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2016 ballot measure polls

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The following page consists of polls that were taken about ballot measures that were either certified or proposed for a 2016 ballot. Information on 2016 ballot measure polls is posted as it becomes available. If you have information on a released poll not listed here, please email editor@ballotpedia.org.

The 35 states that featured statewide measures on the ballot in 2016 are listed below, and polls for all measures for which polling data was found by Ballotpedia staff are listed under each state section.

Legend

     Position is ahead and at or over 50%     Position is ahead or tied, but under 50%

Alabama

See also: Alabama 2016 ballot measures

Ballotpedia does not have data on polls for ballot measures in this state. If you know of polls that should be posted here, please email editor@ballotpedia.org.

Alaska

See also: Alaska 2016 ballot measures

Ballotpedia does not have data on polls for ballot measures in this state. If you know of polls that should be posted here, please email editor@ballotpedia.org.

Arizona

See also: Arizona 2016 ballot measures


  • Arizona Minimum Wage and Paid Time Off, Proposition 206 (2016)

  • See also: Polls, 2016 ballot measures
    • Between August 17 and August 31, 2016, The Arizona Republic, in cooperation with Morrison and Cronkite News, found that 61 percent of those surveyed support Proposition 206. While the newspaper found support across all demographic groups, support was highest amongst Democrats, voters ages 18 to 35 and people with a high-school diploma or less.[1]
    • OH Predictive Insights released a poll on October 10, 2016, showing 53 percent of respondents supporting and 40 percent opposing Proposition 206.[2]
    • In mid-October 2016, HighGround Public Affairs surveyed 400 likely voters and found support for the initiative to be 54.3 percent amongst respondents.[3]
    Arizona Proposition 206
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    HighGround Public Affairs
    10/14/2016
    54.3%38.8%6.9%+/-4.88400
    OH Predictive Insights
    9/28/2016 - 9/30/2016
    53.0%40.0%7.0%+/-3.66718
    The Arizona Republic, Morrison, and Cronkite News
    8/17/2016 - 8/31/2016
    61.0%31.0%8.0%+/-3.4784
    AVERAGES 56.1% 36.6% 7.3% +/-3.98 634
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.



  • Arizona Education Finance Amendment, Proposition 123 (May 2016)

  • Arizona Education Finance
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    OH Predictive Insights
    4/25/2016
    59.7%33.4%6.9%+/-3.8665
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


  • Arizona Marijuana Legalization, Proposition 205 (2016)

  • See also: Polls, 2016 ballot measures
    • In mid-April 2016, a poll commission by opponents of the ballot measure was released to The Arizona Republic. The poll found that a plurality of those surveyed opposed marijuana legalization in Arizona.[4]
    • Between August 17 and August 31, 2016, The Arizona Republic, in cooperation with Morrison and Cronkite News, found that 50 percent of those surveyed supported Proposition 205. The poll found that about 64 percent of Democrats and 53 percent of independents in the state favored marijuana legalization, while 56 percent of Republicans opposed it.[5]
    • OH Predictive Insights conducted a poll in late August, finding a simple majority in opposition to marijuana legalization. Pollster Mike Noble noted that "for every voter who pulls the lever for Donald Trump this November has a 72 percent likelihood they will vote ‘No’ on legalizing recreational marijuana. Conversely, Hillary Clinton voters have a 57 percent likelihood of voting ‘Yes’ on legalizing recreational marijuana."[6]
    • OH Predictive Insights released a poll on October 10, 2016, showing 44 percent of respondents supporting and 49 percent opposing Proposition 205.[7]
    • In mid-October 2016, HighGround Public Affairs surveyed 400 likely voters and found 49.8 percent of respondents supporting the initiative.[8]
    • The Arizona Republic, Morrison, and Cronkite News released a poll in mid-October 2016 showing 50.4 percent of respondents in support of Proposition 205.[9]
    • Data Orbital surveyed 550 likely voters on October 29 and October 30, 2016, and found support for the measure at 45 percent. Opposition was at 51 percent.[10]
    • On November 1 and November 2, 2016, Data Orbital surveyed 550 likely voters and found support for Proposition 205 at 48 percent, while opposition was at 47 percent.[11]
    Arizona Proposition 205 (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    Data Orbital
    11/01/2016 - 11/02/2016
    48.0%47.0%4.0%+/-4.12550
    Data Orbital
    10/29/2016 - 10/30/2016
    45.0%51.0%4.0%+/-4.12550
    The Arizona Republic, Morrison, and Cronkite News
    10/10/2016 - 10/15/2016
    50.4%41.6%8.0%+/-4.0811
    HighGround Public Affairs
    10/14/2016
    49.8%45.3%4.9%+/-4.88400
    Data Orbital
    10/11/2016 - 10/12/2016
    44.0%45.0%11.0%+/-4.12500
    OH Predictive Insights
    9/28/2016 - 9/30/2016
    43.0%47.0%10.0%+/-3.66718
    OH Predictive Insights
    8/24/2016 - 8/27/2016
    40.0%51.0%9.0%+/-3.63728
    The Arizona Republic, Morrison, and Cronkite News
    8/17/2016 - 8/31/2016
    50.0%40.0%10.0%+/-3.4784
    The Arizona Republic
    4/11/2016 - 4/14/2016
    43.0%49.0%8.0%+/-4.0500
    AVERAGES 45.91% 46.32% 7.66% +/-3.99 615.67
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


    Arkansas

    See also: Arkansas 2016 ballot measures

    Ballotpedia does not have data on polls for ballot measures in this state. If you know of polls that should be posted here, please email editor@ballotpedia.org.

    California

    See also: California 2016 ballot measures


  • California Proposition 58, Non-English Languages Allowed in Public Education (2016)

  • See also: 2016 ballot measure polls
    • In September 2016, The Field Poll/IGS Poll surveyed 484 registered voters on Proposition 58 using the official ballot title and found support around 69 percent. However, when the interviewers told 459 different voters that Proposition 58 would repeal the "English-only" provision of Proposition 227, support dropped to 31 percent and opposition increased to 51 percent.[12]
    • In mid October 2016, CALSPEAKS surveyed 622 likely voters on Proposition 58. Support among respondents was 59 percent.[13]
    • The Field Poll/IGS Poll surveyed 1,498 likely voters between October 25 and October 31, 2016, and found support for the measure at 68 percent.[14]

    Polls with margins of error

    California Proposition 58 (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    CALSPEAKS
    10/7/2016 - 10/13/2016
    59.0%21.0%21.0%+/-7.0622
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Polls without margins of error

    Note: The Field Poll/IGS Poll does not report a margin of error because "[polls] conducted online using an opt-in panel do not easily lend themselves to the calculation of sampling error estimates as are traditionally reported for random sample telephone surveys."[12]
    California Proposition 58 (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedSample size
    The Field Poll/IGS Poll
    10/25/2016 - 10/31/2016
    68.0%27.0%5.0%1,498
    The Field Poll/IGS Poll
    9/7/2016 - 9/13/2016
    69.0%14.0%17.0%484
    AVERAGES 68.5% 20.5% 11% 991
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


  • California Proposition 64, Marijuana Legalization (2016)

