Difference between revisions of "United States Senate elections in New York, 2012"

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{{Nyelecbanner12}}{{NyUSsen2012toc}}Voters in [[New York]] will '''elect one member to the [[U.S. Senate elections, 2012|U.S. Senate]]''' in the [[United States Congress elections, 2012|November 6, 2012 elections]].
+
{{Nyelecbanner12}}{{NyUSsen2012toc}}Voters in [[New York]] '''elected one member to the [[U.S. Senate elections, 2012|U.S. Senate]]''' in the [[United States Congress elections, 2012|November 6, 2012 elections]].
  
The signature filing deadline for candidates wishing to run was June 12, 2012. On January 27, 2012, [[judgepedia:Gary Sharpe|Judge Gary Sharpe]] moved the primary date from September 11, 2012 to '''June 26, 2012''' in order to allow for sufficient time to send absentee ballots to military voters.<ref>[http://cityroom.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/01/27/judge-moves-congressional-primary-date-to-june/ ''New York Times'' "Judge Moves Congressional Primary Date to June," January 27, 2012]</ref>  
+
Incumbent [[Kirsten Gillibrand]] (D) won re-election on November 6, 2012.<ref>[http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/Elections/New York ''ABC News'' "2012 General Election Results"]</ref>
 +
{{Congintro2012
 +
|Filing deadline=April 16, 2012
 +
|Primary date=June 26, 2012
 +
|Primary=New York had a [[Closed primary|closed primary]] system, meaning only registered members of a particular party could vote in that party's primary.
 +
|Voter registration=Voters had to register to [[Voting in the 2012 primary elections|vote in the primary]] by June 1. For the [[Voting in the 2012 general elections|general election]], the voter registration deadline was October 12, or October 26 in person.<ref>[http://www.elections.ny.gov/VotingDeadlines.html ''New York State Board of Elections'' "Voting Deadline Page," Accessed June 30, 2012]</ref>
 +
|State=New York
 +
|Incumbent=The election will fill the Class 1 Senate seat, which was held by [[Kirsten Gillibrand]] (D). First appointed to the [[U.S. Senate]] in 2009, Gillibrand is running for re-election in [[United States Senate elections, 2012|2012]]. }}
  
The election will fill the Class 1 Senate seat, which is currently held by [[Kirsten Gillibrand]] (D). First appointed to the [[U.S. Senate]] in 2009, Gillibrand is running for re-election in [[United States Senate elections, 2012|2012]].
+
On January 27, 2012, [[judgepedia:Gary Sharpe|Judge Gary Sharpe]] moved the primary date from September 11, 2012 to June 26, 2012 in order to allow for sufficient time to send absentee ballots to military voters.<ref>[http://cityroom.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/01/27/judge-moves-congressional-primary-date-to-june/ ''New York Times'' "Judge Moves Congressional Primary Date to June," January 27, 2012]</ref>
  
 
==Candidates==
 
==Candidates==
 +
{{Candidate list noteB|Date=October 17, 2012}}
 +
 
<big>'''General election candidates'''</big><br>
 
<big>'''General election candidates'''</big><br>
 
   
 
   
:{{bluedot}} {{dgreendot}} {{dpurpledot}} [[Kirsten Gillibrand]]<br>
+
:{{bluedot}} {{dgreendot}} {{dpurpledot}} [[Kirsten Gillibrand]] {{won}}<br>
 
:{{reddot}} {{dreddot}} [[Wendy Long]]<br>
 
:{{reddot}} {{dreddot}} [[Wendy Long]]<br>
 +
:{{yellowdot}} [[Chris Edes]]<br>
 
:{{greendot}} [[Colia Clark]]<br>
 
:{{greendot}} [[Colia Clark]]<br>
 +
:{{greydot}} [[John Mangelli]] (Common Sense Party)<br>
 +
:{{greydot}} [[Scott Noren]] (Write-in)<br>
 
<br>
 
<br>
 
<big>'''June 26, 2012 primary results'''</big><br>
 
<big>'''June 26, 2012 primary results'''</big><br>
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{{col-break}}
 
{{col-break}}
 
=== {{bluedot}} Democratic Primary===
 
=== {{bluedot}} Democratic Primary===
*[[Kirsten Gillibrand]]: ''Incumbent''<ref>[http://www.buffalonews.com/wire-feeds/state/article240192.ece ''Buffalo News'' "Day after win, NY Sen. Gillibrand is running again," Accessed January 6, 2012]</ref> (Also running as the '''Working Families''' and '''Independence''' candidate){{approved}}
+
*[[Kirsten Gillibrand]]: ''Incumbent''<ref>[http://www.buffalonews.com/wire-feeds/state/article240192.ece ''Buffalo News'' "Day after win, NY Sen. Gillibrand is running again," Accessed January 6, 2012]</ref>{{approved}}
 
