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Difference between revisions of "United States Senate elections in South Dakota, 2014"

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m (Text replace - " <ref>[http://www.r" to "<ref>[http://www.r")
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*{{bluedot}} [[Stephanie Herseth Sandlin]]: Former [[U.S. House|U.S. Representative]]<ref>[http://atr.rollcall.com/kristi-noem-not-running-for-senate/ ''Roll Call'' "Kristi Noem Not Running for Senate #SDSEN" Accessed June 14, 2013]</ref>
 
*{{bluedot}} [[Stephanie Herseth Sandlin]]: Former [[U.S. House|U.S. Representative]]<ref>[http://atr.rollcall.com/kristi-noem-not-running-for-senate/ ''Roll Call'' "Kristi Noem Not Running for Senate #SDSEN" Accessed June 14, 2013]</ref>
 
*{{reddot}} [[Kristi Noem]]:Current [[U.S. House|U.S. Representative]]<ref>[http://www.newscenter1.tv/stories/13462.aspx ''NewsCenter1'' "2014 Senate Race" Accessed April 29, 2013]</ref><ref>[http://www.politico.com/story/2013/06/kristi-noem-south-dakota-senate-92610.html ''Politico'' "Kristi Noem opts against Senate run in S.D." Accessed June 14, 2013]</ref>
 
*{{reddot}} [[Kristi Noem]]:Current [[U.S. House|U.S. Representative]]<ref>[http://www.newscenter1.tv/stories/13462.aspx ''NewsCenter1'' "2014 Senate Race" Accessed April 29, 2013]</ref><ref>[http://www.politico.com/story/2013/06/kristi-noem-south-dakota-senate-92610.html ''Politico'' "Kristi Noem opts against Senate run in S.D." Accessed June 14, 2013]</ref>
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==Race background==
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{{Sdsenbackground2014}}
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==Race ratings==
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===Most vulnerable seats===
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The [http://www.thefiscaltimes.com/Articles/2013/02/15/7-Senate-Seats-at-Risk-Hint-Theyre-All-Blue.aspx#page1 FiscalTimes] compiled a list of the seven most vulnerable [[U.S. Senate|Senate]] seats up for election in 2014. The seven included in the list are: [[United States Senate elections in Alaska, 2014|Alaska]], [[United States Senate elections in Arkansas, 2014|Arkansas]], [[United States Senate elections in Iowa, 2014|Iowa]], [[United States Senate elections in Louisiana, 2014|Louisiana]], [[United States Senate elections in North Carolina, 2014|North Carolina]], [[South Dakota]], and [[United States Senate elections in West Virginia, 2014|West Virginia]]. Going into the 2014 election, all seven seats are held by [[Democrats]].<ref name="fiscal">[http://www.thefiscaltimes.com/Articles/2013/02/15/7-Senate-Seats-at-Risk-Hint-Theyre-All-Blue.aspx#page1 ''Fiscal Times'' " 7 Senate Seats Most at Risk—Hint: They’re All Blue" Accessed February 15, 2013]</ref>
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With former two-term [[Governor of South Dakota|Gov.]] [[Mike Rounds]] ([[Republican|R]]) likely to run for this seat, incumbent [[Tim Johnson]] ([[Democratic|D]]) will have his hands full if he decides to seek another term in 2014.<ref name="fiscal"/>  In some ways, [[Tim Johnson|Johnson]] may be vulnerable. After suffering a life-threatening brain hemorrhage in 2006, [[Tim Johnson|he]] may not be up to a competitive campaign.  Moreover, [[South Dakota]] has been strongly [[Republican]] at the presidential level and increasingly so for other federal elections. However, South Dakota has a record of mixing partisan affiliations of its congressional delegation in Washington.<ref name="fiscal"/>
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===Washington Post top 10 races===
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{{thefixtopten|state=the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota|Reason=Former Gov. Mike Rounds picked up momentum as a fundraiser. By the end of 2013, South Dakota was still considered the best opportunity for Republicans to pickup a seat.}}
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 +
===Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call===
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According to ''Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call'', as of December 19, 2013, the South Dakota Senate race has been moved from Lean Republican to Republican Favored.  The reason for this move is the lack of a viable Democratic candidate.<ref>[http://blogs.rollcall.com/rothenblog/race-ratings-change-south-dakota-senate/ ''Roll Call'', "Race ratings", accessed December 19, 2013]</ref>
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==Polls==
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{{Poll2
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|Title=Mike Rounds vs. Rick Weiland
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|Poll1=[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/south_dakota/election_2014_south_dakota_senate Rasmussen Reports (February 25-26, 2014)]
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|Response1=Mike Rounds
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|Response2=Rick Weiland
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|Response3=Someone else
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|Response4=Undecided
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|Numberpolled1=500
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|Margin of error1 = 4.5
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|Response1Poll1% = 51
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|Response2Poll1% = 31
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|Response3Poll1% = 6
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|Response4Poll1% = 11
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}}
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==Media==
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===Larry Pressler===
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{|
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|
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{{youtube|title=ZsKYwpmXMdA|size=250|caption=American Hustle Campaign Ad}}
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|}
  