  • See also: 2016 ballot measure polls

    Polls with margins of error

    California Proposition 64 (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times
    10/22/2016 - 10/30/2016
    58.0%37.0%5.0%+/-2.31,500
    Public Policy Institute of California
    10/14/2016 - 10/23/2016
    55.0%38.0%6.0%+/-4.31,016
    SurveyUSA
    10/13/2016 - 10/15/2016
    51.0%40.0%9.0%+/-3.7725
    Hoover Institution/YouGov
    10/4/2016 - 10/14/2016
    56.0%34.0%10.0%+/-3.281,250
    CALSPEAKS
    10/7/2016 - 10/13/2016
    60.0%30.0%10.0%+/-7.0622
    Public Policy Institute of California
    9/9/2016 - 9/18/2016
    60.0%36.0%4.0%+/-3.51,702
    SurveyUSA
    9/8/2016 - 9/11/2016
    52.0%40.0%8.0%+/-3.7712
    USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times
    9/1/2016 - 9/8/2016
    58.0%34.0%8.0%+/-2.01,879
    California Counts
    8/15/2016 - 8/24/2016
    71.0%26.0%3.0%+/-4.0915
    Probolsky Research
    8/5/2016 - 8/8/2016
    61.8%34.9%3.3%+/-3.11,020
    Probolsky Research
    2/11/2016 - 2/14/2016
    59.9%36.7%3.4%+/-3.11,000
    AVERAGES 58.43% 35.15% 6.34% +/-3.63 1,121.91
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Polls without margins of error

    Note: The Field Poll/IGS Poll does not report a margin of error because "[polls] conducted online using an opt-in panel do not easily lend themselves to the calculation of sampling error estimates as are traditionally reported for random sample telephone surveys."[12]
    California Proposition 64 (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedSample size
    The Field Poll/IGS Poll
    10/25/2016 - 10/31/2016
    57.0%40.0%3.0%1,498
    The Field Poll/IGS Poll
    9/7/2016 - 9/13/2016
    60.0%31.0%9.0%942
    AVERAGES 58.5% 35.5% 6% 1,220
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Descriptions of polls

    • In February 2016, Probolsky Research found 59.9 percent of respondents favoring marijuana legalization in California. Support was highest among voters aged 18 to 34 at 79.7 percent.[15]
    • Probolsky Research surveyed voters in early August 2016. Over 61 percent of respondents supported Proposition 64. Support was highest among Democratic men, at 81.2 percent, compared to Democratic women at 63.5 percent. Republican men supported it at 51.4 percent, compared to Republican women at 38.3 percent.[16]
    • California Counts found support for Proposition 64 at a high 71 percent in mid August 2016. At 81 percent, Latinos supported the measure at a higher rate than whites, at 62 percent, or blacks, at 68 percent.[17]
    • A USC Dorsife and Los Angeles Times joint poll found support for Proposition 64 to be around 58 percent in early September 2016.[18]
    • In September 2016, SurveyUSA revealed support at 52 percent. The firm found that as income increased, support for the initiative decreased. Support was at approximately 60 percent among individuals with incomes under $40 thousand, 56 percent among people earning between $40 and $80 thousand, and only 44 percent among those with incomes over $80 thousand.[19]
    • A Field Poll/IGS Poll found support around 60 percent. Of the regions surveyed, support for Proposition 64 was strongest in Los Angeles County.[12]
    • In mid September 2016, the Public Policy Institute of California found support for Proposition 64 to be around 60 percent.[20]
    • In mid October 2016, CALSPEAKS surveyed 622 likely voters on Proposition 64. Support among respondents was 60 percent.[21]
    • The Hoover Institution and YouGov surveyed 1,250 likely voters between October 4 and October 14, 2016. Support for the measure was 56 percent.[22]
    • SurveyUSA found 51 percent of likely voters in favor of Proposition 64 in mid October 2016.[23]
    • The Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) surveyed 1,016 likely voters in mid- to late October 2016 and found support at 55 percent. PPIC broke respondents down into three ethnic categories, "White," "Latino," and "Other." Latinos in the sample had the least favorable view, at 47 percent, of Proposition 64. Respondents classified as “Other” had supported the measure 65 to 29 percent. Whites favored the measure 55 to 39 percent.[24]
    • In late October 2016, USC Dorsife and the Los Angeles Times surveyed 1,500 registered voters on Proposition 64. The poll found support at 58 percent.[25]
    • The Field Poll/IGS Poll surveyed 1,498 likely voters between October 25 and October 31, 2016, and found support for the measure at 57 percent.[26]


  • California Proposition 56, Tobacco Tax Increase (2016)

  • See also: Polls, 2016 ballot measures
    • A USC Dornsife and Los Angeles Times joint poll found support at 63 percent for Proposition 56 in early September 2016.[27]
    • In September 2016, SurveyUSA surveyed voters on Proposition 56. Approximately 60 percent of respondents supported the initiative. Asking respondents about their demographic, political, and lifestyle characteristics, SurveyUSA found that 54 percent of smokers opposed the initiative. Of all the other groups surveyed, at least 50 percent supported the measure.[28]
    • A Field Poll/IGS Poll surveyed 943 likely voters and found support for Proposition 56 to be 53 percent. The biggest demographic difference was between age cohorts, with 79 percent of persons 18-29 and 46 percent of persons 65 and over supporting the measure.[12]
    • In mid September 2016, the Public Policy Institute of California found support for Proposition 56 to be around 59 percent.[29]
    • CALSPEAKS surveyed 622 likely voters on Proposition 56 in mid October 2016. Support among respondents was 62 percent.[30]
    • In mid October 2016, SurveyUSA found support for the initiative around 57 percent and opposition to the initiative around 35 percent.[31]
    • The Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) surveyed 1,016 likely voters in mid- to late October 2016 and found support at 46 percent. PPIC broke respondents down into three racial/ethnic categories, "White," "Latino," and "Other." Latinos in the sample had the most favorable view, at 80 percent, of Proposition 56. Whites had the least favorable view, at 49 percent. Respondents classified as "Other" favored the measure 65 to 28 percent.[32]
    • The Field Poll/IGS Poll surveyed 1,498 likely voters between October 25 and October 31, 2016, and found support for the measure at 55 percent.[33]

    Polls with margins of error

    California Proposition 56 (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    Public Policy Institute of California
    10/14/2016 - 10/23/2016
    56.0%38.0%6.0%+/-4.31,016
    SurveyUSA
    10/13/2016 - 10/15/2016
    57.0%35.0%7.0%+/-3.7752
    CALSPEAKS
    10/7/2016 - 10/13/2016
    62.0%26.0%12.0%+/-7.0622
    Public Policy Institute of California
    9/9/2016 - 9/18/2016
    59.0%36.0%5.0%+/-3.51,702
    SurveyUSA
    9/8/2016 - 9/11/2016
    60.0%33.0%7.0%+/-3.7712
    USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times
    9/1/2016 - 9/8/2016
    63.0%32.0%6.0%+/-3.01,912
    AVERAGES 59.5% 33.33% 7.17% +/-4.2 1,119.33
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Polls without margins of error

    Note: The Field Poll/IGS Poll does not report a margin of error because "[polls] conducted online using an opt-in panel do not easily lend themselves to the calculation of sampling error estimates as are traditionally reported for random sample telephone surveys."[12]
    California Proposition 56 (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedSample size
    The Field Poll/IGS Poll
    10/25/2016 - 10/31/2016
    55.0%43.0%2.0%1,498
    The Field Poll/IGS Poll
    9/7/2016 - 9/13/2016
    53.0%40.0%7.0%943
    AVERAGES 54% 41.5% 4.5% 1,220.5
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


  • California Proposition 57, Parole for Non-Violent Criminals and Juvenile Court Trial Requirements (2016)

