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[[File:GovernorsLogo.jpg|center|175px|link=Portal:Portal:Governors and Lieutenant Governors]]
  
The '''Wisconsin gubernatorial election of 2010''' will be held on [[November 2, 2010 election results|November 2, 2010]].  The [[Primary election dates in 2010|primary election]] date is September 14.  The [[Primary election dates in 2010|deadline for filing nomination papers]] was July 13 at 5:00 p.m.<ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/G10/gpaag.phtml ''The Green Papers'', "2010 Gubernatorial Primaries at a Glance"]</ref>  
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The '''Wisconsin gubernatorial election of 2010''' was held on [[November 2, 2010 election results|November 2, 2010]].  The [[Primary election dates in 2010|primary election]] date is September 14.  The [[Primary election dates in 2010|deadline for filing nomination papers]] was July 13 at 5:00 p.m.<ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/G10/gpaag.phtml ''The Green Papers'', "2010 Gubernatorial Primaries at a Glance"]</ref>  
  
 
The [[Congressional Quarterly Gubernatorial Race Tracker for 2010]] ranks the race as "Toss up" as of June 2010.<ref>[http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-governor ''CQ Politics'', "Race Ratings Chart 2010: Governor"]</ref>
 
The [[Congressional Quarterly Gubernatorial Race Tracker for 2010]] ranks the race as "Toss up" as of June 2010.<ref>[http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-governor ''CQ Politics'', "Race Ratings Chart 2010: Governor"]</ref>

Revision as of 17:41, 6 November 2010


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The Wisconsin gubernatorial election of 2010 was held on November 2, 2010. The primary election date is September 14. The deadline for filing nomination papers was July 13 at 5:00 p.m.[1]

The Congressional Quarterly Gubernatorial Race Tracker for 2010 ranks the race as "Toss up" as of June 2010.[2]

The Cook Political Report ranks the race as "Toss up" as of June 17.[3]



The November Ballot – Who's Made It? Wisconsin Governor[4]
Nominee Affiliation
Tom Barrett and Tom Nelson Democrat
Scott Walker and Rebecca Kleefisch Republican
James James Common Sense
James Dean "Jim" Langer Independent
"No Candidate" (on the ballot w/ Lt. gov. candidate Terry Virgil) Libertarian
Hariprasad Trivedi Independent (write-in)
Leslie Ervin Smetak (write-in)
This lists candidates who won their state's primary or convention, or who were unopposed, and who have since been officially certified for the November ballot by their state's election authority.





November 2, 2010 general election results

2010 Wisconsin gubernatorial general election
Party Candidate Vote Percentage
     Democratic Party Tom Barrett 45%
     Republican Party Approveda Scott Walker 53%
     Independent Jim Langer 0%
     Independent James James 0%
Total Votes 1,881,471

Race ratings

See also: Gubernatorial elections 2010, Race tracking


2010 Race Rankings Wisconsin
Race Tracker Race Rating
The Cook Political Report[5] Leans Republican
Congressional Quarterly Politics[6] Toss-up
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Likely Republican
Rasmussen Reports Gubernatorial Scorecard[8] Solid GOP
The Rothenberg Political Report[9] Lean Republican
Overall Call Republican

Changes

9. Cook Political Report moves race from "Toss-up" to "Lean Republican" on October 29th.

8. Rothenberg moves race from "Toss-up Tilting Republican" to "Lean Republican" on October 28th.

7. Larry J. Sabato moves race from "Leans Republican" to "Likely Republican" on October 28th.

6. Rasmussen moves race from "Leans GOP" to "Solid GOP" on October 27th.

5. Rasmussen moves race from "Toss-up" to "Leans GOP" again following October 13th poll.

4. Rasmussen moves race from "Leans GOP" back to "Toss-up" On October 1st.

3. Rasmussen moves race from "Toss-up" to "Leans GOP" again following September 15th poll.

2. Rasmussen moves race from "Leans GOP" back to "Toss-up" following August 27th poll.

1. Rasmussen moves race from "Toss-up" to "Leans GOP" following August 12th poll.

Candidates

Democratic

  • Tom Barrett, Mayor of Milwaukee and attorney, helped found the M-7 group to spur economic development in southern Wisconsin [10]
  • Timothy S. John, an author and non-profit executive [11]