'''<u>Withdrawn</u>:'''
 
'''<u>Withdrawn</u>:'''
 
:*[[Scott Noren]]: Oral surgeon<ref>[http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1211/70936.html ''Politico'' "Dem rival Scott Noren tries to 'Occupy' Kirsten Gillibrand," Accessed January 6, 2012]</ref>
 
:*[[Scott Noren]]: Oral surgeon<ref>[http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1211/70936.html ''Politico'' "Dem rival Scott Noren tries to 'Occupy' Kirsten Gillibrand," Accessed January 6, 2012]</ref>
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*[[George Maragos]]: Nassau County comptroller<ref>[http://www.politickerny.com/2011/10/25/george-maragos-nassau-county-comptroller-is-gunning-for-gillibrand-but-is-gladhanding-in-cattaraugus-county-enough-to-get-to-washington/ ''PolitickerNY'' "George Maragos, Nassau County Comptroller, First Out of Gate Against Gillibrand," Accessed January 6, 2012]</ref>
 
*[[George Maragos]]: Nassau County comptroller<ref>[http://www.politickerny.com/2011/10/25/george-maragos-nassau-county-comptroller-is-gunning-for-gillibrand-but-is-gladhanding-in-cattaraugus-county-enough-to-get-to-washington/ ''PolitickerNY'' "George Maragos, Nassau County Comptroller, First Out of Gate Against Gillibrand," Accessed January 6, 2012]</ref>
 
*[[Bob Turner]]: U.S. Representative<ref>[http://cityroom.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/03/13/turner-to-challenge-gillibrand-for-senate/?hp ''NYTimes blog'' "His District Likely to Be Cut, Congressman Eyes Gillibrand’s Senate Seat," March 13, 2012]</ref>
 
*[[Bob Turner]]: U.S. Representative<ref>[http://cityroom.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/03/13/turner-to-challenge-gillibrand-for-senate/?hp ''NYTimes blog'' "His District Likely to Be Cut, Congressman Eyes Gillibrand’s Senate Seat," March 13, 2012]</ref>
*[[Wendy Long]] (Also running as the '''Conservative''' candidate){{approved}}
+
*[[Wendy Long]]{{approved}}
 
{{col-break}}
 
{{col-break}}
==={{greendot}} Green party===
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==={{dreddot}} Conservative primary===
 +
*[[Wendy Long]]
 +
{{col-end}}
 +
{{col-begin|width=50%}}
 +
{{col-break}}
 +
==={{dgreendot}} Working Families primary===
 +
*[[Kirsten Gillibrand]]
 +
{{col-break}}
 +
==={{dpurpledot}} Independence primary===
 +
*[[Kirsten Gillibrand]]
 +
{{col-break}}
 +
==={{greendot}} Green party primary===
 
*[[Colia Clark]]{{approved}}
 
*[[Colia Clark]]{{approved}}
 
{{col-end}}
 
{{col-end}}
 +
 +
==Election results==
 +
===General election===
 +
{{Nysengenelecbox12}}
  
 
==Race background==
 
==Race background==
===Republican primary===
+
[[Democratic]] incumbent [[Kirsten Gillibrand]] ran for re-election to the U.S. Senate in 2012. She ran unopposed for her party's nomination in the June 26th primary, where three Republicans faced off to see which one of them would take her on in the general election. Attorney [[Wendy Long]] defeated U.S. Representative [[Bob Turner]] and county comptroller [[George Maragos]] for the Republican nomination.
Three Republicans face each other in the June 26 primary to see which one of them will take on Democratic incumbent [[Kirsten Gillibrand]] in the general election. U.S. Representative [[Bob Turner]] is seeking to move over to the Senate side. Attorney [[Wendy Long]] and county comptroller [[George Maragos]] are the other challengers.
+
  
