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Alabama's 5th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 21 Republican primary runoff)

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2024
2020
Alabama's 5th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
Republican primary runoff
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: January 28, 2022
Primary: May 24, 2022
Primary runoff: June 21, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Alabama
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): R+17
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
Alabama's 5th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th
Alabama elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

Dale Strong (R) defeated Casey Wardynski (R) in the Republican primary runoff for Alabama's 5th Congressional District on June 21, 2022. Republican Rep. Mo Brooks represented this district for more than a decade. In 2022, he ran for the U.S. Senate rather than seeking re-election, creating an open seat. Brooks did not make an endorsement in this race.[1][2][3]

In Alabama, a candidate must receive over 50% of the vote to advance directly to the general election. Since no candidate received a majority of votes in the May 24, 2022, Republican primary, the top two finishers (Strong and Wardynski) advanced to a June 21, 2022, runoff election. According to the results of this runoff election, Strong earned 63.4% of the vote, followed by Wardynski with 36.6%. Strong will face Kathy Warner-Stanton (D) in the general election on Nov. 8, 2022.

Strong served as the chairman of the Madison County Commission in 2022 and has held this position since 2012. He was a volunteer firefighter and emergency medical technician (EMT) in the Monrovia area. Strong described himself as “a pro-life Christian who will stand up for the unborn and fight for our Christian values.”[4] He said, “These values are under attack today by those who want to control what we read on social media and what our children are taught in school.”[5][4]Strong was the first candidate to enter this primary race and held the lead in polling and fundraising in the weeks before the election.[2][3]

Wardynski served as the assistant secretary of the Army for manpower and reserve affairs under former President Donald Trump (R) from 2019 to 2020. He also served as the superintendent of Huntsville city schools from 2011 to 2016. Wardynski described himself as “a proud, pro-Trump conservative Republican who answered the call when President Trump asked me to be his Assistant Secretary of the Army.” He said, “I am committed to advancing the America First Agenda. I am not afraid to take on The Swamp and the special interests who fought President Trump at every turn. I will fight Joe Biden when he tries to roll back the progress created under President Trump.”[6][7]


This page focuses on Alabama's 5th Congressional District Republican primary runoff. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary, Republican primary, and the general election, see the following pages:

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Candidates and election results

Republican primary runoff election

Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Alabama District 5

Dale Strong defeated Casey Wardynski in the Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Alabama District 5 on June 21, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Dale Strong
Dale Strong
 
63.4
 
48,138
Image of Casey Wardynski
Casey Wardynski
 
36.6
 
27,794

Total votes: 75,932
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Dale Strong

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Biography:  Strong earned a B.S. in business administration from Athens State University and received his emergency medical technician (EMT) license from the University of Alabama in Huntsville. He was an active member of the Monrovia Volunteer Fire Department in 2022, serving as both a firefighter and EMT. He also served as chairman of the Madison County Commission, becoming the first Republican ever elected to the position in 2012.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Strong stressed his deep connection to the Monrovia area, noting that he graduated from Steadman High School and saying, “I was born and raised right here in Madison County. My roots run deep through our North Alabama red clay.”


Strong explained that, “I was a proud and public supporter of Donald Trump for President and I am even more proud of him today…I am running for Congress because that movement must continue…”


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Alabama District 5 in 2022.

Image of Casey Wardynski

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Biography:  Wardynski served as Assistant Secretary of the Army for Manpower and Reserve Affairs from 2019 to 2021. After a thirty-year career in the U.S. Army, he also served as an associate professor of economics in the department of social sciences at the United States Military Academy at West Point from 1995 to 2010. He later served as the superintendent of Huntsville city schools from 2011 to 2016.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Wardynski’s campaign manager said that he “is not a career politician, he’s the outsider and the real America First candidate in this race.” 


Wardynski’s campaign manager summarized the candidate’s experience as follows: “Casey served in the Trump administration, fought critical race theory at West Point, and literally helped President Trump build the wall.”


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Alabama District 5 in 2022.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.

Campaign advertisements

This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.

