Partisan dominance of secretary of state positions, before and after November 2, 2010

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2010 Secretary of State Races

BamaCap.jpg
Democrats

Before election: 26

Projected after election: 19

Actual Results: TBD
Toss-up

2
Republicans

Before election: 21

Projected after election: 28

Actual Results: TBD
8 Safe or Not Up 7 3 2 8 10 9 Safe or Not Up

24 SOS seats needed for majority

Safe D Likely Dem. Leans Dem. Toss Up Leans GOP Likely GOP Safe R
Not up:
DE: Bullock (D)[1]
MD: McDonough (D)[1]
MO: Carnahan (D)
MT: McCulloch (D)
NY: Vazquez (D)[1]
NC: Marshall (D)
OR: Brown (D)
WV: Tennant (D)
CA: Bowen (D)
IL: White (D)
MA: Galvin (D)
NV: Miller (D)
ME: Dunlap (D)[2]
RI: Mollis (D)
WI: La Follette (D)
CT: Open (D)
MN: Ritchie (D)
VT: Open (D)
OH: Open (D)

Contingent on result
of state legislative election:

NH: Gardner (D)[2]
IN: Open (R)
MI: Open (R)

Possible R pick-ups:
AR: Open (D)
CO: Buescher (D)
IA: Mauro (D)
NM: Herrera (D)

Contingent on anticipated
result of gubernatorial election:

FL: Roberts (R)[1]

Pick-up contingent
on anticipated result
of gubernatorial election:

PA: Merenda (D)[1]
AL: Chapman (R)
AZ: Bennett (R)
GA: Kemp (R)
ID: Ysursa (R)
NE: Gale (R)
ND: Jaeger (R)
SC: Hammond (R)
SD: Open (R)
WY: Maxfield (R)

Possible R pick-ups:
KS: Biggs (D)
Not up:
KY: Grayson (R)
LA: Dardenne (R)
MS: Hosemann (R)
NJ: Guadagno (R)[1]
TN: Hargett (R)[2]
VA: Polarek (R)[1]
WA: Reed (R)
Contingent on anticipated
result of gubernatorial election:

TX: Andrade (R)[1]

Pick-up contingent
on anticipated result
of gubernatorial election:

OK: Savage (D)[1]
Nevada Secretary of StateColorado Secretary of StateNew Mexico Secretary of StateWyoming Secretary of StateArizona Secretary of StateMontana Secretary of StateCalifornia Secretary of StateOregon Secretary of StateWashington Secretary of StateIdaho Secretary of StateTexas Secretary of StateOklahoma Secretary of StateKansas Secretary of StateNebraska Secretary of StateSouth Dakota Secretary of StateNorth Dakota Secretary of StateMinnesota Secretary of StateIowaMissouri Secretary of StateArkansas Secretary of StateLouisiana Secretary of StateMississippi Secretary of StateAlabama Secretary of StateGeorgia Secretary of StateFlorida Secretary of StateSouth Carolina Secretary of StateIllinois Secretary of StateWisconsin Secretary of StateTennessee Secretary of StateNorth Carolina Secretary of StateIndiana Secretary of StateOhio Secretary of StateKentucky Secretary of StatePennsylvania Secretary of StateNew Jersey Secretary of StateNew York Secretary of StateVermont Secretary of StateVermont Secretary of StateNew Hampshire Secretary of StateMaine Secretary of StateWest Virginia Secretary of StateVirginia Secretary of StateMaryland Secretary of StateMaryland Secretary of StateConnecticut Secretary of StateConnecticut Secretary of StateDelaware Secretary of StateDelaware Secretary of StateRhode Island Secretary of StateRhode Island Secretary of StateMassachusetts Secretary of StateNew Hampshire Secretary of StateMichigan Secretary of StateMichigan Secretary of StateSos 2010 election map 3.png


Summary

With less then a week left until the 2010 midterm elections, we are predicting that, out of the twenty-six SOS contests, Republicans will win seventeen of these races while the Democrats will come away with nine. Of these seventeen elections the Republican Party are projected to win, six of them - Arkansas Colorado, Iowa, Kansas, New Mexico, and Ohio - will have been offices that were previously held by Democrats.

Effect of 2010 Elections on SOS Make-up
Category Democrats Republicans
Current party of SOS with 2010 elections 15 11
Gubernatorial appointment/Gov with 2010 election 4 2
Gubernatorial appointment/Gov without 2010 election 1 2
Elected by State Legislature/Leg with 2010 election 2 1
SOS with no 2010 impact 5 4
Total 27 20

References

  1. 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 The governor of the state appoints the statewide office holder.
  2. 2.0 2.1 2.2 This statewide office holder is elected by the state legislature.