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Difference between revisions of "Projected outcomes of state senate elections, 2010"

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{{statesen2010}}<div style="float:center;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;[[Projected outcomes of state house elections, 2010|Projected outcomes of state house elections]] • [[Projected outcomes of state legislative elections, 2010|Projected outcomes of state legislative elections]] • [[November 2, 2010 election results]]</div>
 
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!<center><p style="font-size:200%;">[[State senate elections, 2010|2010 State Senate Races]]</p></center>
 
!<center><p style="font-size:200%;">[[State senate elections, 2010|2010 State Senate Races]]</p></center>
 
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! style="background-color:#1569C7; color: white;" | <big>Democrats<br><hr>Before election: 28 <br><hr>Predicted after election: 22</big>
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{{State Senate Predictions 2010}}
! style="background-color:#A23BEC; color: white;" | <big>Toss-up<br>7</big>
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! style="background-color:#C11B17; color: white;" | <big>Republicans<br><hr>Before election: 20 <br><hr>Predicted after election: 20</big> 
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|-
 
! style="background-color:#1569C7; color: white;width: 120px;"| 15 Safe or Not Up
 
! style="background-color:#56A5EC; color: white;width: 120px;"  | 2
 
! style="background-color:#5CB3FF; color: white;width: 120px;" | 5
 
! style="background-color:#A23BEC; color: white;width: 120px;"  | 7
 
! style="background-color:#F62817; color: white;width: 120px;"| 0
 
! style="background-color:#E42217; color: white;width: 120px;"| 4
 
! style="background-color:#C11B17; color: white;width: 120px;" | 16 Safe or Not Up
 
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{|cellspacing="0" cellpadding="5" border="0"  style="background:white" style="width:80%;"
!<center><p style="font-size: 120%;">Since one state senate is non-partisan, the party is defined as having the majority of state senates if it has at least 25.</p></center><center><p style="font-size: 120%;">The Democratic Party needs to win all the safe, likely and leans Democratic, and 3 of the toss-up states, to get to 25.</p></center><center><p style="font-size: 120%;">The Republican Party needs to win all the safe, likely and leans Republican, and 5 of the toss-up states, to get to 25.</p></center>
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!<center><p style="font-size: 120%;">Since one state senate is non-partisan, a political party is defined as having the majority of state senates if it has at least 25.</p></center><center><p style="font-size: 120%;">The Democratic Party needs to win all the safe, likely and leans Democratic, and 3 of the toss-up states, to get to 25.</p></center><center><p style="font-size: 120%;">The Republican Party needs to win all the safe, likely and leans Republican, and 5 of the toss-up states, to get to 25.</p></center>
 
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! style="background-color:#C11B17; color: white;" | Safe R
 