 
==Campaign contributions==
 
==Campaign contributions==
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===Larry Pressler===
 
===Larry Pressler===
 
{{Larry Pressler 2014 FEC}}
 
{{Larry Pressler 2014 FEC}}
 
==Race background==
 
{{Sdsenbackground2014}}
 
 
==Race ratings==
 
===Most vulnerable seats===
 
The [http://www.thefiscaltimes.com/Articles/2013/02/15/7-Senate-Seats-at-Risk-Hint-Theyre-All-Blue.aspx#page1 FiscalTimes] compiled a list of the seven most vulnerable [[U.S. Senate|Senate]] seats up for election in 2014. The seven included in the list are: [[United States Senate elections in Alaska, 2014|Alaska]], [[United States Senate elections in Arkansas, 2014|Arkansas]], [[United States Senate elections in Iowa, 2014|Iowa]], [[United States Senate elections in Louisiana, 2014|Louisiana]], [[United States Senate elections in North Carolina, 2014|North Carolina]], [[South Dakota]], and [[United States Senate elections in West Virginia, 2014|West Virginia]]. Going into the 2014 election, all seven seats are held by [[Democrats]].<ref name="fiscal">[http://www.thefiscaltimes.com/Articles/2013/02/15/7-Senate-Seats-at-Risk-Hint-Theyre-All-Blue.aspx#page1 ''Fiscal Times'' " 7 Senate Seats Most at Risk—Hint: They’re All Blue" Accessed February 15, 2013]</ref>
 
 
With former two-term [[Governor of South Dakota|Gov.]] [[Mike Rounds]] ([[Republican|R]]) likely to run for this seat, incumbent [[Tim Johnson]] ([[Democratic|D]]) will have his hands full if he decides to seek another term in 2014.<ref name="fiscal"/>  In some ways, [[Tim Johnson|Johnson]] may be vulnerable. After suffering a life-threatening brain hemorrhage in 2006, [[Tim Johnson|he]] may not be up to a competitive campaign.  Moreover, [[South Dakota]] has been strongly [[Republican]] at the presidential level and increasingly so for other federal elections. However, South Dakota has a record of mixing partisan affiliations of its congressional delegation in Washington.<ref name="fiscal"/>
 
 
===Washington Post top 10 races===
 
{{thefixtopten|state=the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota|Reason=Former Gov. Mike Rounds picked up momentum as a fundraiser. By the end of 2013, South Dakota was still considered the best opportunity for Republicans to pickup a seat.}}
 
 
===Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call===
 
According to ''Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call'', as of December 19, 2013, the South Dakota Senate race has been moved from Lean Republican to Republican Favored.  The reason for this move is the lack of a viable Democratic candidate.<ref>[http://blogs.rollcall.com/rothenblog/race-ratings-change-south-dakota-senate/ ''Roll Call'', "Race ratings", accessed December 19, 2013]</ref>
 
