Difference between revisions of "United States Senate elections in West Virginia, 2014"

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{{Wvelecbanner14}}{{WvUSsen2014toc}}{{tnr}}Voters in [[West Virginia]] '''will elect one member to the [[U.S. Senate elections, 2014|U.S. Senate]]''' in the [[United States Congress elections, 2014|election on November 4, 2014]]. Rep. [[Shelley Moore Capito]], from [[West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District]], and [[West Virginia Secretary of State]] [[Natalie Tennant]] will meet in the general election to compete for [[Jay Rockefeller]]'s [[U.S. Senate]] seat.<ref name=primary>[http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2014/by_state/WV_US_House_0513.html?SITE=CSPANELN&SECTION=POLITICS ''Associated Press'', "West Virginia - Summary Vote Results," May 13, 2014]</ref> Capito defeated [[Larry Butcher]] and [[Matthew Dodrill]] in the [[Republican]] primary, and Tennant defeated [[Dennis Melton]] and [[David Wamsley]] in the [[Democratic]] primary. Also on the general election ballot are [[Libertarian Party]] candidate [[John Buckley]], [[Constitution Party]] candidate [[Phil Hudok]] and [[Independent]] [[Martin Staunton]].<ref>[https://apps.sos.wv.gov/elections/candidate-search/candidate.aspx?candidate=7606 ''West Virginia Secretary of State'', "Candidate Detail," accessed February 3, 2014]</ref><ref>[http://www.lpwv.org/john_buckley ''Libertarian Party of West Virginia'', "John Buckley," accessed March 12, 2014]</ref><ref>[http://www.independentpoliticalreport.com/2013/07/phil-hudok-running-as-constitution-party-candidate-for-u-s-senate-from-west-virginia/ ''Independent Political Report'', "Phil Hudok Running as Constitution Party Candidate for U.S. Senate from West Virginia," accessed February 3, 2014]</ref><ref>[http://www.register-herald.com/local/x730863353/TV-newsman-Martin-Staunton-running-for-Senate ''Register Herald'', "TV newsman Martin Staunton running for Senate," accessed February 3, 2014]</ref>
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{{Wvelecbanner14}}{{WvUSsen2014toc}}{{tnr}}Voters in [[West Virginia]] '''will elect one member to the [[U.S. Senate elections, 2014|U.S. Senate]]''' in the [[United States Congress elections, 2014|election on November 4, 2014]]. Rep. [[Shelley Moore Capito]], from [[West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District]], and [[West Virginia Secretary of State]] [[Natalie Tennant]] will meet in the general election to compete for [[Jay Rockefeller]]'s [[U.S. Senate]] seat.<ref name=primary>[http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2014/by_state/WV_US_House_0513.html?SITE=CSPANELN&SECTION=POLITICS ''Associated Press'', "West Virginia - Summary Vote Results," May 13, 2014]</ref> Capito defeated [[Larry Butcher]] and [[Matthew Dodrill]] in the [[Republican]] primary, and Tennant defeated [[Dennis Melton]] and [[David Wamsley]] in the [[Democratic]] primary. Capito and Tennant will face [[Libertarian Party]] candidate [[John Buckley]], [[Constitution Party]] candidate [[Phil Hudok]], [[Mountain Party]] candidate [[Bob Henry Baber]] and [[Independent]] candidates [[Zane Lawhorn]] and [[Tami Stainfield]] in the general election. In the most recent poll conducted by DMF Research, Capito, (R), leads Tennant, (D), by ten percent and is favored to win the seat, as [[West Virginia]] becomes increasingly conservative.<ref>[http://www.dfmresearch.com/uploads/WV-3_Rail_Survey_--_April_2014__773-YWV.pdf#page=5 ''DMF Research'', "West Virginia 3rd District Survey on Amtrak, Two-Person Crew, and Coal," accessed May 13, 2014]</ref> If Capito or Tennant win the seat, it will be the first time [[West Virginia]] elects a woman to the Senate.  
 