  • See also: Polls, 2016 ballot measures
    • In mid-August 2016, California Counts surveyed Californians on Proposition 57. The firm found 72 percent of respondents in support. About 80 percent of Democrats, 69 percent of independents, and 56 percent of Republicans supported the measure.[34]
    • In September 2016, a USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times poll found that 66 percent of respondents were in favor of Proposition 57.[35]
    • A Field Poll/IGS Poll surveyed 484 likely voters and found support for Proposition 57 to be 60 percent. Support was 78 percent among Democrats, 54 percent among independents, and 47 percent among Republicans.[12]
    • In mid-October 2016, CALSPEAKS surveyed 622 likely voters on Proposition 57. Support among respondents was 61 percent.[36]
    • In late October 2016, USC Dornsife and the Los Angeles Times released a poll showing 57 percent of respondents supporting Proposition 57.[37]
    • The Field Poll/IGS Poll surveyed 1,498 likely voters between October 25 and October 31, 2016, and found support for the measure at 64 percent.[38]

    Polls with margins of error

    California Proposition 57 (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times
    10/22/2016 - 10/30/2016
    57.0%31.0%12.0%+/-2.41,382
    CALSPEAKS
    10/7/2016 - 10/13/2016
    61.0%16.0%23.0%+/-7.0622
    USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times
    9/1/2016 - 9/8/2016
    66.0%26.0%8.0%+/-3.01,912
    California Counts
    8/15/2016 - 8/25/2016
    72.0%21.0%7.0%+/-4.0915
    AVERAGES 64% 23.5% 12.5% +/-4.1 1,207.75
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Polls without margins of error

    Note: The Field Poll/IGS Poll does not report a margin of error because "[polls] conducted online using an opt-in panel do not easily lend themselves to the calculation of sampling error estimates as are traditionally reported for random sample telephone surveys."[12]
    California Proposition 57 (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedSample size
    The Field Poll/IGS Poll
    10/25/2016 - 10/31/2016
    64.0%32.0%4.0%1,498
    The Field Poll/IGS Poll
    9/7/2016 - 9/13/2016
    60.0%21.0%19.0%484
    AVERAGES 62% 26.5% 11.5% 991
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


  • California Proposition 62, Abolition of Death Penalty Measure (2016)

  • See also: Polls, 2016 ballot measures
    • A USC Dornsife and Los Angeles Times joint poll found a slim simple majority opposing Proposition 62, with 51 percent against and 40 percent in favor, in early September 2016.[39]
    • SurveyUSA reported that 52 percent of Californians surveyed opposed Proposition 62. African-Americans were the only demographic group in which a simple majority supported the measure. A majority of people identifying as a "strong Democrat" or "very liberal" also supported it.[40]
    • In September 2016, The Field Poll/IGS Poll surveyed 942 registered voters and found support for Proposition 62 to be 48 percent. Democrats supported the measure at 63 percent, independents at 53 percent, and Republicans at 21 percent.[12]
    • CALSPEAKS surveyed 622 likely voters on Proposition 62 in mid-October 2016. Support among respondents was 37 percent.[41]
    • The Hoover Institution and YouGov surveyed 1,250 likely voters between October 4 and October 14, 2016. Support for the measure was 42 percent.[42]
    • In mid-October 2016, SurveyUSA found support for the initiative around 35 percent and opposition to the measure around 53 percent.[43]
    • In late October 2016, USC Dornsife and the Los Angeles Times surveyed 1,500 registered voters and found 43 percent favoring and 46 percent opposing Proposition 62.[44]
    • The Field Poll/IGS Poll surveyed 1,498 likely voters between October 25 and October 31, 2016, and found support for the measure at 51 percent.[45]

    Polls with margins of error

    California Proposition 62 (2016)
    Poll Favor OpposeUndecided/AbstainingMargin of errorSample size
    USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times
    10/22/2016 - 10/30/2016
    43.0%46.0%11.0%+/-2.31,500
    SurveyUSA
    10/13/2016 - 10/15/2016
    35.0%53.0%12.0%+/-3.7725
    Hoover Institution/YouGov
    10/4/2016 - 10/14/2016
    42.0%43.0%15.0%+/-3.281,250
    CALSPEAKS
    10/7/2016 - 10/13/2016
    37.0%45.0%18.0%+/-7.0622
    SurveyUSA
    9/8/2016 - 9/11/2016
    36.0%52.0%12.0%+/-3.7712
    USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times
    9/1/2016 - 9/8/2016
    40.0%51.0%9.0%+/-3.01,909
    AVERAGES 38.83% 48.33% 12.83% +/-3.83 1,119.67
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Polls without margins of error

    Note: The Field Poll/IGS Poll does not report a margin of error because "[polls] conducted online using an opt-in panel do not easily lend themselves to the calculation of sampling error estimates as are traditionally reported for random sample telephone surveys."[12]
    California Proposition 62 (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedSample size
    The Field Poll/IGS Poll
    10/25/2016 - 10/31/2016
    51.0%45.0%4.0%1,498
    The Field Poll/IGS Poll
    9/7/2016 - 9/13/2016
    48.0%37.0%15.0%942
    AVERAGES 49.5% 41% 9.5% 1,220
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
    • The Field Poll surveyed Californians in December 2015 and January 2016 on their support for two initiatives related to capital punishment. About 47 percent of respondents favored the provisions of Proposition 62, while 48 percent preferred the provisions of Proposition 66. The former initiative would replace the death penalty with life imprisonment without parole, and the latter initiative would speed up the execution process.[46]
    California Proposition 62 (2016) and California Proposition 66 (2016)
    Poll Favor Proposition 66 Favor Proposition 62UndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    Field Poll
    12/15/2015 - 1/3/2016
    48%47%5%+/-3.21,003
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


  • California Proposition 66, Death Penalty Procedures Measure (2016)

  • See also: Polls, 2016 ballot measures
    • In September 2016, The Field Poll/IGS Poll surveyed 942 registered voters and found support for Proposition 66 to be 35 percent. Most voters were undecided on the measure.[12]
    • In mid October 2016, CALSPEAKS surveyed 622 likely voters on Proposition 66. Support among respondents was 51 percent.[47]
    • The Hoover Institution and YouGov surveyed 1,250 likely voters between October 4 and October 14, 2016. Support for the measure was 38 percent.[48]
    • In late October 2016, USC Dornsife and the Los Angeles Times surveyed 1,500 registered voters and found 35 percent favoring and 63 percent opposing Proposition 66.[49]
    • The Field Poll/IGS Poll surveyed 1,498 likely voters between October 25 and October 31, 2016, and found support for the measure at 48 percent.[50]

    Polls with margins of error

    California Proposition 66 (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times
    10/22/2016 - 10/30/2016
    35.0%43.0%22.0%+/-2.31,500
    Hoover Institution/YouGov
    10/4/2016 - 10/14/2016
    38.0%24.0%38.0%+/-3.281,250
    CALSPEAKS
    10/7/2016 - 10/13/2016
    51.0%20.0%29.0%+/-7.0622
    AVERAGES 41.33% 29% 29.67% +/-4.19 1,124
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Polls without margins of error

    Note: The Field Poll/IGS Poll does not report a margin of error because "[polls] conducted online using an opt-in panel do not easily lend themselves to the calculation of sampling error estimates as are traditionally reported for random sample telephone surveys."[12]
    California Proposition 66 (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedSample size
    The Field Poll/IGS Poll
    10/25/2016 - 10/31/2016
    48.0%42.0%10.0%1,498
    The Field Poll/IGS Poll
    9/7/2016 - 9/13/2016
    35.0%23.0%42.0%942
    AVERAGES 41.5% 32.5% 26% 1,220
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
    • The Field Poll surveyed Californians in December 2015 and January 2016 on their support for two initiatives related to capital punishment. About 47 percent of respondents favored the provisions of Proposition 62, while 48 percent preferred the provisions of Proposition 66. The former initiative would replace the death penalty with life imprisonment without parole, and the latter initiative would speed up the execution process.[51]
    California Proposition 62 (2016) and California Proposition 66 (2016)
    Poll Favor Proposition 66 Favor Proposition 62UndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    Field Poll
    12/15/2015 - 1/3/2016
    48%47%5%+/-3.21,003
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


