Difference between revisions of "United States Senate elections in Kansas, 2014"

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|Title=Potential general election match-up
 
|Title=Potential general election match-up
 
|Poll1=[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_KS_221.pdf Public Policy Polling]<br>February 18-20, 2014
 
|Poll1=[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_KS_221.pdf Public Policy Polling]<br>February 18-20, 2014
|Response1=Milton Wolf (R)
+
|Poll2=[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/kansas/election_2014_kansas_senate Rasmussen Reports]<br>April 16-17, 2014
 +
|Response1=Pat Roberts (R)
 
|Response2=Chad Taylor (D)
 
|Response2=Chad Taylor (D)
 
|Response3=Undecided
 
|Response3=Undecided
 
|Numberpolled1=693
 
|Numberpolled1=693
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|Numberpolled2=750
 
|Margin of error1 =3.7  
 
|Margin of error1 =3.7  
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|Margin of error2 =4.0
 
|Response1Poll1% = 33
 
|Response1Poll1% = 33
 
|Response2Poll1% = 32
 
|Response2Poll1% = 32
 
|Response3Poll1% = 35
 
|Response3Poll1% = 35
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|Response1Poll2% = 50
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|Response2Poll2% = 32
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|Response3Poll2% = 11
 
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Revision as of 10:22, 21 April 2014



CongressLogo.png

2014 U.S. Senate Elections in Kansas

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
August 5, 2014

November 4 Election Winner:
Pending
Incumbent prior to election:
Pat Roberts Republican Party
Pat Roberts.jpg

Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid R[1]

Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R[2]


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2014 U.S. House Elections

Flag of Kansas.png
Voters in Kansas will elect one member to the U.S. Senate in the election on November 4, 2014.
Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
June 2, 2014
August 5, 2014
November 4, 2014

Primary: Kansas is one of 12 states to use a strictly closed primary process, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.[3][4][5]

Voter registration: To vote in the primary, voters had to register by June 15, 2014. For the general election, the voter registration deadline is October 14, 2014.[6]

See also: Kansas elections, 2014

Incumbent: The election will fill the Senate seat currently held by Pat Roberts (R). Roberts was first elected in 1996.

Candidates

Note: Prior to the signature filing deadline, candidates will be added when Ballotpedia writers come across declared candidates. If you see a name of a candidate who is missing, please email us and we will add that name. As the election draws closer, more information will be added to this page. General election candidates

August 5, 2014, primary results

Republican Party Republican Primary

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Independent Third Party Candidates

Declined to run

Race background

Early predictions for Pat Roberts' (R) run for re-election said that is unlikely he will face a serious challenge in the general election in 2014.[19] He entered the campaign with $886,694 cash on hand, slightly more than he had at the outset of his 2008 campaign for re-election.[19] One possible primary challenge is Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach, who garnered national attention for filing lawsuits over illegal immigration throughout the country.[20]

If Roberts would have changed his mind about re-election, there was no shortage of potential Republican nominees, from both the congressional delegation and statewide offices.

In September 2013, reports circulated that Barack Obama’s second cousin once removed, Milton Wolf, was laying the groundwork for a potential Republican primary challenge against Pat Roberts.[21] Wolf gauged support and reportedly sent an email to GOP activists in August 2013 asking them to get in touch if they want more senators like Ted Cruz, Mike Lee and Rand Paul before formally announcing his candidacy.[21][20]

Endorsements

Milton Wolf

The Madison Project endorsed Milton Wolf on December 19, 2013.[22][23]

"Even though he has never held public office, Dr. Wolf has exhibited a command of the issues and a dedication to conservative values that is lacking among most individuals in Washington," Jim Ryun, chairman of the Madison Project, said in a statement. "Sen. Roberts has served admirably for a number of decades, but if we ever hope to rebuild the Senate majority on a solid conservative foundation, we need fewer career politicians and more citizen leaders like Milton Wolf."[22]

Other endorsements include:

  • Tea Party Express[24]

