Difference between revisions of "Pennsylvania Gubernatorial election, 2014"

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(Hypothetical match-up: december polling)
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===Hypothetical match-up===
===Hypothetical match-up===
{{Hypothetical match-up poll
|Title =[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/pennsylvania/release-detail?ReleaseID=1991 Quinnipiac University Poll: Pennsylvania Governor's Race]<br>December 11-16, 2013
|Inc =Tom Corbett (R)
|Response1 =Rob McCord (D)
|Response2 =Allyson Schwartz (D)
|Response3 =Tom Wolf (D)
|Response4 =John Hanger (D)
|Response5 =Katie McGinty (D)
|Response6 =Ed Pawlowski (D)
|Response7 =Jack Wagner (D)
|Response1% =42
|Response2% =45
|Response3% =44
|Response4% =37
|Response5% =44
|Response6% =41
|Response7% =48
|IncvsResponse1% =39
|IncvsResponse2% =37
|IncvsResponse3% =37
|IncvsResponse4% =42
|IncvsResponse5% =37
|IncvsResponse6% =39
|IncvsResponse7% =36
|Margin of error=3%
{{Hypothetical match-up poll
{{Hypothetical match-up poll

Revision as of 12:51, 15 January 2014


Pennsylvania Gubernatorial and Lieutenant Gubernatorial Election

Primary Date:
May 20, 2014

General Election Date:
November 4, 2014

November 4 Election Winners:
Tom Wolf Democratic Party
Mike Stack Democratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Tom Corbett Republican Party
Jim Cawley Republican Party
Gov. Tom Corbett
Lt. Gov. Jim Cawley

Pennsylvania State Executive Elections
Top Ballot
GovernorLt. Governor

Battleground Races
Pennsylvania State Senate
Pennsylvania House of Representatives
Lost trifecta for Republicans
WhoRunsTheStates Badge.jpg
State executive offices in Pennsylvania
Flag of Pennsylvania.png
The Pennsylvania gubernatorial election will take place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Tom Corbett (R) is eligible, and running, for re-election. The winner of the election will serve a 4-year term in office.

Pennsylvania is one of 12 states to use a strictly closed primary process. Voters are required to register with a political party to vote in the primary election.[1][2][3]


Note: The following list of candidates is not official and will continue to be updated until the 2014 candidate filing deadline. Candidates will be added as we come across them prior to the deadline. If you see a name of a candidate who is missing, please email us and we will add that name. As the election draws closer, more information will be added to this page.

General election

Governor candidates are listed first, followed by lieutenant governor candidates after the slash.
Republican Party Tom Corbett/Jim Cawley - Incumbents[4]
Democratic Party Tom Wolf/Mike Stack Green check mark transparent.png[5]
Independent (Write-in) Tom Lineaweaver[6][7][8]

Failed to qualify


Green Party Paul Glover - Community organizer[9][10]
Libertarian Party Ken Krawchuk - Information technology entrepreneur and 2002 Libertarian candidate for governor[11][10]

Lieutenant gubernatorial

Libertarian Party Henry Haller - businessman[12]
Green Party Wendy Lynne Lee - professor[13]

Lost in the primary


Democratic Party Allyson Schwartz - U.S. House Rep., 13th District
Democratic Party Kate McGinty - Former Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection Secretary[14]
Democratic Party Rob McCord - Pennsylvania State Treasurer[15]

Lieutenant gubernatorial

Democratic Party Mark Critz - Former U.S. Rep[16]
Democratic Party Brad Koplinski - Harrisburg city councilman[17]
Democratic Party Mark Smith - Bradford County Commissioner[18]
Democratic Party Brandon Neuman - State Representative[19][20]

Removed from ballot

Republican Party Bob Guzzardi - Conservative activist[21][22]



Democratic Party Ed Pawlowski - Mayor of Allentown, Pennsylvania[23][24][25]
Democratic Party H. Scott Conklin - State House rep.[26][27]
Democratic Party Jo Ellen Litz - Lebanon County Commissioner[28][29]
Democratic Party Josh Shapiro - Chairman, Montgomery County Board of Commissioners[14][7]
Democratic Party Max Myers - Cumberland County minister[30][7]
Democratic Party Jack Wagner - former Pennsylvania Auditor General and a former member of the Pennsylvania State Senate[31][32]
Democratic Party John Hanger - Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection Secretary[30][33]

