Read the State Legislative Tracker. New edition available now!

Difference between revisions of "United States Senate elections in Colorado, 2014"

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search
(Key votes)
Line 1: Line 1:
 
{{Coelecbanner14}}{{CoUSsen2014toc}}{{tnr}}Voters in [[Colorado]] '''will elect one member to the [[U.S. Senate elections, 2014|U.S. Senate]]''' in the [[United States Congress elections, 2014|election on November 4, 2014]].
 
{{Coelecbanner14}}{{CoUSsen2014toc}}{{tnr}}Voters in [[Colorado]] '''will elect one member to the [[U.S. Senate elections, 2014|U.S. Senate]]''' in the [[United States Congress elections, 2014|election on November 4, 2014]].
  
Incumbent [[Mark Udall]] is seen as being somewhat vulnerable in 2014. This is partially due to the unpopularity of the [[Affordable Care Act]]. Additionally, he faces a legitimate Republican challenger in U.S. Rep. [[Cory Gardner]]. Polling as of {{#time:F Y}} shows Udall with a very slight lead over Gardner.<ref>[http://www.scribd.com/doc/223560786/CO-Sen-LCV-for-PPP-May-2014 ''Scribd'', "CO-Sen LCV for PPP (May 2014)," May 12, 2014]</ref>
+
Incumbent [[Mark Udall]] is seen as being somewhat vulnerable in 2014. This is partially due to the unpopularity of the [[Affordable Care Act]]. Additionally, he faces a legitimate Republican challenger in U.S. Rep. [[Cory Gardner]]. Polling as of {{#time:F Y}} shows Udall with a very slight lead over Gardner.<ref>[http://www.scribd.com/doc/223560786/CO-Sen-LCV-for-PPP-May-2014 ''Scribd'', "CO-Sen LCV for PPP (May 2014)," May 12, 2014]</ref> Udall does hold a significant edge over Gardner in fundraising. As of the [[FEC]]'s July Quarterly reports, Udall has raised $10.4 million and has $5.7 million cash on hand.<ref name=udalljq>[http://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/192/14020553192/14020553192.pdf ''Federal Election Commission'', "Mark Udall July Quarterly," accessed July 24, 2014]</ref> Gardner has raised less than half of Udall's total at just under $5 million and has $3.4 million on hand.<ref name=gardnerjq>[http://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/428/14020510428/14020510428.pdf ''Federal Election Commission'', "Cory Gardner July Quarterly," accessed July 23, 2014]</ref>
  
 
{{Congintro2014
 
{{Congintro2014
Line 17: Line 17:
 
==Race background==
 
==Race background==
 
Multiple Republican candidates filed to run for the seat currently held by [[Mark Udall]]. However, because [[Cory Gardner]] received the votes of 73 percent of the more than 3,900 delegates at the state assembly on April 12, 2014, he was the only Republican on the primary ballot. Thus, he will face incumbent [[Mark Udall]] in November.<ref>[http://www.journal-advocate.com/sterling-local_news/ci_25564116/gardner-campaign-turns-november-race ''Journal-Advocate'', "Gardner campaign turns to November race," April 14, 2014]</ref>
 
Multiple Republican candidates filed to run for the seat currently held by [[Mark Udall]]. However, because [[Cory Gardner]] received the votes of 73 percent of the more than 3,900 delegates at the state assembly on April 12, 2014, he was the only Republican on the primary ballot. Thus, he will face incumbent [[Mark Udall]] in November.<ref>[http://www.journal-advocate.com/sterling-local_news/ci_25564116/gardner-campaign-turns-november-race ''Journal-Advocate'', "Gardner campaign turns to November race," April 14, 2014]</ref>
 
===Outside spending===
 
Since 2010, the amount of outside spending going into Colorado's U.S. Senate election more than quadrupled. Additionally, eight outside groups are involved in Colorado's U.S. Senate race, up from three in 2010.<ref>[http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/28/us/politics/deluge-of-political-ads-is-driven-by-outside-money.html?ref=politics&_r=1 ''The New York Times'', "Outside Money Drives a Deluge of Political Ads," July 27, 2014]</ref>
 