Polls

Republican primary

Republican primary
Poll Pat Roberts Milton WolfUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
The Tarrance Group
January 13-15, 2014
69%15%16%+/-4.5401
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org


General election

Potential general election match-up
Poll Pat Roberts (R) Chad Taylor (D)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Polling
February 18-20, 2014
38%32%20%+/-3.7693
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org


Potential general election match-up
Poll Pat Roberts (R) Chad Taylor (D)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Polling
February 18-20, 2014
33%32%35%+/-3.7693
Rasmussen Reports
April 16-17, 2014
50%32%11%+/-4.0750
AVERAGES 41.5% 32% 23% +/-3.85 721.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org


Potential general election match-up
Poll Pat Roberts (R) Kathleen Sebelius (D)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Polling
February 18-20, 2014
52%38%10%+/-3.7693
Rasmussen Reports
April 16-17, 2014
54%37%4%+/-4.0750
AVERAGES 53% 37.5% 7% +/-3.85 721.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org


Potential general election match-up
Poll Milton Wolf (R) Kathleen Sebelius (D)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Polling
February 18-20, 2014
46%39%15%+/-3.7693
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Issues

Controversy

Facebook posts

In February 2014, Wolf was criticized for previously posting a collection of X-ray images of gunshot fatalities and medical injuries to his Facebook page and having participated in commentary about the images.[25]

Numerous medical ethics professionals condemned Wolf's airing of the information outside the confines of a doctor-to-doctor consultation or for the purpose of formal medical research or textbook instruction.[25]

"The dignity and privacy of the individual should be protected. It doesn't sound like they're being protected if they're, obviously, on Facebook,” said John Carney, President of the Center for Practical Bioethics.[25]

On February 25, 2014, Wolf apologized for posting the graphic images of gunshot victims on his Facebook page. In his apology, he said it was insensitive and inappropriate to have posted the X-ray images and macabre commentary on social media some years ago.[26]

In a statement, Wolf said he removed the images from his Facebook page years previous and accused Roberts of trying to smear him.[26]

Hitler comparison

Milton Wolf (R) compared President Barack Obama to Hitler, tweeting a comparison of Obama's treatment of "successful Americans" to the Nazi's treatment of Jews.[27]

Residency

In a February 2014 interview, Sen. Pat Roberts acknowledged that he did not have a home of his own in Kansas and that the residence he lists as his voting address belongs to two longtime supporters and donors — C. Duane and Phyllis Ross.[28][29] He reportedly established his voting address the day before his challenger, Milton Wolf, announced his candidacy in 2013.[28] Roberts said he pays a friend $300 a month to stay in a room in the friend's house during visits to Kansas.[30]

Spokeswoman Sarah Little said in a statement regarding how much time Roberts spends in Kansas, "We're not going to release numbers because we're not sure that any number would be acceptable to some of these outside groups. We're worried about what the yardstick is. Who defines how much is enough days in the state?"[30]

Vanity plates

In February 2014, Roberts faced criticism for his vanity license plates, registered in Virginia.[31]

Government shutdown

See also: United States budget debate, 2013

Voted "No" During the shutdown in October 2013, the Senate rejected, down party lines, every House-originated bill that stripped the budget of funding for the Affordable Care Act. A deal was reached late on October 16, 2013, just hours before the debt ceiling deadline. The bill to reopen the government, H.R. 2775, lifted the $16.7 trillion debt limit and funds the government through January 15, 2014. Federal employees also received retroactive pay for the shutdown period. The only concession made by Senate Democrats was to require income verification for Obamacare subsidies.[32] The final vote on H.R. 2775 was 81-18, with all 18 votes against the bill from Republican members. Pat Roberts voted with the Republican Party against the bill.[33]

Abortion

Milton Wolf (R) told about 40 people at a rally on February 27, 2014, that he is "100 percent pro-life."[34]

Gun rights

Milton Wolf said he is a lifetime member of the National Rifle Association. He also said he has a Kansas concealed carry permit and his firearm of choice is an autoloading rifle.[34]

Media

Pat Roberts

Roberts released a one-minute radio ad, "Yellow Rose," in February 2014.[35]

