Difference between revisions of "United States Senate elections in Hawaii, 2012"

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In a rare cross-party endorsement, [[Mazie K. Hirono]] received the endorsement of [[Alaska|Alaskan]] [[Republican]] [[U.S. House|Representative]] [[Don Young]] on July 24, 2012.<ref name="endorsement">[http://dc808.blogs.civilbeat.com/post/27925147341/alaska-gop-rep-young-backs-hirono ''Hawaii Civil Beat'' "Alaska GOP Rep. Young Backs Hirono" Accessed July 25, 2012]</ref> The two created a [http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YIgy-BkNx9M&feature=player_embedded 90 second video] discussing bipartisanship and [[Don Young|Young]] endorsed [[Mazie K. Hirono|Hirono]] for [[United States Senate|U.S. Senate]]. “Though Don Young is certainly a Republican, and I am clearly a Democrat, we’ve forged a partnership that enables us to solve problems for the people of both Hawaii and Alaska,” [[Mazie K. Hirono|Hirono]] stated in the video.<ref name="endorsement"/>
 
In a rare cross-party endorsement, [[Mazie K. Hirono]] received the endorsement of [[Alaska|Alaskan]] [[Republican]] [[U.S. House|Representative]] [[Don Young]] on July 24, 2012.<ref name="endorsement">[http://dc808.blogs.civilbeat.com/post/27925147341/alaska-gop-rep-young-backs-hirono ''Hawaii Civil Beat'' "Alaska GOP Rep. Young Backs Hirono" Accessed July 25, 2012]</ref> The two created a [http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YIgy-BkNx9M&feature=player_embedded 90 second video] discussing bipartisanship and [[Don Young|Young]] endorsed [[Mazie K. Hirono|Hirono]] for [[United States Senate|U.S. Senate]]. “Though Don Young is certainly a Republican, and I am clearly a Democrat, we’ve forged a partnership that enables us to solve problems for the people of both Hawaii and Alaska,” [[Mazie K. Hirono|Hirono]] stated in the video.<ref name="endorsement"/>
  
[[Republican]] candidate [[Linda Lingle]] responded to the surprise endorsement, critcizing [[Don Young|Young]] as "controversial" and alluding to his past ethics issues.<ref name="lingle">[http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/239937-lingle-criticizes-fellow-republican-backing-dem-opponent-as-controversial- ''The Hill'' "Lingle criticizes fellow Republican backing her Dem Senate opponent" Accessed July 27, 2012]</ref> [[Linda Lingle|Lingle's]] campaign manager Bob Lee said in a statement late Tuesday following Hirono's release of the new ad,  "It should be troubling to the people of Hawaii that Mazie Hirono's first attempt to convey any example of bipartisanship is a video advertisement with one of the House of Representatives's most controversial members, who even Mazie's fellow Democrats have criticized on a range of ethics and spending issues."<ref name="lingle"/>
+
[[Republican]] candidate [[Linda Lingle]] responded to the surprise endorsement, critcizing [[Don Young|Young]] as "controversial" and alluding to his past ethics issues.<ref name="lingle">[http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/239937-lingle-criticizes-fellow-republican-backing-dem-opponent-as-controversial- ''The Hill'', "Lingle criticizes fellow Republican backing her Dem Senate opponent" Accessed July 27, 2012]</ref> [[Linda Lingle|Lingle's]] campaign manager Bob Lee said in a statement late Tuesday following Hirono's release of the new ad,  "It should be troubling to the people of Hawaii that Mazie Hirono's first attempt to convey any example of bipartisanship is a video advertisement with one of the House of Representatives's most controversial members, who even Mazie's fellow Democrats have criticized on a range of ethics and spending issues."<ref name="lingle"/>
  
 
[[Mazie K. Hirono|Hirono]] also received an endorsement from [[Linda Lingle|Lingle's]] opponent in the [[Republican]] primary, [[John Carroll]].<ref name="carroll">[http://www.hawaiireporter.com/hawaii-republican-john-carroll-endorses-u-s-senate-democratic-nominee-mazie-hirono/123 ''Hawaii Reporter'' "Hawaii Republican John Carroll endorses U.S. Senate Democratic Nominee Mazie Hirono" Accessed August 28, 2012]</ref> In his endorsement he stated, “So, my decision on whom to support is based on my perception of the candidate’s character and sincerity to help Hawaii. Of the two [Lingle and Hirono], I believe [[Mazie K. Hirono|Mazie]] is predictable on issues and is of good and honest character, similar to Senator [[Daniel Akaka]].”<ref name="carroll"/>
 
