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United States Senate elections in Virginia, 2012

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2012 U.S. Senate Elections in Virginia

CandidatesPollsElection History

November 6 Election Winner:
Tim Kaine Democratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Jim Webb Democratic Party
Jim Webb.jpg

Cook Political Report Race Rating
     Tossup (Prior to election)

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2012 U.S. House Elections

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Voters in Virginia will elect one member to the U.S. Senate in the November 6, 2012 elections.
Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
March 29, 2012
June 12, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Virginia has an open primary system, in which any registered voter may choose which party's primary to vote in.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by May 21. For the general election, the voter registration deadline is October 15.[1]

See also: Virginia elections, 2012

Incumbent: The election will fill the Class 1 Senate seat, which is currently held by Jim Webb (D). First elected in 2006, Webb is not running for re-election in 2012.

Candidates

General election candidates

Democratic Party Tim Kaine
Republican Party George Allen


May 8, 2012 primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Withdrawn:

Republican Party Republican primary

Withdrawn:

Race rating

Cook Political Report

Each month the Cook Political Report releases race ratings for President, U.S. Senate, U.S. House (competitive only) and Governors. There are seven possible designations: [6]

     Solid Democratic
     Likely Democratic
     Lean Democratic

     Tossup

     Lean Republican
     Likely Republican
     Solid Republican

Cook Political Report Race Rating -- Virginia Senate
Month Rating
July 12, 2012[7]     
May 31, 2012[8]     
May 10, 2012[9]     
March 22, 2012[10]     
March 1, 2012[11]     
January 26, 2012[12]     
December 22, 2011[13]     
December 1, 2011[14]     

Sabato's Crystal Ball

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The University of Virginia's Center for Politics published an article called Sabato's Crystal Ball on March 22, 2012 detailing the 8 races in the Senate in 2012 that will decide the political fate of which party will end up with control in 2013.[15] The seat rated a toss-up that Sabato's Crystal Ball believes is most likely to depend on the outcome of the Presidential election in November is the Senate seat in Virginia.[15] According to the article, "outcome of this race will largely be determined by which party claims Virginia’s 13 electoral votes in November."[15]

Polls

George Allen vs. Tim Kaine
Poll George Allen Tim KaineSome Other CandidateUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Rasmussen Reports (August 23,2012)
45%45%2%8%+/-4.5500
Rasmussen Reports (September 17,2012)
45%47%2%6%+/-4.5500
AVERAGES 45% 46% 2% 7% +/-4.5 500
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Election history

2008

On November 4, 2008, Mark Warner (D) won election to the U.S. Senate, defeating James S. "Jim" Gilmore III (R), William B. Redpath (L), Glenda Gail Parker (Independent Green), and a write-in.[16]

U.S. Senate, Virginia, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMark R. Warner 65% 2,369,327
     Republican James S. "Jim" Gilmore III 33.7% 1,228,830
     Libertarian William B. Redpath 0.6% 20,269
     Independent Glenda Gail Parker 0.6% 21,690
     Write-in Unnamed 0.1% 3,178
Total Votes 3,643,294

2006

On November 7, 2006, Jim Webb (D) won election to the U.S. Senate, defeating incumbent George Allen (R), Glenda Gail Parker (Independent Green), and a write-in.[17]

U.S. Senate, Virginia, 2006
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJames H. "Jim" Webb 49.6% 1,175,606
     Republican George Allen Incumbent 49.2% 1,166,277
     Independent Glenda Gail Parker 1.1% 26,102
     Write-in Unnamed 0.1% 2,460
Total Votes 2,370,445

See also

References