  
 
==Election history==
 
==Election history==

Revision as of 23:41, 3 March 2014



CongressLogo.png

2014 U.S. Senate Elections in South Dakota

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
June 3, 2014

November 4 Election Winner:
Pending
Incumbent prior to election:
Tim Johnson Democratic Party
Tim Johnson.jpg

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2014 U.S. House Elections

Flag of South Dakota.png
Voters in South Dakota will elect one member to the U.S. Senate in the election on November 4, 2014.
Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
March 25, 2014
June 10, 2014
November 4, 2014

Primary: South Dakota has a mixed primary system, in which parties decide who may vote. Registered Democrats and unaffiliated voters may vote in the Democratic primary. Only registered Republicans may vote in the Republican primary.[1]

Voter registration: Pending

See also: South Dakota elections, 2014

Incumbent: The election will fill the Senate seat currently held by Tim Johnson (D). Johnson was first elected in 1996. He announced on March 25, 2013, that he would not be seeking another term in 2014.[2]

Candidates

Note: Prior to the signature filing deadline, candidates will be added when Ballotpedia writers come across declared candidates. If you see a name of a candidate who is missing, please email us and we will add that name. As the election draws closer, more information will be added to this page.

Announced candidates

Potential candidates

Declined to run

Race background

Three term Senator Tim Johnson (D) of South Dakota announced on March 25, 2013, that he would not be seeking another term in 2014.[2]

In a news conference at his alma mater, the University of South Dakota, Johnson joked, "I will be 68 years old at the end of this term and it is time for me to say goodbye. As much as [my wife] Barbara would like me to run again, I have to say no. I'm honored and humbled that the people of South Dakota, Democrats, Republicans and independents, have allowed me to represent you in the state legislature, the United States House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate."[2]

Johnson was first elected to the U.S. Senate in 1996 and won re-election in 2002.[13] In 2006, Johnson suffered a brain hemorrhage that almost killed him, but he recovered and went on to run for and win re-election in 2008.[13] When asked if his health was behind his decision not to run again, Johnson answered, "I feel great, but I must be honest. I appreciate that my right arm and right leg are not what they used to be and my speech is not entirely there. But I think mostly that it's time to go."[13]

If he had made a bid for another term in the Senate, Johnson was expected to face a tough win for re-election and was considered vulnerable.[14]

Johnson was the fifth Democratic Senator to announce plans to retire in 2014.[13] Others include Jay Rockefeller of West Virginia, Tom Harkin of Iowa, Frank Lautenberg of New Jersey, and Carl Levin of Michigan. Two Republican senators, Saxby Chambliss of Georgia and Mike Johanns of Nebraska, are also not making bids next year for another term in office.[13]

The 2014 election will be the first time since 1978 that South Dakota will have an open Senate seat.[15]

Race ratings

Most vulnerable seats

The FiscalTimes compiled a list of the seven most vulnerable Senate seats up for election in 2014. The seven included in the list are: Alaska, Arkansas, Iowa, Louisiana, North Carolina, South Dakota, and West Virginia. Going into the 2014 election, all seven seats are held by Democrats.[14]

With former two-term Gov. Mike Rounds (R) likely to run for this seat, incumbent Tim Johnson (D) will have his hands full if he decides to seek another term in 2014.[14] In some ways, Johnson may be vulnerable. After suffering a life-threatening brain hemorrhage in 2006, he may not be up to a competitive campaign. Moreover, South Dakota has been strongly Republican at the presidential level and increasingly so for other federal elections. However, South Dakota has a record of mixing partisan affiliations of its congressional delegation in Washington.[14]

Washington Post top 10 races

According to an analysis by The Washington Post, the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota is considered one of the top 10 Senate races of 2014. Former Gov. Mike Rounds picked up momentum as a fundraiser. By the end of 2013, South Dakota was still considered the best opportunity for Republicans to pickup a seat.[16]

Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call

According to Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call, as of December 19, 2013, the South Dakota Senate race has been moved from Lean Republican to Republican Favored. The reason for this move is the lack of a viable Democratic candidate.[17]

Polls

Mike Rounds vs. Rick Weiland
Poll Mike Rounds Rick WeilandSomeone elseUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Rasmussen Reports (February 25-26, 2014)
51%31%6%11%+/-4.5500
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Media

Larry Pressler


American Hustle Campaign Ad

Campaign contributions

Candidate Ballot Access
Ballot Access Requirements Final.jpg

Find detailed information on ballot access requirements in all 50 states and Washington D.C.

