Katie Hobbs (D) defeated Kari Lake (R) and seven other candidates in the general election for governor of Arizona on November 8, 2022. Doug Ducey (R) was not able to run for re-election due to term limits.

Hobbs, a former social worker, was the secretary of state at the time of the election. She was first elected to the position in 2018. Previously, Hobbs served in the Arizona State Senate from 2013 to 2019. She also served in the Arizona House of Representatives from 2011 to 2013. Hobbs said she would "veto unabashedly any further restrictions on access to reproductive health care, whether that’s family planning, birth control or further abortion restrictions.”^[1] Hobbs also campaigned on border security, saying she would work "in coordination with those border communities, especially law enforcement, about the resources and support we can provide from the state to make sure that they have the tools they need to keep their communities safe."^[2] Former President Barack Obama (D) endorsed Hobbs on October 20, 2022.^[3]

Lake, a former news anchor for Fox 10 News in Phoenix, said she was "running ... on a platform of common sense conservatism dedicated to individual liberties, low taxes, limited regulation, and protecting Arizona's great Western heritage."^[4] Lake campaigned on border security, addressing homelessness, banning critical race theory in school curriculums, and school choice.^[5]^[6] On protecting the border, Lake said, "After I take my hand off the Bible, we are going to issue a declaration of invasion. We are going to finish President Trump's wall, and we are going to send our armed National Guard to the border and stop people from coming across."^[7] Former President Donald Trump (R) endorsed Lake in September 2021.^[8]

Steph Denny (R), Alice Novoa (R), Liana West (G), William Pounds (Independent-Green Party), Mikaela Lutes-Burton (L), Anthony Camboni (Independent), and Rayshawn Merrill (Independent) ran as write-in candidates.

Kari Lake (R), Liana West (G), and William Pounds (Independent-Green Party) completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Click on a candidate's name to view that candidate's responses.

This was one of 36 gubernatorial elections that took place place in 2022. The governor serves as a state's top executive official and is the only executive office that is elected in all 50 states. At the time of the 2022 elections, there were 28 Republican governors and 22 Democratic governors. Click here for a map with links to our coverage of all 50 states' responses to the pandemic and here for an overview of all 36 gubernatorial elections that took place in 2022.

Heading into the 2022 elections, there were 23 Republican trifectas, 14 Democratic trifectas, and 13 divided governments where neither party held trifecta control. There were 23 Republican triplexes, 18 Democratic triplexes, and nine divided governments where neither party held triplex control.

A state government trifecta refers to a situation where one party controls a state's governorship and majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. A state government triplex refers to a situation where the governor, attorney general, and secretary of state are all members of the same political party.

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for Governor of Arizona

The following candidates ran in the general election for Governor of Arizona on November 8, 2022.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Katie Hobbs (D)	50.3	1,287,891
		Kari Lake (R)	49.6	1,270,774
		Liana West (G) (Write-in)	0.0	254
	Submit photo	Mikaela Lutes-Burton (L) (Write-in)	0.0	213
		William Pounds (Independent-Green Party) (Write-in)	0.0	139
	Submit photo	Steph Denny (R) (Write-in)	0.0	74
	Submit photo	Alice Novoa (R) (Write-in)	0.0	55
	Submit photo	Rayshawn Merrill (Independent) (Write-in)	0.0	44
	Submit photo	Anthony Camboni (Independent) (Write-in)	0.0	41

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 2,559,485
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Barry J. Hess (L)
Alex Sadowski (Independent)

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for Governor of Arizona

Katie Hobbs defeated Marco Lopez and Aaron Lieberman (Unofficially withdrew) in the Democratic primary for Governor of Arizona on August 2, 2022.

	Candidate	%	Votes
✔	Katie Hobbs	72.3	431,059
	Marco Lopez	22.8	136,090
	Aaron Lieberman (Unofficially withdrew)	4.8	28,878

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 596,027
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for Governor of Arizona

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for Governor of Arizona on August 2, 2022.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Kari Lake	48.0	398,860
		Karrin Taylor Robson	43.1	358,682
		Matt Salmon (Unofficially withdrew)	3.7	30,704
		Scott Neely	3.1	25,876
		Paola Tulliani-Zen	2.1	17,281
	Submit photo	Carlos Roldan (Write-in)	0.0	42
	Submit photo	Alex Schatz (Write-in)	0.0	39
		Patrick Finerd (Write-in)	0.0	24

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 831,508
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for Governor of Arizona

Barry J. Hess advanced from the Libertarian primary for Governor of Arizona on August 2, 2022.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Barry J. Hess (Write-in)	100.0	550

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 550
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Steve Remus (L)

Results analysis

Echelon Insights, a polling and data analysis firm, published an analysis deck called Split Ticket Atlas: Comparative Republican Presidential, Gubernatorial, and Senate Candidate Performance, 2020-2022 in March 2023. The report compared the performance of Republican candidates in 2022 statewide elections. Click here to view the full analysis.

