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Difference between revisions of "Polls, 2014 ballot measures"

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(On the ballot)
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===California===
 
===California===
====Water Bond====
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====Proposition 1====
:: ''[[California Proposition 43, Water Bond (2014)]]''
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:: ''[[California Proposition 1, Water Bond (2014)]]''
 
{{cawaterpoll2010}}
 
{{cawaterpoll2010}}
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====Proposition 45====
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:: ''[[California Proposition 45, Public Notice Required for Insurance Company Rates Initiative (2014)]]
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====Proposition 46====
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:: ''[[California Proposition 46, Medical Malpractice Lawsuits Cap and Drug Testing of Doctors (2014)]]
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====Proposition 47====
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:: ''[[California Proposition 47, Reduced Penalties for Some Crimes Initiative (2014)]]
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{{CaProp47poll2014}}
  
 
===Florida===
 
===Florida===

Revision as of 10:07, 20 August 2014

2015 polls
2013 polls


Legend

     Position is ahead and at or over 50%     Position is ahead or tied, but under 50%

The following page consists of polls that have been taken on ballot measures proposed for a 2014 ballot. Information on 2014 ballot measure polls will be posted as it becomes available. If you have information on a released poll, please email Brittany Clingen.
See also: 2014 ballot measures for ballot measures that were confirmed for a 2014 ballot, and filed initiatives

On the ballot

Alaska

Measure 1

Alaska Oil Tax Cuts Veto Referendum, Ballot Measure 1 (August 2014)
Alaska Measure 1 (2014)
Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Polling
7/31/2014 - 8/3/2014
42%42%16%+/-3.8673
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Measure 4

Alaska Bristol Bay Mining Ban, Ballot Measure 4 (2014)
Alaska Measure 4 (2014)
Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Benenson Strategy Group
5/13/2014 - 5/15/2014
62%33%5%+/-4.0600
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Arkansas

Ethics and Term Limits

Arkansas Elected Officials Ethics, Transparency and Financial Reform Amendment, Issue 3 (2014)
Arkansas Issue 3 (2014)
Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Talk Business Research & Hendrix College
4/2/2014-4/3/2014
25%57%18%+/-31,068
Talk Business Research & Hendrix College
10/15/2014-10/16/2014
23%62%15%+/-2.22,075
AVERAGES 24% 59.5% 16.5% +/-2.6 1,571.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


California

Proposition 1

California Proposition 1, Water Bond (2014)

2014

California Proposition 1 (2014)
Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Institute of California
3/11/2014 - 3/18/2014
50.0%32.0%19.0%+/-3.61,702
Public Policy Institute of California
7/8/2014 - 7/15/2014
61.0%22.0%17.0%+/-3.71,705
The Field Poll
8/14/2014 - 8/28/2014
52.0%27.0%21.0%+/-4.8467
Lake Research Partners
8/26/2014 - 8/29/2014
42.0%24.0%34.0%+/-4.0600
Public Policy Institute of California
9/8/2014 - 9/15/2014
58.0%29.0%14.0%+/-3.61,702
Hoover Institute Golden State Poll
10/3/2014 - 10/17/2014
52.0%22.0%26.0%+/-3.651,273
Public Policy Institute of California
10/12/2014 - 10/19/2014
56.0%32.0%12.0%+/-3.51,704
The Field Poll
10/15/2014 - 10/28/2014
54.0%22.0%24.0%+/-3.41,536
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Poll
10/22/2014 - 10/29/2014
62.0%23.0%13.0%+/-2.91,537
AVERAGES 54.11% 25.89% 20% +/-3.68 1,358.44
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Pre-2014

California Proposition 1 (2014)
Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Tulchin Research
1/20/2010 - 1/25/2010
34.0%55.0%11.0%+/-4.0600
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Proposition 45

California Proposition 45, Public Notice Required for Insurance Company Rates Initiative (2014)
California Proposition 45 (2014)
Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
The Field Poll
6/26/2014 - 7/19/2014
69.0%16.0%15.0%+/-2.61,535
The Field Poll
8/14/2014 - 8/28/2014
41.0%26.0%33.0%+/-4.8467
Public Policy Institute of California
9/8/2014 - 9/15/2014
48.0%38.0%14.0%+/-3.61,702
Hoover Institute Golden State Poll
10/3/2014 - 10/17/2014
42.0%30.0%29.0%+/-3.651,273
Public Policy Institute of California
10/12/2014 - 10/19/2014
39.0%46.0%15.0%+/-3.51,704
The Field Poll
10/15/2014 - 10/28/2014
30.0%42.0%28.0%+/-3.41,536
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Poll
10/22/2014 - 10/29/2014
38.0%43.0%16.0%+/-2.91,537
AVERAGES 43.86% 34.43% 21.43% +/-3.49 1,393.43
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Proposition 46