Former Candidates

  • Jared Gary Christiansen did not meet the July 15, 2010 deadline to file nomination papers
  • Barbara Lawton, Wisconsin's current lt. governor, left the race October 26, 2009, saying, "For very personal reasons, I will not pursue the Democratic nomination for governor in 2010." [12]
  • Dominic L. Reinwand also did not file papers by July 15, 2010
  • Frederick Westphal [13] is also presumably not running, having missed the July 15th filing deadline

Libertarian

  • Erick Scoglio was not able to gather adequate signatures by the filing deadline, but Terry Virgil was able to qualify for the ballot as the Libertarian nominee for lieutenant governor. Because voters don't vote separately for governor and lieutenant governor in Wisconsin, the Libertarian ticket will be listed as "No candidate" for governor and Terry Virgil for lieutenant governor.

Republican

  • Mark Neumann moved from teaching college mathematics to starting a real estate business to running successfully for Congress in 2004. He served a single term before challenging Russ Feingold for Wisconsin's Senate seat, ultimately losing. [14]
  • Scott Walker has served as the Milwaukee County Executive since 2002


Former Candidates

  • Steven R. Evans switched his candidacy from Independent to Republican on May 24, 2010 but then failed to file papers by July 15th
  • William Michael "Bill" Ingram has dropped out the race to pursue a seat in the General Assembly as of May 5, 2010. He has since endorsed Scott Walker
  • Scott S. Paterick
  • John Schiess ended his campaign when he turned in an insufficient number of signatures on July 15th.
  • Travis D. Swenby did not file nomination papers by the deadline
  • Mark Todd left the race of April 15, 2010, citing difficulties in remaining competitive in the fundraising race

Independent

  • James James, a Fond du Lac native who founded a construction company, is campaigning with the Common Sense party
  • James Dean Langer


Former Candidates

  • Michael J. Blinkwitz did not file papers by the deadline
  • Danny M. Gawrisch did not file enough valid signatures
  • Phil Miller switched from running as a Republican to running as an Independent on February 22, 2010 but did not file nomination papers in the end.
  • Kevin Gene Schmidtke did not file on time
  • Bruce L. VanSky did not file papers by the deadline
  • Terry Virgil[13] switched to the Lieutenant Governor's race under the Libertarian banner on April 15th.

Write-in

  • Leslie Ervin Smetak entered the race as a write-in after being laid her. Her campaign is focusing on encouraging other victims of layoffs and economic distress to vote for candidates who are pledging to provide more social services.
  • Hariprasad Trivedi

September 14, 2010 primary

It's Barrett and Walker for November in Wisconsin. To no one's real surprise, Democrat Tom Barrett won the primary, all but obliterating his sole opposition. Across the aisle, Scott Walker and Mark Neumann fought an increasingly harsh battle, while the third GOP hopeful, Scott Paterick, simply never got into the race. Fairly early on election night, the race went for Walker, who had been polling ahead, by a 57% to 40% spread.

Democratic

2010 Race for Governor - Democrat Primary[15][16]
Candidates Percentage
Tom Barrett (D) 98.94%
Tim John (D) 1.06%
Total votes 1,057,462

Republican

2010 Race for Governor - Republican Primary[17][18]
Candidates Percentage
Mark Neumann (R) 40.22%
Scott Paterick (R) 2.60%
Scott Walker (R) 57.18%
Total votes 304,946

Polling

Per a Rasmussen poll conducted in late June, Republican primary voters prefer Scott Walker to former U.S. Representative Mark Neumann by an enormous 58% - 19% spread.[19]