[[Mazie K. Hirono|Hirono]] also received an endorsement from [[Linda Lingle|Lingle's]] opponent in the [[Republican]] primary, [[John Carroll]].<ref name="carroll">[http://www.hawaiireporter.com/hawaii-republican-john-carroll-endorses-u-s-senate-democratic-nominee-mazie-hirono/123 ''Hawaii Reporter'' "Hawaii Republican John Carroll endorses U.S. Senate Democratic Nominee Mazie Hirono" Accessed August 28, 2012]</ref> In his endorsement he stated, “So, my decision on whom to support is based on my perception of the candidate’s character and sincerity to help Hawaii. Of the two [Lingle and Hirono], I believe [[Mazie K. Hirono|Mazie]] is predictable on issues and is of good and honest character, similar to Senator [[Daniel Akaka]].”<ref name="carroll"/>

Revision as of 13:28, 7 April 2014



CongressLogo.png

2012 U.S. Senate Elections in Hawaii

CandidatesPollsElection History

November 6 Election Winner:
Mazie Hirono Democratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Daniel Akaka Democratic Party
Daniel Akaka.jpg

Cook Political Report Race Rating
     Lean D (Prior to election)

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2012 U.S. House Elections

Flag of Hawaii.png
Voters in Hawaii elected one member to the U.S. Senate in the November 6, 2012 elections.

Mazie Hirono (D) won election on November 6, 2012.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
June 5, 2012
August 11, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Hawaii uses an open primary system.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by July 12. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 8.[2]

See also: Hawaii elections, 2012

Incumbent: The election filled the Class 1 Senate seat, which was held by Daniel Akaka (D). First elected in 1990, Akaka did not run for re-election in 2012.

Candidates

General election candidates

Democratic Party Mazie Hirono Green check mark transparent.png
Republican Party Linda Lingle
Green Party James Brewer, Jr.
Independent Heath Beasley
Independent Paul Manner

August 11, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Note: Steve Tataii initially filed to run, but his name failed to appear on the certified list of primary candidates.[7]

Republican Party Republican Primary

Green Party Green Party candidate

Independent Independent candidates

Election results

U.S. Senate, Hawaii General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMazie Hirono 61.7% 269,489
     Republican Linda Lingle 36.8% 160,994
     N/A Blank Votes 1.5% 6,599
Total Votes 437,082
Source: Hawaii Office of Elections "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Race background

Endorsements


Republican Rep. Don Young endorses Mazie Hirono in the 2012 U.S. Senate Democratic primary.

In a rare cross-party endorsement, Mazie K. Hirono received the endorsement of Alaskan Republican Representative Don Young on July 24, 2012.[12] The two created a 90 second video discussing bipartisanship and Young endorsed Hirono for U.S. Senate. “Though Don Young is certainly a Republican, and I am clearly a Democrat, we’ve forged a partnership that enables us to solve problems for the people of both Hawaii and Alaska,” Hirono stated in the video.[12]

Republican candidate Linda Lingle responded to the surprise endorsement, critcizing Young as "controversial" and alluding to his past ethics issues.[13] Lingle's campaign manager Bob Lee said in a statement late Tuesday following Hirono's release of the new ad, "It should be troubling to the people of Hawaii that Mazie Hirono's first attempt to convey any example of bipartisanship is a video advertisement with one of the House of Representatives's most controversial members, who even Mazie's fellow Democrats have criticized on a range of ethics and spending issues."[13]

Hirono also received an endorsement from Lingle's opponent in the Republican primary, John Carroll.[14] In his endorsement he stated, “So, my decision on whom to support is based on my perception of the candidate’s character and sincerity to help Hawaii. Of the two [Lingle and Hirono], I believe Mazie is predictable on issues and is of good and honest character, similar to Senator Daniel Akaka.”[14]

Young has since endorsed Linda Lingle in her general election battle against Mazie Hirono.[15]

Race rating

Cook Political Report

Each month the Cook Political Report releases race ratings for President, U.S. Senate, U.S. House (competitive only) and Governors. There are seven possible designations:[16]

     Solid Democratic
     Likely Democratic
     Lean Democratic

     Tossup

     Lean Republican
     Likely Republican
     Solid Republican

Cook Political Report Race Rating -- Hawaii Senate
Month Rating
November 1, 2012[17]     
October 4, 2012[18]     
September 13, 2012[19]     
August 21, 2012[20]     
June 12, 2012[21]     
May 31, 2012[22]     
May 10, 2012[23]     
March 22, 2012[24]     
March 1, 2012[25]     
January 26, 2012[26]     
December 22, 2011[27]     
December 1, 2011[28]     

Polls

2012

Mazie Hirono v. Linda Lingle
Poll Mazie Hirono Linda LingleDon't KnowOtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Ward Research Inc.
(October 15-22, 2012)
57%35%7%1%+/-3.5786
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
Mazie Hirono v. Ed Case
Poll Mazie Hirono Ed CaseDon't KnowMargin of ErrorSample Size
The Benenson Strategy Group
(June 19-21 2012)
53%38%10%+/-4.4488
Civil Beat Surveys
(July 31, 2012 - August 2, 2012)
46%47%7%+/-2.8
AVERAGES 49.5% 42.5% 8.5% +/-3.6
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Campaign donors

