Difference between revisions of "Polls, 2012 ballot measures"

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{{pt1}} [[Polls, 2013 ballot measures|2013 polls]] {{pt2}} [[Polls, 2011 ballot measures|2011 polls]] {{pt3}}<BR><BR>
 
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</table>This page aggregates polls released about potential and certified ballot measures for [[2012 ballot measures|statewide ballots in 2012]]. For details about the proposed or certified measure, click on the link in the relevant section.
 
</table>This page aggregates polls released about potential and certified ballot measures for [[2012 ballot measures|statewide ballots in 2012]]. For details about the proposed or certified measure, click on the link in the relevant section.
 
:: ''See also [[2012 ballot measures]] for [[ballot measure]]s that are already confirmed for a [[BC2012|2012 ballot]], and [[Ballot initiatives filed for the 2012 ballot|filed initiatives]]''
 
:: ''See also [[2012 ballot measures]] for [[ballot measure]]s that are already confirmed for a [[BC2012|2012 ballot]], and [[Ballot initiatives filed for the 2012 ballot|filed initiatives]]''

Revision as of 16:47, 23 September 2013

2013 polls
2011 polls


Legend

     Position is ahead and at or over 50%     Position is ahead or tied, but under 50%

This page aggregates polls released about potential and certified ballot measures for statewide ballots in 2012. For details about the proposed or certified measure, click on the link in the relevant section.
See also 2012 ballot measures for ballot measures that are already confirmed for a 2012 ballot, and filed initiatives

On the ballot

Arizona

Arizona Public Election Funding Ban Amendment (2012)
BMPortalLogoedited.png

2012 ballot measures
Tuesday Count2012 Scorecard
Potential measuresCalendar
Washington 2012 ballot measuresOregon 2012 ballot measuresCalifornia 2012 ballot propositionsIdaho 2012 ballot measuresNevada 2012 ballot measuresUtah 2012 ballot measuresArizona 2012 ballot measuresMontana 2012 ballot measuresWyoming 2012 ballot measuresColorado 2012 ballot measuresNew Mexico 2012 ballot measuresAlaska 2012 ballot measuresHawaiiTexasOklahomaKansasNebraska 2012 ballot measuresNorth Dakota 2012 ballot measuresSouth Dakota 2012 ballot measuresMinnesota 2012 ballot measuresIowaMissouri 2012 ballot measuresArkansas 2012 ballot measuresLouisiana 2012 ballot measuresMississippiTennesseeAlabama 2012 ballot measuresGeorgia 2012 ballot measuresFlorida 2012 ballot measuresSouth Carolina 2012 ballot measuresNorth Carolina 2012 ballot measuresVirginia 2012 ballot measuresKentucky 2012 ballot measuresIllinois 2012 ballot measuresWisconsinIndianaMichigan 2012 ballot measuresMichigan 2012 ballot measuresOhio 2012 ballot measuresWest Virginia 2012 ballot measuresMaryland 2012 ballot measuresMaryland 2012 ballot measuresWashington, D.C.DelawareDelawareConnecticutPennsylvaniaNew Jersey 2012 ballot measuresNew Jersey 2012 ballot measuresNew YorkVermontNew Hampshire 2012 ballot measuresRhode Island 2012 ballot measuresMassachusetts 2012 ballot measuresMaine 2012 ballot measuresVermontNew Hampshire 2012 ballot measuresMassachusetts 2012 ballot measuresConnecticutRhode Island 2012 ballot measures2012ImageE.png
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
April 13-17, 2011 Lake Research Partners 77% 14% 9% 500
Arizona "Open Government Act" Initiative (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
Oct. 4-11, 2011 Morrison Institute for Public Policy 58% 33% 9% 600

Arkansas

Arkansas Sales Tax Increase Amendment (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
Mar. 26, 2012 Talk Business-Hendrix College 41.5% 50.5% 8% 759

California

Proposition 28

See also: California Proposition 28, Change in Term Limits (June 2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
February 21-28, 2012 PPIC 68% 24% 8% 2,001
March 14-19, 2012 By GQR & AV for USC Dornsife/LAT 51% 32% 17% 1,500
May 14-20, 2012 PPIC 62% 29% 9% 2,002
May 17-21, 2012 By GQR & AV for USC Dornsife/LAT 49% 33% 12% 1,002
May 21-29, 2012 Field 50% 28% 22% 608