This analysis found that, compared to 2022 senatorial candidate Blake Masters (R), Lake received 108,395 more votes. The largest differences were in Maricopa (61,271) and Pima (18,433) counties. Masters came closest to Lake's vote total in Greenlee County (188 votes).

Know of additional analysis related to this election? Please email us.

Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Katie Hobbs

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office:

Arizona Secretary of State (Assumed office: 2019)
Arizona State Senate District 24 (2011-2019)

Biography: Hobbs earned a bachelor's degree in social work from Nothern Arizona University and a master's degree in social work from Airzona State University. Her professional experience includes working as a social worker and as the chief compliance officer for the Sojourner Center, a domestic violence shelter.

Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

Hobbs has said she will "fearlessly work to increase access to abortion services and reproductive care, use my veto pen to oppose any restrictive and extreme measures coming from the legislature, and make sure that women and families have the resources they need to thrive right here in Arizona."

Hobbs has said Congress should pass comprehensive immigration reform, and said she will "use the tools at my disposal to bring resources to our border communities and provide meaningful relief for Arizonans suffering the consequences of decades of federal inaction," including increasing funding for local law enforcement.

Hobbs has said she will hire "women and people from underrepresented communities" to make state government more inclusive and invest in minority-owned businesses and expand diversity in STEM jobs "to build an economy in which the doors of opportunity are wide open for women and people of color."

Show sources

Sources: Katie Hobbs 2022 campaign website, "Katie Plan's," accessed August 24, 2022; azcentral, "Who is Katie Hobbs? 5 things to know about the Arizona's Democratic governor nominee," August 4, 2022; Arizona State University, "Van Jones, Katie Hobbs to speak to ASU Law class of 2021," April 13, 2021; Emily's List, "Katie Hobbs," accessed August 24, 2022

This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Arizona in 2022.

Kari Lake

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography: "Kari Lake, the former anchor for Fox 10 News in Phoenix, became a symbol of truth in journalism when she walked away from the mainstream media despite being number one in the ratings for more than two decades. Now she's running for Governor of Arizona on a platform of common sense conservatism dedicated to individual liberties, low taxes, limited regulation, and protecting Arizona's great Western heritage. Kari Lake continues to be a voice for the silent majority suffering at the hands of cancel culture, critical race theory, and the devastating effects progressive policies are piling up on America's formerly great cities."

Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.

Securing our Border is essential for the safety and security of Arizona's future. I will finish Trump's Wall & stop Biden's cartel-controlled flood at our borders

Secure elections are essential to preserve our Republic, and our state.

Arizona faces enormous challenges, we need a visionary leader to take them head-on

This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Arizona in 2022.

William Pounds

Party: Independent-Green Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography: "I'm former Co-Chair of Jesse Ventura's 2020 Presidential exploratory committee and former campaign director for Cynthia McKinney's Vice-Presidential campaign."

Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.

I'm running to prop up a new Green Party in Arizona and pledge that party's ballot line to Jesse Ventura in 2024

I want to deliver the long due right of collective bargaining to all Arizona employees

I want Arizona to power the nation with solar panels on every Arizona household and business possible

This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Arizona in 2022.

Liana West

Party: Green Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography: "My name is Liana West, I am a working class activist who is running as an official Write-in candidate for Governor of Arizona in the 2022 election. I believe that housing is a human right. I believe that clean water and air is a human right. I believe that corporations do NOT have the right to free speech the same as the workers should have. Unionization has proven to be an effective tool to improve worker's rights. Education and voting rights are necessary in any form of democracy. We need a new generation of leadership in government willing to listen to the workers! I seek to earn the votes of fellow progressive thinkers in Arizona. Will you join me?"

Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.

