Difference between revisions of "United States Senate elections in North Carolina, 2014"

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===Potential candidates===
 
===Potential candidates===
 
*{{reddot}} [[Jim Cain]] - Ambassador to Denmark under George W. Bush<ref>[http://atr.rollcall.com/ambassador-eyeing-kay-hagan-challenge/ ''Roll Call'' "Ambassador Eyeing Kay Hagan Challenge" Accessed May 20, 2013]</ref>
 
*{{reddot}} [[Jim Cain]] - Ambassador to Denmark under George W. Bush<ref>[http://atr.rollcall.com/ambassador-eyeing-kay-hagan-challenge/ ''Roll Call'' "Ambassador Eyeing Kay Hagan Challenge" Accessed May 20, 2013]</ref>
*{{reddot}} [[Phil Berger]] - [[North Carolina State Senate|State senate]] President pro tem<ref name="cand"/>
 
 
*{{reddot}} [[Peter Brunstetter]] - State senator<ref>[http://www.wral.com/nc-sen-brunstetter-considering-us-senate-bid/12899043/ ''WRAL.com,'' "Brunstetter considering US Senate bid," September 18, 2013]</ref>
 
*{{reddot}} [[Peter Brunstetter]] - State senator<ref>[http://www.wral.com/nc-sen-brunstetter-considering-us-senate-bid/12899043/ ''WRAL.com,'' "Brunstetter considering US Senate bid," September 18, 2013]</ref>
  
Line 26: Line 25:
 
*{{reddot}} [[Renee Ellmers]] -  [[U.S. House|U.S. Representative]]<ref>[http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-politics/wp/2013/07/30/renee-ellmers-wont-run-for-senate/ ''The Washington Post'', "Renee Ellmers won’t run for Senate," July 30, 2013]</ref>
 
*{{reddot}} [[Renee Ellmers]] -  [[U.S. House|U.S. Representative]]<ref>[http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-politics/wp/2013/07/30/renee-ellmers-wont-run-for-senate/ ''The Washington Post'', "Renee Ellmers won’t run for Senate," July 30, 2013]</ref>
 
*{{reddot}} [[Virginia Foxx]] - [[U.S. House|U.S. Representative]]<ref name="cand"/><ref>[http://www.bellinghamherald.com/2013/08/20/3157524/apnewsbreak-foxx-will-not-enter.html ''The Bellingham Herald,'' "US Rep Virginia Foxx won't enter US Senate race," August 20, 2013]</ref>
 
*{{reddot}} [[Virginia Foxx]] - [[U.S. House|U.S. Representative]]<ref name="cand"/><ref>[http://www.bellinghamherald.com/2013/08/20/3157524/apnewsbreak-foxx-will-not-enter.html ''The Bellingham Herald,'' "US Rep Virginia Foxx won't enter US Senate race," August 20, 2013]</ref>
 
+
*{{reddot}} [[Phil Berger]] - [[North Carolina State Senate|State senate]] President pro tem<ref name="cand"/><ref>[http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-politics/wp/2013/09/23/republican-phil-berger-wont-challenge-sen-kay-hagan/ ''Washington Post'', "Republican Phil Berger won’t challenge Sen. Kay Hagan", accessed September 23, 2013]</ref>
 
==Race ratings==
 
==Race ratings==
 
===Most vulnerable seats===
 
===Most vulnerable seats===

Revision as of 09:26, 23 September 2013


CongressLogo.png

2014 U.S. Senate Elections in North Carolina

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
May 6, 2014

November 4 Election Winner:
Thom Tillis Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Kay Hagan Democratic Party
Kay Hagan.jpg

Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Toss Up[1]

Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss Up[2]


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2014 U.S. House Elections

Flag of North Carolina.png
Voters in North Carolina will elect one member to the U.S. Senate in the November 4, 2014 elections.

North Carolina is one of 21 states with a mixed primary system. Parties decide who may vote, and they opened the primary election to unaffiliated voters. They may choose which ballot they want to vote on without affecting their unaffiliated status.[3]

The election will fill the Senate seat currently held by Kay Hagan (D). Hagan was first elected in 2008.

