United States Senate elections in Ohio, 2012

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2012 U.S. Senate Elections in Ohio

November 6 Election Winner:
Sherrod Brown Democratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Sherrod Brown Democratic Party
Sherrod Brown.jpg

Cook Political Report Race Rating
     Leans D (Prior to election)

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2012 U.S. House Elections

Flag of Ohio.png
Voters in Ohio elected one member to the U.S. Senate in the November 6, 2012 elections.
Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
December 7, 2012
March 6, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Ohio has a mostly closed primary system, in which voters must vote in the same party's primary as in the previous election, or register with the other party to switch.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by February 5. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 7.[1]

See also: Ohio elections, 2012

Incumbent: The election will fill the Class 1 Senate seat, which is currently held by Sherrod Brown (D). First elected in 2006, Brown is running for re-election in 2012.

Candidates

Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals were added after official election results had been certified. For more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan, click here. If you find any errors in this list, please email: Geoff Pallay.

General election candidates

Democratic Party Sherrod Brown IncumbentGreen check mark transparent.png
Republican Party Josh Mandel
Libertarian Party John Fockler Jr.
Green Party Joseph DeMare
Independent Rusty Bliss (Write-in)
Independent Scott Rupert


March 6, 2012 primary results

Democratic Party Democratic primary

Republican Party Republican primary

Libertarian Party Libertarian Party primary

Green Party Green Party primary

Independent Write-in candidate

Election results

General election

U.S. Senate, Ohio General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngSherrod Brown Incumbent 50.7% 2,762,690
     Republican Josh Mandel 44.7% 2,435,712
     Independent Scott Rupert 4.6% 250,616
Total Votes 5,449,018
Source: Ohio Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Race rating

Cook Political Report

Each month the Cook Political Report releases race ratings for President, U.S. Senate, U.S. House (competitive only) and Governors. There are seven possible designations:[6]

     Solid Democratic
     Likely Democratic
     Lean Democratic

     Tossup

     Lean Republican
     Likely Republican
     Solid Republican

Cook Political Report Race Rating -- Ohio Senate
Month Rating
October 4, 2012[7]     
September 13, 2012[8]     
August 21, 2012[9]     
July 12, 2012[10]     
May 31, 2012[11]     
May 10, 2012[12]     
March 22, 2012[13]     
March 1, 2012[14]     
January 26, 2012[15]     
December 22, 2011[16]     
December 1, 2011[17]     

Polls

Brown vs. Mandel

"Our polls are pretty consistently finding Sherrod Brown close to that magic 50% mark," said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling.[18]

October 2012 - present

Sherrod Brown vs. Josh Mandel
Poll Sherrod Brown Josh MandelUndecidedOtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Rasmussen Reports
(October 7, 2012)
46%46%6%2%+/-4.5500
Survey USA
(October 12-15, 2012)
43%38%13%5%+/-4613
Survey USA
[October 20-22, 2012)
48%44%5%2%+/-4.1609
Rassmussen Reports
(October 24, 2012)
43%42%10%5%+/-4.5500
Ohio News Organization Poll
(October 18-23, 2012)
51%47%2%0%+/-3.11,015
Public Policy Polling
(October 26-28, 2012)
53%42%5%0%+/-3.7718
Pharos Research Group
(October 26-28, 2012)
50.0%53.4%6.6%0%+/-3.5765
AVERAGES 47.71% 44.63% 6.8% 2% +/-3.91 674.29
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

November 2011 - September 2012

Sherrod Brown vs. Josh Mandel
Poll Sherrod Brown Josh MandelUndecidedOtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Polling (November 4-6, 2011)
49%34%17%0%+/-3.11,022
Quinnipiac University (October 17-23, 2011)
49%34%14%1%+/-2.41,668
Rasmussen Reports
(July 18, 2012)
46%42%8%4%+/-4.5500
Quinnipiac University
(July 24-30, 2012)
51%39%0%0%+/-31,193
Rasmussen Reports
(August 13, 2012)
44%44%9%3%+/-4.5500
Quinnipiac University
(August 15-21, 2012)
48%41%10%1%+/-2.81,253
University of Cincinnati
(August 16-21, 2012)
48%47%1%5%+/-3.4847
Rasmussen Reports
(September 15, 2012)
49%41%7%3%+/-4.5500
Quinnipiac University
(September 26, 2012)
50%40%9%0%+/-2.91,162
AVERAGES 48.22% 40.22% 8.33% 1.89% +/-3.46 960.56
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Campaign Finance

