Difference between revisions of "United States Senate elections in New Mexico, 2012"

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==Campaign contributions==
 
==Campaign contributions==
Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the [[United States Congress elections, 2012|2012 elections season]]. Below are candidate reports.
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Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the [[Federal Election Commission]] during the [[United States Congress elections, 2012|2012 elections season]]. Below are candidate reports.
  
 
===Martin Heinrich===
 
===Martin Heinrich===

Revision as of 16:33, 15 May 2014


2014



CongressLogo.png

2012 U.S. Senate Elections in New Mexico

CandidatesPollsElection History

November 6 Election Winner:
Martin Heinrich Democratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Jeff Bingaman Democratic Party
Jeff Bingaman.jpg

Cook Political Report Race Rating
     Lean Democrat (Prior to election)

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2012 U.S. House Elections

Flag of New Mexico.png
Voters in New Mexico elected one member to the U.S. Senate in the November 6, 2012 elections. Democratic candidate Martin Heinrich won the election.
Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
March 20, 2012
June 5, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: New Mexico had a closed primary system, meaning only registered members of a particular party could vote in that party's primary.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by May 8. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 9.[1]

See also: New Mexico elections, 2012

Incumbent: The election filled the Class 1 Senate seat, which was held by Jeff Bingaman (D). First elected in 1982, Bingaman was not running for re-election in 2012.

Candidates

Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals were added after official election results had been certified. For more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan, click here. If you find any errors in this list, please email: Geoff Pallay.

General election candidates

Democratic Party Martin HeinrichGreen check mark transparent.png
Republican Party Heather Wilson
Independent Jon Ross Barrie

June 5, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic primary

Note: Andres Valdez withdrew before the primary

Republican Party Republican primary

Note: John Sanchez withdrew before the primary

Independent Independent

Election results

General election

U.S. Senate, New Mexico General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMartin Heinrich 51% 395,717
     Republican Heather Wilson 45.3% 351,260
     Independent American Jon Ross Barrie 3.6% 28,199
Total Votes 775,176
Source: New Mexico Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Democratic primary

U.S. Senate-New Mexico Democratic Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngMartin Heinrich 58.9% 83,432
Hector Balderas 41.1% 58,128
Total Votes 141,560

Republican primary

U.S. Senate-New Mexico Republican Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngHeather Wilson 70% 63,631
Greg Sowards 30% 27,214
Total Votes 90,845

Race rating

Cook Political Report

Each month the Cook Political Report releases race ratings for President, U.S. Senate, U.S. House (competitive only) and Governors. There are seven possible designations:[6]

     Solid Democratic
     Likely Democratic
     Lean Democratic

     Tossup

     Lean Republican
     Likely Republican
     Solid Republican

Cook Political Report Race Rating -- New Mexico Senate
Month Rating
October 4, 2012[7]     
September 13, 2012[8]     
August 21, 2012[9]     
July 12, 2012[10]     
May 31, 2012[11]     
May 10, 2012[12]     
March 22, 2012[13]     
March 1, 2012[14]     
January 26, 2012[15]     
December 22, 2011[16]     
December 1, 2011[17]     

Sabato's Crystal Ball

The University of Virginia's Center for Politics published an article called Sabato's Crystal Ball on March 22, 2012, detailing the eight races in the Senate in 2012 that would decide the political fate of which party would end up with control in 2013.[18] The seat rated a toss-up that the Sabato's Crystal Ball believed was most likely to end up Democratic was the Senate seat in New Mexico. The article noted that the state had generally been leaning Democratic and did not become a race with much interest until the incumbent Jeff Bingaman announced he would retire rather than seek re-election in 2012.[18] The Republican challenger Heather Wilson was expected to give Republicans a "fighting chance in a tough state for them."[18]

Polls

Martin Heinrich vs. Heather Wilson
Poll Heinrich WilsonOther candidateUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Rasmussen (August 23,2012)
48%41%5%7%+/-4.5500
Public Policy Polling (September 7-9)
50%41%0%9%+/-2.91,122
Albequerque Journal (September 3-6)
49%42%0%8%+/-3.8667
Research & Polling Inc. of Albuquerque
(October 23-25, 2012)
50%42%3%6%+/-3.8662
Public Opinion Strategies (October 29, 2012)
43%44%6%7%+/-4.38100
GBA Strategies (October 30,2012)
51%41%6%0%+/-4.0600
AVERAGES 48.5% 41.83% 3.33% 6.17% +/-3.9 608.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Race background

Endorsements

Martin Heinrich (D) was endorsed by the Sierra Club, New Mexico AFL-CIO, National Education Association, and Planned Parenthood Action Fund, among others.[19] A longer list of endorsements was available on his website. Greg Sowards (R) received an endorsement by Representative Rand Paul[20] and Hector Balderas (D) was endorsed by two local firefighters unions, five AFSCME locals, and The Santa Fe New Mexican, among others.[21] A full list of endorsements was available on his website.