Mike Rounds

Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Rounds' reports.[18]

Mike Rounds (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[19]June 5, 2013$253,143.15$185,813.00$(67,654.86)$371,301.29
July Quarterly[20]July 15, 2013$371,301.29$603,468.80$(216,881.74)$757,888.35
October Quarterly[21]October 15, 2013$757,888.35$607,299.06$(350,365.93)$1,014,821.48
Year-End[22]January 29, 2014$1,014,821$519,234$(370,482)$1,163,573
Running totals
$1,915,814.86$(1,005,384.53)

Larry Rhoden

Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Rhoden's reports.[23]

Larry Rhoden (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
October Quarterly[24]October 14, 2013$0.00$62,550.00$(6,819.69)$55,730.31
Year-End[25]January 30, 2014$55,730$37,740$(20,608)$72,862
April Quarterly[26]April 14, 2014$72,862.15$15,988.00$(10,752.21)$78,097.94
Running totals
$116,278$(38,179.9)

Stace Nelson

Candidates for Congress are required to file reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Nelson's reports.[27]

Stace Nelson (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
October Quarterly[28]October 15, 2013$0$57,480$(30,842)$26,637
Year-End[29]January 31, 2014$26,637$31,040$(23,932)$33,745
April Quarterly[30]April 16, 2014$33,745.63$28,414.34$(28,727.63)$33,432.34
Running totals
$116,934.34$(83,501.63)

Annette Bosworth

Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Bosworth's reports.[31]

Annette Bosworth (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
October Quarterly[32]October 15, 2013$0.00$50,229.06$(21,506.90)$28,722.16
Year-End[33]January 31, 2014$28,722$315,314$(94,391)$249,645
April Quarterly[34]April 15, 2014$249,645.18$772,326.66$(673,539.43)$348,432.41
Running totals
$1,137,869.72$(789,437.33)

Rick Weiland

Candidates for Congress are required to file reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Weiland's reports.[35]


Rick Weiland (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
July Quarterly[36]July 15, 2013$0$205,941$(5,908)$200,032
October Quarterly[37]October 15, 2013$200,032$169,679$(54,505)$315,206
Year-End[38]January 31, 2014$315,206$160,647$(91,146)$384,706
April Quarterly[39]April 15, 2014$384,706.65$203,838.78$(103,180.65)$485,364.78
Pre-Primary[40]May 16, 2014$485,364.78$93,091.01$(268,396.58)$310,059.21
Running totals
$833,196.79$(523,136.23)

Larry Pressler

Candidates for Congress are required to file reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Pressler's reports.[41]

Larry Pressler (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
Year-End[42]January 31, 2014$0$29,850$(2,250)$27,600
April Quarterly[43]April 10, 2014$25,155.92$39,453.61$(27,860.34)$36,749.19
Running totals
$69,303.61$(30,110.34)

Election history

2010

On November 2, 2010, Thune won re-election to the United States Senate. He ran unopposed in the general election.[44]

U.S. Senate, South Dakota General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Thune Incumbent 100% 227,947
Total Votes 227,947

2008

On November 4, 2008, Johnson won re-election to the United States Senate. He defeated Joel Dykstra in the general election.[45]

U.S. Senate, South Dakota General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngTim Johnson Incumbent 62.5% 237,889
     Republican Joel Dykstra 37.5% 142,784
Total Votes 380,673