May was a good month for Scott Walker, as he picked up the state's GOP endorsement. In the mid-July polling, he's slightly ahead of Democratic Tom Barrett, 48% versus 45%[20] The same survey finds that if, pending the primary outcomes, Barret instead faces Republican Mark Neumann, the Democrat comes out on top 45% to 43%. Barrett has no serious opponents in his part primary and his ability to focus on tactics against his GOP rivals is showing. Barrett has gained ground since June[21] and is now as close to catching Scott Walker as he has been since the very early spring[22]



General election polling

CNN/Time

2010 Race for Wisconsin Governor - CNN/Time Opinion Research
Date Reported Walker (R) Barrett (D) Other Don't Know
September 17-21, 2010[23] 53% 42% 2% 2%
(Sample)[24] n=1,506 MoE=+/- 2.5% p=0.05


Rasmussen Reports

2010 Race for Wisconsin Governor - Rasmussen Reports
Date Reported Walker (R) Barrett(D) Other Don't Know
October 11, 2010[25] 51% 42% 1% 6%
September 29, 2010[26] 50% 44% 1% 4%
September 15, 2010[27] 51% 43% 2% 4%
(Sample)[28] n=750 MoE=+/- 4.0% p=0.05

Primary election polling

In the latest survey, either potential GOP candidate has a small but real lead over Democrat Tom Barrett. In neither case is the lead outside the margin of error, but it may be an early indication of the post-primary season.

Overall, in hypothetical partisan matches, Scott Walker enjoys a consistent lead and larger margin, whereas the Neumann-Barrett pairing shows a much closer race and the two candidates have won and lost the lead over the past six months of polling. In either possibility, voters are fairly certain of their preferences, as shown by the small, and shrinking, numbers of undecided voters.

Neumann v. Barrett

2010 Race for Wisconsin Governor - Rasmussen Reports[29]
Date Reported Neumann (R) Barrett (D) Other Don't Know
August 24, 2010[30] 48% 44% 3% 4%
July 27, 2010 44% 45% 5% 6%
July 13, 2010 43% 45% 7% 5%
June 21, 2010 47% 39% 7% 7%
May 25, 2010 44% 42% 6% 8%
April 20, 2010 46% 46% 4% 5%
March 16, 2010 46% 42% 4% 8%
February 17, 2010 44% 42% 4% 10%
(Sample)[31] n=500 MoE=+/- 4.5% p=0.05

Walker v. Barrett

2010 Race for Wisconsin Governor - Rasmussen Reports[32]
Date Reported Walker (R) Barrett (D) Other Don't Know
August 24, 2010[33] 47% 44% 4% 4%
July 27, 2010 50% 43% 2% 5%
July 13, 2010 48% 44% 4% 4%
June 21, 2010 49% 41% 7% 7%
May 25, 2010 48% 41% 3% 8%
April 20, 2010 46% 44% 3% 7%
March 16, 2010 48% 42% 2% 8%
February 17, 2010 49% 40% 1% 10%
(Sample)[34] n=500 MoE=+/- 4.5% p=0.05

Campaign issues

Abortion

Two other endorsements came out in June which have the possibility to affect Wisconsin's next governor very significantly. Democrat Jim Doyle, who has held the office for eight years, has been a supporter of legalized abortion and abortion rights. Wisconsin's last two Republican governors, Tommy Thompson and Scott McCallum, neither sought nor received endorsements from major right to life groups. Nor did 2006 GOP gubernatorial hopeful Mark Green, despite an extensive Congressional voting record that supported pro-life positions.[35]

However, both Mark Neumann and Scott Walker have received 100% scores and formal gubernatorial endorsements [36] from Wisconsin Right to Life. Moreover, the smaller and more hardline group Pro Life Wisconsin, which opposes birth control under any circumstances and opposes abortion even in cases of rape, incest, and threats to the mother's life, has made endorsements of both Mr. Walker and Mr. Neumann. [37]

By the time these two groups had made endorsements, Planned Parenthood Advocates of Wisconsin, the political arm of Planned Parenthood of Wisconsin, had already endorsed Democrat Tom Barrett[38] [39], setting the stage for the approaching primaries and the fall campaign season to veer into one of America's most continually heated social issues.