The two party system is currently owned and funded by corporations and lobbyists who donate to BOTH of the major political parties. That is why the current administration cannot offer Universal Healthcare; because corporations oppose it.

am the only climate candidate who opposes Green Capitalism. WE cannot prevent this climate crisis while focusing on profits.

Education based on science and a secular stance on separation of church and state

This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Arizona in 2022.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all | Collapse all

Please list below 3 key messages of your campaign. What are the main points you want voters to remember about your goals for your time in office?

Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/KariLake.jpg

Kari Lake (R)

Securing our Border is essential for the safety and security of Arizona's future. I will finish Trump's Wall & stop Biden's cartel-controlled flood at our borders

Secure elections are essential to preserve our Republic, and our state.

Arizona faces enormous challenges, we need a visionary leader to take them head-on

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

I'm running to prop up a new Green Party in Arizona and pledge that party's ballot line to Jesse Ventura in 2024

I want to deliver the long due right of collective bargaining to all Arizona employees

I want Arizona to power the nation with solar panels on every Arizona household and business possible

Liana West (G)

The two party system is currently owned and funded by corporations and lobbyists who donate to BOTH of the major political parties. That is why the current administration cannot offer Universal Healthcare; because corporations oppose it.

am the only climate candidate who opposes Green Capitalism. WE cannot prevent this climate crisis while focusing on profits.

Education based on science and a secular stance on separation of church and state

What areas of public policy are you personally passionate about?

Kari Lake (R)

Securing our border & our elections while locating and developing a new source of fresh water, reducing inflation and out-of-control housing costs, quality education with a renewed focus on technical education, creating smart economic growth, addressing our homelessness crisis, ensuring our businesses, churches and gyms are never closed again, and putting a stop to spiraling crime rates that are making our cities and towns less safe. Arizona faces enormous challenges. We cannot continue to do business and usual and expect anything to change. Our next leader must be a visionary with the courage to take them head-on.

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

I'm most interested in labor rights and environmental issues.

Liana West (G)

As an animal rights’ activist I am humble enough to recognize that I have a responsibility to speak up for the voiceless. I recognize the current housing crisis is hurting Arizonans, and if left unchecked will result in an economic disaster. I want radical change in our government with fresh ideas and new perspectives, because what we have been experiencing is not working for 99% of our people.

Who do you look up to? Whose example would you like to follow, and why?

Kari Lake (R)

President Trump. Love him or hate him, he got things done, even when everyone in the corporate media and political classes said it was impossible. Arizona needs that same type of bold leadership.

Is there a book, essay, film, or something else you would recommend to someone who wants to understand your political philosophy?

Kari Lake (R)

Read and explore outside of traditional media sources who have been wrong about almost everything for years now. Legacy media is about ratings, not truth.

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

Thinking Green! Essays on Environmentalism, Feminism, and Nonviolence by Petra Kelly.

What characteristics or principles are most important for an elected official?

Kari Lake (R)

Integrity and courage

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

Integrity, honesty, and transparency.

Liana West (G)

The most valued elected officials of our time are able to listen to their constituents and provide a platform for collaboration.

What qualities do you possess that you believe would make you a successful officeholder?

Kari Lake (R)

I am convicted, not held back by political convention. Politics has become the art of saying everything, and accomplishing nothing. I do not accept that outcome. We need a governor with the courage to take on big challenges.

What do you believe are the core responsibilities for someone elected to this office?

Kari Lake (R)

To provide smart, decisive leadership for every citizen of our state.

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

The well-being of the state environment, citizens, and economy are the Governor's priority when vetting legislation.

What legacy would you like to leave?

Kari Lake (R)

A better state than the one we've had. But, more specifically, the next governor of Arizona must address our looming water crisis in a sustainable, permanent manner, while also working to fix Arizona's housing shortage and ensuring our next phase of growth doesn't make our state and our biggest cities unlivable the way it has on our coasts.

What was your very first job? How long did you have it?

Kari Lake (R)

Production Assistant, WBHF-TV, 2 years

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

I was a TSR Line Trainer for Dish Network in High School, I was employed by Dish Network for about one year.

If you could be any fictional character, who would you want to be?

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

Indiana Jones

What was the last song that got stuck in your head?

Kari Lake (R)

Ring of Fire

What is something that has been a struggle in your life?

Kari Lake (R)

Raising kids in an increasingly disconnected and digital world. Our kids have it tougher than we ever did, and we have to do a better job of nurturing, protecting, but also pushing them to succeed. And trying to inject some reality into an increasingly dystopian and dishonest news industry.

