Difference between revisions of "United States House of Representatives elections in Montana, 2014"

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==Campaign contributions==
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==District history==
 
==District history==

Revision as of 11:10, 7 November 2013


2012

CongressLogo.png

Montana's At-Large Congressional District

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
June 3, 2014

District historyCandidates

November 4 Election Winner:
Ryan Zinke Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Steve Daines Republican Party
Steve Daines.jpg

Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Likely R[1]

FairVote's Monopoly Politics: Safe R[2]
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely R[3]


Montana U.S. House Elections
At-Large District

2014 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Montana.png
The 2014 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Montana will take place on November 4, 2014. Voters will elect one candidate to serve in the U.S. House from the state's at-large congressional district.

Montana is one of 14 states that uses an open primary system, in which registered voters do not have to be members of a party to vote in that party's primary.[4][5][6]

The incumbent heading into the election is Steve Daines (R), who was first elected in 2012.

Montana has a single at-large congressional district, which makes up the entire state.

Race Background

In the 2012 election Steve Daines secured election by a 10.5% margin of victory. The district has been evaluated as leaning republican, receiving a Partisan Voter Index of from the Cook Political Report. In 2012, the incumbent, Denny Rehberg chose not to run for re-election so that he could compete for the senate seat up for election. As a result Steve Daines and Kim Gillian ran against each for the open seat. The district was listed in the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's "Red to Blue List," which identifies districts that the organization has specifically targeted to flip from Republican to Democratic control.[7] Steven Daines was able to outspend his opponent, Kim Gillian, spending $2,021,596, which is close to twice the $991,016 she did.[8]

Partisan breakdown

Heading into the November 4 election, the Republican Party holds the one congressional seat from Montana.

Members of the U.S. House from Montana -- Partisan Breakdown
Party As of November 2014 After the 2014 Election
     Democratic Party 0 0
     Republican Party 1 1
Total 1 1

Candidates

Note: Prior to the signature filing deadline, candidates will be added when Ballotpedia writers come across declared candidates. If you see a name of a candidate who is missing, please email us and we will add that name. As the election draws closer, more information will be added to this page.

General election candidates


June 3, 2014, primary results

Republican Party Republican Primary

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Libertarian Party Libertarian Primary

Declined to run

Campaign contributions

Steve Daines

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Daines' reports.[12]

Steve Daines (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[13]April 12, 2013$15,407.18$252,869.34$(77,952.52)$190,324.00
July Quarterly[14]July 15, 2013$190,324.00$430,922.42$(60,392.38)$560,854.04
October Quarterly[15]October 15, 2013$560,854.04$642,537.15$(64,600.10)$1,138,791.09
Year-End Quarterly[16]December 31, 2013$1,138,791$827,134$(271,846)$1,897,935
April Quarterly[17]April 15, 2014$1,897,935.17$1,215,460.20$(901,798.02)$2,211,597.35
Pre-Primary[18]May 19, 2014$2,211,597.35$512,327.71$(842,191.50)$1,881,733.56
July Quarterly[19]July 15, 2014$1,881,733.56$911,538.12$(1,065,472.52)$1,727,797.16
October Quarterly[20]October 15, 2014$1,727,797.16$1,853,201.41$(1,961,632.23)$1,619,366.34
Pre-General[21]October 20, 2014$1,619,366.34$307,857.50$(676,673.59)$1,250,550.25
Running totals
$6,953,847.85$(5,922,558.86)

District history

2012

On November 6, 2012, Steve Daines (R) won election to the United States House. He defeated Kim Gillan (D) and David Kaiser (L) in the general election.

U.S. House, Montana, At-Large District General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Kim Gillan 42.7% 204,939
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngSteve Daines 53.3% 255,468
     Libertarian David Kaiser 4% 19,333
Total Votes 479,740
Source: Montana Secretary of State "2012 Election Center"

2010

On November 2, 2010, Denny Rehberg was re-elected to the United States House for a sixth term. He defeated Dennis McDonald (D), and Mike Fellows (Libertarian).[22]

United States House, Montana General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDenny Rehberg Incumbent 60.4% 217,696
     Democratic Dennis McDonald 33.8% 121,954
     Libertarian Mike Fellows 5.7% 20,691
Total Votes 360,341

See also

References

  1. Cook Political Report, "2014 House Race Ratings for August 8, 2014," accessed August 25, 2014
  2. FairVote's Monopoly Politics, "2014 House Projections," accessed August 25, 2014
  3. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 House Races," accessed August 25, 2014
  4. National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
  5. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  6. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013, through January 3, 2014, researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  7. DCCC, "Red to Blue 2012"
  8. Open Secrets "2012 Race: Montana District 01" Accessed March 2013
  9. Washington Post, "Former Baucus state director files paperwork for House race," accessed August 26, 2013
  10. USA Today, "EMILY's List president not running for Senate," accessed July 31, 2013
  11. The Hill, "Rehberg eyes bid for former House seat," accessed January 3, 2014
  12. Federal Election Commission, "Daines 2014 Summary reports," accessed July 18, 2014
  13. FEC, "April Quarterly," accessed July 18, 2013
  14. FEC, "July Quarterly," accessed July 18, 2013
  15. FEC, "October Quarterly," accessed October 24, 2013
  16. FEC, "Year-End Quarterly," accessed February 12, 2014
  17. FEC, "April Quarterly," accessed May 16, 2014
  18. FEC, "Pre-Primary," accessed October 22, 2014
  19. FEC, "July Quarterly," accessed October 22, 2014
  20. FEC, "October Quarterly," accessed October 31, 2014
  21. FEC, "Pre-General," accessed October 31, 2014
  22. U.S. Congress House Clerk "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010"