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Difference between revisions of "Projected outcomes of state house elections, 2010"

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!<center><p style="font-size:200%;">[[State house elections, 2010|2010 House of Representatives Races]]</p></center>
 
!<center><p style="font-size:200%;">[[State house elections, 2010|2010 House of Representatives Races]]</p></center>
 
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! style="background-color:#1569C7; color: white;" | <big>Democrats<br><hr>Before election: 32 <br><hr>Predicted after election: 19</big>
+
! style="background-color:#1569C7; color: white;" | <big>Democrats<br><hr>Before election: 32 <br><hr>Predicted after election: 20</big>
 
! style="background-color:#A23BEC; color: white;" | <big>Toss-up<br>7</big>
 
! style="background-color:#A23BEC; color: white;" | <big>Toss-up<br>7</big>
! style="background-color:#C11B17; color: white;" | <big>Republicans<br><hr>Before election: 16 <br><hr>Predicted after election: 18</big>   
+
! style="background-color:#C11B17; color: white;" | <big>Republicans<br><hr>Before election: 16 <br><hr>Predicted after election: 19</big>   
  
 
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! style="background-color:#1569C7; color: white;width: 120px;"| 10 Safe
+
! style="background-color:#1569C7; color: white;width: 120px;"| 13 Safe or Not Up
 
! style="background-color:#56A5EC; color: white;width: 120px;"  | 2  
 
! style="background-color:#56A5EC; color: white;width: 120px;"  | 2  
 
! style="background-color:#5CB3FF; color: white;width: 120px;" | 5
 
! style="background-color:#5CB3FF; color: white;width: 120px;" | 5
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! style="background-color:#F62817; color: white;width: 120px;"| 0
 
! style="background-color:#F62817; color: white;width: 120px;"| 0
 
! style="background-color:#E42217; color: white;width: 120px;"| 4
 
! style="background-color:#E42217; color: white;width: 120px;"| 4
! style="background-color:#C11B17; color: white;width: 120px;" | 14 Safe
+
! style="background-color:#C11B17; color: white;width: 120px;" | 15 Safe or Not Up
 
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! style="background-color:#C11B17; color: white;" | Safe R
 
! style="background-color:#C11B17; color: white;" | Safe R
 
|-
 
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| align="center" | [[Arkansas House of Representatives elections, 2010|Arkansas]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[California House of Representatives elections, 2010|California]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Connecticut House of Representatives elections, 2010|Connecticut]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Delaware House of Representatives elections, 2010|Delaware]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Hawaii House of Representatives elections, 2010|Hawaii]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Maryland House of Representatives elections, 2010|Maryland]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Massachusetts House of Representatives elections, 2010|Massachusetts]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Rhode Island House of Representatives elections, 2010|Rhode Island]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Vermont House of Representatives elections, 2010|Vermont]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[West Virginia House of Representatives elections, 2010|West Virginia]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])
+
| align="center" | [[Arkansas House of Representatives elections, 2010|Arkansas]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[California State Assembly elections, 2010|California]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Connecticut House of Representatives elections, 2010|Connecticut]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Delaware House of Representatives elections, 2010|Delaware]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Hawaii House of Representatives elections, 2010|Hawaii]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Maryland House of Delegates elections, 2010|Maryland]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Massachusetts House of Representatives elections, 2010|Massachusetts]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Rhode Island House of Representatives elections, 2010|Rhode Island]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Vermont House of Representatives elections, 2010|Vermont]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[West Virginia House of Delegates elections, 2010|West Virginia]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <hr /> '''Not up:'''<br> [[Louisiana House of Representatives|Louisiana]] <br> [[Mississippi House of Representatives|Mississippi]] <br> [[New Jersey General Assembly|New Jersey]] <br>
| align="center" | [[Illinois House of Representatives elections, 2010|Illinois]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Minnesota House of Representatives elections, 2010|Minnesota]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])  
+
 
