Arizona's 7th Congressional District election, 2020
- Election date: Nov. 3
- Registration deadline(s): Oct. 15
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Recount laws
- Early voting starts: Oct. 7
- Absentee/mail voting deadline(s): Nov. 3 (received)
- Processing, counting, and challenging absentee/mail-in ballots
- Voter ID: Non-photo ID
- Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
2022 →
← 2018
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| Arizona's 7th Congressional District |
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| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: April 6, 2020 |
| Primary: August 4, 2020 General: November 3, 2020 Pre-election incumbent: Ruben Gallego (Democrat) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Arizona |
| Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020 |
| See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th Arizona elections, 2020 U.S. Congress elections, 2020 U.S. Senate elections, 2020 U.S. House elections, 2020 |
All U.S. congressional districts, including the 7th Congressional District of Arizona, held elections in 2020.
Incumbent Ruben Gallego won election in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 7.
| Candidate filing deadline | Primary election | General election |
|---|---|---|
Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Ruben Gallego, who was first elected in 2014.
The 7th District is one of five primarily urban districts centered around Phoenix, Arizona.[1]
Post-election analysis
The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
| Presidential and congressional election results, Arizona's 7th Congressional District, 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Presidential | U.S. House |
Democratic candidate  |
73.7 | 76.7 |
Republican candidate  |
24.7 | 23.3 |
| Difference | 49 | 53.4 |
Election procedure changes in 2020
Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.
Arizona modified its voter registration procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:
- Voter registration: Voters had until 5:00 p.m. on October 15, 2020, to register to vote.
For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Arizona District 7
Incumbent Ruben Gallego defeated Josh Barnett, Roxanne Rodriguez, and J.Travis Kirkham in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 7 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Ruben Gallego (D) | 76.7 | 165,452 |
 | Josh Barnett (R)  | 23.3 | 50,226 | |
 | Roxanne Rodriguez (L) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 51 | |
| J.Travis Kirkham (R) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 3 | ||
| Total votes: 215,732 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7
Incumbent Ruben Gallego advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7 on August 4, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Ruben Gallego | 100.0 | 56,108 |
| Total votes: 56,108 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7
Josh Barnett advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7 on August 4, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Josh Barnett | 100.0 | 15,245 |
| Total votes: 15,245 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Chris Hindle (R)
- Nina Becker (R)
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+23, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 23 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Arizona's 7th Congressional District the 50th most Democratic nationally.[2]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.13. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.13 points toward that party.[3]
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[4] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[5] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruben Gallego | Democratic Party | $1,826,462 | $1,668,669 | $616,971 | As of December 31, 2020 |
| Josh Barnett | Republican Party | $28,093 | $17,883 | $10,210 | As of October 14, 2020 |
| J.Travis Kirkham | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Roxanne Rodriguez | Libertarian Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
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Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[6]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[7][8][9]
| Race ratings: Arizona's 7th Congressional District election, 2020 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 3, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | October 13, 2020 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season. | |||||||||
District election history
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Arizona District 7
Incumbent Ruben Gallego defeated Gary Swing in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 7 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Ruben Gallego (D) | 85.6 | 113,044 |
 | Gary Swing (G) | 14.2 | 18,706 | |
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.2 | 301 | ||
| Total votes: 132,051 (100.00% precincts reporting) | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7
Incumbent Ruben Gallego defeated Catherine H. Miranda in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7 on August 28, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Ruben Gallego | 74.8 | 32,231 |
 | Catherine H. Miranda | 25.2 | 10,856 | |
| Total votes: 43,087 (100.00% precincts reporting) | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Ruben Gallego (D) defeated Eve Nunez (R) and Joe Cobb (L) in the general election on November 8, 2016. No candidate faced a primary opponent in August.[10][11][12]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic |  Ruben Gallego Incumbent |
75.2% | 119,465 | |
| Republican | Eve Nunez | 24.7% | 39,286 | |
| N/A | Write-in | 0% | 60 | |
| Total Votes | 158,811 | |||
| Source: Arizona Secretary of State | ||||
2014
The 7th Congressional District of Arizona held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Ed Pastor (D) did not seek re-election in 2014.[13] Ruben Gallego (D) defeated Joe Cobb (L), Rebecca DeWitt (Americans Elect) and Jose Penalosa (I) in the general election.
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ruben Gallego |
74.9% | 54,235 | |
| Libertarian | Joe Cobb | 14.8% | 10,715 | |
| Americans Elect | Rebecca DeWitt | 5.3% | 3,858 | |
| Independent | Jose Penalosa | 4.8% | 3,496 | |
| Write-in | Gary Dunn | 0.2% | 129 | |
| Write-in | Gustavo Ortega | 0% | 17 | |
| Write-in | Samuel Esquivel | 0% | 4 | |
| Total Votes | 72,454 | |||
| Source: Arizona Secretary of State | ||||
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona, 2020
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2020
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Arizona Redistricting, "Map," accessed July 7, 2012
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Arizona Secretary of State, "2016 Primary Candidates," accessed June 2, 2016
- ↑ Politico, " Arizona House Primaries Results," August 30, 2016
- ↑ CNN, "Election Results," accessed November 8, 2016
- ↑ Reuters, "Arizona Democratic Rep. Ed Pastor says will retire," February 27, 2014