Lieutenant gubernatorial

Democratic Party Mike Crossey - President of the Pennsylvania State Education Association[34][35]
Democratic Party Brenda Alton - Harrisburg's Parks and Recreation director[36]
Democratic Party John Wozniak - State Senator[37]
Democratic Party Larry Farnese - State Senator[38]
Democratic Party John Galloway - State representative[39]
Democratic Party John Morganelli - Northampton County District Attorney[40]
Democratic Party Jay Paterno - nonprofit executive and son of famous football coach Joe Paterno[41][42]



Republican Party Bruce Castor - Montgomery County Commissioner[43]
Democratic Party Mike Stack - State Senator[14][44]
Democratic Party Bob Casey, Jr. - U.S. Senator[45]
Democratic Party Joe Sestak - Former U.S. Rep, 7th District (2007-2011)[23]

Lieutenant gubernatorial

Democratic Party Margo Davidson - state representative[46]

Race background

There were 36 states holding regularly scheduled gubernatorial elections in 2014, with up to 10 seats considered most likely to face partisan switch including Pennsylvania Governor Tom Corbett. He was moved into to the top slot on the Washington Post's "endangered" list in March 2013, after having been in third place during the prior rating cycle.[47][48][49] Corbett's upgraded vulnerability status followed his failure to enact any of his three tent-pole policy initiatives during the recently concluded spring legislative session. The timing also corresponded to a further swell of Democratic candidates entering the 2014 governor's race.

By the summer of 2013, The New York Times, The Washington Post and Governing all rated Republican incumbent Tom Corbett as one of the most vulnerable governors facing re-election in 2014.[50] Their reports reflected the Republican governor's increasingly weak position heading into the 2014 election season, when his abysmal job approval ratings were put to the test by state Democrats, fired-up for an ousting after years under a Republican trifecta.[51]

Early polling and candidates

A July 2013 survey taken by Harper Polling showed that just under a quarter of state residents thought Corbett deserved to be elected again in 2014.[52] Those results backed up earlier polling figures released by Quinnipiac University, which had him at 38 percent job approval and substantially behind Democratic gubernatorial candidate U.S. Rep. Allyson Schwartz in a hypothetical general election match-up.[53] The Quinnipiac poll showed Schwartz beating Corbett by a whopping 10 points. These were even better numbers than had been revealed in a similar survey conducted previously by Public Opinion Strategies, a Republican-aligned firm.[54]

Back in April 2013, Schwartz was already looking especially threatening due to Corbett's dismal popularity among female respondents, 54 percent of whom expressed opposition to Corbett’s re-election compared to 27 percent who supported another term for the governor.[55]

Several Democratic hopefuls - Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection Secretary John Hanger, Hanger's predecessor Kate McGinty, Cumberland County minister Max Myers, Lebanon County Commissioner Jo Ellen Litz, York businessman Tom Wolf and State Treasurer Rob McCord - formally launched 2014 campaigns for governor. Three other potential Democratic candidates were mentioned in connection with the race: State rep. H. Scott Conklin, former state auditor and state senator Jack Wagner and county commission chairman Josh Shapiro.[56][30]Cite error: Closing </ref> missing for <ref> tag

Republican primary

Two Republicans were also mentioned as potential primary opponents for Governor Corbett: former radio announcer Tom Lineaweaver and conservative activist Bob Guzzardi.[57][58] Guzzardi filed for the Republican primary and initially survived a challenge to his campaign's signatures after the Republican Party of Pennsylvania tried to get him disqualified.[59] However, on appeal to the Pennsylvania Supreme Court, Guzzardi was ordered stricken from the ballot on a technicality. The majority on the court found that Guzzardi had failed to "meet a deadline for filing a statement of financial interests" with the State Ethics Commission and his campaign filing therefore "possessed a 'fatal defect.'"[60] Two justices dissented, citing the lower court's finding that Guzzardi had filed the proper forms with the Pennsylvania Department of State and had been told by an employee there that he did not need to also file with the State Ethics Board.[60][61]

I agree with the Commonwealth Court that what occurred here was a breakdown in the administrative process. To strike this candidate's name from the ballot is akin to denying candidates their right to appear on the ballot under circumstances where there was some accident or natural disaster preventing candidates from entering the filing office.[62]

—Pennsylvania Supreme Court Justice Max Baer, In Re: Nom. Pet. of Robert Guzzardi Dissenting Statement

Democratic primary
See also: Primary election results

Businessman Tom Wolf took the Democratic primary by storm, spending on early campaign ads and taking an early lead that proved unsurpassed by the other candidates. This was an upset for early favorite Allyson Schwartz, who finished a distant second.

