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Difference between revisions of "Virginia's 4th Congressional District elections, 2012"

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{{vadis4congtoc}}{{tnr}}The [[Virginia's 4th congressional district|4th congressional district of Virginia]] will hold an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
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{{vadis4congtoc}}{{tnr}}The [[Virginia's 4th congressional district|4th congressional district of Virginia]] held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
 
[[File:VA4.jpg|thumb|300px|This is the 4th congressional district prior to the [[Redistricting in Virginia|2012 redistricting]].]]
 
[[File:VA4.jpg|thumb|300px|This is the 4th congressional district prior to the [[Redistricting in Virginia|2012 redistricting]].]]
 
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[[Randy Forbes]] was re-elected on November 6, 2012.<ref>[http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/Elections/Virginia ''ABC News'' "2012 General Election Results"]</ref>
 
{{Congintro2012
 
{{Congintro2012
 
|Filing deadline=March 29, 2012
 
|Filing deadline=March 29, 2012
 
|Primary date=June 12, 2012
 
|Primary date=June 12, 2012
 
|Primary=Virginia has an [[Open primary|open primary]] system, in which any registered voter may choose which party's primary to vote in.
 
|Primary=Virginia has an [[Open primary|open primary]] system, in which any registered voter may choose which party's primary to vote in.
|Voter registration=Voters had to register to [[Voting in the 2012 primary elections|vote in the primary]] by May 21. For the [[Voting in the 2012 general elections|general election]], the voter registration deadline is October 15.<ref>[http://www.sbe.virginia.gov/cms/documents/ElecCal/Website%20-%20November%20Calendar.pdf ''Virginia State Board of Elections'' "2012 November Election Calendar," Accessed July 7, 2012]</ref>
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|Voter registration=Voters had to register to [[Voting in the 2012 primary elections|vote in the primary]] by May 21. For the [[Voting in the 2012 general elections|general election]], the voter registration deadline was October 15.<ref>[http://www.sbe.virginia.gov/cms/documents/ElecCal/Website%20-%20November%20Calendar.pdf ''Virginia State Board of Elections'' "2012 November Election Calendar," Accessed July 7, 2012]</ref>
 
|State=Virginia
 
|State=Virginia
|Incumbent=Heading into the election the incumbent is [[Randy Forbes]] (R), who was first elected to the House in a special election in 2001. }}
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|Incumbent=Heading into the election the incumbent was [[Randy Forbes]] (R), who was first elected to the House in a special election in 2001. }}
  
This will be the first election using [[Congressional redistricting maps implemented after the 2010 Census|new district maps based on 2010 Census data]]. [[Virginia's 4th congressional district]] is located in the southern portion of the [[Virginia|state]], and includes Chesapeake City, Isle of Wright, Sussex, Emporia City, Dinwiddie, Norroway, Amelia, Powhatan, Chestfield, and Colonial Heights counties.<ref>[http://ballotpedia.org/wiki/images/Virginia_January_2012_Redistricting_Map.jpg ''Virginia Redistricting Map'' "Map" Accessed July 24, 2012]</ref>
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This was the first election which used [[Congressional redistricting maps implemented after the 2010 Census|new district maps based on 2010 Census data]]. [[Virginia's 4th congressional district]] is located in the southern portion of the [[Virginia|state]], and includes Chesapeake City, Isle of Wright, Sussex, Emporia City, Dinwiddie, Norroway, Amelia, Powhatan, Chestfield, and Colonial Heights counties.<ref>[http://ballotpedia.org/wiki/images/Virginia_January_2012_Redistricting_Map.jpg ''Virginia Redistricting Map'' "Map" Accessed July 24, 2012]</ref>
  
 
==Candidates==
 
==Candidates==
{{Candidate list noteB|Date=September 15, 2012}}
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{{Candidate list noteB|Date=October 15, 2012}}
  
 
{{vacong4cand12}}
 
{{vacong4cand12}}
 +
 +
==Election Results==
 +
===General Election===
 +
{{Template:Vadis4genelecbox12}}
  
 
==Impact of redistricting==
 
==Impact of redistricting==
Line 25: Line 29:
 
*96 percent from the [[Virginia's 4th congressional district|4th congressional district]]
 
*96 percent from the [[Virginia's 4th congressional district|4th congressional district]]
 
*3 percent from the [[Virginia's 7th congressional district|7th congressional district]]
 