 
[[American Crossroads]] reserved $2.3 million in airtime to oppose incumbent [[Mark Udall]].<ref>[http://www.politico.com/story/2014/05/american-crossroads-crossorads-gps-ads-arkansas-alaska-north-carolina-colorado-106830.html ''Politico'', "Crossroads plans $10 million midterm blitz," May 19, 2014]</ref>
 
  
 
==Key votes==
 
==Key votes==
Line 318: Line 313:
 
==Campaign contributions==
 
==Campaign contributions==
 
{{ballot access short}}
 
{{ballot access short}}
 +
===July 2014===
 +
Incumbent [[Mark Udall]] maintains a significant fundraising advantage over [[Cory Gardner]] as of the [[FEC]]'s July Quarterly reports. Udall has raised a grand total of $10.4 million and has $5.7 million cash on hand.<ref name=udalljq/> Gardner has raised less than half of Udall's total at just under $5 million and has $3.4 million remaining.<ref name=gardnerjq/>
 +
 +
===Outside spending===
 +
Since 2010, the amount of outside spending going into Colorado's U.S. Senate race more than quadrupled. Additionally, eight large outside groups are involved in Colorado's U.S. Senate race, up from three in 2010.<ref>[http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/28/us/politics/deluge-of-political-ads-is-driven-by-outside-money.html?ref=politics&_r=1 ''The New York Times'', "Outside Money Drives a Deluge of Political Ads," July 27, 2014]</ref>
 +
 +
In May 2014, [[American Crossroads]] reserved $2.3 million in airtime to oppose incumbent [[Mark Udall]].<ref>[http://www.politico.com/story/2014/05/american-crossroads-crossorads-gps-ads-arkansas-alaska-north-carolina-colorado-106830.html ''Politico'', "Crossroads plans $10 million midterm blitz," May 19, 2014]</ref>
 +
 +
As of August 2014, Colorado's U.S. Senate race has attracted roughly $6.5 million in outside spending. Of this money, the vast majority, $5,115,196, has been spent opposing challenger [[Cory Gardner]]. Of the remaining money, $1,110,899 has been spent supporting Gardner, $205,832 went to [[Owen Hill]] prior to the primary, $41,790 has been spent supporting incumbent [[Mark Udall]] and the remaining $72,981 has been spent opposing Udall.<ref name=os>[http://www.opensecrets.org/races/indexp.php?cycle=2014&id=COS2&spec=N ''Open Secrets'', "Colorado Senate Race - Outside Spending," accessed August 14, 2014]</ref>
 +
 +
====Mark Udall====
 +
The following groups have spent over $10,000 either in support of [[Mark Udall]] or opposition to [[Cory Gardner]]:
 +
 +
*[[Senate Majority PAC]] - $2,609,751
 +
*[[League of Conservation Voters]] - $965,774
 +
*American Fedn of St/Cnty/Munic Employees - $667,610
 +
*Environmental Defense Action Fund - $413,619
 +
*Fair Share Action - $381,333
 +
*[[Service Employees International Union]] - $54,684
 +
*[[NextGen Climate Action]] - $52,449
 +
 +
====Cory Gardner====
 +
The following groups have spent over $10,000 either in support of [[Cory Gardner]] or opposition to [[Mark Udall]]:
 +
 +
*U.S. Chamber of Commerce - $1,100,000
 +
*[[Conservative Majority Fund - $30,813
 +
*Women Speak Out PAC - $29,464
 +
*Vote to Reduce Debt - $10,000
 +
 
===Mark Udall===
 
===Mark Udall===
 
{{Mark Udall 2014 FEC}}
 
{{Mark Udall 2014 FEC}}

Revision as of 13:23, 14 August 2014



CongressLogo.png

2014 U.S. Senate Elections in Colorado

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
June 24, 2014

November 4 Election Winner:
Cory Gardner Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Mark Udall Democratic Party
Mark Udall.jpg

Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Toss Up[1]

Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss Up[2]


Other Senate Elections
Alabama • Alaska • Arkansas • Colorado • Delaware • Georgia • Idaho • Illinois • Iowa • Kansas • Kentucky • Louisiana • Maine • Massachusetts • Michigan • Minnesota • Mississippi • Montana • Nebraska • New Hampshire • New Jersey • New Mexico • North Carolina • Oklahoma • Oregon • Rhode Island • South Carolina • South Dakota • Tennessee • Texas • Virginia • West Virginia • Wyoming

2014 U.S. House Elections

Flag of Colorado.png
Voters in Colorado will elect one member to the U.S. Senate in the election on November 4, 2014.