  • California Proposition 63, Background Checks for Ammunition Purchases and Large-Capacity Ammunition Magazine Ban (2016)

  • See also: 2016 ballot measure polls
    • In mid August 2016, California Counts found a large majority of respondents in support of Proposition 63. The firm found 93 percent of Democrats, 62 percent of independents, and 60 percent of Republicans in support of the measure.[52]
    • A USC Dornsife and Los Angeles Times joint poll found support for Proposition 63 to be around 64 percent in early September 2016.[53]
    • A Field Poll/IGS Poll surveyed 483 voters and found support for Proposition 63 at 60 percent. There was a 20-point gap between the genders in terms of support, with 70 percent of women and 50 percent of men favoring the initiative.[12]
    • SurveyUSA asked 712 Californians about Proposition 63 in September 2016. About 63 percent of respondents supported the measure. Only 42 percent of gun-owners support it, while 72 percent of non-owners did.[54]
    • In mid October 2016, CALSPEAKS surveyed 622 likely voters on Proposition 63. Support among respondents was 72 percent.[55]
    • SuveyUSA found 63 percent of respondents supporting the initiative in mid October 2016.[56]
    • In late October 2016, USC Dornsife and Los Angeles Times surveyed 1,500 registered voters on Proposition 63 and found support at 58 percent and opposition at 35 percent.[57]
    • The Field Poll/IGS Poll surveyed 1,498 likely voters between October 25 and October 31, 2016, and found support for the measure at 59 percent.[58]

    Polls with margins of error

    California Proposition 63 (2016)
    Poll Yes NoUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times
    10/22/2016 - 10/30/2016
    58.0%35.0%7.0%+/-2.31,500
    SurveyUSA
    10/13/2016 - 10/15/2016
    63.0%27.0%10.0%+/-3.6725
    CALSPEAKS
    10/7/2016 - 10/13/2016
    72.0%20.0%8.0%+/-7.0622
    SurveyUSA
    9/8/2016 - 9/11/2016
    63.0%29.0%9.0%+/-3.6712
    USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times
    9/1/2016 - 9/8/2016
    64.0%28.0%8.0%+/-2.01,879
    California Counts
    8/15/2016 - 8/25/2016
    77.0%22.0%2.0%+/-4.0915
    AVERAGES 66.17% 26.83% 7.33% +/-3.75 1,058.83
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Polls without margins of error

    Note: The Field Poll/IGS Poll does not report a margin of error because "[polls] conducted online using an opt-in panel do not easily lend themselves to the calculation of sampling error estimates as are traditionally reported for random sample telephone surveys."[12]
    California Proposition 63 (2016)
    Poll Yes NoUndecidedSample size
    The Field Poll/IGS Poll
    10/25/2016 - 10/31/2016
    59.0%38.0%3.0%1,498
    The Field Poll/IGS Poll
    9/7/2016 - 9/13/2016
    60.0%30.0%10.0%483
    AVERAGES 59.5% 34% 6.5% 990.5
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


  • California Proposition 59, Overturn of Citizens United Act Advisory Question (2016)

  • See also: 2016 ballot measure polls
    • In mid October 2016, CALSPEAKS surveyed 622 likely voters on Proposition 59. Support among respondents was 47 percent and opposition was 19 percent.[59]
    California Proposition 59 (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    CALSPEAKS
    10/7/2016 - 10/13/2016
    47.0%19.0%34.0%+/-7.0622
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


    Colorado

    See also: Colorado 2016 ballot measures

    Ballotpedia does not have data on polls for ballot measures in this state. If you know of polls that should be posted here, please email editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Florida

    See also: Florida 2016 ballot measures


  • Florida Property Tax Exemptions for Renewable Energy Equipment, Amendment 4 (August 2016)

  • In August 2016, StPetePolls.org conducted a survey in which respondents were asked two questions, one regarding Amendment 4, and the question was as follows:

    How do you plan to vote on proposed Florida Constitutional Amendment 4, which will allow tax exemptions on the installation of solar or renewable energy devices?[60]

    Florida Property Tax Exemptions for Renewable Energy Equipment, Amendment 4 (August 2016)
    Poll Yes NoUnsureMargin of errorSample size
    StPetePolls.org
    8/2/16
    56.4%16.4%27.2%+/-1.35,358
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


    Georgia

    See also: Georgia 2016 ballot measures

    Ballotpedia does not have data on polls for ballot measures in this state. If you know of polls that should be posted here, please email editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Hawaii

    See also: Hawaii 2016 ballot measures

    Ballotpedia does not have data on polls for ballot measures in this state. If you know of polls that should be posted here, please email editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Idaho

    See also: Idaho 2016 ballot measures

    Ballotpedia does not have data on polls for ballot measures in this state. If you know of polls that should be posted here, please email editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Illinois

    See also: Illinois 2016 ballot measures


  • Illinois Transportation Taxes and Fees Lockbox Amendment (2016)

  • See also: Polls, 2016 ballot measures
    • The Paul Simon Public Policy Institute conducted a poll from September 27 to October 2, 2016, and found support for the amendment to be 80 percent.[61]
    Illinois Transportation Taxes and Fees Lockbox Amendment (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    Paul Simon Public Policy Institute
    9/27/2016 - 10/2/2016
    80.0%13.0%7.0%+/-3.3865
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


    Indiana

    See also: Indiana 2016 ballot measures

    Ballotpedia does not have data on polls for ballot measures in this state. If you know of polls that should be posted here, please email editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Kansas

    See also: Kansas 2016 ballot measures

    Ballotpedia does not have data on polls for ballot measures in this state. If you know of polls that should be posted here, please email editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Louisiana

    See also: Louisiana 2016 ballot measures

    Ballotpedia does not have data on polls for ballot measures in this state. If you know of polls that should be posted here, please email editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Maine

    See also: Maine 2016 ballot measures


  • Maine Question 5, Ranked-Choice Voting Initiative (2016)

  • Maine Question 5, Ranked-Choice Voting Initiative (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    University of New Hampshire Survey Center
    10/20/16 - 10/25/16
    49%31%20%+/-3.6761
    Portland Press Herald/University of New Hampshire Survey Center
    9/15/16 - 9/20/16
    48%29%23%+/-4.3513
    Maine People's Resource Center
    3/5/16 - 3/8/16
    57.9%29.8%12.3%+/-4.15557
    AVERAGES 51.63% 29.93% 18.43% +/-4.02 610.33
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


  • Maine Tax on Incomes Exceeding $200,000 for Public Education, Question 2 (2016)

  • Maine Tax on Incomes Exceeding $200,000 for Public Education, Question 2 (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    University of New Hampshire Survey Center
    10/20/16 - 10/25/16
    57%34%9%+/-3.6761
    Portland Press Herald/University of New Hampshire Survey Center
    9/15/16 - 9/20/16
    60%32%8%+/-4.3506
    AVERAGES 58.5% 33% 8.5% +/-3.95 633.5
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


  • Maine Marijuana Legalization, Question 1 (2016)