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In the most recent poll conducted by DMF Research, Capito, (R), leads Tennant, (D), by ten percent and is favored to win the seat, as [[West Virginia]] becomes increasingly conservative.<ref>[http://www.dfmresearch.com/uploads/WV-3_Rail_Survey_--_April_2014__773-YWV.pdf#page=5 ''DMF Research'', "West Virginia 3rd District Survey on Amtrak, Two-Person Crew, and Coal," accessed May 13, 2014]</ref> If Capito or Tennant win the seat, it will be the first time [[West Virginia]] elects a woman to the Senate.  
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{{Congintro2014
 
{{Congintro2014

Revision as of 10:21, 23 July 2014



CongressLogo.png

2014 U.S. Senate Elections in West Virginia

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
May 13, 2014

November 4 Election Winner:
Pending
Incumbent prior to election:
Jay Rockefeller Democratic Party
Jay Rockefeller.jpg

Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Lean R[1]

Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely R[2]


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2014 U.S. House Elections

Flag of West Virginia.png
Voters in West Virginia will elect one member to the U.S. Senate in the election on November 4, 2014. Rep. Shelley Moore Capito, from West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District, and West Virginia Secretary of State Natalie Tennant will meet in the general election to compete for Jay Rockefeller's U.S. Senate seat.[3] Capito defeated Larry Butcher and Matthew Dodrill in the Republican primary, and Tennant defeated Dennis Melton and David Wamsley in the Democratic primary. Capito and Tennant will face Libertarian Party candidate John Buckley, Constitution Party candidate Phil Hudok, Mountain Party candidate Bob Henry Baber and Independent candidates Zane Lawhorn and Tami Stainfield in the general election. In the most recent poll conducted by DMF Research, Capito, (R), leads Tennant, (D), by ten percent and is favored to win the seat, as West Virginia becomes increasingly conservative.[4] If Capito or Tennant win the seat, it will be the first time West Virginia elects a woman to the Senate.
Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
January 25, 2014
May 13, 2014
November 4, 2014

Primary: West Virginia is one of 21 states with a mixed primary system. Parties decide who may vote. Both parties allow unaffiliated voters to vote in their primaries.[5]

Voter registration: To vote in the primary, voters had to register by April 22, 2014. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 14, 2014.[6]

See also: West Virginia elections, 2014

Incumbent: The election will fill the Senate seat currently held by Jay Rockefeller (D), who was first elected in 1984. Rockefeller will not run for re-election in 2014.

Candidates

General election candidates


May 13, 2014, primary results

Republican Party Republican Primary

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Libertarian Party Libertarian Party Convention


Independent Third Party Candidates

Withdrew from race


Election Results

Democratic primary results

U.S. Senate, West Virginia Democratic Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngNatalie Tennant 77.9% 104,598
Dennis Melton 11.8% 15,817
David Wamsley 10.3% 13,773
Total Votes 134,188
Source: West Virginia Secretary of State

Republican primary results

U.S. Senate, West Virginia Republican Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngShelley Moore Capito 87.5% 74,655
Larry Butcher 4.2% 3,595
Matthew Dodrill 8.3% 7,072
Total Votes 85,322
Source: West Virginia Secretary of State

Libertarian convention

John Buckley won the Libertarian Party nomination on March 8, 2014.[21] He defeated Thomas Coyne.

Race background

Most vulnerable seats

The Fiscal Times compiled a list of the seven most vulnerable Senate seats up for election in 2014. The seven included in the list are: Alaska, Arkansas, Iowa, Louisiana, North Carolina, South Dakota, and West Virginia. Going into the 2014 election, all seven seats are held by Democrats.[22]

Democrat Jay Rockefeller’s retirement from the U.S. Senate opens up a seat in a state that voted strongly Republican at the presidential level; however, West Virginia has remained relatively Democratic at the state level.[22]

Washington Post top 10 races

According to an analysis by The Washington Post, the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia is considered one of the top 10 Senate races of 2014. By the end of 2013, Rep. Shelley Moore Capito had established a campaign, while Secretary of State Natalie Tennant had entered the race only after many peers had passed up the opportunity.[23]

Media

Attack ad


"Natalie Tennant for Senate," September 2013
  • Natalie Tennant criticized Shelley Moore Capito for voting against a mine safety act, a policy supported by other West Virginia delegates. Capito expressed displeasure with Tennant's comments, saying, "I was obviously a little surprised at the vindictive nature she came right out of the box against me. I’ve got a lot going on here, and I’ve been doing this a long time. So I’m going to stick with my strategy. I always take the high road."[24]