Proposition 29

See also: California Proposition 29, Tobacco Tax for Cancer Research Act (June 2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
February 21-28, 2012 PPIC 67% 30% 3% 2,001
March 14-19, 2012 By GQR & AV for USC Dornsife/LAT 68% 29% 3% 1,500
May 14-20, 2012 PPIC 53% 42% 5% 2,002
May 17-21, 2012 By GQR & AV for USC Dornsife/LAT 62% 33% 5% 1,002
May 21-29, 2012 Field 50% 42% 8% 608

Proposition 30

California Proposition 30, Sales and Income Tax Increase (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
March 14-19, 2012 By GQR & AV for USC Dornsife/LAT 64% 33% 3% 1,500
April 3-10, 2012 PPIC 54% 39% 7% 823
May 14-20, 2012 PPIC 56% 38% 7% 2,002
May 21-29, 2012 Field Poll 52% 35% 13% 710
June 21-July 2, 2012 Field Poll 54% 38% 12% 997
August 3-7, 2012 PACE/USC Rossier School of Education 55% 36% 9% 1,041
September 9-16, 2012 PPIC 52% 40% 8% 2,003
September 6-18, 2012 Field Poll 51% 36% 13% 902
September 17-23, 2012 USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times 54% 37% 9% 1,504
October 7-9, 2012 SurveyUSA 33% 38% 29% 700
October 7-10, 2012 California Business Roundtable 49.5% 41.7% 8.8% 830
October 11-15, 2012 Reason-Rupe 50% 46% 4% 696
October 14-21, 2012 PPIC 48% 44% 8% 2,006
October 21-28, 2012 California Business Roundtable 49.2% 42.9% 7.8% 2,115
October 17-30, 2012 Field Poll 48% 38% 14% 1,912

Proposition 31

California Proposition 31, Two-Year State Budget Cycle (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
September 9-16, 2012 PPIC 25% 42% 32% 2,003
October 7-10, 2012 California Business Roundtable 37.6% 35.5% 26.9% 830
October 14-21, 2012 PPIC 24% 48% 28% 2,006
October 21-28, 2012 California Business Roundtable 37.8% 36.8% 25.5% 2,115

Proposition 32

California Proposition 32, the "Paycheck Protection" Initiative (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
September 9-16, 2012 PPIC 42% 49% 9% 2,003
September 6-18, 2012 Field Poll 38% 44% 18% 1,183
September 17-23, 2012 USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times 36% 44% 20% 1,504
October 7-10, 2012 California Business Roundtable 51.4% 38.3% 10.3% 830
October 11-15, 2012 Reason-Rupe 45% 48% 7% 696
October 14-21, 2012 PPIC 39% 53% 7% 2,006
October 21-28, 2012 California Business Roundtable 44.7% 44.8% 10.5% 2,115
October 17-30, 2012 Field Poll 34% 50% 16% 1,912

Proposition 33

California Proposition 33, Automobile Insurance Persistency Discounts (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
September 9-16, 2012 PPIC 25% 42% 32% 2,003
October 7-10, 2012 California Business Roundtable 37.6% 35.5% 26.9% 830
October 14-21, 2012 PPIC 24% 48% 28% 2,006
October 21-28, 2012 California Business Roundtable 37.8% 36.8% 25.5% 2,115

Proposition 34

California Proposition 34, the End the Death Penalty Initiative (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
September 17-23, 2012 USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times 38% 51% 11% 1,504
October 7-9, 2012 SurveyUSA 32% 48% 20% 700
October 7-10, 2012 California Business Roundtable 42.9% 48.1% 9.0% 830
October 15-21 USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times 42% 45% 13% 1,504
October 21-28, 2012 California Business Roundtable 41.3% 47.9% 10.8% 2,115
October 17-30, 2012 Field Poll 45% 38% 17% 1,912

Proposition 35

California Proposition 35, Ban on Human Trafficking and Sex Slavery (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
October 7-10, 2012 California Business Roundtable 77.8% 13.6% 8.6% 830
October 21-28, 2012 California Business Roundtable 76.5% 13.7% 9.8% 2,115