A governor is the top executive authority in his or her state. What does that mean do you?

Kari Lake (R)

It means leading by working with our legislature and stakeholders to put Arizona and Arizonans first, and not being held back by political convention or convenience.

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

It means the office is highest responsibility as it is equal in power to the many individuals whom occupy the entire legislature.

Liana West (G)

That means that the governor is obligated to listen to the needs of the people living in Arizona. Special interests groups who want to harvest our depleting water supply will not have a seat at my table. Corporations willing to prioritize profits over human dignity will not have a voice in my administration.

Governors have many responsibilities, which vary from state to state. Which of those do you personally consider the most important in your state?

Kari Lake (R)

Protecting the lives and livelihoods of Arizonans by securing our border, elections, and the safety of our citizens, and preserving our quality of life for future generations.

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

Overseeing the safety and stability of the citizenry by signing on to the legislation that benefits the people and vetoing corrupted legislation.

Liana West (G)

*Housing All Arizonans

Educating All Arizonans
Ensuring clean water
Public transportation
Universal Childcare
Universal Healthcare

Different states require governors to have different degrees of responsibility for the state budgeting process. If it were your choice, what do you believe is the appropriate degree of gubernatorial involvement with this process in your state?

Kari Lake (R)

The Governor should lead the budgeting process, but be willing to work closely with the legislature to ensure the fair and principled allocation of resources while maintaining a clear-eyed focus on keeping taxes and regulations as low and reasonable as possible to encourage continued economic growth.

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

Fifty percent involvement, I would maintain.

In most states, governors have the power to make line-item vetoes. If that is true in your state, what would be your philosophy for how and when to use this power?

Kari Lake (R)

Arizona's Constitution limits line item vetoes to appropriations items, so my focus would be on identifying and eliminating wasteful or unnecessary spending that is tied into otherwise valuable efforts.

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

Line item vetos allow governors to keep out pork from becoming law without vetoing the entire legislative package. Pork barrel politics is reprehensible and I would prefer single items be passed along to the Governor's desk and not legislative packages.

If the governor's office in your state does not have the line-item veto power, do you believe it should? Why or why not?

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

It should. I want to be able to veto pork barreled polices.

What do you believe is the ideal relationship between the governor and state legislature?

Kari Lake (R)

The Governor should work hand-in-hand with the legislature. We may not always - or, depending on the individual legislator, almost ever - agree, but we can agree to sit down and listen to each other. I have pledged to meet annually with each member of the legislature to hash out our respective priorities and see what issues we may agree on and find room to work together to achieve.

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

Equal in governing power.

Liana West (G)

The ideal relationship between a governor and the state legislature is where the needs of the people are more important than corporate profits. Profits for the corporation do not guarantee that the workers feels safe. It is the responsibility of our government to ensure that justice prevails.

What do you love most about your state?

Kari Lake (R)

Our independent Western heritage and the enormous diversity of our people and land.

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

The fresh air.

Liana West (G)

I truly appreciate the diversity of Arizona's natural landscape. From the mountain tops of the Superstitions to the Colorado River, Arizona is beautiful. I also appreciate the freedoms that Arizonans strive to maintain.

What do you perceive to be your state's greatest challenges over the next decade?

Kari Lake (R)

Border security, elections integrity, water, homelessness, housing, crime... We have a huge list of major issues that the next governor cannot ignore.

William Pounds (Independent-Green)

Climate change, labor rights, and workplace conditions are taking a turn for the worst. Theses are challenges which I aim to address and act on.

Liana West (G)

Specifically in the urban areas, Arizona will struggle to ensure clean drinking water is available over the next decade. Which will also negatively affect electricity generation. In 2006, the Arizona Corporate Commission approved the Renewable Energy Standard and Tariff (REST). These rules require that regulated electric utilities must generate 15 percent of their energy from renewable resources by 2025. That deadline is less than 3 years away and Arizona has not yet achieved 15% of electricity being generated by renewable energy.

https://www.azcc.gov/utilities/electric/renewable-energy-standard-and-tariff

I am the only climate candidate willing to find real solutions. Join my campaign!

Under what circumstances should the governor of your state be able to use emergency powers?

