Difference between revisions of "Projected outcomes of state house elections, 2010"

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{{statehouse2010}}<div style="float:center;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[[Projected outcomes of state senate elections, 2010|Projected outcomes of state senate elections]] • [[Projected outcomes of state legislative elections, 2010|Projected outcomes of state legislative elections]] • [[November 2, 2010 election results]]</div>
 
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!<center><p style="font-size:200%;">[[State house elections, 2010|2010 State House Elections]]</p></center>
 
!<center><p style="font-size:200%;">[[State house elections, 2010|2010 State House Elections]]</p></center>
 
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! style="background-color:#1569C7; color: white;" | <big>Democrats<br><hr>Before election: 32 <br><hr>Predicted after election: 24</big>
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{{State House Predictions 2010}}
! style="background-color:#A23BEC; color: white;" | <big>Toss-up<br><br>5</big>
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! style="background-color:#C11B17; color: white;" | <big>Republicans<br><hr>Before election: 16 <br><hr>Predicted after election: 20</big> 
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! style="background-color:#1569C7; color: white;width: 120px;"| 13 Safe or Not Up
 
! style="background-color:#56A5EC; color: white;width: 120px;"  | 5
 
! style="background-color:#5CB3FF; color: white;width: 120px;" | 6
 
! style="background-color:#A23BEC; color: white;width: 120px;"  | 5
 
! style="background-color:#F62817; color: white;width: 120px;"| 5
 
! style="background-color:#E42217; color: white;width: 120px;"| 2
 
! style="background-color:#C11B17; color: white;width: 120px;" | 13 Safe or Not Up
 
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!<center><p style="font-size: 120%;">Since there are 49 [[partisan composition of state houses|lower house chambers]], a political party is defined as having the majority of state houses if it has at least 25.</p></center><center><p style="font-size: 120%;">The Democratic Party needs to win all the safe, likely and leans Democratic, and 1 of the toss-up states, to get to 25.</p></center><center><p style="font-size: 120%;">The Republican Party needs to win all the safe, likely and leans Republican, and all 5 toss-up states, to get to 25.</p></center>
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!<center><p style="font-size: 120%;">Since there are 49 state houses (Nebraska only has a senate), a political party is defined as having the majority of state houses if it has at least 25.</p></center><center><p style="font-size: 120%;">The Democratic Party needs to win all the safe, likely and leans Democratic, and 2 of the toss-up states, to get to 25.</p></center><center><p style="font-size: 120%;">The Republican Party needs to win all the safe, likely and leans Republican, and 4 of the toss-up states, to get to 25.</p></center>
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! style="background-color:#C11B17; color: white;" | Safe R
 
! style="background-color:#C11B17; color: white;" | Safe R
 
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| align="center" | [[Arkansas House of Representatives elections, 2010|Arkansas]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[California State Assembly elections, 2010|California]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Connecticut House of Representatives elections, 2010|Connecticut]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br>  [[Hawaii House of Representatives elections, 2010|Hawaii]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Maryland House of Delegates elections, 2010|Maryland]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Massachusetts House of Representatives elections, 2010|Massachusetts]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[New York State Assembly elections, 2010|New York]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Rhode Island House of Representatives elections, 2010|Rhode Island]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Vermont House of Representatives elections, 2010|Vermont]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[West Virginia House of Delegates elections, 2010|West Virginia]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <hr /> '''Not up:'''<br> [[Louisiana House of Representatives|Louisiana]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Mississippi House of Representatives|Mississippi]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[New Jersey General Assembly|New Jersey]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br>  
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| valign="top" align="center" | [[Arkansas House of Representatives elections, 2010|Arkansas]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[California State Assembly elections, 2010|California]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Connecticut House of Representatives elections, 2010|Connecticut]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br>  [[Hawaii House of Representatives elections, 2010|Hawaii]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Maryland House of Delegates elections, 2010|Maryland]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Massachusetts House of Representatives elections, 2010|Massachusetts]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[New York State Assembly elections, 2010|New York]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Rhode Island House of Representatives elections, 2010|Rhode Island]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Vermont House of Representatives elections, 2010|Vermont]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[West Virginia House of Delegates elections, 2010|West Virginia]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <hr /> '''Not up:'''<br> [[Louisiana House of Representatives|Louisiana]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Mississippi House of Representatives|Mississippi]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[New Jersey General Assembly|New Jersey]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br>  
  
| align="center" |  [[Kentucky House of Representatives elections, 2010|Kentucky]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br>  [[Maine House of Representatives elections, 2010|Maine]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Nevada House of Representatives elections, 2010|Nevada]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br>  [[New Mexico House of Representatives elections, 2010|New Mexico]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Oregon House of Representatives elections, 2010|Oregon]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])
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| valign="top" align="center" |  [[Kentucky House of Representatives elections, 2010|Kentucky]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Illinois House of Representatives elections, 2010|Illinois]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br>  [[Maine House of Representatives elections, 2010|Maine]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Nevada House of Representatives elections, 2010|Nevada]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br>  [[New Mexico House of Representatives elections, 2010|New Mexico]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Oregon House of Representatives elections, 2010|Oregon]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])
  