  • Maine Marijuana Legalization, Question 1 (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    University of New Hampshire Survey Center
    10/20/16 - 10/25/16
    50%41%9%+/-3.6761
    Portland Press Herald/University of New Hampshire Survey Center
    9/15/16 - 9/20/16
    53%38%10%+/-4.3505
    Maine People's Resource Center
    3/5/16 - 3/8/16
    53.8%42.4%3.8%+/-4.15557
    AVERAGES 52.27% 40.47% 7.6% +/-4.02 607.67
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


    Maryland

    See also: Maryland 2016 ballot measures

    Ballotpedia does not have data on polls for ballot measures in this state. If you know of polls that should be posted here, please email editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Massachusetts

    See also: Massachusetts 2016 ballot measures


  • Massachusetts Question 1, Authorization of a Second Slots Location (2016)

  • Massachusetts Question 1
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    Western New England University
    10/23/2016-11/2/2016
    34%47%18%+/-4.5470
    Suffolk University/Boston Globe
    10/24/2016-10/26/2016
    29.6%56.6%13.2%+/-4.4500
    WBUR/MassInc
    10/13/2016 - 10/16/2016
    34%58%8%+/-4.4502
    Western New England University Polling Institute
    9/24/2016 - 10/3/2016
    34%44%21%+/-5467
    WBUR/MassInc
    9/7/2016 - 9/10/2016
    37%52%11%+/-4.4506
    WBZ/UMass Amherst
    9/15/2016 - 9/20/2016
    44%35%22%+/-4.3700
    AVERAGES 35.43% 48.77% 15.53% +/-4.5 524.17
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Note: The margin of error for the WBZ/UMass Amherst poll was found in a separate CBS article.[62]

    Note: The margin of error for the Suffolk University/Boston Globe poll was found in a separate article.[63]


  • Massachusetts Question 4, Marijuana Legalization (2016)

  • The following polls were conducted in 2014 and 2016 about the issue of marijuana legalization in general. They made no reference to this particular initiative.

    Massachusetts Marijuana Legalization
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    Western New England University
    10/23/2016-11/2/2016
    62%33%4%+/-4.5470
    Suffolk University/Boston Globe
    10/24/2016-10/26/2016
    48.8%42.4%7.8%+/-4.4500
    WBUR/MassInc
    10/13/2016 - 10/16/2016
    55%40%5%+/-4.4502
    Western New England University Polling Institute
    9/24/2016 - 10/3/2016
    55%39%5%+/-5467
    WBUR/MassInc
    9/7/2016 - 9/10/2016
    50%45%5%+/-4.4506
    WBZ/UMass Amherst
    9/28/2016
    53%40%7%+/-4.3700
    Gravis Marketing/Jobs First
    7/12/2016 - 7/13/2016
    41.0%51.0%9.0%+/-3.3901
    Suffolk University/Boston Globe
    5/2/2016 - 5/5/2016
    43.0%46%11.0%+/-4.4500
    Western New England University
    4/1/2016 - 4/10/2016
    57.0%35.0%7.0%+/-4.0497
    UMass Amherst
    2/19/2016 - 2/25/2016
    53.0%40.0%7.0%+/-4.1891
    WBUR
    3/14/2014 - 3/16/2014
    48.0%41.0%11.0%+/-4.4500
    MassINC Polling Group
    5/16/2014 - 5/18/2014
    49.0%42.0%9.0%+/-4.4503
    AVERAGES 51.23% 41.2% 7.32% +/-4.3 578.08
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Note: The margin of error for the Suffolk University/Boston Globe poll was found in a separate article.[64]


  • Massachusetts Question 3, Minimum Size Requirements for Farm Animal Containment (2016)

  • Massachusetts Question 3
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    Western New England University
    10/23/2016-11/2/2016
    64%25%9%+/-4.5470
    Suffolk University/Boston Globe
    10/24/2016-10/26/2016
    62.4%24.6%1.2%+/-4.4500
    WBUR/MassInc
    10/13/2016 - 10/16/2016
    66%28%7%+/-4.4502
    Western New England University Polling Institute
    9/24/2016 - 10/3/2016
    61%26%12%+/-5467
    WBUR/MassInc
    9/7/2016 - 9/10/2016
    66%25%9%+/-4.4506
    WBZ/UMass Amherst
    9/15/2016 - 9/20/2016
    75%14%11%+/-4.3700
    AVERAGES 65.73% 23.77% 8.2% +/-4.5 524.17
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Note: The margin of error for the WBZ/UMass Amherst poll was found in a separate CBS article.[65]

    Note: The margin of error for the Suffolk University/Boston Globe poll was found in a separate article.[66]

    Minnesota

    See also: Minnesota 2016 ballot measures

    Ballotpedia does not have data on polls for ballot measures in this state. If you know of polls that should be posted here, please email editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Missouri

    See also: Missouri 2016 ballot measures


  • Missouri 60 Cent Cigarette Tax, Constitutional Amendment 3 (2016)

  • See also: 2016 ballot measure polls
    • National Research Inc. surveyed 600 likely voters in July 2016 and found 53 percent of respondents supporting Amendment 3.[67]
    • In late-October 2016, Mason-Dixon Polling & Research surveyed 625 voters and found 43 percent of respondents supporting the amendment.[68]
    Missouri Amendment 3 (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    Mason-Dixon Polling & Research
    10/24/2016 - 10/26/2016
    43.0%49.0%8.0%+/-4.0625
    National Research Inc.
    7/23/2016 - 7/25/2016
    53.0%29.0%18.0%+/-4.0600
    AVERAGES 48% 39% 13% +/-4 612.5
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


  • Missouri 23 Cent Cigarette Tax, Proposition A (2016)

  • See also: 2016 ballot measure polls
    • In late-October 2016, Mason-Dixon Polling & Research surveyed 625 voters and found 39 percent of respondents supporting Proposition A.[69]
    Missouri Proposition A (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    Mason-Dixon Polling & Research
    10/24/2016 - 10/26/2016
    39.0%54.0%7.0%+/-4.0625
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


    Montana

    See also: Montana 2016 ballot measures


  • Montana Marsy's Law Crime Victims Rights Initiative, CI-116 (2016)

  • See also: Polls, 2016 ballot measures
    • In July 2016, Moore Information sampled 500 Montana voters and found that 79 percent of them supported and 12 percent opposed Constitutional Initiative 116.[70]
    Montana CI-116 (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    Moore Information
    7/24/2016 - 7/25/2016
    79.0%12.0%9.0%+/-4.0500
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


    Nebraska

    See also: Nebraska 2016 ballot measures


  • Nebraska Referendum 426, Death Penalty Measure (2016)

  • Nebraska Referendum 426
    Poll Retain RepealUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    Global Marketing Research Services
    8/7/2016 - 8/10/2016
    30.3%58.3%11.3%+/-4.0600
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    A poll conducted by Prism Surveys on behalf of the ACLU of Nebraska in March 2015 showed that 58.5 percent of Nebraska voters support alternatives to the death penalty, while 30 percent support the death penalty over alternatives. The poll surveyed 2,129 Nebraskans and had a margin of error of 2.12 percent.[71]

    Nevada

    See also: Nevada 2016 ballot measures


  • Nevada Medical Equipment Sales Tax Exemption, Question 4 (2016)

  • See also: 2016 ballot measure polls
    • Bendixen & Amandi International conducted a poll in late September 2016 and found 60 percent of respondents in support of Question 4.[72]
    Nevada Question 4 (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    Bendixen & Amandi International
    9/27/2016 - 9/29/2016
    60.0%21.0%19.0%+/-3.15800
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


    New Jersey

    See also: New Jersey 2016 ballot measures


  • New Jersey Dedication of All Gas Tax Revenue to Transportation, Public Question 2 (2016)

  • See also: 2016 ballot measure polls
    • In June 2016, Fairleigh Dickinson University and PublicMind surveyed registered voters and found 51 percent of respondents in support of Question 2.[73]
    • Stockton University surveyed 678 likely voters between October 27 and November 2, 2016, on Question 1. Support among respondents was 63 percent.[74]
    New Jersey Question 2 (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    Stockton University Poll
    10/27/2016 - 11/2/2016
    63.0%33.0%4.0%+/-3.75678
    Fairleigh Dickinson University/PublicMind
    6/22/2016 - 6/26/2016
    51.0%34.0%15.0%+/-3.8712
    AVERAGES 57% 33.5% 9.5% +/-3.78 695
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


    New Mexico

    See also: New Mexico 2016 ballot measures

    Ballotpedia does not have data on polls for ballot measures in this state. If you know of polls that should be posted here, please email editor@ballotpedia.org.

