 2010

2010 Competitiveness Overview
Competitiveness logo 4.jpg
Primary competition (state comparison)
Incumbents with no primary challenge in 2010
Incumbents with no challenges at all in 2010
Incumbents defeatedVictorious challengers
Major party challengers (state comparison)
List of candidates with no competition
Open seats (state comparisons)
Impact of term limits on # of open seats
Long-serving senatorsLong-serving reps
Star bookmark.png   Results Comparisons  Star bookmark.png
Chart Comparing 2011 ResultsComparisons Between Years
Party differences
Competitiveness Index
2010 State Legislative Elections
Competitiveness Studies from Other Years
2007200920112012
By Geoff Pallay and Leslie Graves

There are 6,215 state legislative districts with a seat up for election on November 2, 2010, in 46 states.

In 5,075 (82.9%) of the 6,125 seats up for election on November 2, the incumbent is running for re-election.

In 1,140 (18.3%) of the 6,125 seats up for election on November 2, the incumbent is not running for re-election.

  • Alternatively, of the 6,125 legislative seats up for election in 2010, 5,750 incumbents could, legally, have run again in 2010.
  • Of those 5,750 seats, 770 incumbents, or 13.4%, who could have run again in 2010 chose not to.

States compared by open seats

Legend


     Indicates a state with
state legislative term limits

The state that is least competitive as defined by the % of its seats where the incumbent is not running for re-election in 2010 is defined as #46, while the state that is most competitive as defined by the % of its seats where the incumbent is not running for re-election is defined as #; that is, 1 = "most competitive", 46 = "least competitive".

State Senate at stake Open senate House at stake Open house Total open  % open Rank
Alabama 35 7 105 13 20 14.3% 21
Alaska 10 1 40 4 5 10.0% 34
Arizona 30 15 60 25 40 44.4% 4
Arkansas 17 13 100 40 53 45.3% 3
California 20 10 80 28 38 38 7
Colorado 19 6 65 14 20 23.8 12
Connecticut 36 4 151 15 19 10.2% 33
Delaware 11 0 41 5 5 9.6% 35
Florida 23 13 120 33 46 32.2% 9
Georgia 56 11 180 27 38 16.1% 19
Hawaii 13 2 51 5 7 10.9% 31
Idaho 35 1 70 8 9 8.6% 40
Illinois 21 1 118 10 11 7.9% 43
Indiana 25 3 100 7 10 8.0% 42
Iowa 25 3 100 14 17 13.6% 22
Kansas NA NA 125 10 10 8.0% 42
Kentucky 19 2 100 5 7 5.9% 44
Maine 35 10 151 34 44 23.7% 13
Maryland 47 3 141 22 25 13.3% 23
Massachusetts 40 8 160 24 32 16.0% 20
Michigan 38 29 110 51 80 54.1% 1
Minnesota 67 9 134 15 24 11.9% 27
Missouri 17 10 163 63 73 40.6% 5
Montana 26 17 100 33 50 39.7% 6
Nebraska 24 3 NA NA 3 12.5% 24
Nevada 11 8 42 19 27 50.9% 2
New Hampshire 24 4 400 98 102 24.1% 11
New Mexico NA NA 70 3 3 4.3% 46
New York 62 6 150 19 25 11.8% 28
North Carolina 50 8 120 10 18 10.6% 32
North Dakota 24 4 48 12 16 22.2% 14
Ohio 17 9 99 22 31 26.7% 10
Oklahoma 24 8 101 14 22 17.6% 18
Oregon 16 2 60 5 7 9.2% 37
Pennsylvania 25 3 203 18 21 9.2% 37
Rhode Island 38 3 75 10 13 11.5% 29
South Carolina NA NA 124 11 11 8.9% 38
South Dakota 35 13 70 21 34 32.4% 8
Tennessee 17 2 99 8 10 8.6% 40
Texas 16 1 150 7 8 4.8% 45
Utah 15 1 75 9 10 11.1% 30
Vermont 30 5 150 17 22 12.2% 25
Washington 25 5 98 17 22 17.9% 17
West Virginia 17 3 l00 11 14 12.0% 26
Wisconsin 17 3 99 20 23 19.9% 16
Wyoming 15 4 60 11 15 20.0% 15
Totals: 1,167 273 4,958 867 1,140 18.3% NA

Term limits

There are 15 term limited states. Only Louisiana is not holding elections in 2010. Of the 14 term-limited states holding elections, 35.13% of all seats are open. In non-term limited states, that number plummets to 12.90%.

The discrepancy is largest in the Senate. In term limited states, 48.81% of seats are open. However, that number plummets to only 13.24% for states without term limits. That means 721 of the 831 Senators are running for re-election in states without term limits.

See also

Competitiveness logo 4.jpg