Arizona's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 (July 30 Republican primary)

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Arizona's 3rd Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 1, 2024
Primary: July 30, 2024
General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Arizona
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
Arizona's 3rd Congressional District
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th
Arizona elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

A Republican Party primary took place on July 30, 2024, in Arizona's 3rd Congressional District to determine which Republican candidate would run in the district's general election on November 5, 2024.

Jeffrey Zink advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 3.

All 435 seats were up for election. At the time of the election, Republicans had a 220 to 212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As of June 2024, 45 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Democratic candidate won 77.0%-23.0%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 74.5%-23.9%.[2]

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
April 1, 2024
July 30, 2024
November 5, 2024


A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Arizona utilizes a semi-closed primary system. Unaffiliated voters may choose which party's primary they will vote in, but voters registered with a party can only vote in that party's primary.[3][4][5]

For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.

This page focuses on Arizona's 3rd Congressional District Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:

Candidates and election results

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 3

Jeffrey Zink defeated Jesus Mendoza and Nicholas Glenn in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 3 on July 30, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Jeffrey Zink
Jeffrey Zink
 
65.5
 
9,243
Image of Jesus Mendoza
Jesus Mendoza Candidate Connection
 
34.3
 
4,840
Image of Nicholas Glenn
Nicholas Glenn (Write-in)
 
0.3
 
37

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 14,120
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Jesus Mendoza

Image of Jesus Mendoza

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography:  "Hi, I'm David. I’m an immigrant, software engineer, and former public school interim teacher. I believe that solutions to our issues exist in protecting, respecting, and ensuring our rights. Only then can we work to educate the youth, re-build culture, fund mental health services, ensure corporate + political integrity, and wrangle the Federal Reserve. We must protect our environment, enhance our position as the global leader, and protect those seeking healthcare with pre-existing conditions. We can foster economic, cultural, and social prosperity in our district and we can focus on policies that prioritize the family, enabling individuals of all backgrounds to succeed. I’m running because I see that the direction both parties are heading will lead the nation off a cliff – I became involved because I don't see anyone in leadership doing the necessary job to resolve partisanship and other pressing issues. I hope to earn both your trust and your support for the 2024 election."

Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.

Partisanship is our greatest threat because it divides us at a fundamental level, undermining our ability to work together for the common good. It fosters an "us vs. them" mentality, where compromise and collaboration are seen as weaknesses rather than strengths. This polarization paralyzes our government, preventing effective solutions to pressing issues. Furthermore, it erodes public trust in institutions, as people feel their voices go unheard unless they align with a particular party. To move forward, we need to remember that our strength lies in our ability to stand together, respecting our differences while working towards shared goals. In the end, we must first overcome partisanship before we can solve for the rest.

Economic inequality leaves many Americans struggling while a small elite prospers, we're eroding the middle class and undermining the American Dream. Furthermore, economic disparities foster loathsome ideologies that challenge our society's foundational structures, while rising national debt and stagnant wages hinder investment in education, infrastructure, and innovation. To address this perfect storm, we need policies that support the middle class, promote homeownership, job stability, and family development. We must support small businesses, and invest in education and trades, all while we balance the budget and stabilize the debt - this is how we can secure a prosperous future for all Americans.

Foreign affairs pose a major threat, with impacts on our national security, economy, and way of life. Issues like terrorism, cyberattacks, and rising authoritarian/totalitarian regimes threaten our global position. Conflicts abroad can disrupt trade and economic stability, affecting American jobs and businesses. In our interconnected world, we must operate with a global perspective, but we must prioritize American interests first. Proactive and principled diplomacy, strong alliances, and promoting integrity in governance are essential; but we must first uphold these values domestically to avoid hypocrisy abroad. By leading with our own integrity and cooperation, we can ensure American interests and values are protected globally.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Arizona District 3 in 2024.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Arizona

Election information in Arizona: July 30, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: July 1, 2024
  • By mail: Received by July 1, 2024
  • Online: July 1, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: July 19, 2024
  • By mail: Received by July 19, 2024
  • Online: July 19, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: July 30, 2024
  • By mail: Received by July 30, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

N/A

What were the early voting start and end dates?