Candidates

Note: Prior to the signature filing deadline, candidates will be added when Ballotpedia writers come across declared candidates. If you see a name of a candidate who is missing, please email us and we will add that name. As the election draws closer, more information will be added to this page.

Declared candidates

Potential candidates

Declined to run

Race ratings

Most vulnerable seats

The FiscalTimes compiled a list of the seven most vulnerable Senate seats up for election in 2014. The seven included in the list are: Alaska, Arkansas, Iowa, Louisiana, North Carolina, South Dakota, and West Virginia. Going into the 2014 election, all seven seats are held by Democrats.[16]

Democrat Kay Hagan was "swept into office with the aid of presidential turnout in 2008".[16] This time around, there’s no presidential race above her on the ballot and turnout is expected to be down this time around.[16] Among the possible Republican candidates are North Carolina House Speaker Thom Tillis and Reps. Renee Ellmers, Patrick McHenry, Virginia Foxx, and George Holding.[16] Although recent polls show Hagan leading these potential challengers, her middling approval rating and the midterm dynamics make this race a toss-up.[16]

Polls

Potential Republican primary candidates
Poll Kay Hagan Cherie BerryPhil BergerRenee EllmersGreg BrannonThom TillisJim CainMark HarrisLynn WheelerMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Polling
May 17-20, 2013
15%14%10%10%7%6%4%3%3%+/-4.4500
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Election history

2010

On November 2, 2010, Richard Burr was re-elected to the United States Senate for a second term. He defeated Elaine Marshall (D), Michael Beitler (Libertarian), and the write-in candidates.[17]

United States Senate, North Carolina General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRichard Burr Incumbent 54.8% 1,458,046
     Democratic Elaine Marshall 43% 1,145,074
     Libertarian Michael Beitler 2.1% 55,687
     Write-ins 0% 1,272
Total Votes 2,660,079

2008

On November 4, 2008, Kay Hagan was elected to the United States Senate. She defeated Elizabeth Dole (R), Christopher Cole (Libertarian), and the write-in candidates.[18]

United States Senate, North Carolina General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngKay Hagan Incumbent 52.7% 2,249,311
     Republican Elizabeth Dole 44.2% 1,887,510
     Libertarian Christopher Cole 3.1% 133,430
     Write-in 0% 1,719
Total Votes 4,271,970

See also

External links

References

  1. Cook Political Report, "2014 Senate Race Ratings for August 22, 2014," accessed August 25, 2014
  2. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 Senate Races," accessed August 25, 2014
  3. NC Election Connection, "Who Can Vote in Which Elections?," accessed January 3, 2014
  4. 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.3 Southern Political Report "North Carolina: GOPers Circling Around Hagan" Accessed May 23, 2013
  5. Associated Press "APNewsBreak: Tillis says he'll run for US Senate" Accessed June 3, 2013
  6. Gregbrannon.com "About," Accessed June 28, 2013
  7. ctpost.com, "NC minister Harris planning bid for US Senate," September 12, 2013
  8. Roll Call "Ambassador Eyeing Kay Hagan Challenge" Accessed May 20, 2013
  9. WRAL.com, "Brunstetter considering US Senate bid," September 18, 2013
  10. WRAL "Berry won't run for US Senate against Hagan" Accessed May 31, 2013
  11. 11.0 11.1 National Journal "N.C. Labor Commissioner Considering Run Against Hagan" Accessed June 24, 2013
  12. Roll Call "North Carolina: McHenry Won’t Run Against Hagan" Accessed June 24, 2013
  13. The Washington Post, "Renee Ellmers won’t run for Senate," July 30, 2013
  14. The Bellingham Herald, "US Rep Virginia Foxx won't enter US Senate race," August 20, 2013
  15. Washington Post, "Republican Phil Berger won’t challenge Sen. Kay Hagan", accessed September 23, 2013
  16. 16.0 16.1 16.2 16.3 16.4 Fiscal Times " 7 Senate Seats Most at Risk—Hint: They’re All Blue" Accessed February 15, 2013
  17. U.S. Congress House Clerk "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010"
  18. U.S. Congress House Clerk "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008"