John Buckley


John Buckley, Libertarian for U.S. Senate, West Virginia, Convention Speech

Polls

General election match-up
Poll Shelley Moore Capito (R) Natalie Tennant (D)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
DMF Research
April 22-27, 2014
46%36%17%+/-5.2400
Rasmussen Reports
February 19-20, 2014
49%35%12%+/-4.5500
EMILY's List
January 29-30, 2014
45%39%16%+/-2.351,727
Harper Polling
September 24-25, 2013
51%34%15%+/-3.87640
Public Policy Polling
September 19-22, 2013
50%36%14%+/-2.91,110
AVERAGES 48.2% 36% 14.8% +/-3.76 875.4
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Campaign contributions

Candidate ballot accecss
Ballot Access Requirements Final.jpg

Find detailed information on ballot access requirements in all 50 states and Washington D.C.

Natalie Tennant

Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Tennant's reports.[25]

Natalie Tennant (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
October Quarterly[26]October 15, 2013$0.00$153,421.00$(2,354.80)$151,066.20
Year-End[27]March 24, 2014$151,066.20$646,776.52$(194,026.46)$603,816.26
April Quarterly[28]April 15, 2014$603,816.26$794,334.11$(307,712.53)$1,090,437.84
Pre-Primary[29]May 1, 2014$1,090,437.84$152,185.49$(91,159.24)$1,151,464.09
July Quarterly[30]July 14, 2014$1,151,464.09$624,616.23$(259,672.51)$1,516,407.81
October Quarterly[31]October 15, 2014$1,516,407.81$940,895.94$(1,324,886.33)$1,132,417.42
Running totals
$3,312,229.29$(2,179,811.87)

Emily's List

Tennant's largest donor during the 2014 campaign cycle has been EMILY's List, a political action committee that aims to help elect pro-abortion Democratic female candidates to office.[32][33]

Shelley Moore Capito

Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Capito's reports.[34]

Shelley Moore Capito (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[35]April 15, 2013$1,603,511.56$945,903.57$(177,913.64)$2,371,501.49
July Quarterly[36]July 15, 2013$2,371,501.49$763,974.48$(261,857)$2,873,618.97
October Quarterly[37]October 15, 2013$2,873,618.97$777,491.01$(394,409.58)$3,256,700.40
Year-end[38]January 31, 2014$3,256,700$829,899$(361,244)$3,725,355
April Quarterly[39]April 14, 2014$3,725,355.91$843,933.75$(372,408.07)$4,196,881.59
July Quarterly[40]July 29, 2014$4,317,989.59$1,134,911.31$(536,555.17)$4,916,345.64
October Quarterly[41]October 15, 2014$4,916,345.64$1,612,979.16$(3,115,071.84)$3,414,252.96
Running totals
$6,909,092.28$(5,219,459.3)

David Wamsley

Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Wamsley's reports.[42]

David Wamsley (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[43]April 7, 2014$0.00$5,218.00$(4,419.84)$798.16
Running totals
$5,218$(4,419.84)

Voter turnout

According to records from West Virginia’s Secretary of State’s office, voter turnout has been declining in West Virginia since 2006. Turnout for the 2006 midterm primary was 26 percent and 44 percent in the general election. In 2010, turnout declined to 24 percent during the midterm primary and 42 percent in the general election.[44]

“During the 2012 general election, a presidential election year, West Virginia had the lowest voter turnout in the nation with about 47 percent of voters casting ballots. The U.S. Census Bureau said West Virginia was the only state where less than half of eligible voters made it to the polls,” according to West Virginia Metro News.[44]

Election history

2012

On November 6, 2012, Joe Manchin won re-election to the United States Senate. He defeated John Raese and Bob Henry Baber in the general election.

