United States Senate elections in Alaska, 2014

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2014 U.S. Senate Elections in Alaska

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
August 19, 2014

November 4 Election Winner:
Dan Sullivan Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Mark Begich Democratic Party
Mark Begich.jpg

Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Toss Up[1]

Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss Up[2]


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2014 U.S. House Elections

Flag of Alaska.png
Voters in Alaska will elect one member to the U.S. Senate in the election on November 4, 2014.

Alaska is one of 21 states with a mixed primary system. Parties decide who may vote in their primary election. The Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party allow any registered voters. The Alaska Republican Party allows only registered Republicans, nonpartisan or undeclared voters.[3]

The election will fill the Senate seat currently held by Mark Begich (D). Begich was first elected in 2008.

Candidates

Note: Prior to the signature filing deadline, candidates will be added when Ballotpedia writers come across declared candidates. If you see a name of a candidate who is missing, please email us and we will add that name. As the election draws closer, more information will be added to this page.

Rumored but not running

Race background

Incumbent Mark Begich is a Democratic senator in a red state, making his seat one of the most vulnerable in 2014. The unpopularity of President Obama's healthcare mandate, combined with it's poor implementation thus far, is likely to be a major issue that Begich will have to overcome in order to win re-election.

Race ratings

Most vulnerable seats

The Fiscal Times compiled a list of the seven most vulnerable Senate seats up for election in 2014. The seven included in the list are: Alaska, Arkansas, Iowa, Louisiana, North Carolina, South Dakota, and West Virginia. Going into the 2014 election, all seven seats are held by Democrats.[4]

Democratic incumbent Mark Begich defeated Ted Stevens in 2008 to win the seat. However, the potential loss of jobs at Eielson Air Force Base near Fairbanks could cause Begich to take a hit in his bid for re-election.[4]

Polling indicates that Gov. Sean Parnell (R) could be Begich’s strongest opponent, but Lt. Gov. Mead Treadwell (R) is the likeliest opponent. The seat is considered a toss-up.[4]

Washington Post top 10 races

According to an analysis by The Washington Post, the U.S. Senate election in Alaska was considered one of the top 10 Senate races of 2014. When Alaska attorney general Dan Sullivan entered the race in late 2013, the Republican primary field became even more murky.[5]

Media

Mark Begich released a radio ad on August 19, 2013, highlighting his opposition to the No Child Left Behind Act. The ad states that the No Child Left Behind Act does not work with the diversity of Alaska's schools.[6]

Issues

Government shutdown

Mark Begich

See also: United States budget debate, 2013

Voted "Yes" During the shutdown in October 2013, the Senate rejected, down party lines, every House-originated bill that stripped the budget of funding for the Affordable Care Act. A deal was reached late on October 16, 2013, just hours before the debt ceiling deadline. The bill to reopen the government, H.R. 2775, lifted the $16.7 trillion debt limit and funds the government through January 15, 2014. Federal employees also received retroactive pay for the shutdown period. The only concession made by Senate Democrats was to require income verification for Obamacare subsidies.[7] The final vote on H.R. 2775 was 81-18, with all 18 votes against the bill from Republican members. Mark Begich voted with the Democratic Party for the bill.[8]

Endorsements

Governor Sean Parnell decided to stay neutral in the Republican primary and did not endorse either his lieutenant governor, Mead Treadwell, or his former director of natural resources, Dan Sullivan. He stated, "I think both could be excellent U.S. senators, so I’ve chosen to stay out of taking an official position."[9]

Polls

Mark Begich vs. Mead Treadwell
Poll Mark Begich Mead TreadwellNot SureMargin of ErrorSample Size
Harper Polling (September 24-25, 2013)
43%42%15%+/-3.62731
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Mark Begich vs. Dan Sullivan
Poll Mark Begich Dan SullivanNot SureMargin of ErrorSample Size
Harper Polling (September 24-25, 2013)
43%41%16%+/-3.62731
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Mark Begich vs. Joe Miller
Poll Mark Begich Joe MillerNot SureMargin of ErrorSample Size
Harper Polling (September 24-25, 2013)
55%28%18%+/-3.62731
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Campaign contributions

Mark Begich

Mark Begich (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[10]April 15, 2013$952,260.37$947,943.67$(382,271.15)$1,517,932.89
July Quarterly[11]July 15, 2013$1,517,932.89$993,064.55$(462,594.51)$2,048,402.93
October Quarterly[12]October 15, 2013$2,048,402.93$813,189.58$(428,646.86)$2,432,945.65
Year-End[13]January 31, 2014$2,432,945$849,363$(473,012)$2,809,296
April Quarterly[14]April 15, 2014$2,809,281$1,045,615$(1,035,974)$2,819,472
July Quarterly[15]July 15, 2014$2,819,472$1,268,202$(1,933,882)$2,153,792
Pre-Primary[16]August 4, 2014$2,153,792$423,046$(515,394)$2,061,443
October Quarterly[17]October 12, 2014$2,061,443$1,515,166$(2,380,003)$1,196,607
Pre-General[18]October 20, 2014$1,196,607$511,783$(986,884)$721,505
Running totals
$8,367,372.8$(8,598,661.52)

Mead Treadwell

Mead Treadwell (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[19]July 15, 2013$10,000.00$10,300.00$(11,660.43)$8,639.57
July Quarterly[20]July 15, 2013$8,639.57$170,270.51$(48,560.77)$130,349.31
October Quarterly[21]October 15, 2013$130,349.31$196,307.58$(171,769.14)$154,887.75
Year-End[22]January 29, 2014$154,887$229,056$(289,140)$94,803
April Quarterly[23]April 15, 2014$94,803$344,507$(262,043)$177,268
July Quarterly[24]July 16, 2014$177,268$164,468$(174,688)$167,047
Pre-Primary[25]August 5, 2014$167,047$92,072$(117,376)$141,743
Running totals
$1,206,981.09$(1,075,237.34)
**As of the Pre-Primary Report, Treadwell's campaign committee owed $248,445 in outstanding loans to Mead Treadwell.

