Difference between revisions of "United States Senate elections in Kentucky, 2014"

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{{Cong 2014 cand early}}
 
{{Cong 2014 cand early}}
  
===Potential Democratic candidates===
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*{{bluedot}} [[Ed Marksberry]] <ref name=sen14/>
*{{bluedot}} [[Ed Marksberry]] ''(Declared)''<ref name=sen14/>
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*{{bluedot}} [[Alison Lundergan Grimes]] - [[Kentucky Secretary of State]]<ref name=sen14>[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/04/mcconnell-remains-extremely-unpopular.html ''Public Policy Polling,'' "McConnell remains extremely unpopular," April 9, 2013]</ref><ref>[http://www.whas11.com/news/politics/213763951.html ''WHAS'' "Grimes to challenge McConnell in 2014" Accessed July 1, 2013]</ref>
*{{bluedot}} [[Alison Lundergan Grimes]] (Declared) - [[Kentucky Secretary of State]]<ref name=sen14>[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/04/mcconnell-remains-extremely-unpopular.html ''Public Policy Polling,'' "McConnell remains extremely unpopular," April 9, 2013]</ref><ref>[http://www.whas11.com/news/politics/213763951.html ''WHAS'' "Grimes to challenge McConnell in 2014" Accessed July 1, 2013]</ref>
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*{{reddot}} [[Mitch McConnell]] - Incumbent
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===Potential candidates===
 
*{{bluedot}} [[Heather French Henry]] - Former Miss America<ref>[http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2013/05/former-miss-america-may-take-on-mitch-mcconnell/ ''ABC News'' "Former Miss America May Take On Mitch McConnell" Accessed July 1, 2013]</ref>
 
*{{bluedot}} [[Heather French Henry]] - Former Miss America<ref>[http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2013/05/former-miss-america-may-take-on-mitch-mcconnell/ ''ABC News'' "Former Miss America May Take On Mitch McConnell" Accessed July 1, 2013]</ref>
 
*{{bluedot}} [[Bill Garmer]] - Attorney and former state Democratic Party Chairman<ref name="potential">[http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2013/07/potential-mcconnell-challenger-to-announce-senate-intentions/ ''ABC News'' "Potential McConnell Challenger to Announce Senate Intentions" Accessed July 1, 2013]</ref>
 
*{{bluedot}} [[Bill Garmer]] - Attorney and former state Democratic Party Chairman<ref name="potential">[http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2013/07/potential-mcconnell-challenger-to-announce-senate-intentions/ ''ABC News'' "Potential McConnell Challenger to Announce Senate Intentions" Accessed July 1, 2013]</ref>
 
*{{bluedot}} [[Tom Fitzgerald]] - Environmental attorney<ref name="potential"/>
 
*{{bluedot}} [[Tom Fitzgerald]] - Environmental attorney<ref name="potential"/>
 
===Potential Republican candidates===
 
*{{reddot}} [[Mitch McConnell]] - Incumbent
 
  
 
==Race background==
 
==Race background==

Revision as of 14:42, 1 July 2013


CongressLogo.png

2014 U.S. Senate Elections in Kentucky

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
May 20, 2014

November 4 Election Winner:
Pending
Incumbent prior to election:
Mitch McConnell Republican Party
Mitch McConnell.jpg

Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Toss Up[1]

Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely R[2]


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2014 U.S. House Elections

Flag of Kentucky.png
Voters in Kentucky will elect one member to the U.S. Senate in the November 4, 2014 elections.

Kentucky is one of 12 states to use a strictly closed primary process, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.[3][4][5]

The election will fill the Senate seat currently held by Mitch McConnell (R). McConnell was first elected in 1984.

Candidates

Note: Prior to the signature filing deadline, candidates will be added when Ballotpedia writers come across declared candidates. If you see a name of a candidate who is missing, please email us and we will add that name. As the election draws closer, more information will be added to this page.

Potential candidates

Race background

In 2008, Mitch McConnell won re-election to a fifth term and became Kentucky's longest serving senator.[10] McConnell spent approximately $20 million on his last election, beating Democrat Bruce Lunsford, a Kentucky businessman, by 6 percentage points.[10]

McConnell served as the Republican Party Whip from 2005 to 2007, before he took on the role of Senate Minority Leader in 2007.[11]

Low approval ratings and a primary challenge from tea-party backed Matt Bevin make McConell a vulnerable incumbent in 2014.[12] Also troubling for McConnell is the lack of backing from national GOP candidates.[13]

If Republicans are able to pick up the necessary six seats for a majority in 2014, McConnell presumably would take over as the new Senate Majority Leader.

