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Difference between revisions of "Virginia's 10th Congressional District elections, 2012"

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{{vadis10congtoc}}{{tnr}}The [[Virginia's 10th congressional district|10th congressional district of Virginia]] will hold an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
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{{vadis10congtoc}}{{tnr}}The [[Virginia's 10th congressional district|10th congressional district of Virginia]] held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
 
[[File:VA10.jpg|thumb|300px|This is the 10th congressional district prior to the [[Redistricting in Virginia|2012 redistricting]].]]
 
[[File:VA10.jpg|thumb|300px|This is the 10th congressional district prior to the [[Redistricting in Virginia|2012 redistricting]].]]
 
[[Frank Wolf]] was re-elected on November 6, 2012.<ref>[http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/Elections/Virginia ''ABC News'' "2012 General Election Results"]</ref>
 
[[Frank Wolf]] was re-elected on November 6, 2012.<ref>[http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/Elections/Virginia ''ABC News'' "2012 General Election Results"]</ref>
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|Primary date=June 12, 2012
 
|Primary date=June 12, 2012
 
|Primary=Virginia has an [[Open primary|open primary]] system, in which any registered voter may choose which party's primary to vote in.
 
|Primary=Virginia has an [[Open primary|open primary]] system, in which any registered voter may choose which party's primary to vote in.
|Voter registration=Voters had to register to [[Voting in the 2012 primary elections|vote in the primary]] by May 21. For the [[Voting in the 2012 general elections|general election]], the voter registration deadline is October 15.<ref>[http://www.sbe.virginia.gov/cms/documents/ElecCal/Website%20-%20November%20Calendar.pdf ''Virginia State Board of Elections'' "2012 November Election Calendar," Accessed July 7, 2012]</ref>
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|Voter registration=Voters had to register to [[Voting in the 2012 primary elections|vote in the primary]] by May 21. For the [[Voting in the 2012 general elections|general election]], the voter registration deadline was October 15.<ref>[http://www.sbe.virginia.gov/cms/documents/ElecCal/Website%20-%20November%20Calendar.pdf ''Virginia State Board of Elections'' "2012 November Election Calendar," Accessed July 7, 2012]</ref>
 
|State=Virginia
 
|State=Virginia
|Incumbent=Heading into the election the incumbent is [[Frank Wolf]] (R), who was first elected to the House in 1980. }}
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|Incumbent=Heading into the election the incumbent was [[Frank Wolf]] (R), who was first elected to the House in 1980. }}
  
This will be the first election using [[Congressional redistricting maps implemented after the 2010 Census|new district maps based on 2010 Census data]]. [[Virginia's 10th congressional district]] is located in the northern portion of the [[Virginia|state]], and includes Frederick, Clarke, and Loudon counties and parts of Fairfax County.<ref>[http://ballotpedia.org/wiki/images/Virginia_January_2012_Redistricting_Map.jpg ''Virginia Redistricting Map'' "Map" Accessed September 25, 2012]</ref>
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This was the first election which used [[Congressional redistricting maps implemented after the 2010 Census|new district maps based on 2010 Census data]]. [[Virginia's 10th congressional district]] is located in the northern portion of the [[Virginia|state]], and includes Frederick, Clarke, and Loudon counties and parts of Fairfax County.<ref>[http://ballotpedia.org/wiki/images/Virginia_January_2012_Redistricting_Map.jpg ''Virginia Redistricting Map'' "Map" Accessed September 25, 2012]</ref>
  
 
==Candidates==
 
==Candidates==
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{{vacong10cand12}}
 
{{vacong10cand12}}
 +
 +
==Election Results==
 +
===General Election===
 +
{{Template:Vadis10genelecbox12}}
  
 
==Impact of redistricting==
 
==Impact of redistricting==
 
::''See also: [[Redistricting in Virginia]]''
 
::''See also: [[Redistricting in Virginia]]''
Following the 2010 Census, Virginia will be [[Redistricting in Virginia|redistricted]]. The state will remain at 11 congressional seats. Redistricting plans were not solidified by the end of the 2011 session of the [[Virginia General Assembly]].
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Following the 2010 Census, Virginia was [[Redistricting in Virginia|redistricted]]. The state remained at 11 congressional seats. Redistricting plans were not solidified by the end of the 2011 session of the [[Virginia General Assembly]].
  
In redistricting, [http://thehill.com/ The Hill] published a list of the [http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/house-races/179503-the-10-house-members-most-helped-by-redistricting Top Ten House Members] who were helped by [[Redistricting in Indiana|redistricting]].<ref name="hill">[http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/house-races/179503-the-10-house-members-most-helped-by-redistricting ''The Hill'' "House members most helped by redistricting" Accessed April 17, 2012]</ref> [[Gerald Connolly]] ranked 8th on the list.<ref name="hill"/> The article notes that [[Gerald Connolly|Connolly]] inadvertently benefits from a [[Republican]] plan to build up [[Republican]] incumbent districts in the [[Redistricting in Virginia|redistricting process]]. [[Gerald Connolly|Connolly's]] [[Virginia's 11th congressional district|11th district]] will lose portions of its [[Republican]] base to neighboring [[Frank Wolf]]'s [[Virginia's 10th congressional district|10th district]], resulting in a more [[Democratic]] district for [[Gerald Connolly|Connolly]].<ref name="hill"/>. However, unless Virginia Republicans are able to win two seats in the [[Virginia House of Representatives|state House]], the plan will not go through and [[Redistricting in Virginia|redistricting]] will be left up to the courts.<ref name="hill"/>
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In redistricting, [http://thehill.com/ The Hill] published a list of the [http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/house-races/179503-the-10-house-members-most-helped-by-redistricting Top Ten House Members] who were helped by [[Redistricting in Indiana|redistricting]].<ref name="hill">[http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/house-races/179503-the-10-house-members-most-helped-by-redistricting ''The Hill'' "House members most helped by redistricting" Accessed April 17, 2012]</ref> [[Gerald Connolly]] ranked 8th on the list.<ref name="hill"/> The article notes that [[Gerald Connolly|Connolly]] inadvertently benefited from a [[Republican]] plan to build up [[Republican]] incumbent districts in the [[Redistricting in Virginia|redistricting process]]. [[Gerald Connolly|Connolly's]] [[Virginia's 11th congressional district|11th district]] lost portions of its [[Republican]] base to neighboring [[Frank Wolf]]'s [[Virginia's 10th congressional district|10th district]], resulting in a more [[Democratic]] district for [[Gerald Connolly|Connolly]].<ref name="hill"/>.
  