On February 26, 2014, Roberts released a series of ads targeting his primary challenger, Milton Wolf, over posts on Facebook, including patient x-rays.[36]

A narrator in the ad said, “Dr. Milton Wolf’s patients trusted him, but stunning news reports show that Wolf exposed private patient X-rays and other personal information on Facebook — where Wolf relentlessly poked fun at the dead or wounded. A Kansas City medical ethics expert called Wolf’s behavior ‘beyond alarming’ for a professional in the field of medicine...If Milton Wolf is so irresponsible as a doctor, how can he possibly be trusted as a U.S. senator?”[36]

Endorsements

Pat Roberts

The U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorsed Pat Roberts on February 10, 2014.[37]

Thomas Donohue, the U.S. Chamber’s President and CEO, announced the endorsement in a letter to Senator Roberts: “In today’s economy, it is critical that Members of Congress provide strong support of free enterprise and leadership for policies that will return the United States to its full growth potential. We believe that your re-election to the United States Senate will help produce sustained economic growth, help create jobs, and get our country back on track.”[37]

Milton Wolf

The Senate Conservatives Fund endorsed Milton Wolf on December 10, 2013. Executive Director Matt Hoskins endorsed Wolf, describing him as “a principled conservative who will fight to stop the massive spending, bailouts, and debt that are bankrupting our country.”[38]

“He’s not a career politician,” he said. “He’s a doctor who understands exactly why Obamacare must be repealed. Kansas Republicans deserve a real choice this election, and Dr. Wolf gives them a chance to send someone new to Washington who will shake things up and bring about real change.”[38]

Campaign contributions

Candidate Ballot Access
Ballot Access Requirements Final.jpg

Find detailed information on ballot access requirements in all 50 states and Washington D.C.

Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season.


Pat Roberts (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[39]July 13, 2013$886,894.27$219,362.66$(78,359.35)$1,027,897.58
July Quarterly[40]July 18, 2013$1,027,897.58$567,238.06$(103,406.91)$1,491,728.73
October Quarterly[41]October 13, 2013$1,491,728.73$537,584.84$(193,001.32)$1,836,312.25
Year-end[42]January 31, 2014$1,836,312$616,194$(204,690)$2,247,815
Running totals
$1,940,379.56$(579,457.58)


During the last three months of 2013, Roberts reportedly raised more than twice as much money as primary challenger Milton Wolf.[43] A substantial portion of his contributions came from political action committees.[43]

Election history

2010

On November 2, 2010, Moran won election to the United States Senate. He defeated Lisa Johnston (D), Michael Wm. Dann (L), and Joseph K. Bellis (Reformed Party) in the general election.[44]

U.S. Senate, Kansas General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJerry Moran 70.1% 587,175
     Democratic Lisa Johnston 26.4% 220,971
     Libertarian Michael Wm. Dann 2.1% 17,922
     Reformed Joseph "Joe" K. Bellis 1.4% 11,624
Total Votes 837,692

2008

On November 4, 2008, Roberts won re-election to the United States Senate. He defeated Jim Slattery (D), Randall L. Hodgkinson (L) and Joseph L. Martin (Reformed Party) in the general election.[45]

U.S. Senate, Kansas General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngPat Roberts Incumbent 60.1% 727,121
     Democratic Jim Slattery 36.5% 441,399
     Libertarian Randall L. Hodgkinson 2.1% 25,727
     Reformed Joseph L. Martin 1.4% 16,443
Total Votes 1,210,690