Joe Miller

Joe Miller (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[26]April 15, 2013$426,783.51$47.14$(850.00)$425,980.65
July Quarterly[27]July 15, 2013$425,980.65$18,394.34$(126,920.07)$317,454.92
October Quarterly[28]October 15, 2013$317,454.92$13,691.00$(43,440.49)$287,705.43
Year-End[29]January 31, 2014$287,705$30,490$(86,489)$231,705
April Quarterly[30]April 15, 2014$231,705$101,400$(37,751)$295,354
July Quarterly[31]July 15, 2014$295,354$129,504$(121,297)$303,561
Pre-Primary[32]August 4, 2014$303,561$34,255$(149,580)$188,236
Running totals
$327,781.48$(566,327.56)

Election history

2010

On November 2, 2010, Lisa Murkowski won re-election to the United States Senate. She defeated Joe Miller (R), Scott T. McAdams (D), Frederick Haase (L), Tim Carter (I) and Ted Gianoutsos (I) in the general election.[33]

U.S. Senate, Alaska General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Write-in Green check mark transparent.pngLisa Murkowski Incumbent 39.7% 101,091
     Republican Joe Miller 35.6% 90,839
     Democratic Scott T. McAdams 23.6% 60,045
     Libertarian Frederick Haase 0.6% 1,459
     Nonaffiliated Tim Carter 0.4% 927
     Nonaffiliated Ted Gianoutsos 0.2% 458
Total Votes 254,819

2008

On November 4, 2008, Mark Begich won re-election to the United States Senate. He defeated Ted Stevens (R) in the general election.[34]

U.S. Senate, Alaska General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMark Begich Incumbent 50.7% 151,767
     Republican Ted Stevens 49.3% 147,814
Total Votes 299,581

See also

External links

References

  1. Cook Political Report, "2014 SENATE RACE RATINGS FOR JULY 18, 2014," accessed July 28, 2014
  2. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 Senate Races," accessed July 28, 2014
  3. State of Alaska Division of Elections Website, "Primary Election Information," accessed January 2, 2014
  4. 4.0 4.1 4.2 Fiscal Times "7 Senate Seats Most at Risk—Hint: They’re All Blue" Accessed February 15, 2013
  5. The Washington Post, "The Fix’s top 10 Senate races of 2014," accessed December 10, 2013
  6. Politico, "Mark Begich launching ad on education," August 19, 2013
  7. The Washington Post, "Reid, McConnell propose bipartisan Senate bill to end shutdown, extend borrowing," accessed October 16, 2013
  8. Senate.gov, "H.R. 2775 As Amended," accessed October 31, 2013
  9. Politico, "Parnell staying out of Alaska Sen. race," November 21, 2013
  10. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Begich April Quarterly," accessed July 22, 2013
  11. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Begich July Quarterly," accessed October 28, 2013
  12. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Begich October Quarterly," accessed October 28, 2013
  13. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Begich Year-End," accessed February 14, 2014
  14. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Begich April Quarterly," accessed April 29, 2014
  15. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Begich July Quarterly," accessed July 28, 2014
  16. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Begich Pre-Primary," accessed August 12, 2014
  17. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Begich October Quarterly," accessed October 24, 2014
  18. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Begich Pre-General," accessed November 24, 2014
  19. Federal Election Commission, "Mead Treadwell April Quarterly," accessed July 28, 2013
  20. Federal Election Commission, "Mead Treadwell July Quarterly," accessed July 28, 2013
  21. Federal Election Commission, "Mead Treadwell October Quarterly," accessed October 28, 2013
  22. Federal Election Commission, "Mead Treadwell Year-End," accessed February 14, 2014
  23. Federal Election Commission, "Mead Treadwell April Quarterly," accessed April 29, 2014
  24. Federal Election Commission, "Mead Treadwell July Quarterly," accessed July 25, 2014
  25. Federal Election Commission, "Mead Treadwell Pre-Primary," accessed August 12, 2014
  26. Federal Election Commission, "Joe Miller April Quarterly," accessed July 28, 2013
  27. Federal Election Commission, "Joe Miller July Quarterly," accessed July 28, 2013
  28. Federal Election Commission, "Joe Miller October Quarterly," accessed October 28, 2013
  29. Federal Election Commission, "Joe Miller Year-End," accessed February 14, 2014
  30. Federal Election Commission, "Joe Miller April Quarterly," accessed April 29, 2014
  31. Federal Election Commission, "Joe Miller July Quarterly," accessed July 25, 2014
  32. Federal Election Commission, "Joe Miller Pre-Primary," accessed August 12, 2014
  33. U.S. Congress House Clerk "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010"
  34. U.S. Congress House Clerk "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008"