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Arizona's 7th Congressional District special election, 2025 (July 15 Democratic primary)

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Adelita Grijalva (D) defeated four other candidates in the special Democratic primary for Arizona's 7th Congressional District on July 15, 2025. Those candidates were: Deja Foxx (D), Patrick Harris Sr., Daniel Hernandez Jr. (D), and Jose Malvido Jr.. Foxx, Grijalva, and Hernandez Jr. led in fundraising, endorsements, and media attention. The primary was the first step towards the Sept. 23, 2025, special election to fill the vacancy created when the previous incumbent, Rep. Raúl Grijalva (D-Ariz.), died on March 13.

Leading up to the election, The Arizona Capitol Times' Reagan Priest wrote, "The outcome of the primary in the deep blue district will demonstrate to the party’s top brass what kind of candidate Democratic voters are looking for and the issues they want that candidate to focus on."[1]

According to Axios Phoenix's Jeremy Duda, "The race initially appeared like a two-way contest between Grijalva and Hernandez, but Foxx has gained traction."[2] Duda wrote that Grijalva "touts herself as a progressive and boasts big-name endorsements, including U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders and U.S. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez." Duda wrote that Hernandez "previously ran in the neighboring 6th District and had a reputation as a moderate who worked with the Republican majority."[2] Duda also wrote that Foxx "describes herself as the race's change candidate."[2]

Foxx founded the organization GenZ Girl Gang.[3] According to the organization’s official website, it "works to foster collaboration between womxn of all ages through mentorship, intergenerational events, and informative posts."[4] Foxx also worked as a content creator, signing a contract with Ford Models Inc. in 2020.[3]

According to Foxx’s campaign website, "As someone who relied on Medicaid, SNAP, and Section 8 housing while growing up, Deja knows first-hand how critical these programs are to millions of Arizonans. When Trump and his billionaire buddies attempt to line their pockets by gutting Medicaid and essential services that help families get by, Deja will fight back because for her, it’s personal."[5]

Grijalva, who is Raúl Grijalva’s daughter, represented District 5 on the Pima County Board of Supervisors from 2021 to 2025. She served as an at-large member of the Tucson Unified School District Governing Board from 2003 to 2023. Her professional experience included working as the director of Pima County Teen Court, a diversion program for teens.[6]

Grijalva said she was running for Congress, "because this community, Southern Arizona, deserves the bold leadership that they've had with my dad for the last 22 years. At this time in our nation, we can't negotiate with a party of extremists, and you need people who are going to stand up for something. I'm going to stand up for Southern Arizona."[7]

Hernandez represented District 2 in the Arizona House of Representatives from 2017 to 2023. He served as an at-large member of the Sunnyside Unified School District Governing Board from 2011 to 2019. His professional experience included working as the associate executive director for the nonprofit Stand for Children.[8]

Hernandez said running for Congress was "an opportunity for me to once again serve the community that raised me and give other people a shot at the American Dream that I got [and] make sure that we're having somebody who goes to D.C. who can be a voice and an advocate for so many of these programs that are on the chopping block because of the Trump administration and the MAGA extremists that are enabling them in Washington."[9]

In April 2025, the Arizona Secretary of State's Office compiled a voter registration report showing that 40% of registered voters in the district identified as Democrats, 21% identified as Republicans, and 39% identified as members of a minor party.[10]

According to Roll Call’s Daniela Altimari, "The winner of the Democratic primary will be heavily favored in the Sept. 23 general election."[11] In the 2024 general election for the district, Raúl Grijalva defeated Daniel Butierez (R) 63% to 37%. Additionally, in the 2024 presidential election, Kamala Harris (D) won 61% of the vote in the district to Donald Trump’s 38%.

At the time of the election, five special elections had been called for the 119th Congress. From the 113th Congress to the 118th Congress, 80 special elections were held. For more data on historical congressional special elections, click here.