Proposition 36

California Proposition 36, Changes in the "Three Strikes" Law (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
September 17-23, 2012 USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times 66% 20% 14% 1,504
October 7-9, 2012 SurveyUSA 44% 22% 34% 700
October 7-10, 2012 California Business Roundtable 72.0% 17.1% 10.9% 830
October 15-21 USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times 63% 22% 15% 1,504
October 21-28, 2012 California Business Roundtable 67.4% 22.0% 10.6% 2,115

Proposition 37

California Proposition 37, Mandatory Labeling of Genetically Engineered Food (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
September 17-23, 2012 USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times 61% 25% 14% 1,504
October 7-9, 2012 SurveyUSA 39% 30% 31% 700
October 7-10, 2012 California Business Roundtable 48.3% 40.2% 11.5% 830
October 21-28, 2012 California Business Roundtable 39.1% 50.5% 10.5% 2,115

Proposition 38

California Proposition 38, State Income Tax Increase to Support Education (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
February 14-18, 2012 Field 45% 48% 7% 344
March 14-19, 2012 By GQR & AV for USC Dornsife/LAT 32% 64% 4% 1,500
May 21-29, 2012 Field Poll 42% 43% 15% 710
June 21-July 2, 2012 Field Poll 46% 46% 8% 997
August 3-7, 2012 PACE/USC Rossier School of Education 40% 49% 11% 1,041
September 9-16, 2012 PPIC 45% 45% 11% 2,003
September 6-18, 2012 Field Poll 41% 44% 15% 902
September 17-23, 2012 USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times 34% 52% 14% 1,504
October 7-10, 2012 California Business Roundtable 41.9% 45.9% 12.2% 830
October 11-15, 2012 Reason-Rupe 42% 52% 6% 696
October 14-21, 2012 PPIC 39% 53% 8% 2,006
October 21-28, 2012 California Business Roundtable 33.0% 54.1% 12.8% 2,115
October 17-30, 2012 Field Poll 34% 49% 17% 1,912

Proposition 39

California Proposition 39, Income Tax Increase for Multistate Businesses (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
June 21-July 2, 2012 Field Poll 44% 43% 13% 997
September 6-18, 2012 Field Poll 45% 39% 16% 902
September 17-23, 2012 USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times 51% 29% 20% 1,504
October 7-10, 2012 California Business Roundtable 60.6% 25.1% 14.3% 830
October 21-28, 2012 California Business Roundtable 54.5% 28.5% 17.0% 2,115

Proposition 40

California Proposition 40, Referendum on the State Senate Redistricting Plan (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
September 1-12, 2011 Field Poll 42% 29% 29% 1,001
October 7-10, 2012 California Business Roundtable 44.2% 26.1% 29.7% 830
October 21-28, 2012 California Business Roundtable 48.2% 24.8% 27.0% 2,115

Colorado

Colorado Marijuana Legalization Initiative (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
Aug. 4-7, 2011 Public Policy Polling 51% 38% 11% 510
Dec. 1-4, 2011 Public Policy Polling 49% 40% 11% 793
Jun. 6, 2012 Rasmussen Polling 61% 27% 12% 500
August 8, 2012 Public Policy Polling 47% 38% 15% 779

Georgia

Georgia Charter Schools Amendment (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
March 29-30, 2012 McLaughlin & Associates 58% 23% 19% 600
September 4, 2012 Sand Mountain Communications 50% 25% 25% 1,331

Maryland

Maryland Same-Sex Marriage Referendum (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
Sept. 19-27, 2011 Gonzales Research and Marketing Strategies 48% 49% 3% 805
Jan. 23-26, 2012 Washington Post 50% 44% 6% 1,064
Mar. 5-7, 2012 Public Policy Polling 52% 44% 4% 600
May 14-21, 2012 Public Policy Polling 57% 37% 6% 852
Sept. 25-27, 2012 Baltimore Sun 49% 39% 12% 804
Maryland In-State Tuition Referendum (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
Jan. 9-15, 2012 Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies 48% 49% 3% 808
Sept. 25-27, 2012 Baltimore Sun 39% 47% 14% 804


Maryland Gaming Expansion Question, Question 7 (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
Sept. 25-27, 2012 Baltimore Sun 38% 53% 9% 804