Republican Party Dale Strong

Mar. 29, 2021

View more candidate videos here:

Republican Party Casey Wardynski

April 29, 2021

View more candidate videos here:


Endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

Click the links below to see official endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites for any candidates that make that information available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.


Election competitiveness

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

Polls

We provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. No polls were available for this election. To notify us of polls published in this election, please email us.


General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[8]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[9][10][11]

Race ratings: Alabama's 5th Congressional District election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Election spending

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[12] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[13]

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Dale Strong Republican Party $1,994,354 $1,975,308 $19,045 As of December 31, 2022
Casey Wardynski Republican Party $777,338 $777,338 $0 As of August 2, 2022

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.

Satellite spending

See also: Satellite spending

Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[14][15][16]

If available, this section includes links to online resources tracking satellite spending in this election. To notify us of a resource to add, email us.

By candidate By election

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
  • Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

Alabama District 5
before 2020 redistricting cycle

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Alabama District 5
after 2020 redistricting cycle

Click a district to compare boundaries.


Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Alabama after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[17] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[18]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Alabama
District 2022 district Political predecessor district
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Alabama's 1st 35.3% 63.6% 35.3% 63.7%
Alabama's 2nd 34.8% 64.2% 35.1% 63.9%
Alabama's 3rd 32.5% 66.6% 33.7% 65.3%
Alabama's 4th 18.6% 80.4% 17.8% 81.2%
Alabama's 5th 35.6% 62.7% 35.7% 62.7%
Alabama's 6th 34.4% 64.4% 31.8% 67.0%
Alabama's 7th 65.6% 33.6% 70.8% 28.5%

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Alabama.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Alabama in 2022. Information below was calculated on April 28, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

In 2022, 22 candidates ran for Alabama’s seven U.S. House districts, including 13 Republicans and eight Democrats. That’s 3.14 candidates per district, less than the 3.57 candidates per district in 2020 and 3.28 in 2018.

This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. Alabama was apportioned the same number of congressional districts as after the 2010 census.

One district — the 5th — was open, with incumbent Rep. Mo Brooks (R) running for the U.S. Senate. Brooks was first elected in 2010 after defeating Steve Raby (D) 57.9% to 42.1%. The open seat in 2022 was one more than in 2012, the previous post-redistricting election year. There were two open seats in 2020, no open seats in 2018 and 2016, and one open seat in 2014.

There were three contested Democratic primaries and two contested Republican primaries. Five incumbents - four Republicans and one Democrat - didn't face any primary challengers. Two districts — the 1st and the 6th — were guaranteed to Republicans since no Democrats filed for election. There were no districts guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans filed. Eight candidates — two Democrats and six Republicans — ran in the 5th district, more than in any other.

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+17. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 17 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Alabama's 5th the 66th most Republican district nationally.[19]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Alabama's 5th based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
35.6% 62.7%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Alabama, 2020

Alabama presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 16 Democratic wins
  • 13 Republican wins
  • 2 other wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960[20] 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D D D D D D D D D D D D SR[21] D D D R AI[22] R D R R R R R R R R R R R


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Alabama and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Alabama
Alabama United States
Population 4,779,736 308,745,538
Land area (sq mi) 50,646 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 68.1% 72.5%
Black/African American 26.6% 12.7%
Asian 1.4% 5.5%
Native American 0.5% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0% 0.2%
Other (single race) 1.4% 4.9%
Multiple 1.9% 3.3%
Hispanic/Latino 4.3% 18%
Education
High school graduation rate 86.2% 88%
College graduation rate 25.5% 32.1%
Income
Median household income $50,536 $62,843
Persons below poverty level 16.7% 13.4%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Alabama's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Alabama, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 1 1
Republican 2 6 8
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 7 9


State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Alabama's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Alabama, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Kay Ivey
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Will Ainsworth
Secretary of State Republican Party John Merrill
Attorney General Republican Party Steve Marshall

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Alabama State Legislature as of November 2022.