Polls

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell was tied with Kentucky Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes according to a poll conducted by Public Policy Polling on behalf of Senate Majority PAC, the super PAC backing Democratic Senate candidates. The poll found McConnell and Grimes tied at 45 percent each.[14][15]

A poll from Wenzel Strategies conducted June 1-2, 2013 polled 623 people and found Mitch McConnell (R) ahead of Secretary of State Grimes 46 percent to 39 percent. McConnell beat former Miss America Heather French Henry 45 percent to 40 percent and beat Louisville environmental lawyer Tom Fitzgerald 46 percent to 29 percent according to the poll.[16][17]

Media


McConnell's campaign released a new ad pointing to a series of “dirty” attacks by Democratic outside groups on April 18th, 2013 titled "How Dirty"

Kentuckians for Strong Leadership released an ad run on June 26, "Rubber Stamp"

On April 18, 2013, McConnell's campaign released a new ad pointing to a series of “dirty” attacks by Democratic outside groups.[18] It’s the second time McConnell’s campaign has launched an ad playing up the victim angle.[18] After the Progress Kentucky super PAC got in trouble for racially insensitive tweets about McConnell’s wife, Elaine Chao, his campaign launched another ad featuring Chao.[18]

Kentuckians for Strong Leadership, a super PAC backing Mitch McConnell’s re-election bid, launched a round of TV ads on June 25, 2013 aimed at dissuading Democratic Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes from entering the race.[19] She has yet to announce whether she plans to run.[20]

Election history

2010

On November 2, 2010, Rand Paul won election to the United States Senate. He defeated Jack Conway (D) and Billy Ray Wilson (Write-In) in the general election.[21]

U.S. Senate General Election, Kentucky, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRand Paul 55.7% 755,706
     Democratic Jack Conway 44.2% 600,052
     Independent Billy Ray Wilson 0% 338
Total Votes 1,356,096

2008

On November 4, 2008, Mitch McConnell won re-election to the United States Senate. He defeated Bruce Lunsford (D) in the general election.[22]

U.S. Senate General Election, Kentucky, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngMitch McConnell Incumbent 53% 953,816
     Democratic Bruce Lunsford 47% 847,005
Total Votes 1,800,821

See also

External links

References

  1. Cook Political Report, "2014 SENATE RACE RATINGS FOR JULY 18, 2014," accessed August 5, 2014
  2. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 Senate Races," accessed August 5, 2014
  3. National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
  4. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  5. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013 through January 3, 2014 researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  6. 6.0 6.1 Public Policy Polling, "McConnell remains extremely unpopular," April 9, 2013
  7. WHAS "Grimes to challenge McConnell in 2014" Accessed July 1, 2013
  8. ABC News "Former Miss America May Take On Mitch McConnell" Accessed July 1, 2013
  9. 9.0 9.1 ABC News "Potential McConnell Challenger to Announce Senate Intentions" Accessed July 1, 2013
  10. 10.0 10.1 Fox News "Ashley Judd running for Senate in Kentucky?" accessed February 15, 2013
  11. Bioguide, "Addison Mitchell McConnell," accessed April 29, 2014
  12. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named lowapp
  13. The Hill, "Candidates won’t commit to McConnell," accessed April 30, 2014
  14. Huffington Post " Kentucky Senate Poll Shows Mitch McConnell Tied With Alison Lundergan Grimes" Accessed June 6, 2013
  15. Public Policy Polling "Kentucky Polling Memo" Accessed June 6, 2013
  16. Cincinnati.com "McConnell ahead in new poll" Accessed June 6, 2013
  17. Politico "Survey of Likely Voters Statewide in Kentucky" Accessed June 6, 2013
  18. 18.0 18.1 18.2 Washington Post "New McConnell ad plays up Democrats’ ‘dirty’ attacks" Accessed April 19, 2013
  19. Politico "Videoshare" Accessed June 26, 2013
  20. Politico "Kentucky Senate ads heating up" Accessed June 26, 2013
  21. U.S. Congress House Clerk "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008"
  22. U.S. Congress House Clerk "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008"