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Arizona's 2nd Congressional District

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Arizona's 2nd Congressional District
Incumbent
Assumed office: January 3, 2023

Arizona's 2nd Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Eli Crane (R).

As of the 2020 Census, Arizona representatives represented an average of 795,436 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 712,522 residents.

Elections

See also: Arizona's 2nd Congressional District election, 2030


There are no official candidates yet for this election.


See also: Arizona's 2nd Congressional District election, 2028


There are no official candidates yet for this election.


See also: Arizona's 2nd Congressional District election, 2026

General election

The primary will occur on August 4, 2026. The general election will occur on November 3, 2026. General election candidates will be added here following the primary.

Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 2

Eric Descheenie (D) and Jonathan Nez (D) are running in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 2 on August 4, 2026.


Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 2

Incumbent Eli Crane (R) is running in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 2 on August 4, 2026.

Candidate
Image of Eli Crane
Eli Crane

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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See also: Arizona's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024

General election

General election for U.S. House Arizona District 2

Incumbent Eli Crane (R) defeated Jonathan Nez (D), Richard Ester (Independent), David Alexander (D), and Charles Holt Jr. (No party preference) in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 2 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Eli Crane
Eli Crane (R)
 
54.5
 
221,413
Image of Jonathan Nez
Jonathan Nez (D)
 
45.5
 
184,963
Image of Richard Ester
Richard Ester (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
28
David Alexander (D) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
22
Charles Holt Jr. (No party preference) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
5

Total votes: 406,431
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 2

Jonathan Nez (D) advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 2 on July 30, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Jonathan Nez
Jonathan Nez
 
100.0
 
62,033

Total votes: 62,033
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 2

Incumbent Eli Crane (R) defeated Jack Smith (R) in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 2 on July 30, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Eli Crane
Eli Crane
 
80.5
 
89,480
Image of Jack Smith
Jack Smith
 
19.5
 
21,637

Total votes: 111,117
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian Party primary

The Libertarian Party primary scheduled for July 30, 2024, was canceled.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

See also: Arizona's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Arizona District 2

Eli Crane (R) defeated incumbent Tom O'Halleran (D) and Chris Sarappo (Independent) in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 2 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Eli Crane
Eli Crane (R)  Candidate Connection
 
53.9
 
174,169
Image of Tom O'Halleran
Tom O'Halleran (D)
 
46.1
 
149,151
Image of Chris Sarappo
Chris Sarappo (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
76

Total votes: 323,396
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 2

Incumbent Tom O'Halleran (D) advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 2 on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Tom O'Halleran
Tom O'Halleran
 
100.0
 
71,391

Total votes: 71,391
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 2

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 2 on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Eli Crane
Eli Crane  Candidate Connection
 
35.8
 
38,681
Image of Walter Blackman
Walter Blackman
 
24.4
 
26,399
Image of Mark DeLuzio
Mark DeLuzio  Candidate Connection
 
17.1
 
18,515
Image of Andy Yates
Andy Yates  Candidate Connection
 
6.9
 
7,467
Image of John W. Moore
John W. Moore  Candidate Connection
 
6.8
 
7,327
Image of Steven Krystofiak
Steven Krystofiak  Candidate Connection
 
5.5
 
5,905
Image of Ron Watkins
Ron Watkins
 
3.5
 
3,810

Total votes: 108,104
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

See also: Arizona's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Arizona District 2

Incumbent Ann Kirkpatrick (D) defeated Brandon Martin (R), Iman-Utopia Layjou Bah (Independent), and Brandon Schlass (Common Sense Moderate) in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 2 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Ann Kirkpatrick
Ann Kirkpatrick (D)
 
55.1
 
209,945
Image of Brandon Martin
Brandon Martin (R)
 
44.9
 
170,975
Image of Iman-Utopia Layjou Bah
Iman-Utopia Layjou Bah (Independent) (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.0
 
99
Brandon Schlass (Common Sense Moderate) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
35

Total votes: 381,054
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 2

Incumbent Ann Kirkpatrick (D) defeated Peter Quilter (D) in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 2 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Ann Kirkpatrick
Ann Kirkpatrick
 
76.3
 
77,517
Image of Peter Quilter
Peter Quilter  Candidate Connection
 
23.7
 
24,035

Total votes: 101,552
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 2

Brandon Martin (R) defeated Noran Ruden (R), Joseph Morgan (R), and Jordan Flayer (R) in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 2 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brandon Martin
Brandon Martin
 
42.5
 
31,730
Image of Noran Ruden
Noran Ruden  Candidate Connection
 
33.6
 
25,049
Image of Joseph Morgan
Joseph Morgan  Candidate Connection
 
23.9
 
17,802
Jordan Flayer (Write-in)
 
0.1
 
52

Total votes: 74,633
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

See also: United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Arizona District 2

Ann Kirkpatrick (D) defeated Lea Marquez Peterson (R) in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 2 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Ann Kirkpatrick
Ann Kirkpatrick (D)
 
54.7
 
161,000
Image of Lea Marquez Peterson
Lea Marquez Peterson (R)
 
45.2
 
133,083
  Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0%
 
69

Total votes: 294,152
(100% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 2

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 2 on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Ann Kirkpatrick
Ann Kirkpatrick
 