2012

Linda Lingle (2012)[29] Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[30]April 12, 2012$1,405,261.19$1,350,940.98$(486,457.03)$2,269,745.14
Running totals
$1,350,940.98$(486,457.03)

As of July 13, 2012, Linda Lingle raised $1.1 million in the second quarter.[31]

Lingle went on to raise $823,000 in the third quarter.[32]

Mazie K. Hirono (2012)[33] Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[34]April 14, 2012$1,049,102.61$1,017,503.91$(378,746.90)$1,687,859.62
Running totals
$1,017,503.91$(378,746.9)

As of July 13, 2012, Mazie Hirono raised $941,000 in the second quarter and at the end of the cycle had $2 million cash-on-hand.[35]

Hirono went on to raise $1.42 million in the third quarter.[32]

Election history

2010

On November 2, 2010, Daniel Inouye won re-election to the United States Senate. He defeated Cam Cavasso (R), Jim Brewer (G), Lloyd Jeffrey Mallan (L) and Jeff Jarrett (I) in the general election.[36]

U.S. Senate, Hawaii General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngDaniel K. Inoyue Incumbent 74.8% 277,228
     Republican Cam Cavasso 21.6% 79,939
     Green Jim Brewer 2.1% 7,762
     Libertarian Lloyd Jeffrey Mallan 0.8% 2,957
     Independent Jeff Jarrett 0.7% 2,697
Total Votes 370,583

2006

Daniel Akaka won re-election to the U.S. Senate in 2006.[37]

U.S. Senate, Hawaii General Election, 2006
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngDaniel K. Akaka Incumbent 61.3% 210,330
     Republican Cynthia Thielen 36.8% 126,097
     Libertarian Lloyd Jeffrey Mallan 1.9% 6,415
Total Votes 342,842

See also

External links

References

  1. ABC News, "2012 General Election Results," accessed November 6, 2012
  2. Hawaii Office of Elections "Voter Registration," Accessed July 21, 2012
  3. Roll Call, "Ed Case to Mount Hawaii Senate Campaign," April 10, 2011
  4. 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 Hawaii Elections "Primary Candidate Report "June 4, 2012
  5. Roll Call, "Mazie Hirono to Run for Open Senate Seat in Hawaii," May 19, 2011
  6. 6.0 6.1 6.2 AP Results "Hawaii Senate Primary Election Results" Accessed August 12, 2012
  7. Hawaii Board of Elections "Certified Candidate Report" Accessed August 9, 2012
  8. Hawaii Independent "Ex-HI GOP legislator John Carroll to run for U.S. Senate," September 21, 2011
  9. Star Advertiser "Lingle joins U.S. Senate race," October 11, 2011
  10. Politics1.com "Politics1: Eddie Pirkowski joins Hawaii U.S. Senate race 2012," May 24, 2012
  11. Campaign "Eddie Pirkowski for US Senator Hawaii 2012: New Leadership for Hawaii," May 20, 2012
  12. 12.0 12.1 Hawaii Civil Beat "Alaska GOP Rep. Young Backs Hirono" Accessed July 25, 2012
  13. 13.0 13.1 The Hill, "Lingle criticizes fellow Republican backing her Dem Senate opponent" Accessed July 27, 2012
  14. 14.0 14.1 Hawaii Reporter "Hawaii Republican John Carroll endorses U.S. Senate Democratic Nominee Mazie Hirono" Accessed August 28, 2012
  15. Roll Call, "Hawaii: Don Young Backs Linda Lingle After Supporting Mazie Hirono, Pushes Oil Exploration," October 16, 2012
  16. Cook Political Report "Our Accuracy," Accessed December 12, 2011
  17. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," November 1, 2012
  18. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," October 4, 2012
  19. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," September 13, 2012
  20. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," August 21, 2012
  21. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," June 12, 2012
  22. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," May 31, 2012
  23. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," May 10, 2012
  24. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," March 22, 2012
  25. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," March 1, 2012
  26. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," January 26, 2012
  27. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," December 27, 2011
  28. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," December 1, 2011
  29. FEC Reports "Linda Lingle Summary Reports" Accessed July 17, 2012
  30. FEC Reports "April Quarterly" Accessed July 17, 2012
  31. Roll Call, "Hawaii: Fundraising, Dueling Polls in Senate Race" Accessed July 17, 2012
  32. 32.0 32.1 Mazie Hirono's campaign website, "HIRONO ANNOUNCES $1.4M RAISED, NEARLY 24,000 CONTRIBUTORS IN Q3," October 15, 2012
  33. FEC Reports "Mazie Hirono Summary Report" Accessed July 17, 2012
  34. FEC Reports "April Quarterly" Accessed July 17, 2012
  35. Roll Call, "Hawaii: Fundraising, Dueling Polls in Senate Race" Accessed July 17, 2012
  36. U.S. Congress House Clerk "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010"
  37. U.S. Congress House Clerk "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006"