Signaling that this may just what to expect from Wisconsin's primary season, Right to Life Legislative Director Susan Armacost criticized Mr. Barrett's positions, saying, "We will have much more to say about Barrett's record in the months to come."


John-David Morgan's comments

In its Sunday section on September 19, 2010, the Milwaukee-Wisconsin Journal-Sentinel broke the story of a union organizer for SIEU Local No. 1, John-David Morgan, who made damaging contents about alleged coordination between the union PAC and Democrat Tom Barrett's campaign. Morgan was unaware that the man he was speaking to was a paid staffer for Republican Scott Walker and that the staffer, Michael Brickman, was recording the entire conversation.

On the recording, Morgan boasted about having the local media on his side and claimed to have supervisory level government employees working with him to discredit Walker. The Wisconsin Republican party filed an official complaint on September 20th and SIEU announced they had fired Morgan.[40]

Commercials

Primary campaign

Candidates

Tom Barrett

Mark Neumann

Scott Walker

527 organizations

One Wisconsin Now

Republican Governors Association

General Election

Candidates

Tom Barrett

Scott Walker

527 organizations

One Wisconsin Now

Republican Governors Association

Key endorsements

Tom Barrett (D)

Mark Neumann (R)

Scott Walker (R)

Gubernatorial electoral history

1998 Gubernatorial Results[76]
Candidates Percentage
Tommy Thompson (R) 59.66%
Ed Garvey (D) 38.70%
Jim Mueller (L) 0.63%
Edward Frami (T) 0.58%
Mike Mangan (I) 0.28%
(write-in) 0.14%
Total votes 1,756,014
2002 Gubernatorial Results[77][78]
Candidates Percentage
James Doyle (D) 45.09%
Scott McCallum (R) 41.39%
A. Ed Thompson (L) 10.45%
James Young (WG) 2.48%
(write-in) 0.59%
Total votes 1,765,899
2006 Gubernatorial Results[79][80]
Candidates Percentage
Jim Doyle (D) 52.70%
Mark Green (I) 45.31%
Nelson Eisman (WG) 1.88%
(write-in) 0.11%
Total votes 2,161,700




Presidential electoral history

2000 Presidential Results
Candidates Percentage
George W. Bush (R) 47.61%
Al Gore (D) 47.83%
2004 Presidential Results
Candidates Percentage
George W. Bush (R) 49.32%
John Kerry (D) 49.70%
2008 Presidential Results[81]
Candidates Percentage
John McCain (R) 42.31%
Barack Obama (D) 56.22%


1992 Presidential Results
Candidates Percentage
George H.W. Bush (R) 36.78%
Bill Clinton (D) 41.13%
1996 Presidential Results
Candidates Percentage
Bob Dole (R) 38.48%
Bill Clinton (D) 48.81%