Kari Lake (R)

Emergency orders should only be used under very limited circumstances, and for a very short period of time (maximum of 30 days) without the approval and consent of the legislature, and shutdowns of businesses, churches, and community facilities should never happen again.

Campaign advertisements

This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.

Katie Hobbs

August 2, 2021

View more ads here:

YouTube

Kari Lake

June 7, 2021

June 1, 2021

View more ads here:

YouTube

Noteworthy endorsements

If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please email us.

Election competitiveness

Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.^[9] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."^[10] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.

Below we provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval.

Arizona gubernatorial election, 2022: General election polls
Poll	Date	Katie Hobbs	Kari Lake	Undecided/Other	Margin of error	Sample size^[11]	Sponsor^[12]
InsiderAdvantage	October 24-25, 2022	43%	54%	2%	± 4.2%	550 LV	KSAZ-TV (Phoenix)
Data Orbital	October 17-19, 2022	44%	47%	6%	± 2.9%	1,078 LV	The Daily Wire
Susquehanna Polling & Research	October 14-18, 2022	48%	47%	4%^[13]	± 4%	600 LV	The Federalist
Trafalgar Group	October 16-17, 2022	46%	49%	--	± 2.9%	550 LV	The Daily Wire
Data for Progress	October 11-17, 2022	46%	50%	4%^[14]	± 3%	893 LV

Click [show] to see older poll results
Poll	Date	Katie Hobbs	Kari Lake	Barry J. Hess	Undecided/Other	Margin of error	Sample size^[15]	Sponsor^[16]
Wick	October 8-14, 2022	48%	47%	--	5.1%	±3.77%	1,058 LV	N/A
OH Predictive Insights	October 4-6, 2022	44%	47%	--	9%	±3.77%	674 RV	N/A
SSRS	September 26-October 2, 2022	49%	44%	--	--	± 4.6%	900 RV	CNN
Trafalgar Group	September 14-17, 2022	45.6%	50%	--	4.4	± 2.9%	1,080 LV	N/A
Trafalgar Group	August 22-23, 2022	46%	47%	3%	5.1%	± 2.9%	1,074 LV	N/A
Fox News	August 12-16, 2022	47%	44%	--	9%^[17]	± 3.0	1,012 RV	N/A
Fox News	August 12-16, 2022	47%	44%	--	9%^[18]	± 3.0	1,012 RV	N/A

The chart below shows RealClearPolitics polling averages in this race over time.

Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.^[19]
Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.^[20]^[21]^[22]

Race ratings: Arizona gubernatorial election, 2022
Race tracker	Race ratings
	November 8, 2022	November 1, 2022	October 25, 2022	October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball	Lean Republican	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Election spending

Campaign finance

General election

Democratic primary

Republican primary

Republican-held governorship in state Biden won

See also: States won by Joe Biden in 2020 with Republican-held governorships up for election in 2022

This is one of six governorships Republicans were defending in states President Joe Biden (D) won in 2020: Arizona, Georgia, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and Vermont.

Democrats were defending one governorship in a state that Donald Trump (R) won in 2020: Kansas.

The table below show which states held gubernatorial elections in 2022 and the last presidential and gubernatorial margin of victory in each. Click [show] on the right below to expand the table.