U.S. Senate, West Virginia General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJoe Manchin III Incumbent 60.5% 391,669
     Republican John R. Raese 36.5% 236,620
     Mountain Bob Henry Baber 3% 19,232
Total Votes 647,521
Source: West Virginia Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

2008

On November 4, 2008, Rockefeller won re-election to the U.S. Senate, defeating Jay Wolfe (R), John R. "Rick" Bartlett (Write-in) and Chad Shaffer (Write-in).[45]

U.S. Senate, West Virginia, General election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJohn D. Rockefeller IV Incumbent 63.7% 447,560
     Republican Jay Wolfe 36.3% 254,629
     Write-in John R. "Rick" Bartlett 0% 83
     Write-in Chad Shaffer 0% 36
Total Votes 702,308

See also

External links

References

  1. Cook Political Report, "2014 Senate RACE RATINGS FOR August 15, 2014," accessed August 21, 2014
  2. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 Senate Races," accessed August 21, 2014
  3. Associated Press, "West Virginia - Summary Vote Results," May 13, 2014
  4. DMF Research, "West Virginia 3rd District Survey on Amtrak, Two-Person Crew, and Coal," accessed May 13, 2014
  5. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  6. West Virginia Secretary of State Website, "Voter Registration FAQ," accessed January 3, 2014
  7. DirectDemocracyBook.com, "Home," accessed October 15, 2014
  8. 8.0 8.1 Associated Press, "West Virginia - Summary Vote Results," May 13, 2014
  9. 9.0 9.1 9.2 9.3 West Virginia Secretary of State, "Candidate Listing By Office," accessed January 27, 2014
  10. The Hill, "W.Va. Senate race gets interesting", accessed September 16, 2013
  11. West Virginia Secretary of State, "Candidate Detail," accessed February 3, 2014
  12. ThomasJosephCoyne.com, "Nominating 'Convention' Votes for Sale?," accessed July 1, 2014
  13. Libertarian Party of West Virginia, "John Buckley," accessed March 12, 2014
  14. Independent Political Report, "Phil Hudok Running as Constitution Party Candidate for U.S. Senate from West Virginia," accessed February 3, 2014
  15. Ballot Access News, "Mountain Party Enters West Virginia U.S. Senate Race," accessed July 23, 2014
  16. Register Herald, "TV newsman Martin Staunton running for Senate," accessed February 3, 2014
  17. West Virginia State Election Info, "2014 West Virginia Senate Elections," accessed July 23, 2014
  18. Zane Lawhorn, "Home," accessed July 23, 2014
  19. 19.0 19.1 West Virginia Secretary of State, "2014 Candidate Listing By Office," accessed October 6, 2014
  20. Tami Stainfield, "Home," accessed July 23, 2014
  21. Libertarian Party of West Virginia, "John Buckley," accessed July 11, 2014
  22. 22.0 22.1 Fiscal Times, "7 Senate Seats Most at Risk—Hint: They’re All Blue," accessed February 15, 2013
  23. The Washington Post, "The Fix’s top 10 Senate races of 2014," accessed December 10, 2013
  24. Politico, "Shelley Moore Capito: Natalie Tennant roll-out ‘vindictive’," accessed September 23, 2013
  25. Federal Election Commission, "Tennant 2014 Summary reports," accessed November 26, 2013
  26. Federal Election Commission, "October Quarterly", accessed November 26, 2013
  27. Federal Election Commission, "Year-End," accessed May 7, 2014
  28. Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly," accessed May 7, 2014
  29. Federal Election Commission, "Pre-Primary," accessed June 19, 2014
  30. Federal Election Commission, "July Quarterly," accessed July 31, 2014
  31. Federal Election Commission, "October Quarterly," accessed October 22, 2014
  32. Washington Free Beacon, "Democrat Natalie Tennant Received Thousands from Liberal Megadonors," May 20, 2014
  33. Roll Call," "EMILY’s List Endorses West Virginia Senate Candidate," September 26, 2013
  34. Federal Election Commission, "Capito 2014 Summary reports," accessed July 25, 2013
  35. Federal Election Commission "April Quarterly," accessed July 25, 2013
  36. Federal Election Commission, "July Quarterly," accessed July 25, 2013
  37. Federal Election Commission, "October Quarterly," accessed October 30, 2013
  38. Federal Election Commission, "Year-End Report," accessed February 19, 2014
  39. Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly," accessed April 18, 2014
  40. Federal Election Commission, "July Quarterly," accessed October 22, 2014
  41. Federal Election Commission, "October Quarterly," accessed October 22, 2014
  42. Federal Election Commission, "Wamsley 2014 Summary reports," accessed May 6, 2014
  43. Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly," accessed May 7, 2014
  44. 44.0 44.1 WV Metro News, "Light voter turnout expected for Tuesday’s primary," accessed May 12, 2014
  45. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013