Arizona's 1st Congressional District election, 2024 (July 30 Democratic primary)
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| Arizona's 1st Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: April 1, 2024 |
| Primary: July 30, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Arizona |
| Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Lean Republican Inside Elections: Tilt Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th Arizona elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
A Democratic Party primary took place on July 30, 2024, in Arizona's 1st Congressional District to determine which Democratic candidate would run in the district's general election on November 5, 2024.
Amish Shah advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 1.
All 435 seats were up for election. At the time of the election, Republicans had a 220 to 212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As of June 2024, 45 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.
In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 50.4%-49.6%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 50.1%-48.6%.[2]
| Candidate filing deadline | Primary election | General election |
|---|---|---|
A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Arizona utilizes a semi-closed primary system. Unaffiliated voters may choose which party's primary they will vote in, but voters registered with a party can only vote in that party's primary.[3][4][5]
For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.
This page focuses on Arizona's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Republican primary and the general election, see the following pages:
- Arizona's 1st Congressional District election, 2024 (July 30 Republican primary)
- Arizona's 1st Congressional District election, 2024
Candidates and election results
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 1
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 1 on July 30, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Amish Shah | 23.5 | 17,214 |
 | Andrei Cherny | 21.3 | 15,596 | |
 | Marlene Galán-Woods | 21.2 | 15,490 | |
 | Conor O'Callaghan  | 18.5 | 13,539 | |
 | Andrew Horne | 12.3 | 8,991 | |
 | Kurt Kroemer | 3.2 | 2,356 | |
| Total votes: 73,186 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Cody Newman (D)
- Melissa Lamore (D)
- John Williamson (D)
- Robert Glasgow (D)
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I grew up in the Best District in the United States. Born and raised in Scottsdale Arizona. I know this district well. I attended public school through Scottsdale Unified School District and was a part of scouting adventures throughout Arizona. My Eagle Scout project took place in what is now the McDowell Sonoran Preserve. I have seen many changes in the Valley over the years. I continued to live in District 1 while attending Arizona State University. After completing my Doctor of Dental Surgery and residency in Orthodontics and Dentofacial Orthopedics I opened my own private practice in Colorado Springs, Colorado. I decided to move back home to the Valley so my daughter would grow up with four grandparents and a great childhood in the Best District in the United States. I have founded two small Businesses in Arizona that continue to grow. I know this District, I love this District, and I will represent it well."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Arizona District 1 in 2024.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I’ve spent my life leading in moments of crisis and helping those in need. My parents instilled in me the simple lessons of right and wrong - and a moral compass that requires me to lift others up, not tear them down. For the past 15 years, I’ve been a senior executive at some of our most important and iconic organizations, including as the CEO of the American Red Cross in Arizona and as the COO of the Make-A-Wish Foundation of America, overseeing a $250m annual budget. I also spent 11 years working for Congress as an Investigator, holding Top Secret clearance, while working on national security and public health issues. I’ve helped to build multi-million dollar companies and served as the COO for an organization dedicated to eradicating human trafficking and genocides across the globe. It’s simple: David Schweikert is only looking out for himself. I’ve spent my life looking out for others and that’s why I am running for Congress to replace him. "
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Arizona District 1 in 2024.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "Born in Ireland, I moved to what is now AZ-01 when I was 4 years old. I attended public schools K-12 and graduated from Chaparral High School. My wife, who fled her native Iran during the revolution in 1979, and I are raising our 3 kids in Scottsdale; all in local public school, they are zoned to attend Chaparral like I did. We need someone from this district, for this district, who has the team and resources to finally flip this seat. Heading into the final full quarter of the primary, we have more cash on hand than any candidate, including MAGA extremist incumbent David Schweikert. My entire campaign team (from campaign manager on down) is the same team that got Secretary of State Adrian Fontes elected by the widest margin statewide in 2022. This race is too important to lose; we MUST nominate the right candidate who can actually WIN. Thanks to the mentorship of my teachers and coaches here in AZ-01, I went on to earn 3 degrees from an Ivy League university (a B.S. from Wharton, a B.A.S. from the School of Engineering & Applied Science, and an M.P.A. from the Fels Institute of Government, all at the University of Pennsylvania). While working my way up on Wall Street, I met my wife, started a family, AND earned my law degree at night. What my family has achieved in just one generation is ONLY possible in this great nation. We as Democrats must reclaim the American Dream for future generations; it belongs to everyone – and that is exactly who I will fight for in DC."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Arizona District 1 in 2024.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- Arizona House of Representatives (2019-2024)
Biography: Shah received a bachelor's degree and M.D. from Northwestern University and an M.P.H. fron the University of California at Berkeley. He worked as a physician at the Mayo Clinic, Dignity Health, and IASIS Healthcare, as the chief medical officer of Urgent Consult, and as an airway management physician with the New York Jets.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Arizona District 1 in 2024.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Arizona
Campaign finance
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Cherny | Democratic Party | $2,593,679 | $2,588,313 | $5,366 | As of December 31, 2024 |
| Marlene Galán-Woods | Democratic Party | $1,776,275 | $1,776,275 | $0 | As of December 2, 2024 |
| Andrew Horne | Democratic Party | $2,814,612 | $2,814,612 | $0 | As of December 31, 2024 |
| Kurt Kroemer | Democratic Party | $297,460 | $297,460 | $0 | As of August 7, 2024 |
| Conor O'Callaghan | Democratic Party | $2,208,809 | $2,077,400 | $0 | As of November 25, 2024 |
| Amish Shah | Democratic Party | $6,343,150 | $6,252,020 | $91,802 | As of December 31, 2024 |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
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District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Arizona.