This page focuses on Arizona's 7th Congressional District special Democratic primary. For more in-depth information on the district's special Republican primary and the special general election, see the following pages:

Candidates and election results

Democratic primary election

Special Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7

Adelita Grijalva defeated Deja Foxx, Daniel Hernandez Jr., Patrick Harris Sr., and Jose Malvido Jr. in the special Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7 on July 15, 2025.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Adelita Grijalva
Adelita Grijalva
 
61.5
 
38,679
Image of Deja Foxx
Deja Foxx
 
22.4
 
14,078
Image of Daniel Hernandez Jr.
Daniel Hernandez Jr.
 
13.6
 
8,541
Image of Patrick Harris Sr.
Patrick Harris Sr. Candidate Connection
 
1.5
 
925
Image of Jose Malvido Jr.
Jose Malvido Jr.
 
1.1
 
687

Total votes: 62,910
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Voting information

See also: Voting in Arizona

Election information in Arizona District 7: July 15, 2025, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: June 16, 2025
  • By mail: Postmarked by June 16, 2025
  • Online: June 16, 2025

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: July 4, 2025
  • By mail: Received by July 4, 2025
  • Online: July 4, 2025

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: July 15, 2025
  • By mail: Received by July 15, 2025

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

June 18, 2025 to July 11, 2025

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

6:00 a.m. - 7:00 p.m. (MST)


Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Deja Foxx

WebsiteFacebookTwitter

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Biography:  Foxx received a bachelor's degree from Columbia University. Her professional experience included working as a content creator and as the founder of the organization Genz Girl Gang.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Foxx said she would address housing affordability by "prioritizing community-driven large-scale investment through the construction of as many as 12 million new units of social housing and allocating funds to maintain and upgrade the existing stock of public housing."


Regarding education, Foxx said she would work "to increase Title I funding and back low-income schools so every kid gets a fair shot, no matter their zip code."


Foxx said she would "work to pass policies that move us beyond simply restoring Roe." According to Foxx, these policies include repealing the Hyde Amendment and supporting the Women's Health Protection Act.


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Arizona District 7 in 2025.

Image of Adelita Grijalva

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

Biography:  Grijalva received a bachelor’s degree from the University of Arizona. Her professional experience included working as the director of Pima County Teen Court, a diversion program for teens.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Grijalva said she would “fight for legislation that creates workable legal pathways to citizenship for undocumented individuals, including Dreamers, DACA, veterans and TPS recipients, and includes humanitarian parole.”


Regarding healthcare, Grijalva said she would work to “protect Medicaid, Medicare, prescription drug caps, vaccines, preventive screenings, medical research, and minimum benefit standards.”


Grijalva said she would work to “lower housing prices by supporting construction of new affordable housing and providing grants to revitalize neighborhoods through housing repairs.”


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Arizona District 7 in 2025.

Image of Patrick Harris Sr.

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "I’m Patrick Harris, Sr., and I’ve had a unique journey. I was a high school dropout who started at Burger King. I worked my way through college, earned an MBA, held the top-floor corner office at a Fortune company, and ultimately retired as the President & CEO of a nonprofit by age 44. I’ve led teams in both the private and nonprofit sectors and built coalitions across industries. I’m also a father of six, a former member of Mensa, and a prolific innovator. I’ve lived the flaws of our rigged system, from economic hardship to healthcare obstacles, and I’ve created a bold solution to fix it: Capitated Capitalism (aka “Cap The Cap”). It’s a nonpartisan policy that ends extreme wealth hoarding and reignites the American Dream for everyone else. While politicians complain about the problem of hoarded wealth/billionaires, I created the solution and wrote the legislation. You can read the legislation and sign the petition at capthecap.com. I’m running for Congress because we need real-world problem solvers, not partisan performers. I created Cap The Cap to serve the people, not special interests. The best way to protect Cap The Cap from corruption is to lead it through Congress myself."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


Cap The Cap is a bold, nonpartisan economic policy that caps individual wealth at $1 billion and requires excess wealth to keep circulating in the economy. It ends extreme hoarding, which is the root cause of national collapse throughout history (Rome, France, and Russia all fell due to wealth concentration). Cap The Cap lowers costs, fights inflation, increases wages, grows the economy, stabilizes retirement savings, funds public programs, reduces per capita taxes, and puts us on a path to pay down the national debt. I’ve built a free, interactive AI at CapTheCap.com. Ask it anything about the draft 28th Amendment and see the impact for yourself.