| align="center" | [[Delaware House of Representatives elections, 2010|Delaware]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Illinois House of Representatives elections, 2010|Illinois]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Michigan House of Representatives elections, 2010|Michigan]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])  <br> [[Minnesota House of Representatives elections, 2010|Minnesota]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[North Carolina House of Representatives elections, 2010|North Carolina]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Washington House of Representatives elections, 2010|Washington]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])
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| valign="top" align="center" | [[Delaware House of Representatives elections, 2010|Delaware]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Michigan House of Representatives elections, 2010|Michigan]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])  <br> [[Minnesota House of Representatives elections, 2010|Minnesota]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Washington House of Representatives elections, 2010|Washington]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])
  
| align="center" | [[Alabama House of Representatives elections, 2010|Alabama]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])  <br>  [[Colorado House of Representatives elections, 2010|Colorado]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br>  [[Iowa House of Representatives elections, 2010|Iowa]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[New Hampshire House of Representatives elections, 2010|New Hampshire]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br>   [[Wisconsin State Assembly elections, 2010|Wisconsin]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])  
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| valign="top" align="center" | [[Alabama House of Representatives elections, 2010|Alabama]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])  <br>  [[Colorado House of Representatives elections, 2010|Colorado]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br>  [[Iowa House of Representatives elections, 2010|Iowa]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[New Hampshire House of Representatives elections, 2010|New Hampshire]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[North Carolina House of Representatives elections, 2010|North Carolina]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])  
  
| align="center" | [[Indiana House of Representatives elections, 2010|Indiana]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Montana House of Representatives elections, 2010|Montana]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Ohio House of Representatives elections, 2010|Ohio]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Pennsylvania House of Representatives elections, 2010|Pennsylvania]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> '''Pick-up:''' <br> [[Alaska House of Representatives elections, 2010|Alaska]] (Split)<ref>The Alaska House of Representatives is split evenly at 10 Democrats and 10 Republicans</ref>
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| valign="top" align="center" | '''Possible R Pick-ups:'''<br>[[Indiana House of Representatives elections, 2010|Indiana]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Montana House of Representatives elections, 2010|Montana]] (Split)<ref>The Montana House of Representatives is split evenly at 50 Democrats and 50 Republicans</ref>  <br> [[Ohio House of Representatives elections, 2010|Ohio]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Pennsylvania House of Representatives elections, 2010|Pennsylvania]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Wisconsin State Assembly elections, 2010|Wisconsin]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])  
  
| align="center" | [[Tennessee House of Representatives elections, 2010|Tennessee]]: ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Texas House of Representatives elections, 2010|Texas]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br>
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| valign="top" align="center" | [[Alaska House of Representatives elections, 2010|Alaska]]: ([[Republican Party|R]])<br>[[Tennessee House of Representatives elections, 2010|Tennessee]]: ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Texas House of Representatives elections, 2010|Texas]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br>
  
| align="center" | [[Arizona House of Representatives elections, 2010|Arizona]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Florida House of Representatives elections, 2010|Florida]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Georgia House of Representatives elections, 2010|Georgia]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Idaho House of Representatives elections, 2010|Idaho]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Kansas House of Representatives elections, 2010|Kansas]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Missouri House of Representatives elections, 2010|Missouri]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[North Dakota House of Representatives elections, 2010|North Dakota]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Oklahoma House of Representatives elections, 2010|Oklahoma]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br>  [[South Carolina House of Representatives elections, 2010|South Carolina]]: ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[South Dakota House of Representatives elections, 2010|South Dakota]]: ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br>  [[Utah House of Representatives elections, 2010|Utah]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Wyoming House of Representatives elections, 2010|Wyoming]] ([[Republican Party|R]])  <hr /> '''Not up:'''<br> [[Virginia House of Delegates|Virginia]] ([[Republican Party|R]])  
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| valign="top" align="center" | [[Arizona House of Representatives elections, 2010|Arizona]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Florida House of Representatives elections, 2010|Florida]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Georgia House of Representatives elections, 2010|Georgia]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Idaho House of Representatives elections, 2010|Idaho]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Kansas House of Representatives elections, 2010|Kansas]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Missouri House of Representatives elections, 2010|Missouri]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[North Dakota House of Representatives elections, 2010|North Dakota]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Oklahoma House of Representatives elections, 2010|Oklahoma]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br>  [[South Carolina House of Representatives elections, 2010|South Carolina]]: ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[South Dakota House of Representatives elections, 2010|South Dakota]]: ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br>  [[Utah House of Representatives elections, 2010|Utah]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Wyoming House of Representatives elections, 2010|Wyoming]] ([[Republican Party|R]])  <hr /> '''Not up:'''<br> [[Virginia House of Delegates|Virginia]] ([[Republican Party|R]])  
 