Long and Maragos have taken the more conservative stance compared to Turner. For example, Turner has not taken a "no tax increases" pledge along with the other two. Turner says he's more ready to compromise in order to get things accomplished in Washington.<ref name="nyt">[http://www.nytimes.com/2012/06/18/nyregion/bob-turner-wendy-long-and-george-maragos-debate.html ''New York Times'' "G.O.P. Senate Hopefuls Compete in a TV Debate," June 17, 2012]</ref> Maragos has also criticized his opponents for not seeking to repeal New York's legalization of same-sex marriage.<ref name="nyt"/>
+
===Republican Primary===
 +
Polls conducted prior to the June primary had Turner and Long out ahead of Maragos, but also showed none of the three having very good chances of beating Gillibrand<ref name="mar">[http://www.watertowndailytimes.com/article/20120624/NEWS03/706249861/-1/news ''Watertown Daily Times'' "In north country stop, Maragos touts conservatism, visits to region," June 24, 2012]</ref> in the strongly Democratic state.<ref>[http://cookpolitical.com/charts/senate/raceratings_2012-03-22_12-09-22.php ''Cook Political Report'' "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," May 31, 2012]</ref>
  
Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani has endorsed Turner.<ref name="nyt"/> Giuliani says Turner's special election victory last year to succeed [[Anthony Weiner]] was "an unbelievable shot."<ref>[http://www.wnyc.org/blogs/empire/2012/jun/15/long-turner-and-maragos-race-replace-gillibrand/ ''WNYC'' "Long, Turner and Maragos: The Race to Replace Gillibrand," June 15, 2012]</ref>
+
Long and Maragos took a more conservative stance compared to Turner. For example, Turner did not take a "no tax increases" pledge along with the other two. Turner said he's more ready to compromise in order to get things accomplished in Washington.<ref name="nyt">[http://www.nytimes.com/2012/06/18/nyregion/bob-turner-wendy-long-and-george-maragos-debate.html ''New York Times'' "G.O.P. Senate Hopefuls Compete in a TV Debate," June 17, 2012]</ref> Maragos has also criticized his opponents for not seeking to repeal New York's legalization of same-sex marriage.<ref name="nyt"/>
  
Polls have Turner and Long out ahead of Maragos, but also show none of the three having very good chances of beating Gillibrand<ref name="mar">[http://www.watertowndailytimes.com/article/20120624/NEWS03/706249861/-1/news ''Watertown Daily Times'' "In north country stop, Maragos touts conservatism, visits to region," June 24, 2012]</ref> in the strongly Democratic state of New York.<ref>[http://cookpolitical.com/charts/senate/raceratings_2012-03-22_12-09-22.php ''Cook Political Report'' "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," May 31, 2012]</ref>
+
Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani endorsed Turner.<ref name="nyt"/> Giuliani said Turner's special election victory last year to succeed [[Anthony Weiner]] was "an unbelievable shot."<ref>[http://www.wnyc.org/blogs/empire/2012/jun/15/long-turner-and-maragos-race-replace-gillibrand/ ''WNYC'' "Long, Turner and Maragos: The Race to Replace Gillibrand," June 15, 2012]</ref> Despite Giuliani's endorsement, Turner lost in the Republican primary to attorney [[Wendy Long]]. County comptroller [[George Maragos]] also ran. Long received 51% of the vote<ref>[http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2012/by_state/NY_US_Senate_0626.html?SITE=CSPANELN&SECTION=POLITICS ''AP/CSPAN'' "New York-Summary Vote Report," June 27, 2012]</ref> and will face Democratic incumbent [[Kirsten Gillibrand]] in the November general election.
 +
 
 +
===Competitiveness===
 +
The ''New York Times''' analysis of the 2012 New York Senate race rated it as solid Democratic.<ref>[http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/ratings/senate ''The New York Times,'' "2012 Ratings Senate," accessed September 17, 2012]</ref>
  
 
==Race rating==
 
==Race rating==
 
===Cook Political Report===
 
===Cook Political Report===
Each month the [[Cook Political Report]] releases race ratings for President, [[U.S. Senate elections, 2012|U.S. Senate]], [[U.S. House elections, 2012|U.S. House]] (competitive only) and [[Gubernatorial elections, 2012|Governors]]. There are seven possible designations: <ref>[http://cookpolitical.com/accuracy ''Cook Political Report'' "Our Accuracy," Accessed December 12, 2011]</ref>
+
Each month the [[Cook Political Report]] released race ratings for President, [[U.S. Senate elections, 2012|U.S. Senate]], [[U.S. House elections, 2012|U.S. House]] (competitive only) and [[Gubernatorial elections, 2012|Governors]]. There were seven possible designations: <ref>[http://cookpolitical.com/accuracy ''Cook Political Report'' "Our Accuracy," Accessed December 12, 2011]</ref>
 