See also

External links

Wisconsin

Candidates

References

  1. The Green Papers, "2010 Gubernatorial Primaries at a Glance"
  2. CQ Politics, "Race Ratings Chart 2010: Governor"
  3. Cook Political Report, "Gubernatorial races 2010
  4. Wisconsin Government Accountability Board - Elections & Voting “Candidates Registered by Office, accessed September 20, 2010
  5. The Cook Political, “Governors: Race Ratings”
  6. CQ Politics, “2010 Race Ratings: Governors”
  7. Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball', “2010 Governor Ratings”
  8. Rasmussen Reports', “Election 2010: Scorecard Ratings”
  9. Rothenberg Political Report, “Governor Ratings”
  10. FOX 6 Now "Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett announces he's running for Governor of Wisconsin" 14 Nov. 2009
  11. The Daily Cardinal "Democrat Tim John enters governor race" 30 Nov. 2009
  12. FOX 6 Now "Barbara Lawton bails out of Governor's race in Wisconsin" 26 Oct. 2009
  13. 13.0 13.1 Candidates Registered for Fall Election
  14. Madison Political Buzz Examiner "Republican Mark Neumann enters Wisconsin race for governor" 3 July, 2009
  15. Wisconsin Government Accountability Board: Elections Division, “Election Night Results ”, September 14, 2010
  16. Wisconsin Vote, “Election Results”, September 14, 2010
  17. Wisconsin Government Accountability Board: Elections Division, “Election Night Results ”, September 14, 2010
  18. Wisconsin Vote, “Election Results”, September 14, 2010
  19. Walker and Johnson Clear Leaders in Wisconsin Republican Primaries; Undecided Voters are Good News for Feingold", June 30,
  20. Rasmussen Reports, "Wisconsin Governor: Walker (R) 48%, Barrett (D) 44%", July 17, 2010
  21. Rasmussen Reports, "Wisconsin Governor: Republican Candidates Still Hold Slight Edge", June 23, 2010
  22. Rasmussen Reports, "Wisconsin Governor: Race Tightens Up", April 23, 2010
  23. CNN/Time Opinion Research, “Colorado, Delaware, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania”, September 22, 2010
  24. [More complete methodology and sampling tabs are available at www.RasmussenReports.com]
  25. Rasmussen Reports, “Election 2010: Wisconsin Governor: Walker (R) Still Ahead of Barrett (D)”, October 13, 2010
  26. Rasmussen Reports, “Election 2010: Wisconsin Governor: Race Between Walker (R), Barrett (D) Gets Tighter”, October 1, 2010
  27. Rasmussen Reports, “Election 2010: Wisconsin Governor: Walker (R) 51%, Barrett (D) 43%”, September 19, 2010
  28. [More complete methodology and sampling tabs are available at www.RasmussenReports.com]
  29. Rasmussen Reports, “Toplines: Wisconsin Governor 2010”, accessed July 31, 2010
  30. Rasmussen Reports, "Election 2010: Wisconsin Governor: Republican Hopefuls Barely Ahead in Wisconsin Governor's Race", August 27, 2010
  31. [More complete methodology and sampling tabs are available at www.RasmussenReports.com]
  32. Rasmussen Reports, “Toplines: Wisconsin Governor 2010”, accessed July 31, 2010
  33. Rasmussen Reports, "Election 2010: Wisconsin Governor: Republican Hopefuls Barely Ahead in Wisconsin Governor's Race", August 27, 2010
  34. [More complete methodology and sampling tabs are available at www.RasmussenReports.com]
  35. Chicago Tribune, "Abortion debate could affect Wis. governor's race", July 11, 2010
  36. Wisconsin Right to Life, "Wisconsin Right to Life Political Action Committee Endorses Scott Walker and Mark Neumann for Governor", July 1, 2010
  37. 37.0 37.1 37.2 ProLife Wisconsin, "PLW Victory Fund PAC announces dual endorsement of Mark Neumann and Scott Walker for governor", June 22, 2010
  38. Planned Parenthood Advocates of Wisconsin, "Tom Barrett - PPAWI Endorsed Candidate for Governor",accessed July 17, 2010
  39. Planned Parenthood Advocates of Wisconsin, "Planned Parenthood Endorses Tom Barrett for Governor ", June 7, 2010
  40. Milwaukee-Wisconsin Journal-Sentinel, "Union fires lobbyist with loose lips", September 21, 2010