Incumbent Mark Udall is seen as being somewhat vulnerable in 2014. This is partially due to the unpopularity of the Affordable Care Act. Additionally, he faces a legitimate Republican challenger in U.S. Rep. Cory Gardner. Polling as of April 2015 shows Udall with a very slight lead over Gardner.[3] Udall does hold a significant edge over Gardner in fundraising. As of the FEC's July Quarterly reports, Udall has raised $10.4 million and has $5.7 million cash on hand.[4] Gardner has raised less than half of Udall's total at just under $5 million and has $3.4 million on hand.[5]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
March 31, 2014
June 24, 2014
November 4, 2014

Primary: Colorado is one of 21 states with a mixed primary system. The primary is considered closed, but unaffiliated voters may choose to affiliate with a party on election day in order to vote.[6]

Voter registration: Voters were able to register to vote in the primary by either June 2 (by mail, at a voter registration agency, voter registration drive or DMV), June 16 (online) or on election day (in-person at a voter service polling center). For the general election, voters could register through election day, November 4, 2014.[7]

See also: Colorado elections, 2014

Incumbent: The election will fill the Senate seat currently held by Mark Udall (D). Udall was first elected in 2008.

Candidates

General election candidates

Democratic Party Mark Udall
Republican Party Cory Gardner Green check mark transparent.png
Libertarian Party Gaylon Kent
Independent Bill Hammons (Unity Party of Colorado)
Independent Raul Acosta
Independent Steve Shogan
Independent Willoughby

June 24, 2014, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

Independent Third Party candidates

Libertarian Party Gaylon Kent
Independent Bill Hammons (Unity Party of Colorado)
Independent Raul Acosta
Independent Steve Shogan
Independent Willoughby

Out in assembly

Withdrew

Race background

Multiple Republican candidates filed to run for the seat currently held by Mark Udall. However, because Cory Gardner received the votes of 73 percent of the more than 3,900 delegates at the state assembly on April 12, 2014, he was the only Republican on the primary ballot. Thus, he will face incumbent Mark Udall in November.[8]

Key votes

Below are important votes the current incumbent cast.

Government shutdown

See also: United States budget debate, 2013

Yea3.png During the shutdown in October 2013, the Senate rejected, down party lines, every House-originated bill that stripped the budget of funding for the Affordable Care Act. A deal was reached late on October 16, 2013, just hours before the debt ceiling deadline. The bill to reopen the government, H.R. 2775, lifted the $16.7 trillion debt limit and funded the government through January 15, 2014. Federal employees also received retroactive pay for the shutdown period. The only concession made by Senate Democrats was to require income verification for Obamacare subsidies.[9] The final vote on H.R. 2775 was 81-18, with all 18 votes against the bill from Republican members. Mark Udall voted with the Democratic Party for the bill.[10]

Obamacare

Yea3.png Udall voted in favor of H.R. 3590 (The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act). The bill passed the Senate 60-39 on December 24, 2009.[11]

Media

Mark Udall

Supporting


Ad attacking Cory Gardner for past votes

Udall for Colorado - Ad attacking Gardner for his stance on birth control and abortion

Opposing


Americans For Prosperity ad targeting Udall for supporting Obamacare

American Energy Alliance ad attacking Udall for special interests

Crossroads GPS ad attacking Udall for supporting Obamacare

Cory Gardner

Supporting


Americans for Prosperity ad supporting Cory Gardner

Cory Gardner's first campaign ad

Cory Gardner for Senate - Gardner Hits Back

Cory Gardner for Senate ad attacking Udall for insurance plan cancellations because of Obamacare

Opposing


League of Conservation Voters ad attacking Cory Gardner

Senate Majority PAC ad attacking Cory Gardner for trying to "redefine rape"

SEIU launched an ad campaign on July 15, 2014, targeting four Republican incumbents in the U.S. House over their chamber’s inaction on immigration reform in 2014.