Alabama State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 8
     Republican Party 27
     Vacancies 0
Total 35

Alabama House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 28
     Republican Party 73
     Vacancies 4
Total 105

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Alabama was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Alabama Party Control: 1992-2022
Six years of Democratic trifectas  •  Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor R D D R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R

Election context

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Alabama in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Alabama, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Alabama U.S. House Ballot-qualified party N/A Fixed by party 2/11/2022 Source
Alabama U.S. House Unaffiliated 3% of all votes cast for governor in the district in the last election N/A 5/24/2022 Source

District election history

2020

See also: Alabama's 5th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Alabama District 5

Incumbent Mo Brooks won election in the general election for U.S. House Alabama District 5 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Mo Brooks
Mo Brooks (R)
 
95.8
 
253,094
 Other/Write-in votes
 
4.2
 
11,066

Total votes: 264,160
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Alabama District 5

Incumbent Mo Brooks defeated Chris Lewis in the Republican primary for U.S. House Alabama District 5 on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Mo Brooks
Mo Brooks
 
74.9
 
84,013
Image of Chris Lewis
Chris Lewis Candidate Connection
 
25.1
 
28,182

Total votes: 112,195
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2018

See also: Alabama's 5th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Alabama District 5

Incumbent Mo Brooks defeated Peter Joffrion in the general election for U.S. House Alabama District 5 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Mo Brooks
Mo Brooks (R)
 
61.0
 
159,063
Image of Peter Joffrion
Peter Joffrion (D)
 
38.9
 
101,388
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
222

Total votes: 260,673
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Alabama District 5

Peter Joffrion advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Alabama District 5 on June 5, 2018.

Candidate
Image of Peter Joffrion
Peter Joffrion

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Alabama District 5

Incumbent Mo Brooks defeated Clayton Hinchman in the Republican primary for U.S. House Alabama District 5 on June 5, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Mo Brooks
Mo Brooks
 
61.3
 
54,928
Clayton Hinchman
 
38.7
 
34,739

Total votes: 89,667
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2016

See also: Alabama's 5th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Mo Brooks (R) defeated Will Boyd (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. They were both uncontested in the primary.[23][24][25]

U.S. House, Alabama District 5 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngMo Brooks Incumbent 66.7% 205,647
     Democratic Will Boyd 33.2% 102,234
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 445
Total Votes 308,326
Source: Alabama Secretary of State


See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. AL.com, "Alabama congressman Mo Brooks launches U.S. Senate campaign," May 3, 2022
  2. 2.0 2.1 Yellow Hammer News, “Fifth congressional district poll: Strong 29%, Sanford 7%, Wardynski 6%,” May 2, 2022
  3. 3.0 3.1 AL.com, “Dale Strong maintains fundraising lead for Alabama’s open congressional seat,” May 3, 2022
  4. 4.0 4.1 ‘’Dale Strong’s campaign website’’, “Where I Stand,” May 3, 2022
  5. Dale Strong’s campaign website, “About,” May 3, 2022
  6. Association of the United States Army website, “Dr. E. Casey Wardynski,” May 11, 2022
  7. Casey Wardynski’s campaign website, “Issues,” May 3, 2022
  8. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  9. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  10. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  11. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  12. Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  13. Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  14. OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
  15. OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
  16. National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
  17. Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
  18. Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
  19. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  20. Although he was not on the ballot, Harry F. Byrd (D) won six unpledged electoral votes in Alabama's 1960 election against Richard Nixon (R) and Democratic Party nominee John F. Kennedy. Kennedy won Alabama's popular vote and received five electoral votes.
  21. States' Rights Democratic Party
  22. American Independent Party
  23. The New York Times, "Alabama Primary Results," accessed March 1, 2016
  24. Alabama Republican Party, "2016 Qualified Alabama Republican Candidates," accessed November 10, 2015
  25. Alabama Democrats, "Qualified Democratic Candidates as of November 6, 2015," accessed November 10, 2015
  26. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  27. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  28. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  29. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  30. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
  31. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
  32. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1998," accessed March 28, 2013
  33. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 1996," accessed March 28, 2013


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Republican Party (7)
Democratic Party (2)