I support a simple, powerful incentive to strengthen democracy: a tax credit for voting. Every eligible citizen who files a tax return and casts a ballot, no matter who they vote for, earns a credit. This nonpartisan solution rewards civic engagement, boosts voter turnout, and encourages more Americans to participate in shaping our future. It gives power back to the people and makes your vote truly count.


Everyone talks about healthcare for all, but it never happens because no one explains how to fund it. I have a plan: “MFN-plus.” MFN ensures government-funded healthcare pays no more than the lowest price for the same drug or service. The “plus” allows hospitals, pharmacies, etc. to cancel private insurer contracts that trigger MFN, pushing private insurers to pay more than taxpayers. This keeps providers solvent while saving taxpayers billions, funding better care for more people at lower cost. I aim for America to have the best care available for the most people at the lowest cost for taxpayers.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Arizona District 7 in 2025.

Image of Daniel Hernandez Jr.

WebsiteFacebookTwitter

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

Biography:  Hernandez received a bachelor’s degree and a master’s degree from the University of Arizona. His professional experience included working as the associate executive director for the nonprofit Stand for Children.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Hernandez said he would support ending right-to-work laws and "work to pass the bipartisan PRO Act, which will protect our union workers and stop unfair labor practices.”


Regarding affordability, Hernandez said he would support “lowering taxes for working class & middle-class families (not Donald Trump’s billionaire friends), repealing Trump’s tariffs on everyday goods, increasing the child tax credit, and investing in affordable housing.”


Hernandez said he would support “providing a pathway to citizenship for Dreamers, adding more immigration judges to solve the backlog in cases, funding more innovative technology for border security, and ensuring our ports of entry are equipped to reduce fentanyl and other drug trafficking to keep families and kids safe.”


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Arizona District 7 in 2025.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

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Cap The Cap is a bold, nonpartisan economic policy that caps individual wealth at $1 billion and requires excess wealth to keep circulating in the economy. It ends extreme hoarding, which is the root cause of national collapse throughout history (Rome, France, and Russia all fell due to wealth concentration).

Cap The Cap lowers costs, fights inflation, increases wages, grows the economy, stabilizes retirement savings, funds public programs, reduces per capita taxes, and puts us on a path to pay down the national debt. I’ve built a free, interactive AI at CapTheCap.com. Ask it anything about the draft 28th Amendment and see the impact for yourself.

I support a simple, powerful incentive to strengthen democracy: a tax credit for voting. Every eligible citizen who files a tax return and casts a ballot, no matter who they vote for, earns a credit. This nonpartisan solution rewards civic engagement, boosts voter turnout, and encourages more Americans to participate in shaping our future. It gives power back to the people and makes your vote truly count.

Everyone talks about healthcare for all, but it never happens because no one explains how to fund it. I have a plan: “MFN-plus.”

MFN ensures government-funded healthcare pays no more than the lowest price for the same drug or service. The “plus” allows hospitals, pharmacies, etc. to cancel private insurer contracts that trigger MFN, pushing private insurers to pay more than taxpayers. This keeps providers solvent while saving taxpayers billions, funding better care for more people at lower cost.

I aim for America to have the best care available for the most people at the lowest cost for taxpayers.
AI, Defense, Education, Energy, Healthcare, Housing, Tax, and anything my constituents need to improve their quality of life.
There are many people I look up to and admire.