{{col-begin|width=50%}}
 
{{col-begin|width=50%}}
 
{{col-break}}
 
{{col-break}}
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! | Month
 
! | Month
 
! | Rating
 
! | Rating
 +
|-
 +
| align="center" | October 4, 2012<ref>[http://cookpolitical.com/senate/charts/race-ratings/4859 ''Cook Political Report'' "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," October 4, 2012]</ref>
 +
| align="center" | {{Solid D}}
 +
|-
 +
| align="center" | September 13, 2012<ref>[http://cookpolitical.com/senate/charts/race-ratings/4767 ''Cook Political Report'' "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," September 13, 2012]</ref>
 +
| align="center" | {{Solid D}}
 +
|-
 +
| align="center" | August 21, 2012<ref>[http://cookpolitical.com/senate/charts/race-ratings/4672 ''Cook Political Report'' "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," August 21, 2012]</ref>
 +
| align="center" | {{Solid D}}
 +
|-
 +
| align="center" | July 12, 2012<ref>[http://cookpolitical.com/charts/senate/raceratings_2012-07-12_11-06-03.php ''Cook Political Report'' "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," July 12, 2012]</ref>
 +
| align="center" | {{Solid D}}
 
|-
 
|-
 
| align="center" | May 31, 2012<ref>[http://cookpolitical.com/charts/senate/raceratings_2012-03-22_12-09-22.php ''Cook Political Report'' "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," May 31, 2012]</ref>
 
| align="center" | May 31, 2012<ref>[http://cookpolitical.com/charts/senate/raceratings_2012-03-22_12-09-22.php ''Cook Political Report'' "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," May 31, 2012]</ref>

Revision as of 17:08, 1 January 2013



CongressLogo.png

2012 U.S. Senate Elections in New York

CandidatesPollsElection History

November 6 Election Winner:
Kirsten Gillibrand Democratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Kirsten Gillibrand Democratic Party
Kirsten Gillibrand.jpg

Cook Political Report Race Rating
     Solid D (Prior to election)

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2012 U.S. House Elections

Flag of New York.png
Voters in New York elected one member to the U.S. Senate in the November 6, 2012 elections.

Incumbent Kirsten Gillibrand (D) won re-election on November 6, 2012.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
April 16, 2012
June 26, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: New York had a closed primary system, meaning only registered members of a particular party could vote in that party's primary.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by June 1. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 12, or October 26 in person.[2]

See also: New York elections, 2012

Incumbent: The election will fill the Class 1 Senate seat, which was held by Kirsten Gillibrand (D). First appointed to the U.S. Senate in 2009, Gillibrand is running for re-election in 2012.

On January 27, 2012, Judge Gary Sharpe moved the primary date from September 11, 2012 to June 26, 2012 in order to allow for sufficient time to send absentee ballots to military voters.[3]

Candidates

Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals were added after official election results had been certified. For more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan, click here. If you find any errors in this list, please email: Geoff Pallay.

General election candidates

Democratic Party Working Families Party Independence Party of America Kirsten Gillibrand Green check mark transparent.png
Republican Party Conservative Party Wendy Long
Libertarian Party Chris Edes
Green Party Colia Clark
Independent John Mangelli (Common Sense Party)
Independent Scott Noren (Write-in)


June 26, 2012 primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Withdrawn:

Republican Party Republican primary

Conservative Party Conservative primary

Working Families Party Working Families primary

Independence Party of America Independence primary

Green Party Green party primary

Election results

General election

U.S. Senate, New York General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngKirsten Gillibrand Incumbent 67.6% 4,808,878
     Republican Wendy Long 24.7% 1,755,466
     Green Colia Clark 0.6% 42,442
     Libertarian Chris Edes 0.4% 31,894
     CSP John Mangelli 0.3% 21,985
     N/A Blank/Void/Scattering 6.4% 455,963
Total Votes 7,116,628
Source: New York State Board of Elections "U.S. Senate Results"

Race background

Democratic incumbent Kirsten Gillibrand ran for re-election to the U.S. Senate in 2012. She ran unopposed for her party's nomination in the June 26th primary, where three Republicans faced off to see which one of them would take her on in the general election. Attorney Wendy Long defeated U.S. Representative Bob Turner and county comptroller George Maragos for the Republican nomination.

Republican Primary

Polls conducted prior to the June primary had Turner and Long out ahead of Maragos, but also showed none of the three having very good chances of beating Gillibrand[8] in the strongly Democratic state.[9]

Long and Maragos took a more conservative stance compared to Turner. For example, Turner did not take a "no tax increases" pledge along with the other two. Turner said he's more ready to compromise in order to get things accomplished in Washington.[10] Maragos has also criticized his opponents for not seeking to repeal New York's legalization of same-sex marriage.[10]

Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani endorsed Turner.[10] Giuliani said Turner's special election victory last year to succeed Anthony Weiner was "an unbelievable shot."[11] Despite Giuliani's endorsement, Turner lost in the Republican primary to attorney Wendy Long. County comptroller George Maragos also ran. Long received 51% of the vote[12] and will face Democratic incumbent Kirsten Gillibrand in the November general election.