  41. Milwaukee Journal Sentinel "NYC Mayor Bloomberg endorses Barrett for governor" 6 July, 2010
  42. Freedom Eden "Michael Bloomberg Endorses Tom Barrett" 19 July, 2010
  43. Fair Wisconsin - Fall 2010 Endorsements
  44. The Badger Herald "Obama endorses Barrett during WI visit" 16 Aug. 2010
  45. Planned Parenthood Advocates of Wisconsin "Planned Parenthood Endorses Tom Barrett for Governor" 7 June, 2010
  46. Pretty Important "Planned Parenthood Advocates endorse Tom Barrett while WI Family Action and Craig Fletcher bleed hypocrisy" 9 June, 2010
  47. SEIU Wisconsin State Council "SEIU Endorses Barrett for Governor", April 14, 2010
  48. Sierra Club "Sierra Club endorses Tom Barrett for Governor" 16 Aug. 2010
  49. Uppity Wisconsin "Conservation Voters Endorse Tom Barrett - Press Release" 13 July, 2010
  50. Wisconsin Professional Police Association - The WPPA Endorses Tom Barrett for Governor
  51. The Wheeler Report "Wisconsin State AFL‐CIO Endorses Tom Barrett for Governor" 15 Dec. 2009
  52. Milwaukee Journal Sentinel "Neumann gets endorsement from Sen. Coburn" 3 May, 2010
  53. Republican Liberty Caucus of Wisconsin "Mark Neumann Prides His RLC Endorsement" 19 July, 2010
  54. 54.0 54.1 Wisconsin Family Voice "WFA PAC endorses Walker and Neumann for governor!" 30 July, 2010
  55. 55.0 55.1 Life News "Wisconsin Right to Life Endorses Scott Walker and Mark Neumann for Governor" 2 July, 2010
  56. WKOW 27 "Jeb Bush Backs Scott Walker for Governor" 8 March, 2010
  57. ABC News "Jeb Bush Sees Rising Star in Wisconsin Governor's Race" 12 May, 2010
  58. WisPolitics "CORN PAC Announces Endorsement of Scott Walker" 30 Aug. 2010
  59. Wisconsin Internet News "Wisconsin Corn Growers Endorse Scott Walker for Governor" 31 Aug. 2010
  60. Wisconsin Ag Connection "DBA Endorses Scott Walker for Governor" 17 Aug. 2010
  61. Wisconsin Internet News "Dairy Business Association Endorses Scott Walker for Governor" 17 Aug. 2010
  62. NBC 26 "Big Endorsement for Scott Walker" 10 May, 2010
  63. Milwaukee Journal Sentinel "Mark Green endorses Scott Walker in governor's race" 10 May, 2010
  64. Milwaukee Police Association "2010 Endorsement Flyer"
  65. WisPolitics "Walker Campaign: Milwaukee Professional Firefighters proudly endorse Scott Walker for governor" 13 Aug. 2010
  66. FOX 11 "Tom Ridge endorses Scott Walker in Wis. governor's race" 11 Aug. 2010
  67. 67.0 67.1 Milwaukee Journal Sentinel "Sensenbrenner and Ryan endorse Scott Walker" 4 Aug. 2010
  68. 68.0 68.1 Freedom Eden "Jim Sensenbrenner and Paul Ryan Endorse Scott Walker" 5 Aug. 2010
  69. Wisconsin Farm Bureau Federation "Volunteers for Agriculture Endorse Scott Walker for Governor" 20 Aug. 2010
  70. Wisconsin Internet News "Wisconsin Grocers Association Endorses Scott Walker for Governor" 26 Aug. 2010
  71. Milwaukee Journal Sentinel "Scott Walker wins overwhelming endorsement of state Republicans" 22 May, 2010
  72. FOX 6 Now "Wisconsin Republicans endorse Scott Walker for governor" 22 May, 2010
  73. Wisconsin Internet News "Wisconsin Sheriffs and Deputy Sheriffs Association Political Action Committee endorses Scott Walker", October 22, 2010
  74. NFIB "NFIB Wisconsin Endorses Scott Walker for Governor", October 21, 2010
  75. Wisconsin Troopers Association "Wisconsin Troopers Association Endorses Scott Walker", September 13, 2010
  76. US Election Atlas, “1998 Gubernatorial General Election Results - Wisconsin”
  77. US Election Atlas, “2002 Gubernatorial General Election Results - Wisconsin”
  78. Wisconsin State Election Board, “Governor, Wisconsin State Elections Board Canvass - County Totals Fall General Election - 11/05/2002”
  79. US Election Atlas, “2006 Gubernatorial General Election Results - Wisconsin”
  80. Wisconsin State Election Board, “Governor, Wisconsin State Elections Board Canvass - County Totals Fall General Election - 11/02/2006”
  81. Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections', accessed July 28, 2010