George Washington, for his courage and leadership. His “cannot tell a lie” story inspired me to plant a cherry tree, which still stands tall on my uncle’s property today. Sun Tzu, for his strategic brilliance and understanding of power without unnecessary conflict. John Nash, for his revolutionary insights into game theory and how cooperation can lead to better outcomes. Alfred Nobel, for transforming his legacy into one of peace and progress.

I admire those who shaped the world we live in today, and I aim to be part of the leadership that shapes the world of tomorrow.
There is no single book, essay, or film that embodies my political philosophy. However, my favorite book is The Art of War, and my favorite essay is A Modest Proposal. As for films, there are too many to list, but I’m drawn to stories where unlikely heroes overcome the odds.
The most important duty is listening, really listening, to the people you represent. I call it VOC (“Voice of the Constituent”). Before you can lead, you have to understand what people are facing, whether that’s rising costs, lack of opportunity, or broken trust in government. Once that voice is clear, the next duty is to act by studying, drafting, and negotiating legislation that reflects the real needs of the people. Being in Congress is about delivering results for the people you serve. That means forming coalitions, finding common ground, and ensuring our community isn’t left behind when national decisions are made. It starts with listening, and it ends with impact.
I bring a blend of lived experience, strategic thinking, and principled leadership that’s rare in public office. I’ve gone from homeless high-school dropout to MBA graduate, Fortune-level executive, and nonprofit CEO. I know how to navigate complexity, build coalitions, and deliver results under pressure.

My background in game theory and innovation (I’m a former Mensan and the architect of Capitated Capitalism) means I approach every challenge like a strategist. I identify root causes, model incentives, and design solutions that work in the real world.

Just as important, I’ve felt the weight of medical debt, unemployment, and single-parent worries, so my empathy is earned, not imagined. I’m transparent by default, quick to master new policy domains, and unafraid to challenge groupthink, yet disciplined enough to listen first and collaborate across party lines.

Finally, my journey and faith keep me grounded and mission-focused on leaving Congress and the country better than I found it.
Being in Congress is not just about winning headlines or gaining followers. A member of Congress has three core responsibilities: 1) represent their constituents honestly, 2) legislate with integrity, and 3) protect the long-term well-being of the nation. That means listening to the people, not just donors or “party leaders”, and drafting legislation that solves real problems.

It also means being a steward of the public trust, which includes, but is not limited to, managing budgets responsibly, defending democratic institutions, and preparing the country for the future. Ending extreme wealth hoarding, fixing healthcare costs, and incentivizing civic engagement can help restore the American Dream, but the work doesn’t stop there. We need leaders who can plan for the future (AI, Defense, Education, etc.).

At the end of the day, the true responsibility of a statesman is to leave Congress better than they found it.
I want my legacy to be that I helped create a world where opportunity is real, not just promised. A world where working families aren’t crushed by a system that rewards hoarding over contribution. I want to be remembered as the statesman who helped fix capitalism before it collapsed, and who saw the storm coming and dared to build something better.

Capitated Capitalism isn’t just a policy; it’s a framework to end extreme wealth hoarding, restore the American Dream, and unleash human potential on a global scale. If I can help set that in motion and prove that leadership rooted in service, not self-interest, is still possible, that’s a legacy worth fighting for.

And if one day my children, or their children, live in a world where dignity isn’t rationed, innovation is reinvested, and hope is common again, then I’ll know I left the world better than I found it.
I’d have to say the fall of the Berlin Wall. I was about 13 years old when it happened, and it stands out because I had lived in West Germany from 1980 to 1985 as an Army brat. I saw the wall with my own eyes. Watching it fall wasn’t just a global event; it felt personal. It was a symbol of hope, unity, and the power of people to tear down systems that divide.
Burger King, and if memory serves, about a year and a half.
Oh boy, where do I start? I've faced more than one struggle, but if I had to choose, I’d say the hardest was finding purpose for my life after hitting rock bottom.

I’ve been homeless. I’ve battled addiction. I’ve lived through medical debt, divorce, depression, and bankruptcy. There was even a time I planned my own exit, not out of selfishness, but because I felt I had nothing left to give.