Competitiveness

The New York Times' analysis of the 2012 New York Senate race rated it as solid Democratic.[13]

Race rating

Cook Political Report

Each month the Cook Political Report released race ratings for President, U.S. Senate, U.S. House (competitive only) and Governors. There were seven possible designations: [14]

     Solid Democratic
     Likely Democratic
     Lean Democratic

     Tossup

     Lean Republican
     Likely Republican
     Solid Republican

Cook Political Report Race Rating -- New York Senate
Month Rating
October 4, 2012[15]     
September 13, 2012[16]     
August 21, 2012[17]     
July 12, 2012[18]     
May 31, 2012[19]     
May 10, 2012[20]     
March 22, 2012[21]     
March 1, 2012[22]     
January 26, 2012[23]     
December 22, 2011[24]     
December 1, 2011[25]     

Election history

Widgettest1.png

2010

On November 2, 2010, Chuck Schumer was re-elected to the United States Senate for a third term. He defeated Jay Townsend (R/Conservative), Colia Clark (Green), and Randy A. Credico (Anti-Prohibition, Libertarian).[26]

United States Senate, New York General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngChuck Schumer Incumbent 64% 3,047,880
     Republican Jay Townsend 31.1% 1,480,423
     Green Colia Clark 3.5% 168,384
     Anti-Prohibition, Libertarian Randy A. Credico 0.9% 42,341
     Blank/Scattering 0.5% 24,871
Total Votes 4,763,899


On November 2, 2010, Gillibrand was elected to keep her appointment to the United States Senate. She defeated Joseph J. DioGuardi (R), Cecile A. Lawrence (Green), John Clifton (Libertarian), Joseph Huff (Rent Is 2 Damn High), Vivia Morgan (Anti-Prohibition), and Bruce Blakeman (Tax Revolt).[27]

United States Senate, New York Special Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngKirsten Gillibrand Incumbent 59.6% 2,837,684
     Republican Joseph J. DioGuardi 33.3% 1,582,693
     Green Cecile A. Lawrence 0.7% 35,489
     Libertarian John Clifton 0.4% 18,414
     Rent Is 2 Damn High Joseph Huff 0.4% 17,019
     Anti-Prohibition Vivia Morgan 0.2% 11,787
     Tax Revolt Bruce Blakeman 0.1% 4,516
     Blank/Scattering 5.3% 250,033
Total Votes 4,757,635

See also

References

  1. York ABC News "2012 General Election Results"
  2. New York State Board of Elections "Voting Deadline Page," Accessed June 30, 2012
  3. New York Times "Judge Moves Congressional Primary Date to June," January 27, 2012
  4. Buffalo News "Day after win, NY Sen. Gillibrand is running again," Accessed January 6, 2012
  5. Politico "Dem rival Scott Noren tries to 'Occupy' Kirsten Gillibrand," Accessed January 6, 2012
  6. PolitickerNY "George Maragos, Nassau County Comptroller, First Out of Gate Against Gillibrand," Accessed January 6, 2012
  7. NYTimes blog "His District Likely to Be Cut, Congressman Eyes Gillibrand’s Senate Seat," March 13, 2012
  8. Watertown Daily Times "In north country stop, Maragos touts conservatism, visits to region," June 24, 2012
  9. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," May 31, 2012
  10. 10.0 10.1 10.2 New York Times "G.O.P. Senate Hopefuls Compete in a TV Debate," June 17, 2012
  11. WNYC "Long, Turner and Maragos: The Race to Replace Gillibrand," June 15, 2012
  12. AP/CSPAN "New York-Summary Vote Report," June 27, 2012
  13. The New York Times, "2012 Ratings Senate," accessed September 17, 2012
  14. Cook Political Report "Our Accuracy," Accessed December 12, 2011
  15. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," October 4, 2012
  16. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," September 13, 2012
  17. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," August 21, 2012
  18. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," July 12, 2012
  19. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," May 31, 2012
  20. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," May 10, 2012
  21. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," March 22, 2012
  22. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," March 1, 2012
  23. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," January 26, 2012
  24. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," December 27, 2011
  25. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," December 1, 2011
  26. U.S. Congress House Clerk "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010"
  27. U.S. Congress House Clerk "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010"