Gubernatorial elections, 2022
State	Incumbent	Last time office flipped	2020 presidential result	2018 gubernatorial result^[23]
Alabama	Kay Ivey	2002	R+25.4	R+19.2
Alaska	Mike Dunleavy	2018	R+10.0	R+8.6
Arizona	Doug Ducey	2009	D+0.3	R+17.8
Arkansas	Asa Hutchinson	2014	R+27.6	R+33.7
California	Gavin Newsom	2010	D+29.2	D+18.6
Colorado	Jared Polis	2006	D+13.5	D+7.8
Connecticut	Ned Lamont	2010	D+20.1	D+2.6
Florida	Ron DeSantis	2010	R+3.3	R+0.4
Georgia	Brian Kemp	2002	D+0.2	R+1.4
Hawaii	David Ige	2010	D+29.4	D+29.0
Idaho	Brad Little	1994	R+30.7	R+22.1
Illinois	J.B. Pritzker	2018	D+17.0	D+15.0
Iowa	Kim Reynolds	2010	R+8.2	R+3.0
Kansas	Laura Kelly	2018	R+14.6	D+4.5
Maine	Janet Mills	2018	D+9.1	D+7.6
Maryland	Larry Hogan	2014	D+33.2	R+13.6
Massachusetts	Charles D. Baker	2014	D+33.5	R+33.8
Michigan	Gretchen Whitmer	2018	D+2.8	D+9.5
Minnesota	Tim Walz	2010	D+7.1	D+11.5
Nebraska	Pete Ricketts	1998	R+19.1	R+18.8
Nevada	Steve Sisolak	2018	D+2.4	D+4.1
New Hampshire	Chris Sununu	2016	D+7.3	R+31.7
New Mexico	Michelle Lujan Grisham	2018	D+10.8	D+14.2
New York	Kathy Hochul	2006	D+23.2	D+22.2
Ohio	Mike DeWine	2010	R+8.1	R+4.3
Oklahoma	Kevin Stitt	2010	R+33.1	R+12.1
Oregon	Kate Brown	1986	D+16.1	D+6.1
Pennsylvania	Tom Wolf	2014	D+1.2	D+16.8
Rhode Island	Daniel McKee	2010	D+20.8	D+15.3
South Carolina	Henry McMaster	2002	R+11.7	R+8.0
South Dakota	Kristi Noem	1978	R+26.2	R+3.4
Tennessee	Bill Lee	2010	R+23.2	R+21.1
Texas	Greg Abbott	1994	R+5.6	R+13.4
Vermont	Phil Scott	2016	D+35.1	R+41.1
Wisconsin	Tony Evers	2018	D+0.7	D+1.2
Wyoming	Mark Gordon	2010	R+43.1	R+39.7
* denotes a term-limited incumbent.

Election analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.

Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.

Presidential elections

	2026 → ← 2018
Governor of Arizona
	Democratic primary; Republican primary; General election;
Election details
	Filing deadline: April 4, 2022
	Primary: August 2, 2022; General: November 8, 2022; Pre-election incumbent(s):; Doug Ducey (Republican)
How to vote
	Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.; Voting in Arizona
Race ratings
	Cook Political Report: Toss-up; Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican; Inside Elections: Toss-up
Ballotpedia analysis
	Federal and state primary competitiveness; State executive elections in 2022; Impact of term limits in 2022; State government trifectas; State government triplexes; Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
Arizona; executive elections
	Governor; Attorney General; Secretary of State; Treasurer; Superintendent of Public Instruction; Corporation Commission (2 seats); Mine Inspector

See also: Presidential voting trends in Arizona and The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Cook PVI by congressional district

Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Arizona, 2022
District	Incumbent	Party	PVI
Arizona's 1st	David Schweikert	Republican	R+2
Arizona's 2nd	Tom O'Halleran	Democratic	R+6
Arizona's 3rd	Ruben Gallego	Democratic	D+24
Arizona's 4th	Greg Stanton	Democratic	D+2
Arizona's 5th	Andy Biggs	Republican	R+11
Arizona's 6th	Open	Democratic	R+3
Arizona's 7th	Raul Grijalva	Democratic	D+15
Arizona's 8th	Debbie Lesko	Republican	R+10
Arizona's 9th	Paul Gosar	Republican	R+16

2020 presidential results by 2022 congressional district lines

2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2022 district lines, Arizona^[24]
District	Joe Biden	Donald Trump
Arizona's 1st	50.1%	48.6%
Arizona's 2nd	45.3%	53.2%
Arizona's 3rd	74.5%	23.9%
Arizona's 4th	54.2%	43.9%
Arizona's 5th	41.0%	57.4%
Arizona's 6th	49.3%	49.2%
Arizona's 7th	65.6%	32.9%
Arizona's 8th	42.5%	56.1%
Arizona's 9th	36.4%	62.2%

2012-2020

How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:

County-level voting pattern categories
Democratic
Status	2012	2016	2020
Solid Democratic	D	D	D
Trending Democratic	R	D	D
Battleground Democratic	D	R	D
New Democratic	R	R	D
Republican
Status	2012	2016	2020
Solid Republican	R	R	R
Trending Republican	D	R	R
Battleground Republican	R	D	R
New Republican	D	D	R

Following the 2020 presidential election, 61.8% of Arizonans lived in Maricopa County, the state's one New Democratic county, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate for the first time in 2020 after voting for the Republican in the preceding two cycles, and 20.0% lived in one of 10 Solid Republican counties. Overall, Arizona was New Democratic, having voted for Mitt Romney (R) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Joe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Arizona following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.

