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United States Senate elections in West Virginia, 2012

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2012 U.S. Senate Elections in West Virginia

CandidatesPollsElection History

November 6 Election Winner:
Joe Manchin Democratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Joe Manchin Democratic Party
Joe Manchin.jpg

Cook Political Report Race Rating
     Likely D (Prior to election)

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2012 U.S. House Elections

Flag of West Virginia.png
Voters in West Virginia elected one member to the U.S. Senate in the November 6, 2012 elections.

Incumbent Joe Manchin (D) won re-election on November 6, 2012.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
January 28, 2012
May 8, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: West Virginia has a mostly closed primary system, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members, although unaffiliated voters may pick which party's primary to vote in.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by April 17. For the general election, the voter registration deadline are October 16.[2]

See also: West Virginia elections, 2012

Incumbent: The election will fill the Class 1 Senate seat, which is currently held by Joe Manchin (D). First elected in a special election in 2010, Manchin is running for re-election in 2012.

Election results

U.S. Senate, West Virginia General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJoe Manchin III Incumbent 60.5% 391,669
     Republican John R. Raese 36.5% 236,620
     Mountain Bob Henry Baber 3% 19,232
Total Votes 647,521
Source: West Virginia Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Candidates

Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals will be added when official election results are certified. For more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan, click here. If you find any errors in this list, please email: Geoff Pallay.

General election candidates

Democratic Party Joe Manchin Green check mark transparent.png
Republican Party John Raese
Independent Bob Henry Baber


May 8, 2012 primary results

Democratic Party Democratic primary

Republican Party Republican primary

Independent Mountain Party

Primary Results

Democratic Primary

U.S. Senate-West Virginia Democratic Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngJoe Manchin III Incumbent 79.9% 163,891
Sheirl Fletcher 20.1% 41,118
Total Votes 205,009

Race background

Democratic incumbent Joe Manchin was first elected to the U.S. Senate in a 2010 special election. Manchin is running for re-election in 2012.

Manchin easily defeated former Republican Sheirl Fletcher 80-20 for the Democratic nomination in the May 8th primary contest.[4] He will face Republican John Raese, who ran unopposed in his party's primary, in the general election on November 6th.

The November contest presents a rematch between Manchin and John Raese (R), who first faced off in the 2010 special election to fill the vacancy left by the death of Sen. Robert Byrd- the election that won Manchin his current seat.[5]

Competitiveness

According to The New York Times analysis of the 2012 Senate elections, West Virginia's Senate race is rated as solid Democratic.[6]

Race rating

Cook Political Report

Each month the Cook Political Report releases race ratings for President, U.S. Senate, U.S. House (competitive only) and Governors. There are seven possible designations: [7]

     Solid Democratic
     Likely Democratic
     Lean Democratic

     Tossup

     Lean Republican
     Likely Republican
     Solid Republican

Cook Political Report Race Rating -- West Virginia Senate
Month Rating
October 4, 2012[8]     
September 13, 2012[9]     
August 21, 2012[10]     
July 12, 2012[11]     
May 31, 2012[12]     
May 10, 2012[13]     
March 22, 2012[14]     
March 1, 2012[15]     
January 26, 2012[16]     
December 22, 2011[17]     
December 1, 2011[18]     

Polls

Joe Manchin vs. John Raese

Joe Manchin vs. John Raese
Poll Joe Manchin John RaeseUnsureMargin of ErrorSample Size
Daily Mail (August 31, 2012)
66%27%7%+/-4.9401
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Election history

2010

Manchin was elected to the senate by a special election on November 2, 2010, to fill the late Robert Byrd's seat.[19] Between Byrd's death in July and the special election, Byrd's seat was temporarily held by his chief counsel, Carte Goodwin.[20] Manchin defeated John R. Raese (R), Jesse Johnson (Mountain Party), and Jeff Becker (Constitution).[21]

U.S. Senate, West Virginia, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJoe Manchin III 53.5% 283,358
     Republican John R. Raese 43.4% 230,013
     Mountain Jesse Johnson 1.9% 10,152
     Constitution Jeff Becker 1.2% 6,425
Total Votes 529,948

2008

On November 4, 2008, Jay Rockefeller won re-election to the U.S. Senate, defeating Jay Wolfe (R), John R. "Rick" Bartlett (Write-in), and Chad Shaffer (Write-in).[22]

U.S. Senate, West Virginia, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJohn D. Rockefeller IV Incumbent 63.7% 447,560
     Republican Jay Wolfe 36.3% 254,629
     Write-in John R. "Rick" Bartlett 0% 83
     Write-in Chad Shaffer 0% 36
Total Votes 702,308

See also

References

  1. ABC News "2012 General Election Results"
  2. West Virginia Secretary of State "Voter Registration FAQ," Accessed July 27, 2012
  3. 3.0 3.1 3.2 West Virginia Secretary of State "Candidate Search," Accessed January 29, 2012
  4. West Virginia Metro News "2012 Primary Results," May 8, 2012
  5. WDTV, “WV Sen Manchin wins, sets up rematch with Raese,” May 8, 2012
  6. The New York Times, "2012 Senate race ratings," accessed September 17, 2012
  7. Cook Political Report "Our Accuracy," Accessed December 12, 2011
  8. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," October 4, 2012
  9. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," September 13, 2012
  10. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," August 21, 2012
  11. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," July 12, 2012
  12. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," May 31, 2012
  13. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," May 10, 2012
  14. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," March 22, 2012
  15. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," March 1, 2012
  16. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," January 26, 2012
  17. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," December 27, 2011
  18. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," December 1, 2011
  19. Official Senate website "Joe Manchin," Accessed October 14, 2011
  20. The Hill "Byrd's successor to take oath Tuesday," Accessed October 14, 2011
  21. U.S. Congress House Clerk "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010"
  22. U.S. Congress House Clerk "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008"