The ad campaign targeted Gardner and Mike Coffman of Colorado, David Valadao of California and Joe Heck of Nevada with a round of Spanish-language television ads for about two weeks. The ad buy was in the mid-six figures.[12]

Senate Majority PAC released an ad on July 15, 2014, attacking Gardner for supporting a congressional bill to effectively ban abortion even in cases of rape and incest. It also accuses him of trying to "redefine rape" by excluding statutory rape and victims who were drugged and then raped.[13]

Polls

Mark Udall vs. Cory Gardner
Poll Mark Udall Cory GardnerNot sureMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Polling (July 17-20, 2014)
44%43%13%+/-3.8653
Marist Poll (July 2014)
48%41%12%+/-3.2914
Rasmussen Reports (June 25-26, 2014)
43%42%15%+/-4750
Public Policy Polling (May 7-8, 2014)
47%43%10%+/-4.3526
Harper Polling (April 17, 2014)
45%43%12%+/-4.4
Harper Polling (March 8-9, 2014)
45%44%11%+/-4.3689
Public Policy Polling (March 13-16, 2014)
42%40%17%+/-4.1568
AVERAGES 44.86% 42.29% 12.86% +/-4.01 585.71
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org






Campaign contributions

Candidate ballot access
Ballot Access Requirements Final.jpg

Find detailed information on ballot access requirements in all 50 states and Washington D.C.

July 2014

Incumbent Mark Udall maintains a significant fundraising advantage over Cory Gardner as of the FEC's July Quarterly reports. Udall has raised a grand total of $10.4 million and has $5.7 million cash on hand.[4] Gardner has raised less than half of Udall's total at just under $5 million and has $3.4 million remaining.[5]

Outside spending

Since 2010, the amount of outside spending going into Colorado's U.S. Senate race more than quadrupled. Additionally, eight large outside groups are involved in Colorado's U.S. Senate race, up from three in 2010.[14]

In May 2014, American Crossroads reserved $2.3 million in airtime to oppose incumbent Mark Udall.[15]

As of August 2014, Colorado's U.S. Senate race has attracted roughly $6.5 million in outside spending. Of this money, the vast majority, $5,115,196, has been spent opposing challenger Cory Gardner. Of the remaining money, $1,110,899 has been spent supporting Gardner, $205,832 went to Owen Hill prior to the primary, $41,790 has been spent supporting incumbent Mark Udall and the remaining $72,981 has been spent opposing Udall.[16]

Mark Udall

The following groups have spent over $10,000 either in support of Mark Udall or opposition to Cory Gardner:

Cory Gardner

The following groups have spent over $10,000 either in support of Cory Gardner or opposition to Mark Udall:

  • U.S. Chamber of Commerce - $1,100,000
  • [[Conservative Majority Fund - $30,813
  • Women Speak Out PAC - $29,464
  • Vote to Reduce Debt - $10,000

Mark Udall

Cory Gardner

Randy Baumgardner

Owen Hill

Jaime McMillan

Election history

2010

On November 2, 2010, Michael Bennet won election to the United States Senate. He defeated Ken Buck (R), Bob Kinsey (G), Maclyn Stringer (L), Jason Napolitano (Independent Reform), Charley Miller (Unaffiliated) and J. Moromisato (Unaffiliated) in the general election.[42]

U.S. Senate, Colorado General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMichael Bennet incumbent 48.1% 851,590
     Republican Ken Buck 46.4% 822,731
     Green Bob Kinsey 2.2% 38,768
     Libertarian Maclyn Stringer 1.3% 22,589
     Independent Reform Jason Napolitano 1.1% 19,415
     Unaffiliated Charley Miller 0.6% 11,330
     Unaffiliated J. Moromisato 0.3% 5,767
Total Votes 1,772,190

2008

On November 4, 2008, Mark Udall won election to the United States Senate. He defeated Bob Schaffer (R), Douglas Campbell (American Constitution), Bob Kinsey (G) and three write-in candidates in the general election.[43]