California Proposition 46, Medical Malpractice Lawsuits Cap and Drug Testing of Doctors (2014)
California Proposition 46 (2014)
Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
The Field Poll
6/26/2014 - 7/19/2014
58.0%30.0%12.0%+/-2.61,535
The Field Poll
8/14/2014 - 8/28/2014
34.0%37.0%29.0%+/-4.8467
Hoover Institute Golden State Poll
10/3/2014 - 10/17/2014
34.0%37.0%30.0%+/-3.651,273
The Field Poll
10/15/2014 - 10/28/2014
32.0%49.0%19.0%+/-3.41,536
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Poll
10/22/2014 - 10/29/2014
42.0%42.0%14.0%+/-2.91,537
AVERAGES 40% 39% 20.8% +/-3.47 1,269.6
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Proposition 47

California Proposition 47, Reduced Penalties for Some Crimes Initiative (2014)
California Proposition 47 (2014)
Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
The Field Poll
6/26/2014 - 7/19/2014
57.0%24.0%19.0%+/-2.61,535
Public Policy Institute of California
9/8/2014 - 9/15/2014
62.0%25.0%13.0%+/-3.61,702
Public Policy Institute of California
10/12/2014 - 10/19/2014
59.0%29.0%12.0%+/-3.51,704
The Field Poll
10/15/2014 - 10/28/2014
51.0%23.0%26.0%+/-3.41,536
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Poll
10/22/2014 - 10/29/2014
56.0%25.0%17.0%+/-2.91,537
AVERAGES 57% 25.2% 17.4% +/-3.2 1,602.8
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Florida

Amendment 2

Florida Right to Medical Marijuana Initiative, Amendment 2 (2014)

November 2013 - July 2014

Florida Amendment 2 (2014)
Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll
11/12/2013 - 11/13/2013
82%16%2%+/-2.41,646
Public Policy Polling
1/16/2014 - 1/21/2014
65%23%12%+/-4.0591
Gravis Marketing
1/30/2014 - 1/31/2014
57%31%11%+/-4.0808
University of North Florida
3/06/2014 - 3/14/2014
74%22%4%+/-4.35507
Gravis Marketing
4/23/14 - 4/25/14
60%32%8%+/-3.0907
Quinnipiac University Poll
4/23/14 - 4/28/14
88%10%2%+/-2.61,413
Anzalone Liszt Grove Research and Public Opinion Strategies
5/25/14 - 6/5/14
70%28%2%+/-3.3900
Quinnipiac University Poll
7/17/14 - 7/21/14
88%10%2%+/-2.81,251
AVERAGES 73% 21.5% 5.38% +/-3.31 1,002.88
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

August 2014 - October 2014

Florida Amendment 2 (2014)
Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
UF Graham Center
8/27/14 - 8/31/14
57%23%18%+/-3.4814
SurveyUSA
9/12/14 - 9/15/14
56%31%13%+/-4.2750
Anzalone Liszt Grove Research
9/12/14 - 9/18/14
69%28%3%+/-3.11,004
Florida Chamber Political Institute
9/18/14 - 9/21/14
59%35%6%+/-3.5813
SurveyUSA
10/02/14 - 10/06/14
51%33%16%+/-4.1594
University of North Florida
9/29/14 - 10/08/14
67%28%5%+/-4.7471
UF Graham Center
10/07/14 - 10/12/14
48%44%7%+/-4.7781
Saint Peters Poll
10/08/14 - 10/11/14
54%40%6%+/-1.83,128
Gravis Marketing
10/22/14 - 10/24/14
50%42%8%+/-3.0861
Anzalone Liszt Grove Research
10/22/14 - 10/27/14
62%35%3%+/-3.4834
AVERAGES 57.3% 33.9% 8.5% +/-3.59 1,005
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Michigan

Michigan Proposal 1

Michigan Use Tax and Community Stabilization Share, Proposal 1 (August 2014)
Michigan Proposal 1 (2014)
Poll Support OpposeUndecided or NeutralMargin of ErrorSample Size
Denno Research
7/9/2014 - 7/9/2014
30.8%27.0%42.2%+/-4600
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Michigan Wolf Hunting Referendum

Michigan Wolf Hunting Referendum (2014)
Michigan Wolf Hunting Referendum (2014)
Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Marketing Resource Group, Inc.
3/24/2013 - 3/28/2014
25.9%67.9%6.2%+/-4.0600
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Missouri