Campaign contributions

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2012 elections season. Below are candidate reports.

Martin Heinrich

Martin Heinrich[22] Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[23]April 13, 2012$1,369,967.70$491,047.80$(307,022.46)$1,553,993.04
Pre-Primary[24]May 24, 2012$1,553,993.04$330,186.43$(722,546.58)$1,161,632.89
July Quarterly[25]July 13, 2012$1,161,632.89$1,088,428.57$(486,308.10)$1,763,753.36
Running totals
$1,909,662.8$(1,515,877.14)

Heather Wilson

Heather Wilson[26] Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[27]April 14, 2012$1,064,519.89$760,151.52$(377,043.52)$1,447,628.26
Pre-Primary[28]May 21, 2012$1,447,628.26$617,837.32$(611,635.88)$1,453,829.70
July Quarterly[29]July 12, 2012$1,453,829.70$1,006,946.69$(828,258.55)$1,632,517.84
Running totals
$2,384,935.53$(1,816,937.95)

Wilson raised $2.2 million in the third quarter and had $1 million on hand.[30]

Election history

2008

On November 4, 2008, Tom Udall was elected to the United States Senate. He defeated Steve Pearce (R).[31]

United States Senate, New Mexico General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngTom Udall 61.3% 505,128
     Republican Steve Pearce 38.7% 318,522
Total Votes 823,650

2006

On November 7, 2006, Jeff Bingaman was re-elected to the United States Senate for a fifth term. He defeated Allen W. McCulloch (R) and Orlin G. Cole (Republican Write-in).[32]

United States Senate, New Mexico General Election, 2006
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJeff Bingaman Incumbent 70.6% 394,365
     Democratic Allen W. McCulloch 29.3% 163,826
     Republican (Write-in) Orlin G. Cole 0.1% 359
Total Votes 558,550

See also

External links

References

  1. New Mexico Secretary of State, "Voter Registration FAQ," accessed June 30, 2012
  2. 2.0 2.1 Roll Call, "Balderas Enters N.M. Senate Race Against Heinrich," accessed January 6, 2012
  3. NMPolitics.net, "Sowards announces candidacy for Senate," accessed January 6, 2012
  4. Roll Call, "Republican joining NM Senate primary," accessed January 6, 2012
  5. New Mexico SOS "Candidate List" Accessed September 19, 2012
  6. Cook Political Report, "Our Accuracy," accessed December 12, 2011
  7. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," October 4, 2012
  8. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," September 13, 2012
  9. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," August 21, 2012
  10. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," July 12, 2012
  11. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," May 31, 2012
  12. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," May 10, 2012
  13. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," March 22, 2012
  14. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," March 1, 2012
  15. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," January 26, 2012
  16. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," December 27, 2011
  17. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," December 1, 2011
  18. 18.0 18.1 18.2 Center for Politics, "Tilting the Toss Ups – the Eight Races That Will Decide the Senate" Accessed April 9, 2012
  19. Martin Heinrich campaign website, "News," accessed May 26, 2012
  20. Real Clear Politics, "Rand Paul Backs Sowards in N.M. Senate Race," May 2, 2012
  21. Hector Balderas campaign website, "Endorsements," accessed May 26, 2012
  22. FEC Reports, "Martin Heinrich Summary Reports" Accessed August 21, 2012
  23. FEC Reports, "April Quarterly" Accessed August 21, 2012
  24. FEC Reports, "Pre-Primary" Accessed August 21, 2012
  25. FEC Reports, "July Quarterly" Accessed August 21, 2012
  26. [query.nictusa.com/cgi-bin/cancomsrs/?_12+S8NM00168 FEC Reports, "Heather Wilson Summary Reports" Accessed August 21, 2012]
  27. FEC Reports, "April Quarterly" Accessed August 21, 2012
  28. 'FEC Reports, "Pre-Primary" Accessed August 21, 2012
  29. FEC Reports, "July Quarterly" Accessed August 21, 2012
  30. Sean Sullivan Twitter Post
  31. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008"
  32. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006"