 
The [[Virginia's 10th congressional district|10th district]] was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.<ref>[http://www.censusviewer.com/district-maps/2012/09/Virginia-congressional-districts-comparison-2001-2011/ ''Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer'' "Virginia's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"]</ref><ref>[http://www.votermapping.com ''Labels & Lists'' "VoterMapping software voter counts"]</ref>
 
The [[Virginia's 10th congressional district|10th district]] was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.<ref>[http://www.censusviewer.com/district-maps/2012/09/Virginia-congressional-districts-comparison-2001-2011/ ''Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer'' "Virginia's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"]</ref><ref>[http://www.votermapping.com ''Labels & Lists'' "VoterMapping software voter counts"]</ref>
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==Campaign contributions==
 
==Campaign contributions==
Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the [[United States Congress elections, 2012|2012 elections season]]. Below are the candidate's reports.
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Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the [[United States Congress elections, 2012|2012 elections season]]. Below are the candidate's reports.
 
===Kristen Cabral===
 
===Kristen Cabral===
 
{{Campaign finance reports
 
{{Campaign finance reports

Revision as of 11:19, 11 December 2012

2014



CongressLogo.png

Virginia's 10th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
June 12, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Frank Wolf Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Frank Wolf Republican Party
Frank Wolf.jpg

Virginia U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9District 10District 11

2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Virginia.png
The 10th congressional district of Virginia held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
This is the 10th congressional district prior to the 2012 redistricting.

Frank Wolf was re-elected on November 6, 2012.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
March 29, 2012
June 12, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Virginia has an open primary system, in which any registered voter may choose which party's primary to vote in.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by May 21. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 15.[2]

See also: Virginia elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Frank Wolf (R), who was first elected to the House in 1980.

This was the first election which used new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Virginia's 10th congressional district is located in the northern portion of the state, and includes Frederick, Clarke, and Loudon counties and parts of Fairfax County.[3]

Candidates

Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals were added after official election results had been certified. For more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan, click here. If you find any errors in this list, please email: Geoff Pallay.

General election candidates

Democratic Party Kristin Cabral
Republican Party Frank Wolf Green check mark transparent.png
Independent Kevin Chisholm


June 12, 2012,, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

Independent Independent candidate

Election Results

General Election

U.S. House, Virginia District 10 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Kristin Cabral 38.8% 142,024
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngFrank Wolf Incumbent 58.4% 214,038
     Independent Kevin Chisholm 2.7% 9,855
     Write-In N/A 0.1% 527
Total Votes 366,444
Source: Virginia State Board of Elections "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Virginia

Following the 2010 Census, Virginia was redistricted. The state remained at 11 congressional seats. Redistricting plans were not solidified by the end of the 2011 session of the Virginia General Assembly.

In redistricting, The Hill published a list of the Top Ten House Members who were helped by redistricting.[5] Gerald Connolly ranked 8th on the list.[5] The article notes that Connolly inadvertently benefited from a Republican plan to build up Republican incumbent districts in the redistricting process. Connolly's 11th district lost portions of its Republican base to neighboring Frank Wolf's 10th district, resulting in a more Democratic district for Connolly.[5].

The 10th district was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[6][7]

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Virginia's 10th District became more Republican because of redistricting.[8]

  • 2012: 48D / 52R
  • 2010: 50D / 50R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Virginia's 10th congressional district has a PVI of R+4, which is the 195th most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by Barack Obama (D), 51-49 percent over John McCain (R). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 57-43 percent over John Kerry (D).[9]

Campaign contributions

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2012 elections season. Below are the candidate's reports.

Kristen Cabral

Kristin Cabral Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
Pre-convention[10]April 30, 2012$0$46,800$(10,450)$36,350
July Quarterly[11]July 15, 2012$36,350$91,254.20$(73,020.70)$54,583.50
Running totals
$138,054.2$(83,470.7)

Frank Wolf

Frank Wolf Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[12]April 15, 2012$317,566.18$161,924.65$(124,614.24)$354,876.59
July Quarterly[13]July 15, 2012$417,623.65$73,634.03$(35,547.46)$455,710.22
Running totals
$235,558.68$(160,161.7)

District history

2010

On November 2, 2010, Frank Wolf won re-election to the U.S. House of Representatives, defeating Jeffery R. Barnett (D), William B. Redpath (L), and a write-in.[14]

U.S. House of Representatives General Election, Virginia, Congressional District 10, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngFrank R. Wolf Incumbent 62.9% 131,116
     Democratic Jeffery R. Barnett 34.8% 72,604
     Libertarian William B. Redpath 2.2% 4,607
     Write-in Unlisted 0.1% 229
Total Votes 208,556

See also

References