 +
| align="center" | [[Illinois House of Representatives elections, 2010|Illinois]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Minnesota House of Representatives elections, 2010|Minnesota]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])
 +
 
 
| align="center" | [[Colorado House of Representatives elections, 2010|Colorado]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])  <br> [[Iowa House of Representatives elections, 2010|Iowa]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Nevada House of Representatives elections, 2010|Nevada]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Oregon House of Representatives elections, 2010|Oregon]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Washington House of Representatives elections, 2010|Washington]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])
 
| align="center" | [[Colorado House of Representatives elections, 2010|Colorado]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])  <br> [[Iowa House of Representatives elections, 2010|Iowa]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Nevada House of Representatives elections, 2010|Nevada]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Oregon House of Representatives elections, 2010|Oregon]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Washington House of Representatives elections, 2010|Washington]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])
| align="center" | [[Alabama House of Representatives elections, 2010|Alabama]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])  <br> [[Alaska House of Representatives elections, 2010|Alaska]] (Split)<ref>The Alaska House of Representatives is split evenly at 10 Democrats and 10 Republicans</ref> <br> [[Maine House of Representatives elections, 2010|Maine]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[New Hampshire House of Representatives elections, 2010|New Hampshire]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[New York House of Representatives elections, 2010|New York]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[North Carolina House of Representatives elections, 2010|North Carolina]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Wisconsin House of Representatives elections, 2010|Wisconsin]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])  
+
 
 +
| align="center" | [[Alabama House of Representatives elections, 2010|Alabama]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])  <br> [[Alaska House of Representatives elections, 2010|Alaska]] (Split)<ref>The Alaska House of Representatives is split evenly at 10 Democrats and 10 Republicans</ref> <br> [[Maine House of Representatives elections, 2010|Maine]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[New Hampshire House of Representatives elections, 2010|New Hampshire]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[New York State Assembly elections, 2010|New York]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[North Carolina House of Representatives elections, 2010|North Carolina]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Wisconsin State Assembly elections, 2010|Wisconsin]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])  
 
|  
 
|  
 
| align="center" | [[Kentucky House of Representatives elections, 2010|Kentucky]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Michigan House of Representatives elections, 2010|Michigan]]: ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Montana House of Representatives elections, 2010|Montana]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Tennessee House of Representatives elections, 2010|Tennessee]]: ([[Republican Party|R]])  
 
| align="center" | [[Kentucky House of Representatives elections, 2010|Kentucky]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Michigan House of Representatives elections, 2010|Michigan]]: ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Montana House of Representatives elections, 2010|Montana]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Tennessee House of Representatives elections, 2010|Tennessee]]: ([[Republican Party|R]])  
| align="center" | [[Arizona House of Representatives elections, 2010|Arizona]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Florida House of Representatives elections, 2010|Florida]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Georgia House of Representatives elections, 2010|Georgia]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Idaho House of Representatives elections, 2010|Idaho]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Indiana House of Representatives elections, 2010|Indiana]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Missouri House of Representatives elections, 2010|Missouri]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[North Dakota House of Representatives elections, 2010|North Dakota]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Ohio House of Representatives elections, 2010|Ohio]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Oklahoma House of Representatives elections, 2010|Oklahoma]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Pennsylvania House of Representatives elections, 2010|Pennsylvania]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[South Dakota House of Representatives elections, 2010|South Dakota]]: ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Texas House of Representatives elections, 2010|Texas]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Utah House of Representatives elections, 2010|Utah]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Wyoming House of Representatives elections, 2010|Wyoming]] ([[Republican Party|R]])  
+
 