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!<center>{{partisanbreakdownstatehouses}}</center>
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!<center>{{Statehouse predictions 2010}}</center>
 
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==References==
 +
{{reflist}}
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[[Category:State House elections, 2010]]

Latest revision as of 08:18, 9 June 2011

State house elections
ALAKARARCACOCTDEFLGAHIIDILINIAKSKYMEMDMAMIMNMOMTNVNHNMNYNCNDOHOKORPARISCSDTNTXUTVTWAWVWIWY
Parties with candidates
Impact of term limits
Successful challengers
Defeated incumbents
State house elections
State senate elections
State legislative elections
        Projected outcomes of state senate electionsProjected outcomes of state legislative electionsNovember 2, 2010 election results

2010 State House Elections

SLP badge.png
Democrats

Before election: 32

Projected after election: 23
Toss-up
5
Republicans

Before election: 16

Projected after election: 21
13 Safe or Not Up 6 4 5 5 3 13 Safe or Not Up

Since there are 49 state houses (Nebraska only has a senate), a political party is defined as having the majority of state houses if it has at least 25.

The Democratic Party needs to win all the safe, likely and leans Democratic, and 2 of the toss-up states, to get to 25.

The Republican Party needs to win all the safe, likely and leans Republican, and 4 of the toss-up states, to get to 25.

Safe D Likely Dem. Leans Dem. Toss Up Leans GOP Likely GOP Safe R
Arkansas (D)
California (D)
Connecticut (D)
Hawaii (D)
Maryland (D)
Massachusetts (D)
New York (D)
Rhode Island (D)
Vermont (D)
West Virginia (D)
Not up:
Louisiana (D)
Mississippi (D)
New Jersey (D)
Kentucky (D)
Illinois (D)
Maine (D)
Nevada (D)
New Mexico (D)
Oregon (D)
Delaware (D)
Michigan (D)
Minnesota (D)
Washington (D)
Alabama (D)
Colorado (D)
Iowa (D)
New Hampshire (D)
North Carolina (D)
Possible R Pick-ups:
Indiana (D)
Montana (Split)[1]
Ohio (D)
Pennsylvania (D)
Wisconsin (D)
Alaska: (R)
Tennessee: (R)
Texas (R)
Arizona (R)
Florida (R)
Georgia (R)
Idaho (R)
Kansas (R)
Missouri (R)
North Dakota (R)
Oklahoma (R)
South Carolina: (R)
South Dakota: (R)
Utah (R)
Wyoming (R)
Not up:
Virginia (R)
Partisan dominance in state houses
heading into the 2010 state legislative elections
Nevada State AssemblyMassachusetts House of RepresentativesColorado House of RepresentativesNew Mexico House of RepresentativesWyoming House of RepresentativesArizona House of RepresentativesMontana House of RepresentativesCalifornia State AssemblyOregon House of RepresentativesWashington House of RepresentativesIdaho House of RepresentativesTexas House of RepresentativesOklahoma House of RepresentativesKansas House of RepresentativesSouth Dakota House of RepresentativesNorth Dakota House of RepresentativesMinnesota House of RepresentativesIowa House of RepresentativesMissouri House of RepresentativesArkansas House of RepresentativesLouisiana House of RepresentativesMississippi House of RepresentativesAlabama House of RepresentativesGeorgia House of RepresentativesFlorida House of RepresentativesSouth Carolina House of RepresentativesIllinois House of RepresentativesWisconsin State AssemblyTennessee House of RepresentativesNorth Carolina House of RepresentativesIndiana House of RepresentativesOhio House of RepresentativesKentucky House of RepresentativesPennsylvania House of RepresentativesNew Jersey State AssemblyNew York State AssemblyVermont House of RepresentativesVermont House of RepresentativesNew Hampshire House of RepresentativesMaine House of RepresentativesWest Virginia House of DelegatesVirginia State AssemblyMaryland House of DelegatesMaryland House of DelegatesConnecticut House of RepresentativesConnecticut House of RepresentativesDelaware House of RepresentativesDelaware House of RepresentativesRhode Island House of RepresentativesRhode Island House of RepresentativesMassachusetts House of RepresentativesNew Hampshire House of RepresentativesMichigan House of RepresentativesMichigan House of RepresentativesAlaska House of RepresentativesHouses Map 2010.png

References

  1. The Montana House of Representatives is split evenly at 50 Democrats and 50 Republicans