Massachusetts

Massachusetts "Death with Dignity" Initiative, Question 2 (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
Mar. 16-18, 2012 Public Policy Polling 43% 37% 20% 936
May 29-30, 2012 Western New England University 60% 29% 11% 504
Aug. 16-19, 2012 Public Policy Polling 58% 24% 18% 1,115
Sept. 13-16, 2012 Suffolk University Political Research Center 64% 27% 9% 600
Sept. 21-27, 2012 Boston Globe & University of New Hampshire 68% 20% 12% 502
Oct. 2-8, 2012 University of Massachusetts & YouGov America 65% 19% 17% 498
Oct. 9-11, 2012 Public Policy Polling 56% 30% 14% 1,051
Massachusetts Medical Marijuana Initiative, Question 3 (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
Aug. 16-19, 2012 Public Policy Polling 58% 27% 15% 1,115


Michigan

Michigan Emergency Manager Referendum, Proposal 1 (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
July 9-11, 2011 EPIC-MRA 34% 53% 13% 600
September 8-11, 2012 EPIC-MRA 42% 46% 12% 600
Michigan "Protect Our Jobs" Amendment, Proposal 2 (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
September 8-11, 2012 EPIC-MRA 48% 43% 9% 600
Michigan Home Health Care Amendment, Proposal 4 (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
September 8-11, 2012 EPIC-MRA 55% 27% 18% 600
Michigan International Bridge Initiative, Proposal 6 (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
September 8-11, 2012 EPIC-MRA 47% 44% 9% 600

Minnesota

Minnesota Same-Sex Marriage Amendment (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
May 2-5, 2011 Star Tribune Poll 39% 55% 7% 806
May 23-24, 2011 SurveyUSA Poll 51% 40% 10% 552
Nov. 2-3, 2011 Star Tribune Poll 48% 43% 9% 807
Jan 21-22, 2012 Public Policy Poll 48% 44% 8% 1,236
Ja. 31 - Fe. 2, 2012 SurveyUSA 47% 39% 4% 542


May 31 - June 3, 2012 Public Policy Poll 43% 49% 8% 973
July 17- July 19, 2012 SurveyUSA 52% 37% 6% 552
Sept. 10-11, 2012 Public Policy Polling 48% 47% 5% 824
Oct. 5-8, 2012 Public Policy Polling 46% 49% 5% 937
Nov. 2-3, 2012 Public Policy Polling 45% 52% 3% 1,164
Minnesota Voter Identification Amendment, Amendment 2 (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
Oct. 12-14, 2012 SurveyUSA 53% 40% 7% 550


Montana

Montana Corporate Contributions Initiative, I-166 (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
Sept. 10-11, 2012 Public Policy Polling 53% 24% 23% 656


Montana Medical Marijuana Veto Referendum, IR-124 (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
Sept. 10-11, 2012 Public Policy Polling 46% 29% 24% 656
Sept. 17-19, 2012 Mason Dixon 44% 31% 25% 625


New Jersey

New Jersey State College Bond Issue, Public Question 1 (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
Sept. 27-30, 2012 Rutgers-Eagleton Poll 62% 27% 11% 790


New Jersey Judicial Salary and Benefits Amendment, Public Question 2 (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
Sept. 27-30, 2012 Rutgers-Eagleton Poll 70% 18% 12% 790


North Carolina

North Carolina Same-Sex Marriage, Amendment 1 (May 2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
March 15-19, 2009 Elon University Poll 43% 50% 5% 620
Feb. 20-24, 2011 Elon University Poll 38% 56% 5% 467
August 15-16, 2011 National Research, Inc. 49% 43% 7% 400
Sept. 25-29, 2011 Elon University Poll 39% 56% 5% 594
Sept. 30-Oct. 3, 2011 Public Policy Polling 61% 34% 5% 760
Oct. 27-31, 2011 Public Policy Polling 59% 35% 6% 615
Oct. 31-Nov. 2, 2011 Elon University Poll 37% 57% 6% 529
Dec. 1-4, 2011 Public Policy Polling 58% 32% 10% 865
Jan. 5-8, 2012 Public Policy Polling 56% 34% 10% 780
Mar. 26-29, 2012 Elon University Poll 32% 61% 6% 534
Apr. 20-22, 2012 Public Policy Polling 54% 40% 6% 1,139
Apr. 27-29, 2012 Public Policy Polling 55% 41% 4% 982

North Dakota

North Dakota Property Tax Amendment, Measure 2 (June 2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
May 3 - May 8 Forum Communications 26% 74% 0% 500
Early-June Mason Dixon 21% 70% 9% 404