Third-party candidates

Green Party candidate Paul Glover and Libertarian Party candidate Ken Krawchuk failed to get on to the November general election ballot after failing to collect the 17,000 required signatures.[63] Referencing the perceived lack of options on the ballot following the qualifying period, Republican-turned-Independent Tom Lineaweaver declared a write-in campaign.[64] Lineaweaver had previously been considered a possible Republican primary challenger to Corbett.


Hypothetical match-up

Quinnipiac University Poll: Pennsylvania Governor's Race
December 11-16, 2013
ResponseRob McCord (D)Allyson Schwartz (D)Tom Wolf (D)
Percent of the vote424544
Tom Corbett (R) percent of the vote393737
Number polled 1,061
Margin of error +/-3%

Quinnipiac University Poll: Pennsylvania Governor's Race
April 19-24, 2013
ResponseRob McCord (D)Allyson Schwartz (D)Joe Sestak (D)
Percent of the vote444748
Tom Corbett (R) percent of the vote353434
Number polled 1,235
Margin of error +/-2.8%


Governor of Pennsylvania - Democratic Primary
Poll Allyson Schwartz Kate McGintyRob McCordJohn HangerEd PawlowskiTom WolfNot sureMargin of ErrorSample Size
Harper Polling
November 9-10, 2013
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