 +
| align="center" | [[Arizona House of Representatives elections, 2010|Arizona]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Florida House of Representatives elections, 2010|Florida]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Georgia House of Representatives elections, 2010|Georgia]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Idaho House of Representatives elections, 2010|Idaho]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Indiana House of Representatives elections, 2010|Indiana]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Missouri House of Representatives elections, 2010|Missouri]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[North Dakota House of Representatives elections, 2010|North Dakota]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Ohio House of Representatives elections, 2010|Ohio]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Oklahoma House of Representatives elections, 2010|Oklahoma]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Pennsylvania House of Representatives elections, 2010|Pennsylvania]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[South Dakota House of Representatives elections, 2010|South Dakota]]: ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Texas House of Representatives elections, 2010|Texas]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Utah House of Representatives elections, 2010|Utah]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Wyoming House of Representatives elections, 2010|Wyoming]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <hr /> '''Not up:'''<br> [[Virginia House of Delegates|Virginia]] <br>
 
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Revision as of 14:31, 22 October 2010

2010 House of Representatives Races

Democrats

Before election: 32

Predicted after election: 20
Toss-up
7
Republicans

Before election: 16

Predicted after election: 19
13 Safe or Not Up 2 5 7 0 4 15 Safe or Not Up

Since there are 49 lower house chambers, a party is defined as having the majority of state houses if it has at least 25.

The Democratic Party needs to win all the safe, likely and leans Democratic, and 3 of the toss-up states, to get to 25.

The Republican Party needs to win all the safe, likely and leans Republican, and 5 of the toss-up states, to get to 25.

Safe D Likely Dem. Leans Dem. Toss Up Leans GOP Likely GOP Safe R
Arkansas (D)
California (D)
Connecticut (D)
Delaware (D)
Hawaii (D)
Maryland (D)
Massachusetts (D)
Rhode Island (D)
Vermont (D)
West Virginia (D)
Not up:
Louisiana
Mississippi
New Jersey
Illinois (D)
Minnesota (D)
Colorado (D)
Iowa (D)
Nevada (D)
Oregon (D)
Washington (D)
Alabama (D)
Alaska (Split)[1]
Maine (D)
New Hampshire (D)
New York (D)
North Carolina (D)
Wisconsin (D)
Kentucky (R)
Michigan: (R)
Montana (R)
Tennessee: (R)
Arizona (R)
Florida (R)
Georgia (R)
Idaho (R)
Indiana (R)
Missouri (R)
North Dakota (R)
Ohio (R)
Oklahoma (R)
Pennsylvania (R)
South Dakota: (R)
Texas (R)
Utah (R)
Wyoming (R)
Not up:
Virginia
Partisan dominance in state houses
heading into the 2010 state legislative elections
Nevada State AssemblyMassachusetts House of RepresentativesColorado House of RepresentativesNew Mexico House of RepresentativesWyoming House of RepresentativesArizona House of RepresentativesMontana House of RepresentativesCalifornia State AssemblyOregon House of RepresentativesWashington House of RepresentativesIdaho House of RepresentativesTexas House of RepresentativesOklahoma House of RepresentativesKansas House of RepresentativesSouth Dakota House of RepresentativesNorth Dakota House of RepresentativesMinnesota House of RepresentativesIowa House of RepresentativesMissouri House of RepresentativesArkansas House of RepresentativesLouisiana House of RepresentativesMississippi House of RepresentativesAlabama House of RepresentativesGeorgia House of RepresentativesFlorida House of RepresentativesSouth Carolina House of RepresentativesIllinois House of RepresentativesWisconsin State AssemblyTennessee House of RepresentativesNorth Carolina House of RepresentativesIndiana House of RepresentativesOhio House of RepresentativesKentucky House of RepresentativesPennsylvania House of RepresentativesNew Jersey State AssemblyNew York State AssemblyVermont House of RepresentativesVermont House of RepresentativesNew Hampshire House of RepresentativesMaine House of RepresentativesWest Virginia House of DelegatesVirginia State AssemblyMaryland House of DelegatesMaryland House of DelegatesConnecticut House of RepresentativesConnecticut House of RepresentativesDelaware House of RepresentativesDelaware House of RepresentativesRhode Island House of RepresentativesRhode Island House of RepresentativesMassachusetts House of RepresentativesNew Hampshire House of RepresentativesMichigan House of RepresentativesMichigan House of RepresentativesAlaska House of RepresentativesHouses Map 2010.png


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