See also

External links

References

  1. South Dakota Secretary of State Website, "Registration & Voting," Accessed January 3,2014
  2. 2.0 2.1 2.2 Washington Post "AP sources: South Dakota Sen. Johnson won’t seek re-election; 5th Democratic senator to retire" Accessed March 28, 2013
  3. Talking Points Memo "GOP Rep. Kristi Noem Will Not Run For SD Senate Seat" Accessed June 14, 2013
  4. Rapid City Journal "SD state Sen. Larry Rhoden will run for US Senate," Accessed July 12, 2013
  5. The Associated Press, "SD state Rep. Stace Nelson to make US Senate run; joins 3 others seeking GOP nomination," August 13, 2013
  6. Keloland.com, "Bosworth Jumps Into U.S. Senate Race", accessed August 22, 2013
  7. Roll Call "Weiland Is Democrats' Best Hope in S.D., for Now" Accessed June 14, 2013
  8. Rapid City Journal, "Larry Pressler urges voters to reject 'poisonous' two-party system", accessed December 31, 2013
  9. NewsCenter1 "Kristi Noem Opts Against U.S. Senate Run, Will Defend House Seat" Accessed June 14, 2013
  10. Roll Call "Kristi Noem Not Running for Senate #SDSEN" Accessed June 14, 2013
  11. NewsCenter1 "2014 Senate Race" Accessed April 29, 2013
  12. Politico "Kristi Noem opts against Senate run in S.D." Accessed June 14, 2013
  13. 13.0 13.1 13.2 13.3 13.4 CNN, "Fifth Democratic Senator Says No to 2014," accessed March 28, 2013
  14. 14.0 14.1 14.2 14.3 Fiscal Times, "7 Senate Seats Most at Risk—Hint: They’re All Blue," accessed February 15, 2013
  15. KDLT, "Sen. Tim Johnson's Plans After Politics," accessed March 28, 2013
  16. The Washington Post, "The Fix’s top 10 Senate races of 2014," accessed December 10, 2013
  17. Roll Call, "Race ratings", accessed December 19, 2013
  18. Federal Election Commission, "Rounds 2014 Summary reports," accessed November 25, 2013
  19. Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly", accessed November 25, 2013
  20. Federal Election Commission, "July Quarterly", accessed November 25, 2013
  21. Federal Election Commission, "October Quarterly", accessed November 25, 2013
  22. Federal Election Commission, "Year-End," accessed February 14, 2014
  23. Federal Election Commission, "Rhoden 2014 Summary reports," accessed November 25, 2013
  24. Federal Election Commission, "October Quarterly", accessed November 25, 2013
  25. Federal Election Commission, "Year-End," accessed February 14, 2014
  26. Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly," accessed April 24, 2014
  27. Federal Election Commission, "Nelson 2014 Summary reports," accessed May 13, 2014
  28. Federal Election Commission, "Stace Nelson October Quarterly," accessed February 14, 2014
  29. Federal Election Commission, "Stace Nelson Year-End," accessed February 14, 2014
  30. Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly," accessed May 14, 2014
  31. Federal Election Commission, "Bosworth 2014 Summary reports," accessed November 25, 2013
  32. Federal Election Commission, "October Quarterly", accessed November 25, 2013
  33. Federal Election Commission, "Year-End," accessed February 14, 2014
  34. Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly," accessed April 24, 2014
  35. Federal Election Commission, "Weiland 2014 Summary reports," accessed May 13, 2014
  36. Federal Election Commission, "July Quarterly," accessed February 14, 2014
  37. Federal Election Commission, "October Quarterly," accessed February 14, 2014
  38. Federal Election Commission, "Year-End," accessed February 14, 2014
  39. Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly," accessed April 24, 2014
  40. Federal Election Commission, "Pre-Primary," accessed June 18, 2014
  41. Federal Election Commission, "Pressler 2014 Summary reports," accessed May 13, 2014
  42. Federal Election Commission, "Year-End," accessed February 14, 2014
  43. Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly," accessed May 14, 2014
  44. U.S. Congress House Clerk "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010"
  45. U.S. Congress House Clerk "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008"