But I survived, fought my way back, and through the struggle, I found purpose. My struggles gave me empathy. They taught me that pain doesn’t mean you’re broken, it means you’re human. Suffering gives us an opportunity to earn that empathy. I use those lessons to fight for people who feel unseen, unheard, or left behind.
The U.S. House of Representatives is the people’s chamber. Its two-year terms theoretically keep members accountable, and its size allows for a broad range of voices.

Unlike the Senate, which tempers change, the House is where bold ideas are introduced, debated, and tested. That makes it the ideal place for fresh solutions to take root, like Capitated Capitalism, tax reform, and AI policy.

The House holds the power of the purse, the authority to initiate revenue bills, and the power of impeachment. Its diversity and constitutional responsibilities give it a unique ability to shape the nation’s future.
Sometimes, but not always. Prior experience can help shorten the learning curve, but it often comes at the cost of real-world perspective. People who’ve spent their lives inside the political machine may lack the life and professional experience that many Americans face every day. Sometimes, what Congress needs most are fresh voices from leaders who aren’t stuck in groupthink and who bring novel, needed ideas from outside the system. I’m a quick study, and I believe my nontraditional path gives me the clarity, independence, and creativity to meet the moment.
Our greatest challenge isn’t policy, it’s a leadership problem. We need to attract and retain statesmen, not just politicians. That means electing leaders with intelligence, creativity, courage, discipline, and the political will to solve problems that others avoid. Without that kind of leadership, even the best ideas will die in committee. Of course, we face major challenges: extreme wealth hoarding, inflation, healthcare costs, the rise of AI, global instability, housing shortages, the national debt, and growing distrust in our democratic institutions. These are all solvable. What’s missing is the quality of leadership willing to act boldly, think long-term, and prioritize the public good over personal power.
I’m a fan of “seat” term limits, not individual term limits. There’s overwhelming support for “term limits,” and there’s a good reason why Congress hasn’t imposed them: institutional knowledge.

If you limit terms for individuals to three (3) terms in the House, then within six (6) years, you lose all institutional knowledge. That’s not good. However, if you limit a single “seat” to the same terms, then the individual can move to another seat (different district or chamber).

I believe limiting terms for a seat forces great members of Congress to move around, shake hands with new members of the community, and continue earning their place in Congress. Further, incumbent members who aren’t adding value will find it difficult to stay in Congress when they have to explain their track record to voters in a new district.
No, and I don’t mean that with any disrespect to the many who’ve served over the past 249 years. I’ve always been someone who sets the model, not someone who follows it. I try to lead with authenticity, and the only person I know how to model myself after is me. That said, I absolutely draw on attributes and ideas from others I respect across parties, professions, and generations. I believe great leadership means learning from everyone, but copying no one.
Yes. A former COO who worked for me shared a heartbreaking story about her brother-in-law, who worked at a mine in Arizona’s 7th District. A boulder fell on his head at just 36 years old. He survived, but suffered for six (6) more years before passing away, leaving behind a wife and children. I fully understand the importance of mining to our economy, supply chain, and national interests. But I also believe we must challenge the “profit over people” model. We need to protect workers, support families, and hold industries accountable to the communities they operate in.
Three young boys are arrested at the zoo, and the police officer takes them to the judge.

The judge asks the first boy, "What's your name?", and the boy says, "Donald". The judge asks the boy, "Why are you here?" to which the boy responds, "I was caught throwing Peanuts into the lion's cage." The judge asks the second boy, "What's your name?", and the boy says, "Barack". The judge asks the boy, "Why are you here?" and the boy says, "I was caught throwing Peanuts into the lion's cage." The judge looks at the police officer and says, “You really brought me these boys over a minor infraction?” The police officer smiles and says, “Please continue, your honor”. The judge looks at the third boy and asks, “What’s your name?”

