United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky, 2012

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2012 U.S. House Elections in Kentucky

Primary Date
May 22, 2012

Partisan breakdownCandidates

Kentucky District Pages
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6

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2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Kentucky.png
The 2012 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Kentucky took place on November 6, 2012. Voters elected six candidates to serve in the U.S. House, one from each of the state's six congressional districts.
Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
February 7, 2012
May 22, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Kentucky has a closed primary system, meaning the selection of a party's candidates in a primary election is limited to registered members of that party.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by April 23. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 9.[1]

See also: Kentucky elections, 2012


The signature filing deadline for candidates wishing to run was initially set for January 31, 2012. However because the legislature was unable to complete new redistricting maps on time, the deadline was pushed back one week.[2] The new deadline was February 7.[3]

According to the New York Times race ratings in October 2012, one of the six districts is considered to be in play, District 6.[4]

The Center for Voting and Democracy (Fairvote) projected that Republicans would win four seats. It did not make a projection for the remaining two districts.[5]

Primary competitiveness

See also: National contested primary average during the 2012 U.S. congressional elections

Kentucky was tied with Delaware, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, New Hampshire, New Jersey, North Dakota, Oregon, South Dakota, and West Virginia for having the 22nd most competitive congressional primaries in 2012, with 50% of major party primaries having been contested (6 out of 12). The national average was 54.31%.

Five U.S. House incumbents ran for re-election in Kentucky in 2012. 1 of those 5 (20%) faced a primary challenger. Nationwide, 200 out of the 386 incumbents seeking re-election faced a primary challenger (51.81%).

Partisan breakdown

Heading into the November 6 election, the Republican Party held four of the six Congressional seats from Kentucky.

Members of the U.S. House from Kentucky -- Partisan Breakdown
Party As of November 2012 After the 2012 Election
     Democratic Party 2 1
     Republican Party 4 5
Total 6 6

Incumbents

Heading into the 2012 election, the incumbents for the six congressional districts were:

Name Party District
Ben Chandler Electiondot.png Democratic 6
Brett Guthrie Ends.png Republican 2
Ed Whitfield Ends.png Republican 1
Geoff Davis Ends.png Republican 4
Hal Rogers Ends.png Republican 5
John Yarmuth Electiondot.png Democratic 3

The new congressional maps after the 2012 redistricting were expected to strengthen the incumbents hold in all districts.[6] Each of the four Republican incumbents, Brett Guthrie, Ed Whitfield, Hal Rogers and retiring incumbent Geoff Davis's districts were drawn into conservative-oriented seats with the new map. [6] Democratic representatives John Yarmuth and Ben Chandler's districts were likewise strengthened from the redistricting, by shifting more Democratic voters into their districts.[6]

Margin of victory for winners

There were a total of 6 seats up for election in 2012 in Kentucky. The following table shows the margin of victory for each district winner, which is calculated by examining the percentage difference between the top-two vote getters. If the race was uncontested, the margin of victory is listed as 100%.

District Winner Margin of Victory Total Vote Top Opponent
Kentucky, District 1 Republican Party Ed Whitfield 39.3% 287,155 Charles Kendall Hatchett
Kentucky, District 2 Republican Party Brett Guthrie 32.6% 282,267 David Lynn Williams
Kentucky, District 3 Democratic Party John Yarmuth 29.4% 322,656 Brooks Wicker
Kentucky, District 4 Republican Party Thomas Massie 27.2% 299,444 Bill Adkins
Kentucky, District 5 Republican Party Hal Rogers 55.8% 250,853 Kenneth Stepp
Kentucky, District 6 Republican Party Andy Barr 3.9% 303,000 Ben Chandler