See also

External links

Suggest a link


  1. National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
  2. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  3. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013, through January 3, 2014, researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  4. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2013-2014 Gubernatorial Races," March 11, 2013
  5. The Associated Press, "AP: Ex-revenue chief Tom Wolf running for Pa. gov," April 2, 2013 (dead link)
  6. Facebook, "Tom Lineaweaver for Governor of PA," accessed September 2, 2013
  7. 7.0 7.1 7.2 Pennsylvania Department of State, "2014 Primary Candidate List," March 12, 2014
  8. Son of David Forums: Write In The Right Tom, "Why I Want To Be Governor," accessed August 8, 2014
  9. Montgomery County Green Party, "Paul Glover Seeking GPPA Gubernatorial Nomination," December 9, 2013
  10. 10.0 10.1 Lewistown Sentinel, "Third-party hopefuls abandon bids for Pa. governor," August 1, 2014 (dead link)
  11. TribLive, "Philadelphian may seek Libertarian nomination for gubernatorial run," November 1, 2013
  13. PoliticsPA, "Green Party Officially Nominates For Lt. Gov.," March 17, 2014
  14. 14.0 14.1 14.2 Philly.com, "Brady likes Stack for governor," April 24, 2013
  15. Philly.com, "State Treasurer joins race for governor," September 24, 2013
  16. The Sentinel, "ex-Rep. Mark Critz seeking Dem nod for lieutenant governor," August 15, 2013
  17. The Associated Press- abc27.com, "Harrisburg council member runs for lt. governor," February 5, 2013
  18. The Daily Review, "Mark Smith enters Lt. Gov.'s race," February 22, 2013
  19. Politics PA, "PA Dems Endorse Waters & Other State Committee News," January 22, 2014
  20. Politics PA, "Smith Blasts Critz On NRA Support," January 22, 2014
  21. The Republic, "Conservative activist Bob Guzzardi says he aims to challenge Corbett in Pa. GOP primary," Decamber 31, 2013
  22. PennLive, "Pa. Supreme Court ousts Guzzardi from GOP ballot in governor's race," May 1, 2014
  23. 23.0 23.1 The Morning Call, "Qpoll: Pawlowski, Sestak top potential Dem challengers against Corbett," March 13, 2013
  24. Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, "Allentown mayor runs for governor in 2014," September 8, 2013
  25. Lehigh Valley Live, "Allentown Mayor Ed Pawlowski officially pulls out of governor's race, citing lack of money," February 4, 2014
  26. PoliticsPA, "Exclusive: Conklin Joins Dem Gov-Stakes," March 26, 2013
  27. Centre Daily Times, "Rep. Scott Conklin won’t run for Pennsylvania governor," March 11, 2014
  28. Jo Ellen Litz For Governor 2014, "Homepage," accessed July 15, 2013
  29. Centre Daily Times, "Pa. filings leave Corbett facing new challenge," March 12, 2014
  30. 30.0 30.1 30.2 PoliticsPA, "Exclusive: McGinty to Launch Guv Exploratory Committee," March 18, 2013
  31. Trib-Live, "Wagner mulls gubernatorial run," August 17, 2013]
  32. philly.com, "Jack Wagner drops out of Pa. governor's race," March 27, 2014 (dead link)
  33. Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, "Former DEP head John Hanger drops out of governor's race," March 27, 2014
  34. Politics PA, "No Firm Favorite for Guv at Dem State Committee," June 14, 2013
  35. Politics PA, "PSEA Prez Says No to LG Run," November 15, 2013
  36. Penn Live, "Brenda Alton drops hat in ring for Pennsylvania lieutenant governor," June 24, 2013
  37. PoliticsPA, "Wozniak Floats Lt. Gov Bid," May 30, 2013
  38. The Philly Post, "Farnese Weighs Bid for Lieutenant Governor," June 13, 2013
  39. Politics PA, "State Rep. Galloway Mulling Lt. Gov Bid," July 3, 2013
  40. The Morning Call, "Northampton County District Attorney John Morganelli mulling run for lieutenant governor," August 27, 2013
  41. Centre Daily Times, "Jay Paterno seeking election as Pa. lieutenant governor," February 25, 2014
  42. Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, "Jay Paterno withdraws from Pa. lieutenant governor race," March 28, 2014
  43. PoliticsPA, "Breaking: Castor Rules Out 2014 Run," May 7, 2013
  44. PoliticsPA, "State en. Stack Passes on Guv Run, Seeks LG Instead," October 17, 2013
  45. Allentown Morning Call, "Corbett: No plans to end 'tradition' of Pa. governors serving two terms," November 12, 2012
  46. Delaware County News Network, "State Rep. Margo Davidson debunks rumors about running for lieutenant governor," May 1, 2013
  47. University of Virginia Center for Politics: Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2013-2014 Gubernatorial Races," April 29, 2013
  48. The Washington Post, "The Fix's top 15 gubernatorial races," March 22, 2013
  49. Governing Politics, "2013-2014 Governor's Races: Who's Vulnerable?," December 12, 2012
  50. The New York Times, "Which Governors Are Most Vulnerable in 2014?," April 8, 2013
  51. The Washington Post, "Tom Corbett is the most endangered governor in the country," July 12, 2013
  52. Harper Polling, "Pennsylvania Poll: State Budget & Corbett Re-election," July 1-2, 2013
  53. Quinnipiac University, "Schwartz, Best-Known Of Unknown Dems, Tops Corbett, Quinnipiac University Pennsylvania Poll Finds; Girl Next Door Clinton Tops Native Son Santorum In 2016," June 7, 2013
  54. Public Opinion Strategies via the Philadelphia City Paper "Pennsylvania Statewide/Philadelphia Suburbs Poll," April 30-May 2, 2013
  56. Philadelphia Inquirer, "State Treasurer Rob McCord launches PAC for governors race," July 11, 2013
  57. Facebook, "Tom Lineaweaver for Governor of PA," accessed September 2, 2013
  58. The Republic, "Conservative activist Bob Guzzardi says he aims to challenge Corbett in Pa. GOP primary," Decamber 31, 2013
  59. TribLive, "Judge says Corbett primary challenger can stay on ballot, appeal planned," April 16, 2014
  60. 60.0 60.1 PennLive, "Pa. Supreme Court ousts Guzzardi from GOP ballot in governor's race," May 1, 2014
  61. PennLive, "Corbett challenger Robert Guzzardi will stay on Republican primary ballot," April 15, 2014
  62. Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributed to the original source.
  63. TribLive, "Third-party hopefuls abandon bids for Pa. governor," August 1, 2014
  64. Son of David Forums: Write In The Right Tom, "Why I Want To Be Governor," accessed August 8, 2014