North Dakota University "Fighting Sioux" Referendum, Measure 4 (June 2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
May 3 - May 8 Forum Communications 56% 44% 0% 500
Early-June Mason Dixon 59% 36% 5% 404


Ohio

Ohio Election Law Veto Referendum (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
January 22-25, 2012 Lake Research Partners 54% 31% 15% 705

Oregon

Oregon Cannabis Tax Act Initiative, Measure 80 (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
Sep. 10-13, 2012 SurveyUSA 37% 41% 22% 700


Oregon Privately-Owned Casinos Amendment, Measure 82 (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
Sep. 10-13, 2012 SurveyUSA 27% 43% 31% 700


Oregon Multnomah County Casino Initiative, Measure 83 (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
Sep. 10-13, 2012 SurveyUSA 28% 39% 33% 700


Oregon Corporate Tax "Kicker" Funds for Education Initiative, Measure 85 (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
Sep. 10-13, 2012 SurveyUSA 14% 21% 65% 700


South Dakota

South Dakota Sales Tax Increase Measure (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
September 14, 2011 Nielson Brothers Polling 35% 56% 9% 729

Washington

Washington Marijuana Legalization and Regulation, Initiative 502 (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
July 2011 The Elway Research 54% 43% 3% 408
January 2012 The Elway Research 48% 45% 7% 411

Proposed

See also: Potential 2012 ballot measures

Arkansas

Arkansas Casino Amendment (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
July 19, 2012 Talk Business-Hendrix College 28% 66% 6% 585


California

Mandatory Condoms on Porn Actors

Los Angeles Porn Actors Required to Wear Condoms Act, Measure B (November 2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
March 16-23, 2012 Research Now 63% 37% - 1,046

Michigan

Collective Bargaining

Michigan Collective Bargaining Amendment (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
April 27-May 3 EPIC-MRA 57% 33% 10% 600

Graduated Income Tax

Michigan Graduated Income Tax Amendment (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
April 27-May 3 EPIC-MRA 64% 32% 4% 600

School Funds Amendment

Michigan School Aid Fund Amendment (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
April 27-May 3 EPIC-MRA 61% 30% 9% 600

Marijuana Legalization Amendment

Michigan Marijuana Legalization Amendment (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
January 21 - January 25 EPIC-MRA 45% 50% 5% 600

Did not make ballot

Arkansas

Arkansas Campaign and Ethics Laws Initiative (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
Mar. 26, 2012 Talk Business-Hendrix College 69% 18% 13% 759


Arkansas Severance Tax Increase Question (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
Mar. 26, 2012 Talk Business-Hendrix College 28% 55% 17% 759


California

Jerry Brown's tax increase

Jerry Brown's California Tax Increase Initiative (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
January 10-17, 2012 PPIC 72% 26% 2% 2,002
February 14-18, 2012 Field 58% 36% 6% 1,003
February 17-19, 2012 Jim Moore[1] 53% 36% 11% 500
February 17-19, 2012 Jim Moore[2] 43% 52% 5% 500
February 21-28, 2012 PPIC 52% 40% 8% 2,001

Millionaire's Tax

California "Millionaire's Tax Initiative" (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
February 14-18, 2012 Field 63% 31% 6% 344
February 17-19, 2012 Jim Moore[3] 55% 34% 11% 500
February 17-19, 2012 Jim Moore[4] 42% 53% 5% 500

"Marijuana Like Wine"

California Regulate Marijuana Like Wine Initiative (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
January 2012 Fairbank, Maslin 62% 35% 3% 800

U.S. Congress redistricting

California Referendum on U.S. Congressional Maps After Redistricting (2012)
Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
September 1-12, 2011 Field Poll 44% 28% 28% 1,001

New Jersey

New Jersey Same-Sex Marriage Referendum (2012)


Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
February 9-11, 2012 Rutgers Eagleton Institute of Politics 54% 35% 7% 914

Ohio

Ohio Labor Union Dues Amendment (2013)


Date of Poll Pollster In favor Opposed Undecided Number polled
February 7-12, 2012 Quinnipiac University Polling Institute 54% 40% 6% 1,421

See also

References

  1. If just one tax hike measure is on the ballot
  2. If all three competing tax hike measures are on the ballot
  3. If just one tax hike measure is on the ballot
  4. If all three competing tax hike measures are on the ballot