41.9
 
33,938
Image of Matt Heinz
Matt Heinz
 
29.6
 
23,992
Image of Mary Matiella
Mary Matiella
 
9.4
 
7,606
Image of Bruce Wheeler
Bruce Wheeler
 
8.4
 
6,814
Image of Billy Kovacs
Billy Kovacs
 
6.6
 
5,350
Image of Barbara Sherry
Barbara Sherry
 
2.6
 
2,074
Image of Yahya Yuksel
Yahya Yuksel  Candidate Connection
 
1.6
 
1,319

Total votes: 81,093
(100% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 2

Lea Marquez Peterson (R) defeated Brandon Martin (R), Casey Welch (R), and Danny Morales (R) in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 2 on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Lea Marquez Peterson
Lea Marquez Peterson
 
34.2
 
23,571
Image of Brandon Martin
Brandon Martin
 
28.7
 
19,809
Image of Casey Welch
Casey Welch
 
21.0
 
14,499
Image of Danny Morales
Danny Morales
 
16.1
 
11,135

Total votes: 69,014
(100% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Previous election results


District map

2023_01_03_az_congressional_district_02.jpg

Redistricting

2020-2021

See also: Redistricting in Arizona after the 2020 census

On January 24, 2022, Arizona enacted its new congressional map after the Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission transmitted its finalized congressional map plan to the secretary of state.[20] The commission initially voted to finalize and certify the congressional map plan on Jan. 18.[21] The commission's nonpartisan chairwoman, Erika Neuberg, joined the two Republican members—David Mehl and Douglas York—voting in favor of the map. The commission's two Democratic members—Shereen Lerner and Derrick Watchman—were opposed. This map took effect for Arizona's 2022 congressional elections.[21]

The commission previously voted in favor of the congressional map by a 5-0 vote on Dec. 22, 2021, which was followed by a period for counties to request administrative changes before the final vote on Jan. 18.[22]

How does redistricting in Arizona work? The Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission is responsible for drawing both congressional and state legislative district lines. The commission is composed of five members. Of these, four are selected by the majority and minority leaders of each chamber of the state legislature from a list of 25 candidates nominated by the state commission on appellate court appointments. These 25 nominees comprise 10 Democrats, 10 Republicans, and 5 unaffiliated citizens. The four commission members appointed by legislative leaders then select the fifth member to round out the commission. The fifth member of the commission must belong to a different political party than the other commissioners. The governor, with a two-thirds vote in the Arizona State Senate, may remove a commissioner "for substantial neglect of duty, gross misconduct in office, or inability to discharge the duties of office." The Arizona State Legislature may make recommendations to the commission, but ultimate authority is vested with the commission.[23][24][25]

The Arizona Constitution requires that both congressional and state legislative districts be "contiguous, geographically compact, and respect communities of interest–all to the extent practicable." The state constitution further mandates that district lines "should [follow] visible geographic features, city, town, and county boundaries, and undivided census tracts." In addition, the constitution requires that "competitive districts be favored where doing so would not significantly detract from the goals above."[25]

2020

2019_az_congressional_district_02.jpg

2024

2023_01_03_az_congressional_district_02.jpg

2010-2011

This is the 2nd Congressional District of Arizona after the 2001 redistricting process.
See also: Redistricting in Arizona after the 2010 census

In 2011, the Arizona State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

2026

Heading into the 2026 elections, based on results from the 2024 and 2020 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is R+7. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 7 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Arizona's 2nd the 171st most Republican district nationally.[26]

2024

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+6. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 6 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Arizona's 2nd the 181st most Republican district nationally.[27]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 53.2%-45.3%.[28]

2022

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+6. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 6 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Arizona's 2nd the 179th most Republican district nationally.[29]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 45.3% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 53.2%.[30]

2018

Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+1. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 1 percentage point more Republican than the national average. This made Arizona's 2nd Congressional District the 232nd most Republican nationally.[31]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.94. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.94 points toward that party.[32]

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. The Tucson Weekly, "It's Official: State Rep. Victoria Steele is Running for Congress & Hopes to Unseat McSally," July 7, 2015
  2. Azcentral, "Democrat joins race for Congress against Martha McSally," July 30, 2015
  3. Arizona Secretary of State, "2016 Primary Candidates," accessed June 2, 2016
  4. Politico, " Arizona House Primaries Results," August 30, 2016
  5. CNN, "Election Results," accessed November 8, 2016
  6. Politico, "2014 Arizona House Primaries Results," accessed August 27, 2014
  7. Arizona Secretary of State, "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election," accessed July 16, 2014
  8. Arizona Public Media, "UPDATE: McSally Wins Congressional Seat, Recount Confirms," December 17, 2014
  9. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  10. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  11. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  12. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  13. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
  14. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
  15. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1998," accessed March 28, 2013
  16. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 1996," accessed March 28, 2013
  17. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 8, 1994," accessed March 28, 2013
  18. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1992," accessed March 28, 2013
  19. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 1990," accessed March 28, 2013
  20. Phone conversation with Valerie Neumann, AIRC executive assistant, Jan. 25, 2022]
  21. 21.0 21.1 YouTube, "Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission Meeting Jan. 18, 2022," Jan. 18, 2022
  22. KTAR, "Arizona redistricting panel approves Republican-leaning congressional map," Dec. 13, 2021
  23. Supreme Court of the United States, "Arizona State Legislature v. Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission, et al. - Appellant's Jurisdictional Statement," accessed March 6, 2015
  24. Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission, "Home page," accessed March 6, 2015
  25. 25.0 25.1 All About Redistricting, "Arizona," accessed April 17, 2015
  26. Cook Political Report, "2025 Cook PVI℠: District Map and List (119th Congress)," accessed July 1, 2025
  27. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  28. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  29. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  30. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  31. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  32. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
Eli Crane (R)
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
Republican Party (6)
Democratic Party (5)