July 3, 2024 to July 26, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

6:00 a.m. - 7:00 p.m. (MST)


Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Nicholas Glenn Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Jesus Mendoza Republican Party $10,978 $9,787 $1,191 As of December 31, 2024
Jeffrey Zink Republican Party $60,847 $79,391 $560 As of December 31, 2024

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," . This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

2023_01_03_az_congressional_district_03.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Arizona.

Arizona U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Year Districts/
offices 		Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2024 9 9 2 38 18 2 6 44.4% 3 42.9%
2022 9 9 1 40 18 2 7 50.0% 3 37.5%
2020 9 9 0 34 18 6 4 55.6% 3 33.3%
2018 9 9 2 38 18 5 5 55.6% 2 28.6%
2016 9 9 2 31 18 4 7 61.1% 3 42.9%
2014 9 9 1 25 18 1 4 27.8% 1 12.5%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Arizona in 2024. Information below was calculated on May 26, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Thirty-eight candidates ran for Arizona’s nine U.S. House districts, including 16 Democrats and 22 Republicans. That’s 4.22 candidates per district. There were 4.33 candidates per district in 2022, 4.22 candidates per district in 2020, and 4.11 in 2018.

The 3rd and 8th Congressional Districts were open in 2024. Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-03) ran for the U.S. Senate, and Rep. Debbie Lesko (R-08) ran for the ​​Maricopa County Board of Supervisors.

Nine candidates—six Democrats and three Republicans—ran for the 1st Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a seat in Arizona in 2024.

Eight primaries—two Democratic and six Republican—were contested in 2024. That's the fewest since 2014, when five primaries were contested.

Three incumbents—all Republicans—were in contested primaries in 2024.

Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all nine districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+24. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 24 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Arizona's 3rd the 40th most Democratic district nationally.[6]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Arizona's 3rd based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
74.5% 23.9%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[7] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline Democratic Party Republican Baseline Republican Party Difference
73.9 25.0 R+48.9

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Arizona, 2020

Arizona presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 9 Democratic wins
  • 19 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party N/A N/A N/A D D R R R D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R D R R R R R D
See also: Party control of Arizona state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Arizona's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Arizona
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 2 2 4
Republican 0 6 6
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 1 1
Total 2 9 11

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Arizona's top three state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Arizona, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Katie Hobbs
Secretary of State Democratic Party Adrian Fontes
Attorney General Democratic Party Kris Mayes

State legislature

Arizona State Senate

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 14
     Republican Party 16
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 30

Arizona House of Representatives

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 28
     Republican Party 31
     Other 0
     Vacancies 1
Total 60

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Arizona Party Control: 1992-2024
No Democratic trifectas  •  Twenty-two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D
Senate D R R R R R R R R S S R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Arizona in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Arizona, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Arizona U.S. House Democratic 1,458[8] N/A 4/1/2024 Source
Arizona U.S. House Republican 1,572[8] N/A 4/1/2024 Source
Arizona U.S. House Libertarian 802[8] N/A 4/1/2024 Source
Arizona U.S. House Unaffiliated 4,701[8] N/A 4/1/2024 Source

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
  2. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  3. ↑ National Conference of State Legislatures, "State Primary Election Types," accessed July 19, 2024
  4. ↑ Citizens Clean Elections Commission, "Primary Election," accessed July 19, 2024
  5. ↑ Arizona State Legislature, "Arizona Revised Statutes 16-467," accessed July 19 2024
  6. ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  7. ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
  8. ↑ 8.0 8.1 8.2 8.3 This is the average signature requirement of all congressional districts.


Arizona's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Ruben Gallego (D)
Mark Kelly (D)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
Eli Crane (R)
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
Vacant
District 8
District 9
Republican Party (6)
Democratic Party (4)
Vacancies (1)


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