*3 percent from the [[Virginia's 7th congressional district|7th congressional district]]
 +
===District partisanship===
 +
====FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study====
 +
:''See also: [[FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012]]''
 +
In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Virginia's 4th District became more Republican because of redistricting.<ref>[http://www.fairvote.org/assets/2012-Redistricting/VARedistrictingAnalysis.pdf,'' "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in Virginia," September 2012]</ref>
 +
*'''2012''': 46D / 54R
 +
*'''2010''': 47D / 53R
 +
====Cook Political Report's PVI====
 +
:''See also: [[Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index]]''
 +
In 2012, ''Cook Political Report'' released its updated figures on the [[Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index|Partisan Voter Index]], which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. [[Virginia's 4th congressional district]] has a PVI of R+6, which is the 164th most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by [[John McCain]] (R), 51-49 percent over [[Barack Obama]] (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 59-41 percent over [[John Kerry]] (D).<ref>[http://cookpolitical.com/application/writable/uploads/2012_PVI_by_District.pdf ''Cook Political Report'' "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" Accessed October 2012]</ref>
  
 
==Campaign contributions==
 
==Campaign contributions==
Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the [[United States Congress elections, 2012|2012 elections season]]. Below are the candidate's reports.
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Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the [[United States Congress elections, 2012|2012 elections season]]. Below are the candidate's reports.
 
===Ella Ward===
 
===Ella Ward===
 
{{Campaign finance reports
 
{{Campaign finance reports

Revision as of 15:54, 10 December 2012

2014



CongressLogo.png

Virginia's 4th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
June 12, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Randy Forbes Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Randy Forbes Republican Party
Randy Forbes.jpg

Virginia U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9District 10District 11

2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Virginia.png
The 4th congressional district of Virginia held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
This is the 4th congressional district prior to the 2012 redistricting.

Randy Forbes was re-elected on November 6, 2012.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
March 29, 2012
June 12, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Virginia has an open primary system, in which any registered voter may choose which party's primary to vote in.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by May 21. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 15.[2]

See also: Virginia elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Randy Forbes (R), who was first elected to the House in a special election in 2001.

This was the first election which used new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Virginia's 4th congressional district is located in the southern portion of the state, and includes Chesapeake City, Isle of Wright, Sussex, Emporia City, Dinwiddie, Norroway, Amelia, Powhatan, Chestfield, and Colonial Heights counties.[3]

Candidates

Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals were added after official election results had been certified. For more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan, click here. If you find any errors in this list, please email: Geoff Pallay.

General election candidates

Democratic Party Ella Ward
Republican Party Randy Forbes Green check mark transparent.png


June 12, 2012,, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

Election Results

General Election

U.S. House, Virginia District 4 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Ella Ward 42.9% 150,190
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRandy Forbes Incumbent 56.9% 199,292
     Write-In N/A 0.2% 564
Total Votes 350,046
Source: Virginia State Board of Elections "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Virginia

Following the results of the 2010 Census, Virginia was redistricted in order to more evenly distribute representation among the population. The newly redrawn 7th district is even more conservative than it was prior to redistricting.[5]

The 4th district was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[6][7]

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Virginia's 4th District became more Republican because of redistricting.[8]

  • 2012: 46D / 54R
  • 2010: 47D / 53R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Virginia's 4th congressional district has a PVI of R+6, which is the 164th most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 51-49 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 59-41 percent over John Kerry (D).[9]

Campaign contributions

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2012 elections season. Below are the candidate's reports.

Ella Ward

Ella Ward Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[10]April 15, 2012$0$16,395.24$(6,691.69)$9,703.55
July Quarterly[11]July 15, 2012$6,540.49$11,280$(8,612.89)$9,207.60
Running totals
$27,675.24$(15,304.58)

Randy Forbes

Randy Forbes Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[12]April 13, 2012$382,943.35$168,519.87$(101,682.87)$449,780.35
July Quarterly[13]July 13, 2012$427,245.55$77,420.66$(83,871.01)$420,795.20
Running totals
$245,940.53$(185,553.88)

District history

2010

On November 2, 2010, Randy Forbes won re-election to the U.S. House of Representatives, defeating Wynne V. E. LeGrow (D) and a write-in.[14]

U.S. House of Representatives General Election, Virginia, Congressional District 4, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJ. Randy Forbes Incumbent 62.3% 123,659
     Democratic Wynne V. E. LeGrow 37.5% 74,298
     Write-in Unnamed 0.2% 432
Total Votes 198,389

See also

References