    North Carolina

    See also: North Carolina 2016 ballot measures

    Ballotpedia does not have data on polls for ballot measures in this state. If you know of polls that should be posted here, please email editor@ballotpedia.org.

    North Dakota

    See also: North Dakota 2016 ballot measures


  • North Dakota Marsy's Law Crime Victim Rights, Initiated Constitutional Measure 3 (2016)

  • North Dakota Crime Victim Rights (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    Moore Information
    7/24/16 - 7/25/16
    72%16%12%+/-4.0500
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


    Oklahoma

    See also: Oklahoma 2016 ballot measures


  • Oklahoma Rehabilitative Programs Fund Initiative, State Question 781 (2016)

  • The Oklahoman commissioned a poll of 398 likely voters from SoonerPoll in late July of 2016. The poll showed that 75 percent of likely voters supported State Question 780 and that 71 percent supported State Question 781.[75]

  • Oklahoma State Question 776, Allow State to Impose Death Penalty Amendment (2016)

  • The following poll was conducted about State Question 776. The poll was conducted through a combination of cell phone calls, landline calls, and an online panel.

    Oklahoma State Question 776 (2016)
    Poll Strongly support Somewhat supportUndecidedSomewhat opposeStrongly opposeMargin of errorSample size
    Sooner Poll - Commissioned by The Oklahoman[76]
    July 2016
    47.6%24.4%7.7%9.7%10.7%+/-4.91398
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


    Oregon

    See also: Oregon 2016 ballot measures


  • Oregon Measure 96, Portion of Lottery Proceeds for Support of Veterans Amendment (2016)

  • See also: 2016 ballot measure polls
    • An icitizen poll conducted in early September 2016 found 83 percent of respondents supporting Measure 96.[77]
    Oregon Portion of Lottery Proceeds for Support of Veterans, Measure 96 (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    icitizen
    9/2/16 - 9/7/16
    83.0%8.0%9.0%+/-4.00610
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


  • Oregon Measure 97, Business Tax Increase Initiative (2016)

  • See also: 2016 ballot measure polls
    • In early September 2016, DMH Research found 60 percent of respondents in favor of and 20 percent opposed to Measure 97.[78]
    • An icitizen poll conducted in early September 2016 estimated support for Measure 97 to be around 59 percent and opposition to be approximately 21 percent.[79]
    • Between September 29 and October 1, 2016, Hoffman Research conducted a poll and found lower support for Measure 97 than prior polls, with support at 41 percent and opposition at 47 percent.[80]
    • A mid-October 2016 poll conducted by SurveyUSA found support at a low 28 percent. A significant number of respondents, about 29 percent, were undecided. The groups for which over 50 percent of respondents supported Measure 97 were Democrats, people who described their ideology as “very liberal,” and people who view education as a top issue this election.[81]
    • In mid October, DMH Research surveyed 600 voters and found 49 percent of respondents opposing and 45 percent supporting Measure 97.[82]
    • Riley Research Associates found support for Measure 97 around 46 percent during the first two weeks of October. Democrats had the highest level of support for the initiative at 70 percent. Republicans had the highest opposition to the measure at 77 percent.[83]
    • DHM Research surveyed 504 voters for FOX 12 in late October 2016. The poll found support at 40 percent and opposition at 53 percent.[84]
    Oregon Measure 97 (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    FOX 12-DHM Research
    10/24/2016 - 10/29/2016
    40.0%53.0%7.0%+/-4.4504
    Riley Research Associates
    10/4/2016 - 10/14/2016
    46.0%47.0%7.0%+/-3.97608
    DMH Research
    10/6/2016 - 10/13/2016
    45.0%49.0%6.0%+/-4.0600
    SurveyUSA
    10/10/2016 - 10/12/2016
    28.0%44.0%29.0%+/-3.9800
    Hoffman Research
    9/29/2016 - 10/1/2016
    41.0%47.0%12.0%+/-4.0605
    icitizen
    9/2/16 - 9/7/16
    59.0%21.0%20.0%+/-4.0610
    DMH Research
    9/1/16 - 9/6/16
    60.0%30.0%10.0%+/-4.3517
    AVERAGES 45.57% 41.57% 13% +/-4.08 606.29
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


  • Oregon Measure 95, Public University Diversification of Investments Amendment (2016)

  • See also: 2016 ballot measure polls
    • An icitizen poll conducted in early September 2016 found 47 percent of respondents undecided on Measure 95.[85]
    Oregon Public University Diversification of Investments, Measure 95 (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    icitizen
    9/2/16 - 9/7/16
    29.0%24.0%47.0%+/-4.00610
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


  • Oregon Measure 94, Elimination of Mandatory Judicial Retirement Age Amendment (2016)

  • See also: 2016 ballot measure polls
    • In early September 2016, icitizen surveyed 610 Oregonians and found 53 percent in opposition to Measure 94.[86]
    Oregon Elimination of Mandatory Judicial Retirement Age, Measure 94 (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    icitizen
    9/2/16 - 9/7/16
    33.0%53.0%14.0%+/-4.00610
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


    Pennsylvania

    See also: Pennsylvania 2016 ballot measures


  • Pennsylvania Judicial Retirement Age Amendment (2016)

  • See also: 2016 ballot measure polls

    The Franklin & Marshall College Poll surveyed 813 registered voters between September 28 and October 2, 2016. Respondents were randomly divided into three clusters, with each cluster receiving different wording regarding the judicial retirement age amendment.[87] The first cluster received the wording that appeared on the November 8, 2016, ballot:

    [Question 1] Shall the Pennsylvania Constitution be amended to require that justices of the Supreme Court, judges, and magisterial district judges be retired on the last day of the calendar year in which they attain the age of 75 years?[60]

    Of the respondents in the first cluster, 64 percent supported, 28 percent opposed, and seven percent were undecided on the measure.

    The second cluster received the wording that was to be found on the April 26, 2016, primary ballot:

    [Question 2] Shall the Pennsylvania Constitution be amended to require that justices of the Supreme Court, judges and justices of the peace (known as magisterial district judges) be retired on the last day of the calendar year in which they attain the age of 75 years, instead of the current requirement that they be retired on the last day of the calendar year in which they attain the age of 70?[60]

    Of the respondents in the second cluster, 45 percent supported, 47 percent opposed, and seven percent were undecided on the measure.

    The third cluster received an alternative wording for the amendment:

    [Question 3]The Pennsylvania Constitution currently requires that justices of the Supreme Court, judges, and magisterial district judges retire on the last day of the calendar year they turn 70 years of age. Should the state Constitution be amended to allow these judges to serve in office until they are 75 years of age?[60]

    Of the respondents in the third cluster, 37 percent supported, 61 percent opposed, and two percent were undecided on the measure.