Arizona county-level statistics, 2020
New Democratic	1	61.8%
Solid Republican	10	20.0%
Solid Democratic	4	18.2%
Total voted Democratic	5	80.0%
Total voted Republican	10	20.0%

Historical voting trends

Arizona presidential election results (1900-2020)

9 Democratic wins
19 Republican wins

Year	1900	1904	1908	1912	1916	1920	1924	1928	1932	1936	1940	1944	1948	1952	1956	1960	1964	1968	1972	1976	1980	1984	1988	1992	1996	2000	2004	2008	2012	2016	2020
Winning Party	N/A	N/A	N/A	D	D	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	R	R	R	R	R	D

Statewide elections

This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.

U.S. Senate elections

See also: List of United States Senators from Arizona

The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Arizona.

U.S. Senate election results in Arizona
Race	Winner	Runner up
2020	51.2%	48.8%
2018	50.0%	47.6%
2016	53.7%	40.8%
2012	49.2%	46.1%
2010	59.2%	34.7%
Average	52.7	43.6

Gubernatorial elections

See also: Governor of Arizona

The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Arizona.

Gubernatorial election results in Arizona
Race	Winner	Runner up
2018	56.0%	41.8%
2014	53.4%	41.6%
2010	54.3%	42.4%
2006	62.6%	35.4%
2002	46.2%	45.2%
Average	54.5	41.3

State partisanship

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Arizona's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Arizona, November 2022
Party	U.S. Senate	U.S. House	Total
Democratic	2	5	7
Republican	0	4	4
Independent	0	0	0
Vacancies	0	0	0
Total	2	9	11

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Arizona's top three state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Arizona, November 2022
Office	Officeholder
Governor	Doug Ducey
Secretary of State	Katie Hobbs
Attorney General	Mark Brnovich

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Arizona State Legislature as of November 2022.

Arizona State Senate

Party		As of November 2022
	Democratic Party	14
	Republican Party	16
	Vacancies	0
Total		30

Arizona House of Representatives

Party		As of November 2022
	Democratic Party	29
	Republican Party	31
	Vacancies	0
Total		60

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Arizona was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Arizona Party Control: 1992-2022
No Democratic trifectas • Twenty-two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year	92	93	94	95	96	97	98	99	00	01	02	03	04	05	06	07	08	09	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22
Governor	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R
Senate	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	S	S	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R
House	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R

Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Arizona and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Arizona
	Arizona	United States
Population	7,151,502	331,449,281
Land area (sq mi)	113,654	3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White	73.8%	70.4%
Black/African American	4.5%	12.6%
Asian	3.3%	5.6%
Native American	4.3%	0.8%
Pacific Islander	0.2%	0.2%
Other (single race)	6.9%	5.1%
Multiple	7%	5.2%
Hispanic/Latino	31.5%	18.2%
Education
High school graduation rate	87.9%	88.5%
College graduation rate	30.3%	32.9%
Income
Median household income	$61,529	$64,994
Persons below poverty level	14.1%	12.8%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

Election context

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for gubernatorial candidates in Arizona in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Arizona, click here.

Filing requirements for gubernatorial candidates, 2022
State	Office	Party	Signatures required	Filing fee	Filing deadline	Source	Notes
Arizona	Governor	Ballot-qualified party	0.25% of qualified signers in the state	N/A	4/4/2022	Source
Arizona	Governor	Unaffiliated	3% of total registered voters in the state who are not members of a ballot-qualified political party	N/A	4/4/2022	Source

District history

Past elections

2018

See also: Arizona gubernatorial election, 2018

General election

General election for Governor of Arizona

Incumbent Doug Ducey defeated David Garcia and Angel Torres in the general election for Governor of Arizona on November 6, 2018.

	Candidate	%	Votes
✔	Doug Ducey (R)	56.0	1,330,863
	David Garcia (D)	41.8	994,341
	Angel Torres (G)	2.1	50,962

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 2,376,166 (100.00% precincts reporting)
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Noah Dyer (Independent)

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for Governor of Arizona

David Garcia defeated Steve Farley and Kelly Fryer in the Democratic primary for Governor of Arizona on August 28, 2018.

	Candidate	%	Votes
✔	David Garcia	50.6	255,555
	Steve Farley	32.3	163,072
	Kelly Fryer	17.2	86,810

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 505,437 (100.00% precincts reporting)
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for Governor of Arizona

Incumbent Doug Ducey defeated Ken Bennett in the Republican primary for Governor of Arizona on August 28, 2018.