The boy says, “I’m Peanuts!”
Yes, compromise is sometimes necessary, but collaboration is always desirable. There’s a difference. Compromise means settling for less, whereas collaboration means working together to build something better. I believe good policymaking starts with shared goals and honest dialogue, not party-line negotiations or backroom deals. When we focus on outcomes that benefit the people, not just political wins, we can find solutions that are smarter, stronger, and more sustainable than any one side could achieve alone.
The House’s power to originate revenue bills is one of the most important tools we have to shape the future and restore the American Dream. If elected, I’ll use that power to drive bold, fiscally responsible policies that lower taxes for working Americans and fund the programs we need. That includes introducing the 28th Amendment to CapTheCap, which reduces wealth hoarding and unlocks trillions in reinvestment. Additionally, the MFN-plus healthcare legislation will save taxpayers billions. I’m not running to tweak things at the margins. I’m running to write the kind of policy that moves America forward.
Simply put, wisely. The House should use its investigative powers carefully, consistently, and without political theater.

Investigations should be fact-driven, not headline-driven, and focused on rooting out corruption, protecting taxpayer dollars, and holding both public and private institutions accountable. Whether it’s corporate fraud, government waste, or abuse of power, the goal should always be to restore and maintain trust in our institutions.

Oversight is a tool for transparency and reform, not revenge or political agendas. The House must be as courageous in investigating itself as it is in investigating others.
Financial Services (WG on AI), Science, Space, & Technology, Energy & Commerce, Ways & Means, Appropriations, and any committee where I can add value.


Campaign advertisements

This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.

Democratic Party Deja Foxx

View more ads here:

Democratic Party Adelita Grijalva

June 5, 2025
April 28, 2025
March 31, 2025

View more ads here:

Democratic Party Daniel Hernandez Jr.

May 21, 2025
May 20, 2025

View more ads here:


Endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

Click the links below to see official endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites for any candidates that make that information available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.

Election competitiveness

Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

We provide results for polls from a wide variety of sources, including media outlets, social media, campaigns, and aggregation websites, when available. No polls were available for this election. To notify us of polls published in this election, please email us.

Election spending

Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Deja Foxx Democratic Party $671,299 $597,288 $74,011 As of June 30, 2025
Adelita Grijalva Democratic Party $1,332,496 $1,223,728 $108,768 As of September 3, 2025
Patrick Harris Sr. Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Daniel Hernandez Jr. Democratic Party $1,136,880 $1,136,880 $0 As of July 31, 2025
Jose Malvido Jr. Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2025. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


Satellite spending

See also: Satellite spending

Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[12][13][14]

If available, this section includes links to online resources tracking satellite spending in this election. To notify us of a resource to add, email us.

By candidate By election

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

2023_01_03_az_congressional_district_07.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Arizona.

Arizona U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Year Districts/
offices
Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2024 9 9 2 38 18 2 6 44.4% 3 42.9%
2022 9 9 1 40 18 2 7 50.0% 3 37.5%
2020 9 9 0 34 18 6 4 55.6% 3 33.3%
2018 9 9 2 38 18 5 5 55.6% 2 28.6%
2016 9 9 2 31 18 4 7 61.1% 3 42.9%
2014 9 9 1 25 18 1 4 27.8% 1 12.5%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Arizona in 2024. Information below was calculated on May 26, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Thirty-eight candidates ran for Arizona’s nine U.S. House districts, including 16 Democrats and 22 Republicans. That’s 4.22 candidates per district. There were 4.33 candidates per district in 2022, 4.22 candidates per district in 2020, and 4.11 in 2018.

The 3rd and 8th Congressional Districts were open in 2024. Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-03) ran for the U.S. Senate, and Rep. Debbie Lesko (R-08) ran for the ​​Maricopa County Board of Supervisors.

Nine candidates—six Democrats and three Republicans—ran for the 1st Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a seat in Arizona in 2024.

Eight primaries—two Democratic and six Republican—were contested in 2024. That's the fewest since 2014, when five primaries were contested.

Three incumbents—all Republicans—were in contested primaries in 2024.

Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all nine districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+15. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 15 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Arizona's 7th the 94th most Democratic district nationally.[15]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Arizona's 7th based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
65.6% 32.9%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[16] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline Democratic Party Republican Baseline Republican Party Difference
64.0 35.1 R+28.9

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Arizona, 2020

Arizona presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 9 Democratic wins
  • 19 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party N/A N/A N/A D D R R R D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R D R R R R R D
See also: Party control of Arizona state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Arizona's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Arizona
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 2 2 4
Republican 0 6 6
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 1 1
Total 2 9 11

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Arizona's top three state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Arizona, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Katie Hobbs
Secretary of State Democratic Party Adrian Fontes
Attorney General Democratic Party Kris Mayes

State legislature

Arizona State Senate

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 14
     Republican Party 16
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 30

Arizona House of Representatives

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 28
     Republican Party 31
     Other 0
     Vacancies 1
Total 60

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Arizona Party Control: 1992-2024
No Democratic trifectas  •  Twenty-two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D
Senate D R R R R R R R R S S R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

Election context

District history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2020.

2024

See also: Arizona's 7th Congressional District election, 2024

Arizona's 7th Congressional District election, 2024 (July 30 Republican primary)

Arizona's 7th Congressional District election, 2024 (July 30 Democratic primary)

General election

General election for U.S. House Arizona District 7

Incumbent Raúl Grijalva defeated Daniel Butierez in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 7 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Raúl Grijalva
Raúl Grijalva (D)
 
63.4
 
171,954
Image of Daniel Butierez
Daniel Butierez (R) Candidate Connection
 
36.6
 
99,057

Total votes: 271,011
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7

Incumbent Raúl Grijalva advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7 on July 30, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Raúl Grijalva
Raúl Grijalva
 
100.0
 
55,133

Total votes: 55,133
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7

Daniel Butierez advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7 on July 30, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Daniel Butierez
Daniel Butierez Candidate Connection
 
100.0
 
24,425

Total votes: 24,425
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2022

See also: Arizona's 7th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Arizona District 7

Incumbent Raúl Grijalva defeated Luis Pozzolo in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 7 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Raúl Grijalva
Raúl Grijalva (D)
 
64.5
 
126,418
Image of Luis  Pozzolo
Luis Pozzolo (R) Candidate Connection
 
35.5
 
69,444

Total votes: 195,862
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7

Incumbent Raúl Grijalva advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7 on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Raúl Grijalva
Raúl Grijalva
 
100.0
 
62,547

Total votes: 62,547
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7

Luis Pozzolo defeated Nina Becker and David Reetz in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7 on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Luis  Pozzolo
Luis Pozzolo Candidate Connection
 
69.0
 
20,413
Image of Nina Becker
Nina Becker Candidate Connection
 
30.6
 
9,064
David Reetz (Write-in)
 
0.3
 
103

Total votes: 29,580
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2020

See also: Arizona's 7th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Arizona District 7

Incumbent Ruben Gallego defeated Josh Barnett, Roxanne Rodriguez, and J.Travis Kirkham in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 7 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Ruben Gallego
Ruben Gallego (D)
 
76.7
 
165,452
Image of Josh Barnett
Josh Barnett (R) Candidate Connection
 
23.3
 
50,226
Image of Roxanne Rodriguez
Roxanne Rodriguez (L) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
51
J.Travis Kirkham (R) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
3

Total votes: 215,732
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7

Incumbent Ruben Gallego advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Ruben Gallego
Ruben Gallego
 
100.0
 
56,108

Total votes: 56,108
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7

Josh Barnett advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 7 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Josh Barnett
Josh Barnett Candidate Connection
 
100.0
 
15,245

Total votes: 15,245
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates



2025 battleground elections

See also: Battlegrounds

This is a battleground election. Other 2025 battleground elections include:

See also

External links

Footnotes


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
Eli Crane (R)
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
Vacant
District 8
District 9
Republican Party (6)
Democratic Party (4)
Vacancies (1)