    Pennsylvania Judicial Retirement Age Amendment (2016)
    Poll Support OpposeUndecided
    Franklin & Marshall College
    Question 1
    9/28/2016 - 10/02/2016
    64.0%28.0%7.0%
    Franklin & Marshall College
    Question 2
    9/28/2016 - 10/02/2016
    45.0%47.0%7.0%
    Franklin & Marshall College
    Question 3
    9/28/2016 - 10/02/2016
    37.0%61.0%2.0%
    AVERAGES 48.67% 45.33% 5.33%
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


    Rhode Island

    See also: Rhode Island 2016 ballot measures

    Ballotpedia does not have data on polls for ballot measures in this state. If you know of polls that should be posted here, please email editor@ballotpedia.org.

    South Dakota

    See also: South Dakota 2016 ballot measures

    Ballotpedia does not have data on polls for ballot measures in this state. If you know of polls that should be posted here, please email editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Utah

    See also: Utah 2016 ballot measures

    Ballotpedia does not have data on polls for ballot measures in this state. If you know of polls that should be posted here, please email editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Virginia

    See also: Virginia 2016 ballot measures

    Ballotpedia does not have data on polls for ballot measures in this state. If you know of polls that should be posted here, please email editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Washington

    See also: Washington 2016 ballot measures

    Ballotpedia does not have data on polls for ballot measures in this state. If you know of polls that should be posted here, please email editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Wyoming

    See also: Wyoming 2016 ballot measures

    Ballotpedia does not have data on polls for ballot measures in this state. If you know of polls that should be posted here, please email editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Measures that did not make the ballot

    The section below lists polls for measures that were proposed, but that did not make the ballot in 2016. For polling data about measures that were certified for 2016 ballots, see the section above. Ballotpedia does not comprehensively cover polling for measures that did not make the ballot. The polls listed below are about a small selection of proposed measures that did not make the ballot.

    Massachusetts

    Ending Common Core Initiative

    See also: Massachusetts Ending Common Core Education Standards Initiative
    Massachusetts Removal of Common Core
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    UMass Amherst
    2/19/2016 - 2/25/2016
    53.0%22.0%25.0%+/-4.1891
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Taxing the Wealthy for Education and Transportation Funding

    See also: Massachusetts Income Tax for Education and Transportation Amendment
    Massachusetts Tax the Wealthy for Education and Transportation Funding
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    UMass Amherst
    2/19/2016 - 2/25/2016
    62.0%30.0%9.0%+/-4.1891
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Michigan

    Marijuana Legalization Initiative

    See also: Michigan Marijuana Legalization Initiative
    Michigan Marijuana Legalization
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    EPIC-MRA
    12/10/2014 - 12/14/2014
    50.0%46.0%4.0%+/-4.0600
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    New Mexico

    Marijuana Legalization Amendment

    See also: New Mexico Marijuana Legalization Amendment
    Arizona Marijuana Legalization Poll
    Poll Support OpposeMargin of errorSample size
    Research & Polling Inc.
    1/8/2016 - 1/13/2016
    61%34%+/-5406
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Ohio

    Medical Marijuana Amendment

    See also: Ohio Medical Cannabis Amendment
    Ohio Medical Cannabis
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    Marijuana Policy Project
    2/17/2016 - 2/18/2016
    74.0%22.0%4.0%+/-3.8672
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Oregon

    Minimum Wage Initiative

    See also: Oregon $15 Minimum Wage Initiative
    Oregon $15 Minimum Wage
    Poll Support OpposeUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
    GBA Strategies
    1/12/2015 - 1/14/2015
    54.0%38.0%8.0%+/-3.5800
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Utah

    Medical Marijuana Legalization Initiative

    See also: Utah Medical Marijuana Legalization Initiative

    A survey of 624 Utah residents asked if they favored or opposed legalizing marijuana for medicinal purposes.

    Utah Medical Marijuana Poll
    Poll Definitely favor Somewhat favorDon't knowSomewhat opposeDefinitely opposeMargin of errorSample size
    Dan Jones & Associates
    November 5-14, 2015
    35%26%2%11%25%+/-3.92624
    Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    The poll also indicated the following demographic-specific results:

    • About 61 percent of respondents 45 or older were in favor of legalization.
    • Among respondents aged 18-24, 51 percent were in favor, and 46 percent were opposed.
    • "Very active" mormons oppose legalization 50-48.
    • Catholics support legalization 82-18.
    • Protestants support legalization 65-30

    • Among the non-religious, 87 percent favor legalization, and 7 percent oppose it.
    • Republicans favor legalization 49-48.
    • Democrats favor legalization 86-13.
    • Independents favor legalization 65-32.