| Arizona U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
| 2024 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 38 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 44.4% | 3 | 42.9% | ||||
| 2022 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 50.0% | 3 | 37.5% | ||||
| 2020 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55.6% | 3 | 33.3% | ||||
| 2018 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 38 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 55.6% | 2 | 28.6% | ||||
| 2016 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 61.1% | 3 | 42.9% | ||||
| 2014 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 25 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 27.8% | 1 | 12.5% | ||||
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Arizona in 2024. Information below was calculated on May 26, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Thirty-eight candidates ran for Arizona’s nine U.S. House districts, including 16 Democrats and 22 Republicans. That’s 4.22 candidates per district. There were 4.33 candidates per district in 2022, 4.22 candidates per district in 2020, and 4.11 in 2018.
The 3rd and 8th Congressional Districts were open in 2024. Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-03) ran for the U.S. Senate, and Rep. Debbie Lesko (R-08) ran for the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors.
Nine candidates—six Democrats and three Republicans—ran for the 1st Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a seat in Arizona in 2024.
Eight primaries—two Democratic and six Republican—were contested in 2024. That's the fewest since 2014, when five primaries were contested.
Three incumbents—all Republicans—were in contested primaries in 2024.
Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all nine districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+2. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 2 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Arizona's 1st the 214th most Republican district nationally.[6]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
| 2020 presidential results in Arizona's 1st based on 2024 district lines | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden 
|
Donald Trump 
| |||
| 50.1% | 48.6% | |||
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[7] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
| Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Baseline
|
Republican Baseline
|
Difference | ||
| 48.2 | 51.0 | R+2.8 | ||
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Arizona, 2020
Arizona presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 9 Democratic wins
- 19 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | N/A | N/A | N/A | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | D |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Arizona's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Arizona | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Republican | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Total | 2 | 9 | 11 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Arizona's top three state executive offices as of May 2024.
| State executive officials in Arizona, May 2024 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | Katie Hobbs
|
| Secretary of State | Adrian Fontes
|
| Attorney General | Kris Mayes
|
State legislature
Arizona State Senate
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 14 | |
| Republican Party | 16 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 30 | |
Arizona House of Representatives
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 28 | |
| Republican Party | 31 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 1 | |
| Total | 60 | |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Arizona Party Control: 1992-2024
No Democratic trifectas • Twenty-two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D |
| Senate | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Arizona in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Arizona, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| Arizona | U.S. House | Democratic | 1,458[8] | N/A | 4/1/2024 | Source |
| Arizona | U.S. House | Republican | 1,572[8] | N/A | 4/1/2024 | Source |
| Arizona | U.S. House | Libertarian | 802[8] | N/A | 4/1/2024 | Source |
| Arizona | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 4,701[8] | N/A | 4/1/2024 | Source |
See also
- Arizona's 1st Congressional District election, 2024 (July 30 Republican primary)
- Arizona's 1st Congressional District election, 2024
- United States House elections in Arizona, 2024 (July 30 Democratic primaries)
- United States House elections in Arizona, 2024 (July 30 Republican primaries)
- United States House Democratic Party primaries, 2024
- United States House Republican Party primaries, 2024
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2024
- U.S. House battlegrounds, 2024
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ National Conference of State Legislatures, "State Primary Election Types," accessed July 19, 2024
- ↑ Citizens Clean Elections Commission, "Primary Election," accessed July 19, 2024
- ↑ Arizona State Legislature, "Arizona Revised Statutes 16-467," accessed July 19 2024
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
- ↑ 8.0 8.1 8.2 8.3 This is the average signature requirement of all congressional districts.