! style="background-color:#C11B17; color: white;" | Safe R
 
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| align="center" | [[Arkansas State Senate elections, 2010|Arkansas]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[California State Senate elections, 2010|California]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Connecticut State Senate elections, 2010|Connecticut]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Delaware State Senate elections, 2010|Delaware]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Hawaii State Senate elections, 2010|Hawaii]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Maryland State Senate elections, 2010|Maryland]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Massachusetts State Senate elections, 2010|Massachusetts]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Rhode Island State Senate elections, 2010|Rhode Island]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Vermont State Senate elections, 2010|Vermont]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[West Virginia State Senate elections, 2010|West Virginia]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])  <hr /> '''Not up:'''<br> [[Louisiana State Senate|Louisiana]] <br> [[Mississippi State Senate|Mississippi]] <br> [[New Jersey State Senate|New Jersey]] <br> [[New Mexico State Senate|New Mexico]] <br> [[Virginia State Senate|Virginia]] <br>  
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| valign="top" align="center" | [[Arkansas State Senate elections, 2010|Arkansas]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[California State Senate elections, 2010|California]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Connecticut State Senate elections, 2010|Connecticut]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Delaware State Senate elections, 2010|Delaware]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Hawaii State Senate elections, 2010|Hawaii]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Maryland State Senate elections, 2010|Maryland]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Massachusetts State Senate elections, 2010|Massachusetts]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Rhode Island State Senate elections, 2010|Rhode Island]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[Vermont State Senate elections, 2010|Vermont]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])<br> [[West Virginia State Senate elections, 2010|West Virginia]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])  <hr /> '''Not up:'''<br> [[Louisiana State Senate|Louisiana]] <br> [[Mississippi State Senate|Mississippi]] <br> [[New Jersey State Senate|New Jersey]] <br> [[New Mexico State Senate|New Mexico]] <br> [[Virginia State Senate|Virginia]] <br>  
| align="center" | [[Illinois State Senate elections, 2010|Illinois]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Minnesota State Senate elections, 2010|Minnesota]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])  
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| align="center" | [[Colorado State Senate elections, 2010|Colorado]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])  <br> [[Iowa State Senate elections, 2010|Iowa]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Nevada State Senate elections, 2010|Nevada]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Oregon State Senate elections, 2010|Oregon]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Washington State Senate elections, 2010|Washington]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])
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| valign="top" align="center" | [[Illinois State Senate elections, 2010|Illinois]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Minnesota State Senate elections, 2010|Minnesota]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Nevada State Senate elections, 2010|Nevada]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])
| align="center" | [[Alabama State Senate elections, 2010|Alabama]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Alaska State Senate elections, 2010|Alaska]] (Split)<ref>The Alaska State Senate is split evenly at 10 Democrats and 10 Republicans</ref> <br> [[Maine State Senate elections, 2010|Maine]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[New Hampshire State Senate elections, 2010|New Hampshire]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[New York State Senate elections, 2010|New York]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[North Carolina State Senate elections, 2010|North Carolina]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Wisconsin State Senate elections, 2010|Wisconsin]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])  
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|  
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| valign="top" align="center" | [[Colorado State Senate elections, 2010|Colorado]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Oregon State Senate elections, 2010|Oregon]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Washington State Senate elections, 2010|Washington]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])
| align="center" | [[Kentucky State Senate elections, 2010|Kentucky]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Michigan State Senate elections, 2010|Michigan]]: ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Montana State Senate elections, 2010|Montana]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Tennessee State Senate elections, 2010|Tennessee]]: ([[Republican Party|R]])  
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| align="center" | [[Arizona State Senate elections, 2010|Arizona]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Florida State Senate elections, 2010|Florida]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Georgia State Senate elections, 2010|Georgia]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Idaho State Senate elections, 2010|Idaho]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Indiana State Senate elections, 2010|Indiana]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Missouri State Senate elections, 2010|Missouri]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[North Dakota State Senate elections, 2010|North Dakota]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Ohio State Senate elections, 2010|Ohio]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Oklahoma State Senate elections, 2010|Oklahoma]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Pennsylvania State Senate elections, 2010|Pennsylvania]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[South Dakota State Senate elections, 2010|South Dakota]]: ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Texas State Senate elections, 2010|Texas]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Utah State Senate elections, 2010|Utah]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Wyoming State Senate elections, 2010|Wyoming]] ([[Republican Party|R]])  <hr /> '''Not up:'''<br> [[Kansas State Senate|Kansas]] <br> [[South Carolina State Senate|South Carolina]] <br>  
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| valign="top" align="center" | [[Alabama State Senate elections, 2010|Alabama]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Maine State Senate elections, 2010|Maine]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[New Hampshire State Senate elections, 2010|New Hampshire]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[New York State Senate elections, 2010|New York]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[North Carolina State Senate elections, 2010|North Carolina]] ([[Democratic Party|D]]) <br> [[Wisconsin State Senate elections, 2010|Wisconsin]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])  
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| valign="top" align="center" | '''Possible R Pick-ups:''' <br> [[Alaska State Senate elections, 2010|Alaska]] (Split)<ref>The Alaska State Senate is split evenly at 10 Democrats and 10 Republicans</ref> <br> [[Iowa State Senate elections, 2010|Iowa]] ([[Democratic Party|D]])
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| valign="top" align="center" | [[Kentucky State Senate elections, 2010|Kentucky]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Michigan State Senate elections, 2010|Michigan]]: ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Montana State Senate elections, 2010|Montana]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Tennessee State Senate elections, 2010|Tennessee]]: ([[Republican Party|R]])  
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| valign="top" align="center" | [[Arizona State Senate elections, 2010|Arizona]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Florida State Senate elections, 2010|Florida]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Georgia State Senate elections, 2010|Georgia]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Idaho State Senate elections, 2010|Idaho]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Indiana State Senate elections, 2010|Indiana]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Missouri State Senate elections, 2010|Missouri]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[North Dakota State Senate elections, 2010|North Dakota]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Ohio State Senate elections, 2010|Ohio]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Oklahoma State Senate elections, 2010|Oklahoma]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Pennsylvania State Senate elections, 2010|Pennsylvania]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[South Dakota State Senate elections, 2010|South Dakota]]: ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Texas State Senate elections, 2010|Texas]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Utah State Senate elections, 2010|Utah]] ([[Republican Party|R]]) <br> [[Wyoming State Senate elections, 2010|Wyoming]] ([[Republican Party|R]])  <hr /> '''Not up:'''<br> [[Kansas State Senate|Kansas]] <br> [[South Carolina State Senate|South Carolina]] <br>  
 