U.S. Senate, Colorado General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMark Udall 52.8% 1,230,994
     Republican Bob Schaffer 42.5% 990,755
     American Constitution Douglas Campbell 2.6% 59,733
     Green Bob Kinsey 2.1% 50,004
     Write-in Buddy Moore 0% 116
     Write-in Gary Cooper 0% 10
     Write-in Bruce Lohmiller 0% 9
Total Votes 2,331,621

See also

External links

References

  1. Cook Political Report, "2014 SENATE RACE RATINGS FOR JULY 18, 2014," accessed July 28, 2014
  2. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 Senate Races," accessed October 8, 2014
  3. Scribd, "CO-Sen LCV for PPP (May 2014)," May 12, 2014
  4. 4.0 4.1 Federal Election Commission, "Mark Udall July Quarterly," accessed July 24, 2014
  5. 5.0 5.1 Federal Election Commission, "Cory Gardner July Quarterly," accessed July 23, 2014
  6. Colorado Revised Statutes, "Title 1, Article 7, Section 201, Voting at primary election," accessed January 2, 2014
  7. Colorado Secretary of State Website, "Voter Registration FAQs," accessed January 3, 2014
  8. Journal-Advocate, "Gardner campaign turns to November race," April 14, 2014
  9. The Washington Post, "Reid, McConnell propose bipartisan Senate bill to end shutdown, extend borrowing," accessed October 16, 2013
  10. Senate.gov, "H.R. 2775 As Amended," accessed October 31, 2013
  11. United States Senate, "Roll Call - H.R. 3590," accessed August 13, 2014
  12. Politico, "Service Employees International Union targets four House Republicans," accessed July 15, 2014
  13. Roll Call, "Democrats Try to Turn Cory Gardner Into Todd Akin (Video)," July 15, 2014
  14. The New York Times, "Outside Money Drives a Deluge of Political Ads," July 27, 2014
  15. Politico, "Crossroads plans $10 million midterm blitz," May 19, 2014
  16. Open Secrets, "Colorado Senate Race - Outside Spending," accessed August 14, 2014
  17. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Udall April Quarterly," accessed July 22, 2013
  18. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Udall July Quarterly," accessed July 22, 2013
  19. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Udall October Quarterly," accessed October 28, 2013
  20. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Udall Year-End," accessed February 14, 2014
  21. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Udall April Quarterly," accessed April 29, 2014
  22. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Udall Pre-Primary," accessed June 23, 2014
  23. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Udall July Quarterly," accessed July 24, 2014
  24. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Udall October Quarterly," accessed October 24, 2014
  25. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Udall Pre-General," accessed November 24, 2014
  26. Federal Election Commission, "Cory Gardner April Quarterly," accessed July 23, 2013
  27. Federal Election Commission, "Cory Gardner July Quarterly," accessed July 23, 2013
  28. Federal Election Commission, "Cory Gardner October Quarterly," accessed October 22, 2013
  29. Federal Election Commission, "Cory Gardner Year-End," accessed February 4, 2014
  30. Federal Election Commission, "Cory Gardner April Quarterly," accessed April 29, 2014
  31. Federal Election Commission, "Cory Gardner Pre-Primary," accessed June 23, 2014
  32. Federal Election Commission, "Cory Gardner July Quarterly," accessed July 23, 2014
  33. Federal Election Commission, "Cory Gardner October Quarterly," accessed October 24, 2014
  34. Federal Election Commission, "Cory Gardner Pre-General," accessed November 24, 2014
  35. Federal Election Commission, "Randy Baumgardner Year-End," accessed February 14, 2014
  36. Federal Election Commission, "Owen Hill October Quarterly," accessed October 28, 2013
  37. Federal Election Commission, "Owen Hill Year-End," accessed February 14, 2014
  38. Federal Election Commission, "Jaime McMillan April Quarterly," accessed July 28, 2013
  39. Federal Election Commission, "Jaime McMillan July Quarterly," accessed October 28, 2013
  40. Federal Election Commission, "Jaime McMillan October Quarterly," accessed October 28, 2013
  41. Federal Election Commission, "Jaime McMillan Year-End," accessed February 14, 2014
  42. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  43. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013