Sherrod Brown

Sherrod Brown Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
Pre-primary[19]February 23, 2012$5,045,843.38$766,048.24$(554,381.61)$5,257,501.11
April Quarterly[20]April 15, 2012$5,257,501.11$1,624,438.01$(608,622.48)$6,273,316.64
July Quarterly[21]July 15, 2012$6,273,316.64$3,025,278.88$(2,802,380.23)$6,496,215.29
October Quarterly[22]October 15, 2012$6,496,215.29$5,430,622.53$(7,048,771.61)$4,878,066.21
Running totals
$10,846,387.66$(11,014,155.93)

Josh Mandel

Josh Mandel Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
Pre-primary[23]February 23, 2012$4,089,325.95$548,199.08$(306,335.23)$4,331,189.80
April Quarterly[24]April 15, 2012$4,331,189.80$1,472,892.77$(516,088.91)$5,287,993.66
July Quarterly[25]July 15, 2012$5,287,993.66$2,621,295.82$(2,979,058.84)$4,930,230.64
October Quarterly[26]October 15, 2012$4,930,230.64$4,572,581.18$(5,085,518.51)$4,417,293.31
Running totals
$9,214,968.85$(8,887,001.49)

Election history

2010

On November 2, 2010, Rob Portman won election to the United States Senate. He defeated Lee Fisher, Michael L. Pryce, Eric W. Deaton, Daniel H. LaBotz, and Arthur T. Sullivan in the general election.[27]

U.S. Senate, Ohio General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRob Portman 56.8% 2,168,742
     Democrat Lee Fisher 39.4% 1,503,297
     Independent Michael L. Pryce 1.3% 50,101
     Constitution Eric W. Deaton 1.7% 65,856
     Socialist Daniel H. LaBotz 0.7% 26,454
     Write-in Arthur T. Sullivan 0% 648
Total Votes 3,815,098

2006

On November 7, 2006, Sherrod Brown won election to the United States Senate. He defeated Mike DeWine, and Richard Duncan in the general election.[28]

U.S. Senate, Ohio General Election, 2006
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democrat Green check mark transparent.pngSherrod Brown 56.2% 2,257,369
     Republican Mike DeWine 43.8% 1,761,037
     Write–in Richard Duncan 0% 830
Total Votes 4,019,236

See also

External links

References

  1. Ohio Secretary of State, "FAQ," accessed June 29, 2012
  2. Ohio.com, "Sherrod Brown expects tough 2012 race for U.S. Senate," accessed January 6, 2012
  3. 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 News Talk Radio, "Ohio treasurer in 6-way GOP primary for US Senate," December 7, 2011
  4. 4.0 4.1 Primary candidate ballot
  5. Cleveland Plain Dealer, "Rusty, we hardly knew you: Bliss will have to run as a write-in candidate for U.S. Senate," December 7, 2011
  6. Cook Political Report, "Our Accuracy," accessed December 12, 2011
  7. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," October 4, 2012
  8. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," September 13, 2012
  9. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," August 21, 2012
  10. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," July 12, 2012
  11. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," May 31, 2012
  12. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," May 10, 2012
  13. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," March 22, 2012
  14. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," March 1, 2012
  15. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," January 26, 2012
  16. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," December 22, 2011
  17. Cook Political Report, "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," December 1, 2011
  18. Public Policy Polling ,"" November 10, 2011
  19. Federal Election Commission, "Sherrod Brown Pre-primary" Accessed October 11, 2012
  20. Federal Election Commission, "Sherrod Brown April Quarterly" Accessed October 11, 2012
  21. Federal Election Commission, "Sherrod Brown July Quarterly" Accessed October 11, 2012
  22. Federal Election Commission, "Sherrod Brown October Quarterly" Accessed October 19, 2012
  23. Federal Election Commission, "Josh Mandel Pre-primary" Accessed October 11, 2012
  24. Federal Election Commission, "Josh Mandel April Quarterly" Accessed October 11, 2012
  25. Federal Election Commission, "Josh Mandel July Quarterly" Accessed October 11, 2012
  26. Federal Election Commission, "Josh Mandel July Quarterly" Accessed October 19, 2012
  27. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010"
  28. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006"