General election candidates

District General Election Candidates Incumbent 2012 Winner Partisan Switch?
1st Democratic Party Charles Kendall Hatchett
Republican Party Ed Whitfield
Ed Whitfield Republican Party Ed Whitfield No
2nd Democratic Party David Lynn Williams
Republican Party Brett Guthrie
Libertarian Party Craig Astor
Independent Andrew R. Beacham
Brett Guthrie Republican Party Brett Guthrie No
3rd Democratic Party John Yarmuth
Republican Party Brooks Wicker
Independent Robert DeVore Jr.
John Yarmuth Democratic Party John Yarmuth No
4th Democratic Party Bill Adkins
Republican Party Thomas Massie
Independent David Lewis
Geoff Davis Republican Party Thomas Massie No
5th Democratic Party Kenneth Stepp
Republican Party Hal Rogers
Hal Rogers Republican Party Hal Rogers No
6th Democratic Party Ben Chandler
Republican Party Andy Barr
Independent Randolph Vance
Ben Chandler Republican Party Andy Barr Yes

Candidates

Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals were added after official election results had been certified. For more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan, click here. If you find any errors in this list, please email: Geoff Pallay.

1st Congressional District

General election candidates

Democratic Party Charles Kendall Hatchett
Republican Party Ed Whitfield Green check mark transparent.png


May 22, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

2nd Congressional District

General election candidates

Democratic Party David Lynn Williams
Republican Party Brett Guthrie Green check mark transparent.png
Libertarian Party Craig Astor
Independent Andrew R. Beacham


May 22, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

Libertarian Party Libertarian Primary

Independent Independent Party

3rd Congressional District

General election candidates

Democratic Party John Yarmuth Green check mark transparent.png
Republican Party Brooks Wicker
Independent Robert DeVore Jr.


May 22, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

Independent Third Party Primary

4th Congressional District

General election candidates

Democratic Party Bill Adkins
Republican Party Thomas Massie Green check mark transparent.png
Independent David Lewis


May 22, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

Independent Independent Party

5th Congressional District

General election candidates

Democratic Party Kenneth Stepp
Republican Party Hal Rogers Green check mark transparent.png


May 22, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

6th Congressional District

General election candidates

Democratic Party Ben Chandler
Republican Party Andy Barr Green check mark transparent.png
Independent Randolph Vance


May 22, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

IndependentThird-Party Candidates

External links

See also

References

  1. Kentucky State Board of Elections "Voter Information Guide," Accessed June 29, 2012
  2. Courier Press "Judge to rule by Tuesday on Kentucky legislative filing deadline," January 30, 2012
  3. Kentucky.com "Lawmakers move to postpone congressional deadline," January 27, 2012
  4. New York Times "House Race Ratings," Accessed July 25, 2012
  5. "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in Kentucky," September 2012
  6. 6.0 6.1 6.2 Politico "Kentucky redistricting: Incumbents get a boost in new map" Accessed February 11, 2012
  7. 7.00 7.01 7.02 7.03 7.04 7.05 7.06 7.07 7.08 7.09 7.10 7.11 7.12 7.13 7.14 7.15 Kentucky Secretary of State "Candidate Filings" accessed January 31, 2012
  8. WLKY "Election Results" accessed May 22, 2012
  9. Kentucky Secretary of State "2012 Primary List"
  10. Kentucky Secretary of State Candidate List accessed September 5, 2012
  11. cn|2 "U.S. Rep. John Yarmuth to run for fourth term in 2012" accessed December 19, 2011
  12. WLKY "Election Results" accessed May 22, 2012
  13. cn|2 "Republican Brooks Wicker to run for Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District" accessed December 18, 2011
  14. Kentucky Secretary of State "2012 Candidate List"
  15. WLKY "Election Results" accessed May 22, 2012
  16. nky.com "It’s official: Webb-Edgington to run for Congress" accessed December 18, 2011
  17. WLKY "Election Results" accessed May 22, 2012
  18. Kentucky Secretary of State Candidate List accessed September 5, 2012
  19. WLKY "Election Results" accessed May 22, 2012
  20. WLKY "Election Results" accessed May 22, 2012
  21. 21.0 21.1 21.2 Kentucky Secretary of State "Candidate Filings" accessed January 10, 2012