	Candidate	%	Votes
✔	Doug Ducey	70.7	463,672
	Ken Bennett	29.3	191,775

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 655,447 (100.00% precincts reporting)
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Libertarian primary election

No Libertarian candidates ran in the primary.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2014

See also: Arizona Gubernatorial election, 2014

Governor of Arizona, 2014
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Republican	Doug Ducey	53.4%	805,062
	Democratic	Fred DuVal	41.6%	626,921
	Libertarian	Barry J. Hess	3.8%	57,337
	Americans Elect	J.L. Mealer	1%	15,432
	Nonpartisan	Write-ins	0.1%	1,664
Total Votes				1,506,416
Election results via Arizona Secretary of State

2022 battleground elections

See also: Battlegrounds

This election was a battleground race. Other 2022 battleground elections included:

External links

Footnotes

↑ KTAR News, "Democratic Arizona gubernatorial Hobbs vows to protect women, providers following abortion ruling," June 25, 2022
↑ 12 News Youtube Channel, "One-on-one with Arizona gubernatorial candidate Katie Hobbs," June 26, 2022
↑ 12 News, "Obama pledges support for Democrat Katie Hobbs in Arizona's governor race," October 20, 2022
↑ Kari Lake 2022 campaign website, "Kari Lake Bio," accessed June 29, 2022
↑ Kari Lake 2022 campaign website, "Issues," accessed August 25, 2022
↑ azcentral.com, "Who is Kari Lake? 5 things to know about Arizona's Republican governor nominee," August 6, 2022
↑ RealClear Politics, "AZ GOP Candidate Kari Lake: Inflation and Border Disaster Stem Directly From Corrupt 2020 Election," June 28, 2022
↑ azcentral.com, "Kari Lake gets coveted endorsement from former President Trump in Arizona governor's race," September 28, 2021
↑ For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
↑ Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
↑ RV=Registered Voters
LV=Likely Voters
↑ The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
↑ "Not sure": 3.4%; "Other": .6%
↑ "Not sure"
↑ RV=Registered Voters
LV=Likely Voters
↑ The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
↑ includes responses to "Other," "Wouldn't vote," and "Don't know"
↑ includes responses to "Other," "Wouldn't vote," and "Don't know"
↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
↑ 2020 election for New Hampshire and Vermont.
↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed September 9, 2022

[1] KTAR News, "Democratic Arizona gubernatorial Hobbs vows to protect women, providers following abortion ruling," June 25, 2022

[12_news-2] 12 News Youtube Channel, "One-on-one with Arizona gubernatorial candidate Katie Hobbs," June 26, 2022

[3] 12 News, "Obama pledges support for Democrat Katie Hobbs in Arizona's governor race," October 20, 2022

[lakebio-4] Kari Lake 2022 campaign website, "Kari Lake Bio," accessed June 29, 2022

[5] Kari Lake 2022 campaign website, "Issues," accessed August 25, 2022

[6] azcentral.com, "Who is Kari Lake? 5 things to know about Arizona's Republican governor nominee," August 6, 2022

[7] RealClear Politics, "AZ GOP Candidate Kari Lake: Inflation and Border Disaster Stem Directly From Corrupt 2020 Election," June 28, 2022

[8] azcentral.com, "Kari Lake gets coveted endorsement from former President Trump in Arizona governor's race," September 28, 2021

[9] For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.

[10] Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016

[11] RV=Registered Voters
LV=Likely Voters

[12] The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.

[13] "Not sure": 3.4%; "Other": .6%

[14] "Not sure"

[15] RV=Registered Voters
LV=Likely Voters

[16] The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.

[17] udes responses to "Other," "Wouldn't vote," and "Don't know"

[18] udes responses to "Other," "Wouldn't vote," and "Don't know"

[19] Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.

[20] Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018

[21] Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018

[22] Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018

[23] 2020 election for New Hampshire and Vermont.

[24] Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed September 9, 2022

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[2]

[3]

[4]

[5]

[6]

[7]

[8]

[9]

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[12]

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[14]

[15]

[16]

[17]

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[24]

Arizona	State Executive Elections	News and Analysis

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Arizona gubernatorial election, 2022

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for Governor of Arizona

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for Governor of Arizona

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