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{{reflist}}

Latest revision as of 15:09, 2 July 2012

2010 State senate elections
ALAKARARCACOCTDEFLGAHIIDILINIAKYMEMDMAMIMNMOMTNENVNHNYNCNDOHOKORPARISDTNTXUTVTWAWVWIWY
Parties with candidates
Impact of term limits
Successful challengers
Defeated incumbents
State house elections
State senate elections
State legislative elections
        Projected outcomes of state house electionsProjected outcomes of state legislative electionsNovember 2, 2010 election results

2010 State Senate Races

SLP badge.png
Democrats

Before election: 28

Predicted after election: 21
Toss-up
6
Republicans

Before election: 20

Predicted after election: 22
15 Safe or Not Up 3 3 6 2 4 16 Safe or Not Up

Since one state senate is non-partisan, a political party is defined as having the majority of state senates if it has at least 25.

The Democratic Party needs to win all the safe, likely and leans Democratic, and 3 of the toss-up states, to get to 25.

The Republican Party needs to win all the safe, likely and leans Republican, and 5 of the toss-up states, to get to 25.

Safe D Likely Dem. Leans Dem. Toss Up Leans GOP Likely GOP Safe R
Arkansas (D)
California (D)
Connecticut (D)
Delaware (D)
Hawaii (D)
Maryland (D)
Massachusetts (D)
Rhode Island (D)
Vermont (D)
West Virginia (D)
Not up:
Louisiana
Mississippi
New Jersey
New Mexico
Virginia
Illinois (D)
Minnesota (D)
Nevada (D)
Colorado (D)
Oregon (D)
Washington (D)
Alabama (D)
Maine (D)
New Hampshire (D)
New York (D)
North Carolina (D)
Wisconsin (D)
Possible R Pick-ups:
Alaska (Split)[1]
Iowa (D)
Kentucky (R)
Michigan: (R)
Montana (R)
Tennessee: (R)
Arizona (R)
Florida (R)
Georgia (R)
Idaho (R)
Indiana (R)
Missouri (R)
North Dakota (R)
Ohio (R)
Oklahoma (R)
Pennsylvania (R)
South Dakota: (R)
Texas (R)
Utah (R)
Wyoming (R)
Not up:
Kansas
South Carolina
Partisan dominance in state senates
heading into the 2010 state legislative elections
Nevada State SenateMassachusetts State SenateColorado State SenateNew Mexico State SenateWyoming State SenateArizona State SenateMontana State SenateCalifornia State SenateOregon State SenateWashington State SenateIdaho State SenateTexas State SenateOklahoma State SenateKansas State SenateSouth Dakota State SenateNorth Dakota State SenateMinnesota State SenateIowa State SenateMissouri State SenateArkansas State SenateLouisiana State SenateMississippi State SenateAlabama State SenateGeorgia State SenateFlorida State SenateSouth Carolina State SenateIllinois State SenateWisconsin State AssemblyTennessee State SenateNorth Carolina State SenateIndiana State SenateOhio State SenateKentucky State SenatePennsylvania State SenateNew Jersey State SenateNew York State SenateVermont State SenateVermont State SenateNew Hampshire State SenateMaine State SenateWest Virginia State SenateVirginia State SenateNebraska State Senate (Unicameral)Maryland State SenateMaryland State SenateConnecticut State SenateConnecticut State SenateDelaware State SenateDelaware State SenateRhode Island State SenateRhode Island State SenateMassachusetts State SenateNew Hampshire State SenateMichigan State SenateMichigan State SenateAlaska State SenateSenates Combined 2010.png


  1. The Alaska State Senate is split evenly at 10 Democrats and 10 Republicans