Missouri Right-to-Farm Amendment

Missouri Right-to-Farm, Amendment 1 (August 2014)
Missouri Right-to-Farm, Amendment 1 (August 2014)
Poll Support OpposeDon't Know/No AnswerSample Size
The Wickers Group (TWG)
March 1-4, 2014
69%13%19%400
Chilenski Strategies
January 30, 2014
59.1%19.4%21.5%500
AVERAGES 64.05% 16.2% 20.25% 450
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Nevada

Question 3

Nevada Margin Tax for Public Schools Initiative, Question 3 (2014)
Nevada Question 3 (2014)
Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Opinion Strategies
2/16/2013 - 2/18/2013
58%39%3%+/-4.4500
Harstad Strategic Research
9/18/2013 - 9/24/2013
61%34%5%+/-3.4819
Survey USA
9/29/2014 - 10/01/2014
37%40%23%+/-4.2569
Survey USA
10/16/2014 - 10/21/2014
49%34%17%+/-4.1434
AVERAGES 51.25% 36.75% 12% +/-4.03 580.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Oregon

Legalized Marijuana Initiative

See also: Oregon Legalized Marijuana Initiative (2014)
Oregon Legalized Marijuana Initiative (2014)
Poll Support OpposeNot sureMargin of ErrorSample Size
Survey USA
06/05/2014 - 06/09/2014
51%41%8%+/-4.2560
Survey USA
09/22/2014 - 09/24/2014
44%40%16%+/-4.2568
DHM Research
10/08/2014 - 10/11/2014
52%41%7%+/-4.3516
Survey USA
10/23/2014 - 10/27/2014
52%41%7%+/-4.3552
KGW/The Oregonian
10/26/2014 - 10/27/2014
44%46%7%+/-5403
AVERAGES 48.6% 41.8% 9% +/-4.4 519.8
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Tennessee

Amendment 1

Tennessee Legislative Powers Regarding Abortion, Amendment 1 (2014)
Tennessee Amendment 1 (2014)
Poll Favor OpposeUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Vanderbilt University
4/28/2014 - 5/18/2014
23%71%6%+/-3.41,505
Remington Research
9/24/2014 - 9/25/2014
50%22%28%+/-4.0600
Middle Tennessee State University
10/22/2014 - 10/26/2014
39%32%29%+/-4.0600
AVERAGES 37.33% 41.67% 21% +/-3.8 901.67
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Potential measures

New Jersey

New Jersey Open Space Preservation Funding Amendment, SCR 84 (2014)
New Jersey SCR 84 (2014)
Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates and Public Opinion Strategies
6/17/2014 - 6/19/2014
76.00%21.00%4.00%+/-4.0600
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Oklahoma

Oklahoma Medical Marijuana Amendment, State Question 768 (2014)
Oklahoma State Question 768 (2014)
Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Sooner Poll
8/28/2013 - 9/09/2013
71.20%26.10%2.70%+/-4.9404
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Not on the ballot

California

California "Marijuana Control, Legalization and Revenue" Initiative (2014)
Marijuana legalization initiative Support v. Opposition
Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
The Field Poll - Marijuana legalization initiative 2014 poll
December 10, 2013
56%39%5%+/-3.21,002
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


California "Charitable Hospital Executive Compensation Act" Initiative (2014)
California "Charitable Hospital Executive Compensation Act" Initiative (2014)
Poll Less than $200,000 $200,000 – $450,000$450,000 – $600,000$600,000 – $1,000,000$1,000,000 – $3,000,000$3,000,000 or MoreUnsureMargin of ErrorSample Size
SEIU (Commissioned by)
Reported March 4, 2014
38%39%8%2%2%1%9%+/-2.91,160
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Indiana

Indiana Marriage Amendment (2014)
Indiana Marriage Amendment (2014)
Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research
3/10/2011 - 3/13/2011
43%47%11%+/-4.90400
Bellweather Research
4/18/2013 - 4/21/2013
50%46%7%+/-4.00600
Bellweather Research
9/17/2013 - 9/19/2013
45%48%7%+/-3.50800
Hoosier Survey
10/8/2013 - 10/21/2013
38.1%57.5%4.4%+/-4.80800
AVERAGES 44.03% 49.63% 7.35% +/-4.3 650
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Maryland

Maryland Gender Identity Discrimination Referendum (2014)
Maryland Gender Identity Discrimination Referendum (2014)
Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Goucher Poll
3/2/2014 - 3/6/2014
71%20%9%+/-3.3861
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Michigan

Michigan Minimum Wage Initiative (2014)
Michigan Minimum Wage Initiative (2014)
Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Denno Research
3/09/2014
65%32%3%+/-4.0600
EPIC-MRA
5/17/2014-5/20/2014
56%39%5%+/-4.0600
AVERAGES 60.5% 35.5% 4% +/-4 600
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

See also