    See also

    Footnotes

    1. The Arizona Republic, "Poll: Most Arizona voters buy a $12 minimum wage," September 7, 2016
    2. Arizona Capitol Times, "Poll indicates fate of marijuana measure uncertain as more money pumped in to defeat it," October 10, 2016
    3. HighGround Public Affairs, "Recreational Marijuana on the Brink - Minimum Wage Passing in Latest Statewide Poll," October 18, 2016
    4. The Arizona Republic, "Poll: Arizona marijuana-legalization campaign could fail if voted on today," April 20, 2016
    5. The Arizona Republic, "Poll: Half want to see marijuana legalized in Arizona," September 7, 2016
    6. Peoria Times, "Report indicates recreational marijuana faces uphill battle in Arizona in November," September 9, 2016
    7. Arizona Capitol Times, "Poll indicates fate of marijuana measure uncertain as more money pumped in to defeat it," October 10, 2016
    8. HighGround Public Affairs, "Recreational Marijuana on the Brink - Minimum Wage Passing in Latest Statewide Poll," October 18, 2016
    9. Cronkite News, "Poll: Arizona voters still split on Prop 205 to legalize marijuana," October 20, 2016
    10. Data Orbital, "New Arizona Poll: Trump Up 4%, McCain up 10%, and Marijuana Down By 6%" November 1, 2016
    11. Data Orbital, "Arizona Statewide Poll Results," November 4, 2016
    12. 12.00 12.01 12.02 12.03 12.04 12.05 12.06 12.07 12.08 12.09 12.10 12.11 12.12 12.13 Field Poll/IGS Poll, "Strong support for Prop. 58. Backing fades if repeal of Prop. 227 provision is mentioned," September 28, 2016 Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "field1" defined multiple times with different content Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "field1" defined multiple times with different content Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "field1" defined multiple times with different content Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "field1" defined multiple times with different content Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "field1" defined multiple times with different content Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "field1" defined multiple times with different content
    13. CALSPEAKS, "General Election October 2016 Survey of Californians," October 20, 2016
    14. The Field Poll, "Voters Inclined to Support Many of this Year's Statewide Ballot Propositions," November 4, 2016
    15. Probolsky Research, "California Voters Support Legalizing Recreational Marijuana," February 24, 2016
    16. Probolsky Research, "California Statewide Voter Survey," August 10, 2016
    17. California Counts, "California Counts poll offers insights into voters outlook on state," September 8, 2016
    18. International Business Times, "California Marijuana Update: Will Prop 64 Pass? Poll Shows More Californians In Favor Of Legalizing Recreational Weed," September 13, 2016
    19. SurveyUSA, "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #23139," September 12, 2016
    20. Public Policy Institute of California, "Californians & Their Government," September 2016
    21. CALSPEAKS, "General Election October 2016 Survey of Californians," October 20, 2016
    22. Politico, "Hoover Institution Golden State Poll," October 31, 2016
    23. Orange County Register, "Clinton leads Trump by 26 percentage points in California in latest poll," October 17, 2016
    24. Public Policy Institute of California, "Californians and Their GovernmentOctober 2016 Full Crosstabs – Likely Voters Only," October 26, 2016
    25. Los Angeles Times, "Younger voters overwhelmingly favor marijuana measure, which is likely to pass, poll finds," November 2, 2016
    26. The Field Poll, "Voters Inclined to Support Many of this Year's Statewide Ballot Propositions," November 4, 2016
    27. Los Angeles Times, "Measure to increase the state's cigarette tax has a big lead, poll finds," September 16, 2016
    28. SurveyUSA, "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #23139," September 12, 2016
    29. Public Policy Institute of California, "Californians & Their Government," September 2016
    30. CALSPEAKS, "General Election October 2016 Survey of Californians," October 20, 2016
    31. SurveyUSA, "On Eve of Final Presidential Debate, Trump in California Risks Getting Smaller Percentage of Popular Vote Than Any Republican Candidate in the Past 100 Years; Recreational Marijuana Prop 64 Still Leads Ever-So-Slightly; Harris Safe," October 17, 2016
    32. Public Policy Institute of California, "Californians and Their GovernmentOctober 2016 Full Crosstabs – Likely Voters Only," October 26, 2016
    33. The Field Poll, "Voters Inclined to Support Many of this Year's Statewide Ballot Propositions," November 4, 2016
    34. California Counts, "California Counts poll offers insights into voters outlook on state," September 8, 2016
    35. Los Angeles Times, "Two-thirds of Californians favor Gov. Jerry Brown's plan to revamp prison parole rules," September 16, 2016
    36. CALSPEAKS, "General Election October 2016 Survey of Californians," October 20, 2016
    37. Los Angeles Times, "New poll finds voters poised to pass Prop. 57 and revamp California's prison parole rules," November 3, 2016
    38. The Field Poll, "Voters Inclined to Support Many of this Year's Statewide Ballot Propositions," November 4, 2016
    39. Los Angeles Times, "California voters oppose ending state's death penalty," September 16, 2016
    40. SurveyUSA, "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #23139," September 12, 2016
    41. CALSPEAKS, "General Election October 2016 Survey of Californians," October 20, 2016
    42. Politico, "Hoover Institution Golden State Poll," October 31, 2016
    43. SurveyUSA, "On Eve of Final Presidential Debate, Trump in California Risks Getting Smaller Percentage of Popular Vote Than Any Republican Candidate in the Past 100 Years; Recreational Marijuana Prop 64 Still Leads Ever-So-Slightly; Harris Safe," October 17, 2016
    44. Los Angeles Times, "October Release," accessed November 3, 2016
    45. The Field Poll, "Voters Inclined to Support Many of this Year's Statewide Ballot Propositions," November 4, 2016
    46. The Mercury News, "Poll: California death penalty is toss-up for voters," August 11, 2016
    47. CALSPEAKS, "General Election October 2016 Survey of Californians," October 20, 2016
    48. Politico, "Hoover Institution Golden State Poll," October 31, 2016
    49. Los Angeles Times, "October Release," accessed November 3, 2016
    50. The Field Poll, "Voters Inclined to Support Many of this Year's Statewide Ballot Propositions," November 4, 2016
    51. The Mercury News, "Poll: California death penalty is toss-up for voters," August 11, 2016
    52. California Counts, "California Counts poll offers insights into voters outlook on state," September 8, 2016
    53. Los Angeles Times, "Gun control initiative has strong support among California voters, poll finds," September 14, 2016
    54. SurveyUSA, "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #23139," September 12, 2016
    55. CALSPEAKS, "General Election October 2016 Survey of Californians," October 20, 2016
    56. SurveyUSA, "On Eve of Final Presidential Debate, Trump in California Risks Getting Smaller Percentage of Popular Vote Than Any Republican Candidate in the Past 100 Years; Recreational Marijuana Prop 64 Still Leads Ever-So-Slightly; Harris Safe," October 17, 2016
    57. Los Angeles Times, "California voters support gun control initiative, Proposition 63, poll says," November 3, 2016
    58. The Field Poll, "Voters Inclined to Support Many of this Year's Statewide Ballot Propositions," November 4, 2016
    59. CALSPEAKS, "General Election October 2016 Survey of Californians," October 20, 2016
    60. 60.0 60.1 60.2 60.3 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
    61. Belleville News-Democrat, "Illinoisans want term limits, redistricting and ‘lockbox’ on road funds," October 5, 2016
    62. CBS Boston, "WBZ-UMass Poll: Voters Favor Legal Recreational Marijuana, But Have Reservations," September 28, 2016
    63. Boston Globe, "Voters split on charter schools, favor legal pot," October 27, 2016
    64. Boston Globe, "Voters split on charter schools, favor legal pot," October 27, 2016
    65. CBS Boston, "WBZ-UMass Poll: Voters Favor Legal Recreational Marijuana, But Have Reservations," September 28, 2016
    66. Boston Globe, "Voters split on charter schools, favor legal pot," October 27, 2016
    67. The Kansas City Star, "Backers of Missouri tobacco tax tout new poll," August 5, 2016
    68. St. Louis Post-Dispatch, "Poll shows Missouri voters not fired up about raising nation's lowest cigarette tax," October 29, 2016
    69. St. Louis Post-Dispatch, "Poll shows Missouri voters not fired up about raising nation's lowest cigarette tax," October 29, 2016
    70. Moore Information, "Marsy’s Law Survey Results: Montana," July 29, 2016
    71. Prism Surveys, "Survey on the Death Penalty," March 10, 2015
    72. Las Vegas Review-Journal, "Nevada Poll: Voters strongly support Questions 3 and 4," October 5, 2016
    73. The Washington Times, "Poll: New Jerseyans split on 2 amendments on November ballot," July 11, 2016
    74. The Observer, "Stockton New Jersey Poll: Clinton 51%, Trump 40%" November 4, 2016
    75. The Oklahoman, "Poll shows support for education tax, sentencing reform initiatives," August 1, 2016
    76. Note: The polling results for State Question 776 were not presented on the Sooner Poll website or in the article by the Oklahoman. These numbers were provided by a Sooner Poll representative through a telephone correspondence on September 30, 2016.
    77. Blue Mountain Eagle, "Poll: Support for Measure 97 erodes when voters hear pros/cons," September 12, 2016
    78. DMH Research, "Support for Measure 97 outweighs opposition 60% to 30%," September 8, 2016
    79. Blue Mountain Eagle, "Poll: Support for Measure 97 erodes when voters hear pros/cons," September 12, 2016
    80. OPB, "Oregon Poll: Clinton Gains Big Lead Over Trump; Measure 97 Opposition Grows," October 4, 2016
    81. SurveyUSA, "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #23213," October 13, 2016
    82. Portland Tribune, "Poll: Support drops for Measure 97, Richardson leads," October 17, 2016
    83. Riley Research Associates, "Oregon Statewide Likely Voter Survey," October 18, 2016
    84. Fox 12, "FOX 12-DHM Poll: Clinton leads Trump in Oregon; Measure 97 trends toward defeat," November 1, 2016
    85. Blue Mountain Eagle, "Poll: Support for Measure 97 erodes when voters hear pros/cons," September 12, 2016
    86. Blue Mountain Eagle, "Poll: Support for Measure 97 erodes when voters hear pros/cons," September 12, 2016
    87. The Philadelphia Inquirer, "Commentary: Wording matters on Pa.'s judicial ballot question," October 7, 2016