See also

External links

References

  1. Cook Political Report, "2014 SENATE RACE RATINGS FOR JULY 18, 2014," accessed August 5, 2014
  2. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 Senate Races," accessed August 5, 2014
  3. National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
  4. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  5. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013 through January 3, 2014 researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  6. Kansas Secretary of State Website, "Registration & Voting," accessed January 3, 2014
  7. Talking Points Memo, "Obama's Second Cousin To Challenge Sen. Pat Roberts," accessed October 9, 2013
  8. 8.0 8.1 8.2 8.3 Kansas Secretary of State, "Candidates for the 2014 Primary (official)," accessed June 2, 2014
  9. Federal Election Commission, "Chad Taylor 2014 Summary reports," accessed November 25, 2013
  10. Hutch News, "Political David versus Goliath," accessed September 24, 2013
  11. The Green Papers, "Kansas Senate," accessed September 24, 2013
  12. Scott Barnhart 2014, "Main," accessed September 24, 2013
  13. Anchorage Daily News, "Kansas independent to run for US Senate," accessed June 3, 2014
  14. Miami Herald, "Kansas independent to run for US Senate," accessed June 5, 2014
  15. NY Times, "Sebelius Says She’s Not Interested in Senate Run," accessed April 21, 2014
  16. NY Times, "Sebelius Said to Weigh Run for Kansas Senate Seat," accessed April 16, 2014
  17. Washington Post, "Sebelius for Senate? It makes no sense.," accessed April 16, 2014
  18. Star Telegram, "Kansas candidate filing deadline passes," accessed June 3, 2014
  19. 19.0 19.1 Huffington Post " Senate 2014: How Much Money Do The Candidates Have?" accessed February 25, 2012
  20. 20.0 20.1 Roll Call "At the races: Inside the 2014 Senate races" accessed February 25, 2013
  21. 21.0 21.1 Politico, "Obama’s GOP cousin may primary Pat Roberts," accessed September 16, 2013
  22. 22.0 22.1 US News, "Conservative group endorses Kansas challenger," accessed January 13, 2014
  23. Madison Project, "Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate in Kansas," accessed February 12, 2014
  24. KSHB, "Kansas Senate race heats up with new entry and endorsements," accessed March 3, 2014
  25. 25.0 25.1 25.2 CJ Online, "Doctor's X-ray postings unsettling," accessed February 25, 2014
  26. 26.0 26.1 Post Bulletin, "Kansas candidate says he erred in posting X-rays," accessed February 25, 2014
  27. Talking Points Memo, "Obama's Tea Party Cousin Thinks The President Is Hitler," accessed February 17, 2014
  28. 28.0 28.1 NY Times, "Lacking a House, a Senator Is Renewing His Ties in Kansas," accessed February 8, 2014
  29. Washington Examiner, "In Senate race, two Kansans battle over who is more Kansan," accessed March 10, 2014
  30. 30.0 30.1 The Washington Examiner, "Kansas Sen. Pat Roberts won't say how many days he spends in Kansas," accessed February 12, 2014
  31. Milton Wolf for Congress, "Pat Roberts (R-VA) Really Wants You To Know He Is Virginia’s Third Senator," accessed February 19, 2014
  32. The Washington Post, "Reid, McConnell propose bipartisan Senate bill to end shutdown, extend borrowing," accessed October 16, 2013
  33. Senate.gov, "H.R. 2775 As Amended," accessed October 31, 2013
  34. 34.0 34.1 Anchorage Daily News, "US Senate hopeful in Kansas hits social issues," accessed March 1, 2014
  35. Roberts for Senate, "Yellow Rose," accessed February 17, 2014
  36. 36.0 36.1 Politico, "Pat Roberts offers new Kansas ad," accessed February 27, 2014
  37. 37.0 37.1 Roberts for Senate, "U.S. Chamber of Commerce Endorses Pat Roberts for Senate,"accessed February 17, 2014
  38. 38.0 38.1 Washington Times, "Senate Conservative Fund backs GOP primary challenger to Kansas Sen. Pat Roberts," accessed December 11, 2013
  39. Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly" accessed July 26, 2013
  40. Federal Election Commission, "July Quarterly" accessed July 26, 2013
  41. Federal Election Commission, "October Quarterly," accessed October 29, 2013
  42. Federal Election Commission, "Year End Report," accessed February 19, 2014
  43. 43.0 43.1 Miami Herald, "Kansas senator outraises GOP primary challenger," accessed February 6, 2014
  44. U.S. Congress House Clerk "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010"
  45. U.S. Congress House Clerk "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008"